Accrington ST v Northampton prediction

League Two · Sat, 31 Oct 2026 15:00 GMT · The Wham Stadium

Updated 28 Oct 2026, 20:36 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Draw the free pick for Accrington ST v Northampton, League Two on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 15:00 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Draw

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.9% of 1635 landed (95% range 73.8–77.9%); it had given them 75% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Accrington ST host Northampton in League Two on Saturday 31 October (kick-off 15:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Accrington ST or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Two of Northampton’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (13%).

Accrington ST are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of Accrington ST’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Accrington ST’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Accrington ST have three wins, three draws and no defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.17. Accrington ST have scored 22 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Accrington ST have conceded 16 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Both teams scored in five of Northampton’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, Northampton have one win, two draws and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.71 points per game, scoring 0.71 and conceding 1.57. Northampton have scored eight goals, the second-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Northampton have conceded eight goals, the second-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Accrington ST (ninth) and Northampton (19th) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Accrington ST the stronger side, 122 rating points above Northampton (Accrington ST 1577, Northampton 1455, after at least 191 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 6 February 2021, finished Accrington ST 0–0 Northampton.

Team news

Predicted Accrington ST XI (3-1-4-2): L. Moulden, J. Anderson, D. Matthews, D. Love, D. Tutonda, C. O'Brien, S. Mols, A. Borland, A. Henderson, C. Warren, T. Walton — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Josh Woods (5.2 per match over 13 appearances, seven goals and one assist) and Stefan Mols (4.3 per match over 11 appearances, two goals and five assists) have been Accrington ST’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Accrington ST (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Josh Woods averages 2.6 shots per 90 over 1076 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances. Stefan Mols averages 2.7 key passes per 90 over 726 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Northampton XI (4-4-2): Z. Jeacock, E. Moore, J. Guthrie, J. Donacien, J. Powell, J. Wormleighton, L. Evans, C. Lemonheigh-Evans, J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh, O. Dale, M. Warhurst — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Joseph Wormleighton (4.3 per match over 11 appearances) and Janoi Donacien (3.6 per match over eight appearances) have been Northampton’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Northampton (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Joseph Wormleighton averages 0.7 key passes per 90 over 873 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Janoi Donacien averages 3.1 tackles per 90 over 629 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last eight appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 31 Oct 2026 15:00 GMT · League Two · The Wham Stadium
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 2): Accrington ST 1 · draws 1 · Northampton 0 · 0.5 goals/game
Recent form: Accrington ST 3W 2D 0L · Northampton 2W 1D 2L

Accrington ST v Northampton (League Two): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 28 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 0.88

Goals

against 0.63 / 0.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

6.5 / 5.38

Corners

against 4 / 3.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.75 / 3.88

Shots on target

against 2.75 / 3.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

3 / 1.63

Cards

against 2 / 2.13 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 24 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Accrington ST for / against	Line	Northampton for / against
Goals scored	1.63 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5	2.5our book	0.88 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6.5 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.38 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	15 for · 9.5 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.13 for · 10.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.75 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.88 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.63 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.13 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	3 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.63 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5

Accrington ST

Accrington ST Goalkeeper

Accrington ST — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
L. Moulden	14	901260 min	362.6 /90	141 /90	00 /90

Accrington ST — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
L. Moulden n 8	90	2.1 4/4

Accrington ST Defensive

Accrington ST — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Joseph Anderson	14	901260 min	292.1 /90	191.4 /90	50.4 /90	684.9 /90	181.3 /90	50.4 /90
Devon Matthews	13	861123 min	151.2 /90	201.6 /90	60.5 /90	1048.3 /90	211.7 /90	50.4 /90
S. Conneely	8	72577 min	91.4 /90	81.2 /90	20.3 /90	467.2 /90	40.6 /90	10.2 /90
F. Rawson	6	90540 min	30.5 /90	61 /90	40.7 /90	366 /90	81.3 /90	20.3 /90
T. Moore	4	72289 min	20.6 /90	61.9 /90	10.3 /90	165 /90	30.9 /90	10.3 /90

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Accrington ST — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Joseph Anderson n 8	90	1 5/2	0.6 5/0	—
L. Moulden n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 1/1	—
Devon Matthews n 8	88	1.7 7/4	1 6/2	—
D. Love n 8	81.9	1.1 6/2	1.4 4/1	—
J. Woods n 8	78.6	1.1 5/2	1.6 4/3	—

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Accrington ST — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Joseph Anderson n 8	90	1.8 8/4
Devon Matthews n 8	88	1.2 7/2
D. Love n 8	81.9	1.4 6/3
J. Woods n 8	78.6	1.7 6/4
C. O'Brien n 8	87	2.1 8/6

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Accrington ST Attacking

Accrington ST — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
J. Woods	13	831076 min	70.6 /90	10.1 /90	312.6 /90	121 /90	181.5 /90	110.9 /90
T. Walton	11	76839 min	30.3 /90	20.2 /90	121.3 /90	60.6 /90	121.3 /90	101.1 /90
C. Caton	8	66524 min	50.9 /90	00 /90	234 /90	122.1 /90	20.3 /90	40.7 /90
C. Warren	8	55442 min	30.6 /90	10.2 /90	122.4 /90	51 /90	91.8 /90	20.4 /90
S. Whalley	6	60360 min	00 /90	10.3 /90	82 /90	51.3 /90	71.8 /90	41 /90

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Accrington ST — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Joseph Anderson n 8	90	0.8 4/2	0.3 2/0
L. Moulden n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Devon Matthews n 8	88	1 7/1	0.1 1/0
D. Love n 8	81.9	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
J. Woods n 8	78.6	2.7 6/4	1.3 5/1

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Accrington ST — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Joseph Anderson n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Moulden n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Devon Matthews n 8	88	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
D. Love n 8	81.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Woods n 8	78.6	0.7 4/1	0.1 1/0

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Northampton

Northampton Goalkeeper

Northampton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Z. Jeacock	12	911089 min	252.1 /90	90.7 /90	00 /90

Northampton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Northampton before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Z. Jeacock n 8	90	2.4 6/4

Northampton Defensive

Northampton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
E. Moore	12	911089 min	70.6 /90	121 /90	80.7 /90	584.8 /90	80.7 /90	00 /90
J. Guthrie	12	911089 min	131.1 /90	181.5 /90	80.7 /90	675.5 /90	60.5 /90	10.1 /90
J. Maxwell	9	81726 min	131.6 /90	111.4 /90	10.1 /90	394.8 /90	40.5 /90	10.1 /90
J. Donacien	8	79629 min	223.1 /90	81.1 /90	40.6 /90	385.4 /90	40.6 /90	00 /90
Joshua Alan Powell	5	69344 min	71.8 /90	71.8 /90	00 /90	143.7 /90	41 /90	20.5 /90

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Northampton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Northampton before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
E. Moore n 8	90	0.6 3/2	0.6 2/2	—
J. Guthrie n 8	90	0.5 4/0	0.6 4/1	—
Z. Jeacock n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
J. Wormleighton n 8	90	1.8 8/4	1.9 8/5	—
J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh n 8	72.3	1.2 5/3	1.4 6/2	—

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Northampton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Northampton before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Guthrie n 8	90	1.1 7/2
E. Moore n 8	90	0.6 4/1
J. Wormleighton n 8	90	3.9 8/8
J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh n 8	72.3	1.2 5/1
Matthew Warhurst n 8	61.8	1.1 4/2

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Northampton Attacking

Northampton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Matthew Warhurst	10	60600 min	20.3 /90	00 /90	132 /90	50.8 /90	40.6 /90	30.5 /90
N. Opoku	7	55388 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	51.2 /90	30.7 /90	10.2 /90	81.9 /90
O. Dale	6	79476 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	122.3 /90	61.1 /90	61.1 /90	81.5 /90
H. Saunders	6	59356 min	00 /90	00 /90	112.8 /90	51.3 /90	10.3 /90	41 /90
E. List	4	35140 min	00 /90	00 /90	21.3 /90	21.3 /90	10.6 /90	21.3 /90

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Northampton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Northampton before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
E. Moore n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0.3 2/0
J. Guthrie n 8	90	0.5 3/1	0.4 2/1
Z. Jeacock n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Wormleighton n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh n 8	72.3	1.4 7/2	0.5 3/0

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Northampton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Northampton before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
E. Moore n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
J. Guthrie n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Z. Jeacock n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Wormleighton n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh n 8	72.3	0.3 2/0	0.2 1/0

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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Accrington ST v Northampton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Accrington STWDWDW

Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2.2 scored / 0.4 conceded per game

NorthamptonLDWLW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 2

Accrington ST 1 · 1 draw · Northampton 0 · 0.5 goals/game

2021-02-06 Accrington ST 0–0 Northampton
2020-11-14 Northampton 0–1 Accrington ST

League standing · 2026/27

Accrington ST#9 pos18 pts13 pl+6 GD

Northampton#19 pos13 pts11 pl0 GD

Goals per game

Accrington ST scored1.69

Northampton scored0.73

Accrington ST conceded1.23

Northampton conceded0.73

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Accrington ST v Northampton?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Accrington ST v Northampton is Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Accrington ST and Northampton?: In their last 2 meetings, Accrington ST won 1, Northampton won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 0.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Accrington ST and Northampton?: Recent form — Accrington ST 3W 2D 0L; Northampton 2W 1D 2L.

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