BarnetBarrow

Barnet v Barrow result

Full-time · Barnet 3–2 Barrow

League Two · · The Hive Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Barnet 3–2 Barrow — Barnet won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.6% of 1703 landed (95% range 74.6–78.6%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Barnet beat Barrow 3–2 at The Hive Stadium in League Two on Saturday 11 April. Barnet have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Barrow: Joshua Gordon (3’, assisted by Daniel Rose) and R. Harper (73’, assisted by A. MacDonald); Barnet: Kabongo Tshimanga (45’, assisted by Mark Shelton), Mark Shelton (53’, assisted by C. Stead) and C. Stead (84’, assisted by D. Jaiyesimi).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with C. Stead’s goal on 84 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Barnet 1.94, Barrow 0.43, from 23 shots to 5 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

S. Mather showed two yellow cards — against 3.5 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Barnet: Idris Kanu (60’); Barrow: M. Williams (10’).

What it changes

Barnet move up from 11th to eighth (43 league matches played). Barnet have scored 70 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games, ranked per game). Barnet have conceded 53 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Barrow stay 23rd after this result (42 league matches played). Barrow have scored 45 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games, ranked per game). Barrow have conceded 78 goals, the third-most of the 24 clubs.

Barnet are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions. Barrow are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Mark Shelton (Barnet) 10.8, C. Stead (Barnet) 9.4 and R. Harper (Barrow) 8.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Barnet or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.6% of the time in the last 90 days (1305 of 1703).

Next up

Barnet next host Tranmere on 7 November 2026.

Barrow next travel to Gillingham on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Barnet: Barnet v Tranmere, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Barrow: Gillingham v Barrow, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Barnet 3–2 Barrow · League Two
  • Venue: The Hive Stadium · London
  • Referee: S. Mather
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Barnet 2 · draws 1 · Barrow 1 · 3.25 goals/game
  • Recent form: Barnet 3W 2D 0L · Barrow 1W 1D 3L

Barnet 3–2 Barrow (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 0.63
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.38 / 3.88
Corners
against 4.88 / 5 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 3.25
Shots on target
against 4.25 / 4.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 1.75
Cards
against 1.75 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.5 yellows
Referee · S. Mather
20.6 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 10 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 6 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameBarnet for / againstLineBarrow for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
0.63 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
6.38 for · 4.88 against n 8
9.5standard
3.88 for · 5 against n 8
Shots
11.25 for · 12 against n 8
19.5standard
10.13 for · 12.13 against n 8
Shots on target
3.75 for · 4.25 against n 8
8.5standard
3.25 for · 4.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.75 for · 11.75 against n 8
21.5standard
11.88 for · 10.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: S. Mather — 3.5 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 20.6 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Barnet

Barnet Defensive

Barnet — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnet before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Glover n 886.3
16/2
0.95/2
—
A. Senior n 890
0.65/0
1.46/3
B. Jackson
D. Collinge n 887.4
0.43/0
0.95/2
—
N. Ofoborh n 890
1.16/2
14/2
T. Barkhuizen
I. Kanu n 869.9
1.15/2
3.17/7
T. Barkhuizen
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Barnet — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnet before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Glover n 886.3
1.25/1
A. Senior n 890
1.87/4
D. Collinge n 887.4
15/2
N. Ofoborh n 890
2.17/5
I. Kanu n 869.9
1.45/2
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Barnet Attacking

Barnet — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnet before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Glover n 886.3
1.25/3
0.52/1
A. Senior n 890
0.64/1
0.11/0
D. Collinge n 887.4
1.35/3
0.53/1
N. Ofoborh n 890
14/3
0.43/0
I. Kanu n 869.9
0.31/1
0.21/0
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Barnet — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnet before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Glover n 886.3
00/0
0.43/0
A. Senior n 890
00/0
0.11/0
D. Collinge n 887.4
0.32/0
00/0
N. Ofoborh n 890
0.11/0
00/0
I. Kanu n 869.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
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Barrow

Barrow Defensive

Barrow — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barrow before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
W. Stanway n 890
00/0
0.54/0
—
B. Jackson n 887.4
15/1
0.95/2
A. Senior
E. Newby n 859.4
0.84/0
0.93/1
—
T. Barkhuizen n 868.6
00/0
14/2
I. Kanu
C. Raglan n 888.6
0.96/1
0.43/0
—
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Barrow — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barrow before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
W. Stanway n 890
0.11/0
B. Jackson n 887.4
2.28/5
E. Newby n 859.4
2.37/2
T. Barkhuizen n 868.6
1.33/2
C. Raglan n 888.6
1.46/4
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Barrow Attacking

Barrow — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barrow before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
W. Stanway n 890
0.11/0
00/0
B. Jackson n 887.4
0.63/2
0.11/0
E. Newby n 859.4
0.93/2
00/0
T. Barkhuizen n 868.6
0.74/0
0.32/0
C. Raglan n 888.6
0.63/1
0.11/0
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Barrow — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barrow before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
W. Stanway n 890
00/0
00/0
B. Jackson n 887.4
00/0
00/0
E. Newby n 859.4
00/0
00/0
T. Barkhuizen n 868.6
00/0
00/0
C. Raglan n 888.6
0.11/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BarnetBarrow
67%Possession33%
1.94Expected goals (xG)0.43
23Shots5
5Shots on target2
7Shots off target2
11Blocked shots1
17Shots inside the box4
8Corners0
1Offsides2
7Fouls12
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Saves2
522Passes255
74%Pass accuracy51%

Barnet Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Slicker9000000006.2
A. Senior9000101006.6
N. Tavares9000000106.6
R. Crichlow-Noble9000101106.2
M. Shelton9011113208.5
N. Ofoborh9000102206.9
C. Stead9011222107.9
K. Tshimanga8910221007.2
R. Glover8700203106.6
I. Kanu63000031Y6.9
P. Chinedu6300202106.7
D. Jaiyesimi sub2701002006.9
K. Smith sub2700001106.6
Ben Winterburn sub1000000006.3
J. Kizzi sub10000000–

Barrow Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
W. Stanway9000000006.5
B. Jackson9000000206.5
M. Williams90000002Y6.5
A. MacDonald9001001007.3
C. McCann9000001206.2
R. Harper9010110308.2
D. Rose9001002307.2
J. Gordon9010310307.2
C. Mahoney8900000206.5
Lewis Shipley7100000005.6
T. Barkhuizen6800000306.9
J. Malcolm sub2200000006.7
Joseph Anderson sub1900000306.3
B. Whitfield sub800000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Barnet v Barrow — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BarnetDWWDW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
BarrowLLWDL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.6 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Barnet 2 · 1 draw · Barrow 1 · 3.25 goals/game
  • 2025-10-25 Barrow 2–2 Barnet
  • 2019-11-23 Barrow 2–1 Barnet
  • 2019-03-02 Barnet 3–1 Barrow
  • 2018-10-27 Barrow 0–2 Barnet
League standing · 2025/26
Barnet#8 pos76 pts46 pl+17 GD
Barrow#24 pos36 pts46 pl-33 GD
Goals per game
Barnet scored1.52
Barrow scored0.98
Barnet conceded1.15
Barrow conceded1.7

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Barnet v Barrow?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Barnet v Barrow was Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Barnet and Barrow?
In their last 4 meetings, Barnet won 2, Barrow won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.25 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Barnet and Barrow?
Recent form — Barnet 3W 2D 0L; Barrow 1W 1D 3L.

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