BarnetSwindon Town

Barnet v Swindon Town result

Full-time · Barnet 1–3 Swindon Town

League Two · · The Hive Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Barnet · Swindon Town

The model’s pre-match pick

Barnet 1–3 Swindon Town — Swindon Town won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
Best price: 1.50 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 79.1% of 273 landed (95% range 73.9–83.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Swindon Town won 3–1 at The Hive Stadium in League Two on Tuesday 20 October. Barnet have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Swindon Town led 3–0 at half-time. The goals — Swindon Town: Mitchell Clark (8’, assisted by Aaron Drinan) and Aaron Drinan (35’, assisted by Matthew Virtue-Thick; 37’, assisted by Jack Thomson); Barnet: Kabongo Tshimanga (90’, assisted by Charlie Lakin).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Aaron Drinan’s goal on 35 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Barnet out-shot Swindon Town 22 to 11 and created the better chances, 3.42 xG to 1.46 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

B. Atkinson showed one yellow card — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Swindon Town: L. Millard (90+2’).

What it changes

Barnet stay second after this result (10 league matches played). Barnet have scored 23 goals, the most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Barnet have conceded 15 goals, the sixth-most of the 24 clubs.

Swindon Town move up from 18th to 10th (12 league matches played). Swindon Town have scored 13 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). Swindon Town have conceded 16 goals, the 11th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Aaron Drinan (Swindon Town) 14.0, Connor Ripley (Swindon Town) 7.6 and Mitchell Clark (Swindon Town) 7.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Barnet to win, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Barnet next host Tranmere on 7 November 2026.

Swindon Town next host Grimsby on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Barnet: Walsall v Barnet, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Swindon Town: Swindon Town v Grimsby, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Barnet 1–3 Swindon Town · League Two
  • Venue: The Hive Stadium · London
  • Referee: B. Atkinson
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Barnet 2 · draws 0 · Swindon Town 2 · 3.25 goals/game
  • Recent form: Barnet 4W 1D 0L · Swindon Town 0W 2D 3L

Barnet 1–3 Swindon Town (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.38 / 1
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
6.13 / 4.88
Corners
against 4.38 / 7.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 3.75
Shots on target
against 4 / 5.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 1.88
Cards
against 3.13 / 0.5 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.2 yellows
Referee · B. Atkinson
23.8 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 17 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameBarnet for / againstLineSwindon Town for / against
Goals scored
2.38 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.25our book
1 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
6.13 for · 4.38 against n 8
9.5standard
4.88 for · 7.25 against n 8
Shots
15.38 for · 12 against n 8
19.5standard
12.25 for · 15.13 against n 8
Shots on target
4.13 for · 4 against n 8
8.5standard
3.75 for · 5.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.63 for · 15.5 against n 8
21.5standard
10.25 for · 6.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 3.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 0.5 against n 8

Referee: B. Atkinson — 4.2 yellow cards a game, 0.2 red cards, 23.8 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Barnet

Barnet Goalkeeper

Barnet — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Cox1090900 min262.6 /90101 /9000 /90
Barnet — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnet before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Cox n 890
2.56/5

Barnet Defensive

Barnet — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Senior1090900 min141.4 /9060.6 /9060.6 /90565.6 /9040.4 /9000 /90
D. Collinge1090900 min141.4 /9080.8 /9030.3 /90707 /9050.5 /9010.1 /90
Z. Williams974670 min70.9 /9060.8 /9020.3 /90587.8 /90121.6 /9020.3 /90
N. Tavares678468 min91.7 /9061.2 /9081.5 /90417.9 /9030.6 /9000 /90
M. Kenlock645271 min72.3 /9031 /9010.3 /90237.6 /9031 /9000 /90
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Barnet — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnet before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Collinge n 890
0.64/1
17/1
S. Negru
A. Senior n 890
0.43/0
0.94/2
S. Negru
M. Cox n 890
0.11/0
0.53/1
—
K. Tshimanga n 889.4
27/4
0.65/0
A. Drinan
C. Lakin n 887.4
0.53/1
2.28/6
—
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Barnet — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnet before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Collinge n 890
1.46/4
A. Senior n 890
1.35/4
K. Tshimanga n 889.4
0.53/1
C. Lakin n 887.4
0.64/1
O. Gallagher n 884.5
2.38/5
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Barnet Attacking

Barnet — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
K. Tshimanga1090895 min80.8 /9050.5 /90171.7 /90101 /90151.5 /9040.4 /90
J. Maskell41974 min00 /9011.2 /9011.2 /9000 /9011.2 /9000 /90
D. Ajayi23876 min00 /9011.2 /9022.4 /9000 /9011.2 /9022.4 /90
I. Williams22039 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9012.3 /9000 /90
C. Lakin1088879 min60.6 /9020.2 /90222.3 /90131.3 /90222.3 /9060.6 /90
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Barnet — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnet before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Senior n 890
1.86/5
0.43/0
D. Collinge n 890
0.63/2
0.11/0
M. Cox n 890
00/0
00/0
K. Tshimanga n 889.4
1.96/5
16/2
C. Lakin n 887.4
2.28/5
1.46/3
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Barnet — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnet before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Senior n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
D. Collinge n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Cox n 890
00/0
00/0
K. Tshimanga n 889.4
0.85/1
0.54/0
C. Lakin n 887.4
0.64/1
0.32/0
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Swindon Town

Swindon Town Goalkeeper

Swindon Town — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
C. Ripley12901080 min494.1 /90151.3 /9000 /90
Swindon Town — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swindon Town before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Ripley n 890
4.17/7

Swindon Town Defensive

Swindon Town — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
S. Negru12901080 min201.7 /90171.4 /90191.6 /90695.8 /9060.5 /9000 /90
M. Clark985761 min151.8 /9091.1 /9030.4 /90465.4 /9070.8 /9010.1 /90
K. Majekodunmi974666 min162.2 /90121.6 /9081.1 /90587.8 /90101.4 /9040.5 /90
B. Kirkman776532 min294.9 /90172.9 /9030.5 /906210.5 /9050.8 /9000 /90
D. Butler688530 min122 /9050.8 /9010.2 /90335.6 /9050.8 /9010.2 /90
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Swindon Town — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swindon Town before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Negru n 890
0.64/1
0.32/0
A. Senior
C. Ripley n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
—
A. Drinan n 887.5
0.32/0
0.32/0
K. Tshimanga
A. Munda n 881.6
1.26/2
0.74/1
—
O. Clarke n 864.4
1.64/2
0.94/1
—
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Swindon Town — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swindon Town before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Negru n 890
1.35/3
A. Drinan n 887.5
0.53/1
A. Munda n 881.6
2.36/6
O. Clarke n 864.4
2.85/3
Jack Thomson n 889.9
2.88/6
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Swindon Town Attacking

Swindon Town — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Drinan12881060 min60.5 /9000 /90292.5 /90141.2 /9080.7 /9090.8 /90
J. Hungbo844354 min10.3 /9010.3 /90123.1 /9030.8 /9051.3 /9082 /90
L. Millard837295 min10.3 /9000 /9020.6 /9010.3 /9020.6 /9010.3 /90
A. Hackford748334 min00 /9000 /9030.8 /9010.3 /9020.5 /9041.1 /90
P. Glatzel560302 min10.3 /9000 /9020.6 /9020.6 /9030.9 /9010.3 /90
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Swindon Town — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swindon Town before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Negru n 890
0.43/0
0.11/0
C. Ripley n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Drinan n 887.5
38/6
1.57/2
A. Munda n 881.6
0.75/0
0.43/0
O. Clarke n 864.4
1.65/3
0.21/0
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Swindon Town — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swindon Town before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Negru n 890
00/0
0.11/0
C. Ripley n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Drinan n 887.5
0.63/1
00/0
A. Munda n 881.6
00/0
0.11/0
O. Clarke n 864.4
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BarnetSwindon Town
72%Possession28%
3.42Expected goals (xG)1.46
22Shots11
11Shots on target5
6Shots off target4
5Blocked shots2
19Shots inside the box9
14Corners0
1Offsides3
7Fouls6
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Saves11
603Passes232

Barnet Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Cox9000000005.9
A. Senior9000111006
D. Collinge9000301106.7
Z. Williams9000211006.9
B. Comley9000001106.6
C. Lakin9001435007.7
K. Tshimanga9010431007.4
I. Kanu8300211006.1
O. Gallagher6700622105.6
N. Ofoborh6400001305.9
N. Tavares6300000006.5
T. Knowles2700000006.2
J. Reeves2600001006.4
D. Ajayi2300000106
M. Kenlock700000005.8

Swindon Town Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Ripley9000000008.5
M. Clark9010110407.1
S. Negru9000000106.8
K. Majekodunmi9000000406.1
A. Munda9000201506.6
B. Kirkman9000100606.2
Sam Inwood7600100206.9
A. Drinan7621423009.7
M. Virtue-Thick6701001407.3
Jack Thomson6701002107.3
J. Snowdon5800221106.9
L. Millard32000000Y6.5
J. Debayo2300000106.7
T. Nichols2300000106.6
J. Ball1400000106.4
A. Hackford1400000006.4

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Barnet v Swindon Town — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BarnetDWWWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Swindon TownLDLLD
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Barnet 2 · 0 draws · Swindon Town 2 · 3.25 goals/game
  • 2026-02-17 Barnet 1–2 Swindon Town
  • 2025-08-19 Swindon Town 0–2 Barnet
  • 2018-01-01 Barnet 1–2 Swindon Town
  • 2017-09-02 Swindon Town 1–4 Barnet
League standing · 2026/27
Barnet#2 pos26 pts13 pl+10 GD
Swindon Town#13 pos19 pts14 pl-2 GD
Goals per game
Barnet scored2.15
Swindon Town scored1.07
Barnet conceded1.38
Swindon Town conceded1.21

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Barnet v Swindon Town?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Barnet v Swindon Town was Home win (best price 1.50 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Barnet and Swindon Town?
In their last 4 meetings, Barnet won 2, Swindon Town won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.25 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Barnet and Swindon Town?
Recent form — Barnet 4W 1D 0L; Swindon Town 0W 2D 3L.

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