Bristol RoversBarnet

Bristol Rovers v Barnet result

Full-time · Bristol Rovers 1–3 Barnet

League Two · · Memorial Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Bristol Rovers · Barnet

The model’s pre-match pick

Bristol Rovers 1–3 Barnet — Barnet won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.29 at Betvictor
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Barnet won 3–1 at Memorial Stadium in League Two on Saturday 10 October. Barnet have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Barnet came from behind: Bristol Rovers led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Bristol Rovers: Ellis Harrison (4’); Barnet: Adam Senior (79’, assisted by Kabongo Tshimanga), Z. Williams (86’) and Kabongo Tshimanga (90’, assisted by D. Ajayi). Tommy Leigh (85’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Z. Williams’s goal on 86 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Bristol Rovers 2.39, Barnet 2.65, from 18 shots to 17 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

T. Robinson showed four yellow cards and one red — against 4.0 yellows a game across the last 17 matches refereed (all competitions).

What it changes

Bristol Rovers move down from fourth to fifth (10 league matches played). Bristol Rovers have scored 15 goals, the fifth-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Bristol Rovers have conceded 17 goals, the second-most of the 24 clubs.

Barnet stay first after this result (eight league matches played). Barnet have scored 20 goals, the most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 8 games, ranked per game). Barnet have conceded 11 goals, the ninth-most of the 24 clubs.

Barnet are unbeaten in their last eight matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ellis Harrison (Bristol Rovers) 8.4, Kabongo Tshimanga (Barnet) 8.1 and Clinton Mola (Bristol Rovers) 7.2 led the match.

Head-to-head

Barnet are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Bristol Rovers, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Bristol Rovers or Barnet (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Bristol Rovers next host Chesterfield on 14 November 2026.

Barnet next host Tranmere on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Bristol Rovers: Bristol Rovers v Chesterfield, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Barnet: Walsall v Barnet, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Bristol Rovers 1–3 Barnet · League Two
  • Venue: Memorial Stadium · Bristol, Gloucestershire
  • Referee: T. Robinson
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Bristol Rovers 0 · draws 1 · Barnet 3 · 2.75 goals/game
  • Recent form: Bristol Rovers 2W 0D 3L · Barnet 2W 3D 0L

Bristol Rovers 1–3 Barnet (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 2.25
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
6 / 6.38
Corners
against 3.13 / 4.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 5
Shots on target
against 3.13 / 4.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.63 / 2.13
Cards
against 2 / 2.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameBristol Rovers for / againstLineBarnet for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8
3our book
2.25 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
6 for · 3.13 against n 8
9.5standard
6.38 for · 4.5 against n 8
Shots
16.63 for · 8.88 against n 8
19.5standard
15.75 for · 11.5 against n 8
Shots on target
4.75 for · 3.13 against n 8
8.5standard
5 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
13 for · 9.38 against n 8
21.5standard
13.88 for · 14.88 against n 8
Cards shown
2.63 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 2.88 against n 8

Referee: T. Robinson.

Bristol Rovers

Bristol Rovers Goalkeeper

Bristol Rovers — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Brad Young1090900 min161.6 /90151.5 /9000 /90
Bristol Rovers — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol Rovers before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Brad Young n 890
1.53/2

Bristol Rovers Defensive

Bristol Rovers — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
K. Balmer1085853 min151.6 /90101.1 /9020.2 /90475 /9060.6 /9030.3 /90
T. James889715 min111.4 /9081 /9050.6 /90334.2 /9010.1 /9030.4 /90
B. Purrington884675 min172.3 /90101.3 /9000 /90486.4 /9060.8 /9010.1 /90
R. Harbottle781566 min172.7 /9081.3 /9061 /90548.6 /90101.6 /9010.2 /90
C. Kelly576381 min71.7 /9071.7 /9020.5 /90327.6 /9061.4 /9010.2 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Bristol Rovers — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol Rovers before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Brad Young n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
C. Mola n 890
2.68/5
0.54/0
—
K. Balmer n 884.1
0.86/0
1.36/4
D. Collinge
S. Forde n 872.1
2.78/4
0.83/1
C. Lakin
R. Smallwood n 873.5
1.76/4
0.21/0
—
See more players · Pro
Bristol Rovers — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol Rovers before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Mola n 890
3.48/6
K. Balmer n 884.1
1.35/4
S. Forde n 872.1
1.14/2
R. Smallwood n 873.5
3.77/6
F. Cavegn n 869.3
0.21/0
See more players · Pro

Bristol Rovers Attacking

Bristol Rovers — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
F. Cavegn967599 min30.5 /9010.2 /90142.1 /9081.2 /9071.1 /90101.5 /90
E. Harrison658347 min10.3 /9000 /9051.3 /9041 /9041 /9030.8 /90
J. Quigley450199 min00 /9000 /9052.3 /9020.9 /9020.9 /9000 /90
C. Mola1087865 min10.1 /9010.1 /9060.6 /9020.2 /9040.4 /9030.3 /90
S. Forde1075751 min00 /9000 /90121.4 /9030.4 /90141.7 /9070.8 /90
See more players · Pro
Bristol Rovers — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol Rovers before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Brad Young n 890
00/0
00/0
C. Mola n 890
0.64/1
0.11/0
K. Balmer n 884.1
0.53/1
0.11/0
S. Forde n 872.1
1.76/3
0.53/0
R. Smallwood n 873.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
See more players · Pro
Bristol Rovers — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol Rovers before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Brad Young n 890
00/0
0.11/0
C. Mola n 890
00/0
0.11/0
K. Balmer n 884.1
00/0
0.11/0
S. Forde n 872.1
00/0
00/0
R. Smallwood n 873.5
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

Barnet

Barnet Goalkeeper

Barnet — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Cox890720 min202.5 /9091.1 /9000 /90
Barnet — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnet before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Cox n 890
2.55/5

Barnet Defensive

Barnet — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Senior890720 min121.5 /9050.6 /9030.4 /90486 /9030.4 /9000 /90
D. Collinge890720 min121.5 /9040.5 /9030.4 /90536.6 /9020.3 /9000 /90
Z. Williams776535 min30.5 /9050.8 /9020.3 /90427.1 /90101.7 /9010.2 /90
M. Kenlock550248 min72.5 /9031.1 /9010.4 /90238.3 /9020.7 /9000 /90
N. Tavares488353 min92.3 /9030.8 /9061.5 /90328.2 /9020.5 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
Barnet — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnet before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Senior n 890
0.43/0
1.46/3
—
D. Collinge n 890
0.32/0
0.65/0
K. Balmer
M. Cox n 890
0.11/0
0.53/1
—
K. Tshimanga n 889.4
2.17/5
0.86/0
—
C. Lakin n 887.5
0.95/2
1.88/5
S. Forde
See more players · Pro
Barnet — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnet before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Senior n 890
1.56/5
D. Collinge n 890
1.57/4
K. Tshimanga n 889.4
0.53/1
C. Lakin n 887.5
1.26/3
O. Gallagher n 883.6
2.48/6
See more players · Pro

Barnet Attacking

Barnet — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
K. Tshimanga889715 min50.6 /9040.5 /90121.5 /9070.9 /90131.6 /9020.3 /90
T. Knowles850400 min20.5 /9010.2 /9092 /9051.1 /9081.8 /9040.9 /90
J. Maskell31957 min00 /9011.6 /9011.6 /9000 /9011.6 /9000 /90
I. Williams22039 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9012.3 /9000 /90
D. Ajayi14545 min00 /9000 /9012 /9000 /9000 /9012 /90
See more players · Pro
Barnet — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnet before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Senior n 890
1.35/4
0.43/0
D. Collinge n 890
0.84/2
0.32/0
M. Cox n 890
00/0
00/0
K. Tshimanga n 889.4
1.56/3
0.96/1
C. Lakin n 887.5
2.48/6
1.57/3
See more players · Pro
Barnet — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnet before kick-off, to 3 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Senior n 890
00/0
0.11/0
D. Collinge n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Cox n 890
00/0
00/0
K. Tshimanga n 889.4
0.65/0
0.54/0
C. Lakin n 887.5
0.85/1
0.32/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Bristol RoversBarnet
40%Possession60%
2.39Expected goals (xG)2.65
18Shots17
3Shots on target3
5Shots off target6
10Blocked shots8
13Shots inside the box10
8Corners2
1Offsides0
16Fouls9
2Yellow cards2
1Red cards0
0Saves2
228Passes359

Bristol Rovers Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Brad Young9000000005.3
T. James9000104006.6
K. Balmer9000002005.6
C. Kelly9000001206.2
B. Purrington90000001Y5
Keenan Gough9000302106.5
C. Mola9000102706.3
S. Forde90004103Y5.5
F. Cavegn9000400006.5
E. Harrison8810320107.4
T. Leigh85002022R4.8
J. Quigley200000006.3

Barnet Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Cox9000000006.7
A. Senior9010410207.2
D. Collinge90000000Y6.1
Z. Williams9010210107.1
O. Gallagher9000201106.1
K. Tshimanga9011211008.6
C. Lakin8900202006.8
I. Kanu73002000Y6.2
R. Crichlow-Noble5900100006.4
J. Reeves5900001206.4
T. Knowles5900102106.2
N. Tavares3100000006.5
B. Comley3100000006.6
D. Ajayi3101101306.9
J. Maskell1700000006.5
M. Kenlock100000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Bristol Rovers v Barnet — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Bristol RoversWLLWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
BarnetDDDWW
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 2.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Bristol Rovers 0 · 1 draw · Barnet 3 · 2.75 goals/game
  • 2025-12-29 Bristol Rovers 0–2 Barnet
  • 2025-12-09 Barnet 4–0 Bristol Rovers
  • 2018-11-21 Bristol Rovers 1–2 Barnet
  • 2018-11-11 Barnet 1–1 Bristol Rovers
League standing · 2026/27
Bristol Rovers#17 pos16 pts14 pl-6 GD
Barnet#2 pos26 pts13 pl+10 GD
Goals per game
Bristol Rovers scored1.21
Barnet scored2.15
Bristol Rovers conceded1.64
Barnet conceded1.38

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Bristol Rovers v Barnet?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Bristol Rovers v Barnet was Home or Away (best price 1.29 at Betvictor).
What is the head-to-head record between Bristol Rovers and Barnet?
In their last 4 meetings, Bristol Rovers won 0, Barnet won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.75 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Bristol Rovers and Barnet?
Recent form — Bristol Rovers 2W 0D 3L; Barnet 2W 3D 0L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+