Bristol RoversCheltenham

Bristol Rovers v Cheltenham result

Full-time · Bristol Rovers 4–0 Cheltenham

League Two ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Bristol Rovers · Cheltenham · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Bristol Rovers 4–0 Cheltenham — Bristol Rovers won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55% of 140 landed (95% range 46.7–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Bristol Rovers beat Cheltenham 4–0 in League Two on Saturday 25 April. Bristol Rovers have won their last eight matches in all competitions.

The goals

Bristol Rovers led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Bristol Rovers: Ellis Harrison (2’, assisted by Jack Sparkes; 45’; 56’) and Shaqai Forde (87’, assisted by Joseph Quigley).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ellis Harrison’s goal on 2 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Bristol Rovers 1.07, Cheltenham 0.30, from 9 shots to 10 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

M. Barlow showed six yellow cards — against 4.1 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Bristol Rovers: Richard Smallwood (6’), Kofi Balmer (32’), Jack Sparkes (55’), Tommy Leigh (71’) and T. Lockyer (90+1’); Cheltenham: James Wilson (71’).

What it changes

Bristol Rovers move up from 15th to 14th (45 league matches played).

Cheltenham stay 17th after this result (45 league matches played).

Bristol Rovers have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ellis Harrison (Bristol Rovers) 13.3, Shaqai Forde (Bristol Rovers) 5.6 and Jack Sparkes (Bristol Rovers) 4.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Bristol Rovers next host Chesterfield on 14 November 2026.

Cheltenham next travel to Exeter City on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Bristol Rovers: Bristol Rovers v Chesterfield, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Cheltenham: Exeter City v Cheltenham, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Bristol Rovers 4–0 Cheltenham · League Two
  • Referee: M. Barlow
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Bristol Rovers 3 · draws 1 · Cheltenham 2 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Bristol Rovers 5W 0D 0L · Cheltenham 3W 1D 1L

Bristol Rovers 4–0 Cheltenham (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1.5
Goals
against 0.75 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.63 / 3.75
Corners
against 4.5 / 4.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.88 / 2.75
Shots on target
against 2.5 / 3.88 · 0 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 1.5
Cards
against 2.5 / 1.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.14 yellows
Referee · M. Barlow
22.71 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 21 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameBristol Rovers for / againstLineCheltenham for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 0.75 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
3.63 for · 4.5 against n 8
9.5standard
3.75 for · 4.88 against n 8
Shots
12 for · 12.38 against n 8
19.5standard
9.25 for · 13.5 against n 8
Shots on target
3.88 for · 2.5 against n 8
8.5standard
2.75 for · 3.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.38 for · 10.75 against n 8
21.5standard
9.63 for · 11 against n 8
Cards shown
2.38 for · 2.5 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 1.25 against n 8

Referee: M. Barlow — 4.14 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 22.71 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Bristol Rovers

Bristol Rovers Defensive

Bristol Rovers — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol Rovers before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Cavegn n 853.9
0.21/0
1.56/1
—
J. Sparkes n 884.4
0.32/0
1.15/3
J. Wilson
A. Kilgour n 876.5
0.95/1
0.93/2
—
E. Harrison n 855.1
2.26/5
3.17/5
—
C. Mola n 884.4
0.74/1
0.32/0
L. Young
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Bristol Rovers — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol Rovers before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Cavegn n 853.9
0.84/0
J. Sparkes n 884.4
1.25/2
A. Kilgour n 876.5
0.94/2
E. Harrison n 855.1
0.42/0
C. Mola n 884.4
2.16/3
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Bristol Rovers Attacking

Bristol Rovers — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol Rovers before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Cavegn n 853.9
0.83/1
0.83/1
J. Sparkes n 884.4
0.74/1
0.32/0
A. Kilgour n 876.5
0.74/1
0.42/1
E. Harrison n 855.1
3.17/3
1.44/2
C. Mola n 884.4
00/0
00/0
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Bristol Rovers — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol Rovers before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Cavegn n 853.9
0.21/0
00/0
J. Sparkes n 884.4
0.11/0
0.32/0
A. Kilgour n 876.5
0.11/0
00/0
E. Harrison n 855.1
0.83/1
0.21/0
C. Mola n 884.4
00/0
00/0
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Cheltenham

Cheltenham Goalkeeper

Cheltenham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Day47904234 min1573.3 /90761.6 /9020 /90
Cheltenham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Day n 890
2.36/4

Cheltenham Defensive

Cheltenham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Wilson42883681 min471.1 /90591.4 /90290.7 /901383.4 /90140.3 /9030.1 /90
J. Tomkinson34893041 min762.2 /90341 /90170.5 /901865.5 /90371.1 /9070.2 /90
R. Cundy27852286 min251 /90311.2 /90150.6 /902058.1 /90210.8 /9060.2 /90
G. Nurse768474 min61.1 /9040.8 /9000 /90234.4 /9040.8 /9000 /90
L. Young45803607 min601.5 /90210.5 /90270.7 /901573.9 /90260.6 /9080.2 /90
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Cheltenham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Day n 890
00/0
0.53/1
—
L. Young n 877.4
0.43/0
0.74/1
C. Mola
J. Wilson n 890
0.11/0
0.43/0
J. Sparkes
J. Bickerstaff n 874.4
1.15/2
1.55/4
—
J. Thomas n 873.3
0.53/0
0.63/1
—
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Cheltenham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Young n 877.4
1.25/2
J. Wilson n 890
0.96/1
J. Bickerstaff n 874.4
0.83/1
J. Thomas n 873.3
1.76/3
Arkelle Nicholas Cecil Jude-Boyd n 866.5
27/5
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Cheltenham Attacking

Cheltenham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Bickerstaff40732932 min40.1 /9050.2 /90300.9 /90160.5 /90391.2 /90280.9 /90
L. Young45803607 min20 /9040.1 /90260.6 /90100.2 /90641.6 /9050.1 /90
J. Thomas39783057 min60.2 /9050.1 /90381.1 /90180.5 /90391.1 /90722.1 /90
B. Stevenson30862578 min00 /9000 /9050.2 /9000 /9070.2 /90100.3 /90
J. Martin1748811 min30.3 /9000 /90131.4 /9070.8 /90121.3 /90131.4 /90
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Cheltenham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Day n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Young n 877.4
0.42/1
0.11/0
J. Wilson n 890
0.11/0
00/0
J. Bickerstaff n 874.4
0.52/1
0.32/0
J. Thomas n 873.3
0.63/1
0.53/0
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Cheltenham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 21 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Day n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Young n 877.4
00/0
0.32/0
J. Wilson n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Bickerstaff n 874.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
J. Thomas n 873.3
00/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Bristol RoversCheltenham
37%Possession63%
1.07Expected goals (xG)0.30
9Shots10
4Shots on target1
3Shots off target7
2Blocked shots2
5Shots inside the box5
1Corners7
1Offsides1
19Fouls6
5Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Saves0
222Passes382
57%Pass accuracy79%

Bristol Rovers Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Brad Young9000000007.5
J. Senior9000000207.5
K. Balmer90000000Y6.9
R. Harbottle9000000207.2
J. Sparkes90010013Y6.9
S. Forde9010111106.9
C. Mola8500000206.9
Y. Akhamrich8400100006.5
E. Harrison74304300010
P. Omochere6500000306.2
R. Smallwood64000003Y6.7
T. Lockyer sub26000000Y6.6
T. Leigh sub25000020Y6.9
J. Quigley sub1601101006.6
M. Rijks sub1200000006.3
R. De Havilland sub1100000006.6

Cheltenham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Day9000000005.7
J. Tomkinson9000000306.3
S. Sherring9000001206.5
J. Wilson90002010Y5.2
L. Young9000001407.5
Harry Ashfield9000210306.2
J. Thomas9000201106.9
J. Bickerstaff7900000106.3
R. Broom6900000006.5
G. Nurse6800000106.2
J. Davison6200001006.3
M. Faal sub2800200006.5
Arkelle Nicholas Cecil Jude-Boyd sub2200000206.6
Cole Deeming sub2100003006.9
J. Martin sub1100000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Bristol Rovers v Cheltenham — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Bristol RoversWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 2.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
CheltenhamDWWWL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Bristol Rovers 3 · 1 draw · Cheltenham 2 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2025-11-22 Cheltenham 1–0 Bristol Rovers
  • 2024-04-13 Cheltenham 1–3 Bristol Rovers
  • 2023-12-09 Bristol Rovers 1–1 Cheltenham
  • 2023-01-01 Bristol Rovers 2–1 Cheltenham
  • 2022-10-15 Cheltenham 1–4 Bristol Rovers
  • 2021-08-10 Bristol Rovers 0–2 Cheltenham
League standing · 2025/26
Bristol Rovers#14 pos62 pts46 pl-9 GD
Cheltenham#18 pos52 pts46 pl-26 GD
Goals per game
Bristol Rovers scored1.22
Cheltenham scored1.15
Bristol Rovers conceded1.41
Cheltenham conceded1.72

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Bristol Rovers v Cheltenham?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Bristol Rovers v Cheltenham was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Bristol Rovers and Cheltenham?
In their last 6 meetings, Bristol Rovers won 3, Cheltenham won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Bristol Rovers and Cheltenham?
Recent form — Bristol Rovers 5W 0D 0L; Cheltenham 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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