This Matchweek

Bristol RoversNewport County

Bristol Rovers v Newport County result

Full-time · Bristol Rovers 5–3 Newport County

League Two · · Memorial Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Bristol Rovers · Newport County

The model’s pre-match pick

Bristol Rovers 5–3 Newport County — Bristol Rovers won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
Best price: 1.70 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 79.6% of 285 landed (95% range 74.6–83.9%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Bristol Rovers beat Newport County 5–3 at Memorial Stadium in League Two on Saturday 22 August. Newport County have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Newport County: Harrison Biggins (1’, assisted by Christian Doidge), an own goal by Lee Jenkins (57’), Shaquille Gwengwe (61’, assisted by Christian Doidge) and C. Jarvis (90’, assisted by Alfie Merritt); Bristol Rovers: Ben Purrington (45’), Fabrizio Cavegn (53’, assisted by Thomas James; 90’, assisted by Reiss-Alexander Russell-Denny) and Bobby-Emmanuel Kamwa (74’, assisted by Brad Young).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Bristol Rovers 3.25, Newport County 0.71, from 26 shots to 8 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

S. Mather showed three yellow cards — against 3.5 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Bristol Rovers: Clinton Mola (8’) and Bobby-Emmanuel Kamwa (75’); Newport County: Ciaran Brennan (76’).

What it changes

Bristol Rovers move up from 15th to fifth (two league matches played).

Newport County move down from first to sixth (two league matches played).

With eight goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 2, across 12 matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Fabrizio Cavegn (Bristol Rovers) 10.9, Christian Doidge (Newport County) 8.9 and Ben Purrington (Bristol Rovers) 6.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Bristol Rovers to win, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Bristol Rovers next host Chesterfield on 14 November 2026.

Newport County next travel to Crewe on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Bristol Rovers: Bristol Rovers v Chesterfield, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Newport County: Crewe v Newport County, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Bristol Rovers 5–3 Newport County · League Two
  • Venue: Memorial Stadium · Bristol
  • Referee: S. Mather
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Bristol Rovers 2 · draws 0 · Newport County 2 · 3.25 goals/game
  • Recent form: Bristol Rovers 2W 1D 2L · Newport County 3W 1D 1L

Bristol Rovers 5–3 Newport County (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
3.38 / 6.57
Corners
against 5 / 5 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.75 / 4.86
Shots on target
against 3.25 / 4.57 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.38 / 2.43
Cards
against 2.38 / 2.43 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
3.5 yellows
Referee · S. Mather
20.6 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 10 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 15 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameBristol Rovers for / againstLineNewport County for / against
Goals scored
2 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.75our book
1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
3.38 for · 5 against n 8
9.5standard
6.57 for · 5 against n 7
Shots
12.5 for · 14.13 against n 8
19.5standard
13.43 for · 12.43 against n 7
Shots on target
3.75 for · 3.25 against n 8
8.5standard
4.86 for · 4.57 against n 7
Fouls committed
14.75 for · 10.13 against n 8
21.5standard
12.86 for · 12.29 against n 7
Cards shown
2.38 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
2.43 for · 2.43 against n 7

Referee: S. Mather — 3.5 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 20.6 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Bristol Rovers

Bristol Rovers Goalkeeper

Bristol Rovers — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Brad Young290180 min42 /9042 /9000 /90
Bristol Rovers — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol Rovers before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Brad Young n 890
1.96/1

Bristol Rovers Defensive

Bristol Rovers — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
K. Balmer290180 min52.5 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90157.5 /9000 /9000 /90
R. Harbottle290180 min10.5 /9031.5 /9021 /9094.5 /9021 /9000 /90
Keenan Gough263125 min21.4 /9021.4 /9000 /9064.3 /9010.7 /9000 /90
B. Purrington19090 min77 /9011 /9000 /901414 /9033 /9000 /90
M. Southam-Hales290180 min42 /9052.5 /9000 /90147 /9010.5 /9000 /90
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Bristol Rovers — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol Rovers before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Balmer n 890
1.36/3
1.16/3
T. Davies
R. Harbottle n 884.4
1.17/1
1.35/3
L. Jenkins
M. Southam-Hales n 878.1
0.74/1
27/4
—
Brad Young n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
S. Forde n 886.4
2.27/6
0.96/1
H. Biggins
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Bristol Rovers — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol Rovers before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Southam-Hales n 878.1
2.26/5
R. Harbottle n 884.4
1.77/4
K. Balmer n 890
1.55/4
S. Forde n 886.4
2.18/6
C. Mola n 877.1
3.28/7
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Bristol Rovers Attacking

Bristol Rovers — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
S. Forde287174 min00 /9000 /9010.5 /9000 /9021 /9010.5 /90
J. Quigley269138 min00 /9000 /9042.6 /9010.7 /9010.7 /9000 /90
F. Cavegn268135 min00 /9010.7 /9021.3 /9021.3 /9032 /9010.7 /90
M. Southam-Hales290180 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9010.5 /90
C. Mola273145 min10.6 /9000 /9010.6 /9010.6 /9000 /9000 /90
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Bristol Rovers — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol Rovers before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Harbottle n 884.4
0.73/2
0.11/0
K. Balmer n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
M. Southam-Hales n 878.1
0.11/0
00/0
Brad Young n 890
00/0
00/0
S. Forde n 886.4
1.67/3
0.53/1
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Bristol Rovers — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol Rovers before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Balmer n 890
00/0
0.11/0
Brad Young n 890
00/0
0.11/0
R. Harbottle n 884.4
00/0
00/0
M. Southam-Hales n 878.1
00/0
00/0
S. Forde n 886.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
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Newport County

Newport County Defensive

Newport County — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Norman19090 min00 /9000 /9011 /9088 /9022 /9000 /90
K. Cameron19090 min00 /9011 /9000 /9011 /9011 /9000 /90
L. Jenkins19090 min33 /9011 /9000 /9077 /9022 /9011 /90
T. Davies19090 min11 /9011 /9000 /9044 /9000 /9000 /90
Alfie Merritt12525 min00 /9000 /9000 /9013.6 /9013.6 /9013.6 /90
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Newport County — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newport County before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Norman n 889.6
1.14/4
2.58/6
—
L. Jenkins n 868.9
1.15/2
1.35/3
R. Harbottle
H. Biggins n 889.5
0.83/2
2.88/7
S. Forde
C. Brennan n 869.9
0.84/1
0.53/0
—
T. Davies n 861.6
0.42/0
1.14/2
K. Balmer
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Newport County — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newport County before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Davies n 861.6
2.47/2
C. Norman n 889.6
1.87/4
H. Biggins n 889.5
1.67/5
L. Jenkins n 868.9
1.54/3
C. Brennan n 869.9
0.83/1
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Newport County Attacking

Newport County — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
C. Doidge16565 min00 /9000 /9011.4 /9011.4 /9000 /9000 /90
C. Brennan19090 min00 /9000 /9022 /9011 /9000 /9011 /90
H. Biggins19090 min00 /9011 /9011 /9000 /9022 /9011 /90
Y. Bamba19090 min11 /9011 /9022 /9011 /9011 /9011 /90
Shaquille Gwengwe18080 min11.1 /9000 /9011.1 /9011.1 /9011.1 /9000 /90
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Newport County — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newport County before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
H. Biggins n 889.5
1.37/2
0.94/2
C. Norman n 889.6
1.16/3
0.43/0
C. Brennan n 869.9
0.84/1
0.53/0
L. Jenkins n 868.9
0.85/0
0.53/0
T. Davies n 861.6
0.52/1
0.21/0
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Newport County — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newport County before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Norman n 889.6
0.32/0
0.32/0
H. Biggins n 889.5
0.32/0
0.32/0
L. Jenkins n 868.9
0.21/0
00/0
T. Davies n 861.6
0.21/0
00/0
J. Wright n 890
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Bristol RoversNewport County
64%Possession36%
3.25Expected goals (xG)0.71
26Shots8
9Shots on target3
9Shots off target5
8Blocked shots0
19Shots inside the box6
11Corners1
3Offsides5
6Fouls8
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Saves5
367Passes216
66%Pass accuracy47%

Bristol Rovers Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Brad Young9001001005.6
K. Balmer9000003006.7
R. Harbottle9000000106.2
B. Purrington9010211007
C. Mola90001101Y6.2
Keenan Gough9000002206.9
F. Cavegn9020640109.5
T. Leigh8700104107.2
T. James8501002106.6
S. Forde8500412006
B. Kamwa79103110Y7.5
R. Smallwood sub1500001006.3
R. Russell-Denny sub1501111006.7
E. Harrison sub1300001007.2
J. Aitchison sub1100000006.5

Newport County Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Wright9000000006.9
C. Norman9000001305.9
K. Cameron9000000306
L. Jenkins9000000205.5
C. Brennan90000005Y6.5
Shaquille Gwengwe9010210007
H. Biggins8910310007.3
Y. Bamba8500000206.3
T. Davies7400000205.9
C. Evans7400001206.9
C. Doidge7402102107.3
D. Sassi sub1600000005.9
Alfie Merritt sub1601101005.9
M. Smith sub1600000006.3
C. Jarvis sub1510110007.5
K. Patten sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Bristol Rovers v Newport County — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Bristol RoversWWDLL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Newport CountyLWWDW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Bristol Rovers 2 · 0 draws · Newport County 2 · 3.25 goals/game
  • 2026-01-31 Bristol Rovers 3–0 Newport County
  • 2025-09-06 Newport County 2–3 Bristol Rovers
  • 2022-03-05 Newport County 1–0 Bristol Rovers
  • 2021-10-23 Bristol Rovers 1–3 Newport County
League standing · 2026/27
Bristol Rovers#17 pos16 pts14 pl-6 GD
Newport County#14 pos18 pts14 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Bristol Rovers scored1.21
Newport County scored1.43
Bristol Rovers conceded1.64
Newport County conceded1.21

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Bristol Rovers v Newport County?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Bristol Rovers v Newport County was Home win (best price 1.70 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Bristol Rovers and Newport County?
In their last 4 meetings, Bristol Rovers won 2, Newport County won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.25 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Bristol Rovers and Newport County?
Recent form — Bristol Rovers 2W 1D 2L; Newport County 3W 1D 1L.

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