Cambridge UnitedNotts County

Cambridge United v Notts County result

Full-time · Cambridge United 4–0 Notts County

League Two ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Cambridge United · Notts County · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Cambridge United 4–0 Notts County — Cambridge United won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Cambridge United beat Notts County 4–0 in League Two on Saturday 11 April.

Cambridge United have conceded 33 goals, the fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games).

The goals

Cambridge United led 3–0 at half-time. The goals — Cambridge United: Dominic Ball (2’), Shayne Lavery (28’, assisted by Pelly Mpanzu) and James Gibbons (33’, assisted by Sulaiman Kaikai; 55’, assisted by Adam Mayor). Jake Eastwood (40’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Dominic Ball’s goal on 2 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Cambridge United 2.59, Notts County 0.49, from 13 shots to 8 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

B. Speedie showed two yellow cards and one red — against 3.1 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Notts County: Jacob Bedeau (37’) and B. Enoru (77’).

What it changes

Cambridge United stay third after this result (42 league matches played). Cambridge United have scored 66 goals, the eighth-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games).

Notts County move down from third to fourth (43 league matches played). Notts County have scored 74 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Notts County have conceded 52 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Cambridge United are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, James Gibbons (Cambridge United) 11.7, Sulaiman Kaikai (Cambridge United) 8.3 and Shayne Lavery (Cambridge United) 8.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Cambridge United or Notts County (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Cambridge United next travel to Luton on 14 November 2026.

Notts County next travel to Altrincham on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Cambridge United: Luton v Cambridge United, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Notts County: Altrincham v Notts County, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Cambridge United 4–0 Notts County · League Two
  • Referee: B. Speedie
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 5): Cambridge United 3 · draws 1 · Notts County 1 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Cambridge United 1W 3D 1L · Notts County 3W 0D 2L

Cambridge United 4–0 Notts County (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 2.38
Goals
against 0.63 / 1.5 · 0 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.5 / 5
Corners
against 3.25 / 4.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 5.38
Shots on target
against 1.38 / 3.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
0.75 / 2.63
Cards
against 1.63 / 2.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.14 yellows
Referee · B. Speedie
25 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 6 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameCambridge United for / againstLineNotts County for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 0.63 against n 8
2.5standard
2.38 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
6.5 for · 3.25 against n 8
9.5standard
5 for · 4.63 against n 8
Shots
12.13 for · 6.63 against n 8
19.5standard
12.5 for · 11.25 against n 8
Shots on target
3.75 for · 1.38 against n 8
8.5standard
5.38 for · 3.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.88 for · 9.5 against n 8
21.5standard
11.13 for · 11.75 against n 8
Cards shown
0.75 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
2.63 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: B. Speedie — 3.14 yellow cards a game, 0.14 red cards, 25 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Cambridge United

Cambridge United Goalkeeper

Cambridge United — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Eastwood45904050 min851.9 /90360.8 /9030.1 /90
Cambridge United — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cambridge United before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Eastwood n 890
0.92/2

Cambridge United Defensive

Cambridge United — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
L. Bennett37782876 min461.4 /90471.5 /9040.1 /902036.4 /90240.8 /9020.1 /90
M. Jobe35863003 min240.7 /90511.5 /90170.5 /902657.9 /90230.7 /9030.1 /90
J. Gibbons34812747 min501.6 /90351.1 /90100.3 /901625.3 /90220.7 /9050.2 /90
B. Purrington27641731 min392 /90251.3 /9030.2 /901236.4 /90221.1 /9040.2 /90
Z. Rossi582411 min51.1 /9051.1 /9061.3 /90306.6 /9030.7 /9000 /90
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Cambridge United — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cambridge United before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Eastwood n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
P. Mpanzu n 874.6
1.15/2
0.95/1
—
K. Watts n 890
0.43/0
0.43/0
—
J. Brophy n 869
1.14/2
1.57/2
—
S. Kaikai n 865.8
15/1
1.45/2
—
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Cambridge United — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cambridge United before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
P. Mpanzu n 874.6
0.84/1
K. Watts n 890
0.32/0
J. Brophy n 869
14/2
S. Kaikai n 865.8
1.96/3
L. Bennett n 882.4
1.57/3
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Cambridge United Attacking

Cambridge United — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
S. Kaikai41682801 min110.4 /9030.1 /90541.7 /90210.7 /90541.7 /90220.7 /90
L. Appéré37692539 min80.3 /9020.1 /90271 /90170.6 /90250.9 /90190.7 /90
S. Lavery2634895 min60.6 /9010.1 /90222.2 /90141.4 /90101 /9060.6 /90
P. Mpanzu44743274 min30.1 /9020.1 /90240.7 /9090.2 /90250.7 /90160.4 /90
J. Brophy42712961 min40.1 /9080.2 /90220.7 /90130.4 /90601.8 /90260.8 /90
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Cambridge United — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cambridge United before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Eastwood n 890
00/0
00/0
P. Mpanzu n 874.6
0.32/0
00/0
K. Watts n 890
0.31/1
0.11/0
J. Brophy n 869
0.72/2
0.52/1
S. Kaikai n 865.8
2.16/3
15/1
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Cambridge United — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cambridge United before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Eastwood n 890
00/0
00/0
P. Mpanzu n 874.6
00/0
0.21/0
K. Watts n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Brophy n 869
00/0
0.21/0
S. Kaikai n 865.8
0.53/0
00/0
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Notts County

Notts County Defensive

Notts County — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Notts County before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Bedeau n 888.4
1.46/3
0.53/1
—
Tom Iorpenda n 890
15/3
2.88/5
—
M. Dennis n 853.6
2.15/3
0.63/0
—
Nicholas Tsaroulla n 872.6
1.56/2
1.96/4
—
C. Grant n 861.5
0.94/1
1.67/2
—
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Notts County — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Notts County before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Bedeau n 888.4
1.76/4
Tom Iorpenda n 890
2.47/6
M. Dennis n 853.6
12/1
Nicholas Tsaroulla n 872.6
1.55/3
C. Grant n 861.5
1.66/3
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Notts County Attacking

Notts County — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Notts County before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Bedeau n 888.4
0.11/0
00/0
Tom Iorpenda n 890
0.64/1
0.43/0
M. Dennis n 853.6
1.34/2
14/1
Nicholas Tsaroulla n 872.6
0.53/0
0.32/0
C. Grant n 861.5
1.55/3
1.14/2
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Notts County — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Notts County before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Bedeau n 888.4
00/0
00/0
Tom Iorpenda n 890
0.11/0
0.32/0
M. Dennis n 853.6
0.21/0
00/0
Nicholas Tsaroulla n 872.6
00/0
00/0
C. Grant n 861.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Cambridge UnitedNotts County
29%Possession71%
2.59Expected goals (xG)0.49
13Shots8
6Shots on target0
2Shots off target7
5Blocked shots1
11Shots inside the box6
4Corners4
2Offsides1
6Fouls15
0Yellow cards2
1Red cards0
0Saves2
182Passes458
48%Pass accuracy83%

Cambridge United Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Bennett9000000106.9
J. Gibbons9020220209
M. Jobe9000100007.3
K. Watts9000002007.2
D. Ball9010110307.6
P. Mpanzu9001001107.3
A. Mayor8301101207.9
S. Kaikai8301002407.5
S. Lavery6410330208
B. Knight4200001007
J. Eastwood40000000R5.3
Ben Hughes sub4800000006.7
L. Appéré sub2600000005.9
B. Purrington sub1200000006.6
K. Smith sub1200000106.7

Notts County Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Belshaw9000000006.5
L. Ness9000000305.6
M. Palmer9000001107.2
K. Bennetts9000200206.5
Tom Iorpenda9000000206.6
L. Ndlovu9000300005.6
O. Norburn6500000006.9
J. Bedeau58000010Y5.6
Maziar Kouhyar5800000206.2
L. Macari4500000105.9
C. Grant4500000406.9
J. Luker sub4500000005.9
M. Dennis sub4500100006.2
B. Enoru sub32001000Y6.3
L. Browne sub3200000007.2
T. Hall sub2500002106.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Cambridge United v Notts County — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Cambridge UnitedDWLDD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 0.6 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Notts CountyWLWLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 5
Cambridge United 3 · 1 draw · Notts County 1 · 3 goals/game
  • 2025-10-25 Notts County 2–0 Cambridge United
  • 2019-01-12 Notts County 0–1 Cambridge United
  • 2018-08-11 Cambridge United 3–2 Notts County
  • 2018-02-20 Cambridge United 1–0 Notts County
  • 2017-12-23 Notts County 3–3 Cambridge United
League standing · 2025/26
Cambridge United#3 pos82 pts46 pl+33 GD
Notts County#5 pos80 pts46 pl+22 GD
Goals per game
Cambridge United scored1.43
Notts County scored1.61
Cambridge United conceded0.72
Notts County conceded1.13

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Cambridge United v Notts County?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Cambridge United v Notts County was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Cambridge United and Notts County?
In their last 5 meetings, Cambridge United won 3, Notts County won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Cambridge United and Notts County?
Recent form — Cambridge United 1W 3D 1L; Notts County 3W 0D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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