Carlisle v AFC Wimbledon result
Team pages: Carlisle · AFC Wimbledon
Carlisle 1–2 AFC Wimbledon — AFC Wimbledon won this League Two match.
The result
AFC Wimbledon won 2–1 at Brunton Park in League Two on Saturday 15 March.
AFC Wimbledon have conceded 35 goals, the fewest of the 24 clubs (2024/25 so far, after 49 games, ranked per game).
The goals
AFC Wimbledon led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — AFC Wimbledon: Callum Maycock (2’, assisted by Alistair Smith) and Alistair Smith (49’, assisted by Josh Neufville); Carlisle: Matthew Dennis (67’, assisted by K. Harris).
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Carlisle 0.00, AFC Wimbledon 0.00, from 10 shots to 10 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
M. Woods showed three yellow cards — against 3.7 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Carlisle: Samuel Lavelle (90+1’); AFC Wimbledon: J. Furlong (15’) and S. Hutchinson (87’).
What it changes
Carlisle have scored 44 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2024/25 so far, after 46 games, ranked per game). Carlisle have conceded 71 goals, the third-most of the 24 clubs.
AFC Wimbledon have scored 59 goals, the 12th-fewest of the 24 clubs (2024/25 so far, after 49 games, ranked per game).
Carlisle are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Alistair Smith (AFC Wimbledon) 9.1, Callum Maycock (AFC Wimbledon) 7.5 and Josh Neufville (AFC Wimbledon) 7.1 led the match.
Next up
Carlisle next host Boston United on 14 November 2026.
AFC Wimbledon next host Blackpool on 14 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Carlisle: Carlisle v Boston United, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for AFC Wimbledon: AFC Wimbledon v Blackpool, Saturday 14 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Carlisle 1–2 AFC Wimbledon · League Two
- Venue: Brunton Park · Carlisle, Cumbria
- Referee: M. Woods
- Head-to-head (last 3): Carlisle 1 · draws 1 · AFC Wimbledon 1 · 2.33 goals/game
- Recent form: Carlisle 1W 3D 1L · AFC Wimbledon 1W 1D 3L
Carlisle 1–2 AFC Wimbledon (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 May 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 March 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Carlisle for / against | Line | AFC Wimbledon for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 0.5 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.2 for · 6.8 against n 5 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.2 for · 5.8 against n 5 Last 5 |
| Shots | 9.8 for · 16.8 against n 5 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11.4 for · 11.2 against n 5 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.6 for · 6.4 against n 5 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.2 for · 2.6 against n 5 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11 for · 11.8 against n 5 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 15 for · 8.4 against n 5 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 3 for · 1.4 against n 5 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.6 for · 2.4 against n 5 Last 5 |
Referee: M. Woods — 3.67 yellow cards a game, 0.33 red cards, 21.67 fouls over 6 matches.
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Carlisle
Carlisle Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Lavelle n 8 | 89.9 | 1.4 | 0.6 | — |
| C. Harper n 8 | 67 | 0.3 | 0.7 | — |
| J. Mellish n 8 | 86.5 | 0.3 | 1.3 | — |
| D. Sadi n 8 | 83.3 | 1.5 | 1.9 | — |
| G. Breeze n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.9 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| S. Lavelle n 8 | 89.9 | 2.5 |
| C. Harper n 8 | 67 | 2 |
| J. Mellish n 8 | 86.5 | 1.3 |
| D. Sadi n 8 | 83.3 | 3.2 |
| G. Breeze n 8 | 90 | 0 |
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Carlisle Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| S. Lavelle n 8 | 89.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| C. Harper n 8 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Mellish n 8 | 86.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| D. Sadi n 8 | 83.3 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| G. Breeze n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| S. Lavelle n 8 | 89.9 | 0.1 | 0 |
| C. Harper n 8 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Mellish n 8 | 86.5 | 0 | 0.1 |
| D. Sadi n 8 | 83.3 | 0.1 | 0 |
| G. Breeze n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
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AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Goodman n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| J. Neufville n 8 | 84.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | — |
| M. Stevens n 8 | 77.8 | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| A. Smith n 8 | 86.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | — |
| I. Ogundere n 8 | 89 | 0.6 | 1.1 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| O. Goodman n 8 | 90 | 0.1 |
| J. Neufville n 8 | 84.3 | 1.7 |
| M. Stevens n 8 | 77.8 | 1.2 |
| A. Smith n 8 | 86.3 | 1.2 |
| I. Ogundere n 8 | 89 | 2.5 |
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AFC Wimbledon Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| O. Goodman n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Neufville n 8 | 84.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| M. Stevens n 8 | 77.8 | 1 | 0.4 |
| A. Smith n 8 | 86.3 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| I. Ogundere n 8 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| O. Goodman n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Neufville n 8 | 84.3 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Stevens n 8 | 77.8 | 0.4 | 0 |
| A. Smith n 8 | 86.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| I. Ogundere n 8 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
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Match Statistics & Details
| Carlisle | AFC Wimbledon | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% | Possession | 40% |
| 10 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 3 | Shots off target | 3 |
| 4 | Blocked shots | 0 |
| 6 | Shots inside the box | 8 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 2 | Offsides | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 5 | Saves | 2 |
| 496 | Passes | 345 |
| 78% | Pass accuracy | 65% |
Carlisle Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Breeze | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| A. Davies | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| S. Lavelle | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Y | 7.2 |
| T. Thomas | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| C. Harper | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7.3 |
| K. Harris | 90 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Jordan Jones | 86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| M. Dennis | 86 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| J. Vela | 66 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| C. Guy | 66 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Bevan | 54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.3 |
| C. Scott sub | 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| C. Whelan sub | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| S. Wearne sub | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| E. Embleton sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| G. Kelly sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
AFC Wimbledon Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Goodman | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| S. Hutchinson | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.7 |
| J. Lewis | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| R. Johnson | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Neufville | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7.7 |
| J. Reeves | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| A. Smith | 90 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8.2 |
| Omar Bugiel | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| M. Stevens | 79 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| C. Maycock | 66 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7.9 |
| J. Furlong | 65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Y | 6.3 |
| I. Ogundere sub | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| M. Hippolyte sub | 24 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| J. Kelly sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Carlisle v AFC Wimbledon — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2024-10-12 AFC Wimbledon 4–0 Carlisle
- 2023-02-11 AFC Wimbledon 0–0 Carlisle
- 2022-09-17 Carlisle 2–1 AFC Wimbledon
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Carlisle and AFC Wimbledon?
- In their last 3 meetings, Carlisle won 1, AFC Wimbledon won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Carlisle and AFC Wimbledon?
- Recent form — Carlisle 1W 3D 1L; AFC Wimbledon 1W 1D 3L.
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