CarlisleGrimsby

Carlisle v Grimsby result

Full-time · Carlisle 2–3 Grimsby

League Two · · Brunton Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Carlisle · Grimsby · Head-to-head

Carlisle 2–3 Grimsby — Grimsby won this League Two match.

Match report, in numbers

The result

Grimsby won 3–2 at Brunton Park in League Two on Saturday 28 September. It is Grimsby’s first win over Carlisle since 22 April 2019, after five meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

Grimsby came from behind: Carlisle led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Carlisle: Samuel Lavelle (12’, assisted by C. Harper) and D. Sadi (27’, assisted by A. Davies); Grimsby: Luca Barrington (24’, assisted by D. Hume), L. Cass (81’, assisted by D. Hume) and Harvey Rodgers (90’, assisted by C. Ainley).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Carlisle 0.00, Grimsby 0.00, from 11 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

S. Stockbridge showed three yellow cards — against 3.7 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Carlisle: J. Vela (55’), D. Sadi (58’) and B. Barclay (61’).

What it changes

Carlisle have scored 44 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2024/25 so far, after 46 games, ranked per game). Carlisle have conceded 71 goals, the third-most of the 24 clubs.

Grimsby have scored 61 goals, the 10th-most of the 24 clubs (2024/25 so far, after 46 games, ranked per game). Grimsby have conceded 67 goals, the sixth-most of the 24 clubs.

With five goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 8, across 12 matches. Carlisle have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. Grimsby have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, D. Hume (Grimsby) 10.3, Samuel Lavelle (Carlisle) 7.9 and Harvey Rodgers (Grimsby) 7.9 led the match.

Head-to-head

Carlisle are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Grimsby.

Next up

Carlisle next host Boston United on 14 November 2026.

Grimsby next travel to Stafford Rangers on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Carlisle: Carlisle v Boston United, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Grimsby: Stafford Rangers v Grimsby, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Carlisle 2–3 Grimsby · League Two
  • Venue: Brunton Park · Carlisle, Cumbria
  • Referee: S. Stockbridge
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Carlisle 2 · draws 3 · Grimsby 1 · 1.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Carlisle 1W 0D 4L · Grimsby 2W 0D 3L

Carlisle 2–3 Grimsby (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 May 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1.38
Goals
against 2 / 2.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5 / 5.17
Corners
against 4.71 / 6 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 6 matches
3.86 / 4
Shots on target
against 4.29 / 4.17 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 6 matches
2.29 / 2.67
Cards
against 2.14 / 3.17 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 6 matches
3.71 yellows
Referee · S. Stockbridge
23.57 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 7 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 September 2024. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 21 September 2024. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameCarlisle for / againstLineGrimsby for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 2 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 2.13 against n 8
Corners won
5 for · 4.71 against n 7
9.5standard
5.17 for · 6 against n 6
Shots
11.71 for · 13.14 against n 7
19.5standard
11.33 for · 13 against n 6
Shots on target
3.86 for · 4.29 against n 7
8.5standard
4 for · 4.17 against n 6
Fouls committed
11.14 for · 12.57 against n 7
21.5standard
11.83 for · 12 against n 6
Cards shown
2.29 for · 2.14 against n 7
3.5standard
2.67 for · 3.17 against n 6

Referee: S. Stockbridge — 3.71 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 23.57 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Carlisle

Carlisle Defensive

Carlisle — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carlisle before kick-off, to 21 September 2024. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Mellish n 890
0.83/3
15/2
—
H. Lewis n 890
0.11/0
0.32/0
—
A. Davies n 886.3
17/1
1.67/4
E. Khouri
C. Wyke n 882.5
13/2
1.88/4
—
J. Vela n 869.3
1.35/3
0.53/0
E. Khouri
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Carlisle — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carlisle before kick-off, to 21 September 2024. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Mellish n 890
1.97/4
H. Lewis n 890
00/0
A. Davies n 886.3
2.68/5
C. Wyke n 882.5
14/2
J. Vela n 869.3
2.47/6
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Carlisle Attacking

Carlisle — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carlisle before kick-off, to 21 September 2024. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Mellish n 890
0.85/1
0.42/1
H. Lewis n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Davies n 886.3
0.74/1
0.32/0
C. Wyke n 882.5
1.46/4
0.31/1
J. Vela n 869.3
1.16/1
0.32/0
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Carlisle — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carlisle before kick-off, to 21 September 2024. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Mellish n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
H. Lewis n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Davies n 886.3
0.11/0
00/0
C. Wyke n 882.5
0.31/1
00/0
J. Vela n 869.3
00/0
00/0
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Grimsby

Grimsby Defensive

Grimsby — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 21 September 2024. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. McJannet n 890
15/3
0.63/2
—
H. Rodgers n 890
0.93/2
1.16/3
—
E. Khouri n 887.1
0.94/2
1.87/3
J. Vela
G. McEachran n 884.4
1.56/4
2.48/6
—
K. Green n 879.8
2.57/6
1.65/3
—
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Grimsby — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 21 September 2024. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. McJannet n 890
1.46/4
H. Rodgers n 890
0.82/1
E. Khouri n 887.1
2.88/8
G. McEachran n 884.4
4.48/8
K. Green n 879.8
17/0
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Grimsby Attacking

Grimsby — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 21 September 2024. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
H. Rodgers n 890
0.83/2
0.42/1
C. McJannet n 890
0.42/1
0.11/0
E. Khouri n 887.1
0.53/1
0.11/0
G. McEachran n 884.4
0.11/0
00/0
K. Green n 879.8
1.45/3
0.73/1
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Grimsby — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 21 September 2024. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
H. Rodgers n 890
0.11/0
00/0
C. McJannet n 890
0.11/0
00/0
E. Khouri n 887.1
00/0
0.11/0
G. McEachran n 884.4
00/0
00/0
K. Green n 879.8
0.11/0
0.32/0
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Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CarlisleGrimsby
59%Possession41%
11Shots12
4Shots on target6
3Shots off target3
4Blocked shots3
7Shots inside the box9
5Corners4
12Fouls17
3Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
3Saves2
473Passes331
82%Pass accuracy75%

Carlisle Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
H. Lewis9000000006.9
B. Barclay90000020Y7.2
S. Lavelle9010110107.6
C. Harper9001001006.9
A. Davies9001001106.7
J. Vela90001011Y6.6
Jordan Jones9000100306.9
L. Armstrong9000001206.9
C. Wyke9000001206.9
H. Biggins8700000207.3
D. Sadi87104302Y7.3
T. Thomas sub800000006.5
J. Mellish sub800000006.3

Grimsby Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
H. Rodgers9010110107.7
C. McJannet9000000006.6
D. Hume9002007208.7
G. McEachran9000000606.9
E. Khouri9000100106.9
D. Rose9000110006.7
D. Tharme8000000106.3
D. Wilson7900111005.6
Luca Barrington6810211207.7
T. Warren4500001006.2
J. Eastwood1600000006.5
S. Auton sub7400000006.7
L. Cass sub4510110107.9
C. Ainley sub2201001006.9
J. Svanþórsson sub1100001006.6
Cameron Gardner sub1000210106.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Carlisle v Grimsby — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CarlisleLLLLW
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1.2 scored / 2 conceded per game
GrimsbyLWLLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Carlisle 2 · 3 draws · Grimsby 1 · 1.67 goals/game
  • 2023-03-04 Carlisle 2–0 Grimsby
  • 2022-09-27 Grimsby 1–2 Carlisle
  • 2021-03-09 Carlisle 1–1 Grimsby
  • 2020-10-24 Grimsby 1–1 Carlisle
  • 2019-12-14 Carlisle 0–0 Grimsby
  • 2019-04-22 Grimsby 1–0 Carlisle
League standing · 2024/25
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
Carlisle#23 pos42 pts46 pl-27 GD
Grimsby#9 pos68 pts46 pl-6 GD
Goals per game
Carlisle scored0.96
Grimsby scored1.33
Carlisle conceded1.54
Grimsby conceded1.46

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Carlisle and Grimsby?
In their last 6 meetings, Carlisle won 2, Grimsby won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Carlisle and Grimsby?
Recent form — Carlisle 1W 0D 4L; Grimsby 2W 0D 3L.

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