CheltenhamCarlisle

Cheltenham v Carlisle result

Full-time · Cheltenham 3–2 Carlisle

League Two ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Cheltenham · Carlisle · Head-to-head

Cheltenham 3–2 Carlisle — Cheltenham won this League Two match.

Match report, in numbers

The result

Cheltenham beat Carlisle 3–2 in League Two on Saturday 26 April. Carlisle have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Cheltenham led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Carlisle: Matthew Dennis (29’, assisted by S. Wearne) and G. Kelly (73’, assisted by E. Embleton); Cheltenham: Jordan Thomas (33’ pen), Ashley Hay (45’, assisted by Ethon Archer) and George Miller (90+3’, assisted by M. Taylor).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Cheltenham 0.00, Carlisle 0.00, from 21 shots to 14 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

T. Nield showed four yellow cards — against 3.4 yellows a game across the last 14 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Cheltenham: Arkelle Nicholas Cecil Jude-Boyd (81’); Carlisle: Matthew Dennis (6’), Gabriel Breeze (32’) and A. Hayden (33’).

What it changes

Cheltenham have scored 60 goals, the 11th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2024/25 so far, after 46 games, ranked per game). Cheltenham have conceded 70 goals, the fourth-most of the 24 clubs.

Carlisle have scored 44 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2024/25 so far, after 46 games, ranked per game). Carlisle have conceded 71 goals, the third-most of the 24 clubs.

Cheltenham are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jordan Thomas (Cheltenham) 15.1, Ethon Archer (Cheltenham) 8.5 and G. Kelly (Carlisle) 7.0 led the match.

Next up

Cheltenham next travel to Exeter City on 14 November 2026.

Carlisle next host Boston United on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Cheltenham: Exeter City v Cheltenham, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Carlisle: Carlisle v Boston United, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Cheltenham 3–2 Carlisle · League Two
  • Referee: T. Nield
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Cheltenham 4 · draws 1 · Carlisle 1 · 1.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Cheltenham 2W 1D 2L · Carlisle 3W 1D 1L

Cheltenham 3–2 Carlisle (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 May 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.75 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.29 / 5.25
Corners
against 6.29 / 7.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 4 matches
2.57 / 5.5
Shots on target
against 5.14 / 8.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 4 matches
2.43 / 2.5
Cards
against 1.14 / 1.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 4 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 April 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 21 April 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameCheltenham for / againstLineCarlisle for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.5standard
1.75 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
5.29 for · 6.29 against n 7
9.5standard
5.25 for · 7.75 against n 4
Shots
9.29 for · 16.29 against n 7
19.5standard
12.25 for · 19 against n 4
Shots on target
2.57 for · 5.14 against n 7
8.5standard
5.5 for · 8.5 against n 4
Fouls committed
12.57 for · 12.86 against n 7
21.5standard
9.5 for · 8.5 against n 4
Cards shown
2.43 for · 1.14 against n 7
3.5standard
2.5 for · 1.5 against n 4

Referee: T. Nield.

Cheltenham

Cheltenham Defensive

Cheltenham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 21 April 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Archer n 884.3
0.52/2
1.56/3
—
S. Stubbs n 890
1.56/4
1.15/2
C. Harper
T. Bradbury n 879.1
1.35/2
0.74/1
T. Thomas
J. Thomas n 888.6
1.36/3
28/5
—
L. Young n 882.8
1.25/3
0.84/1
—
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Cheltenham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 21 April 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Archer n 884.3
1.67/3
S. Stubbs n 890
28/5
T. Bradbury n 879.1
0.95/1
J. Thomas n 888.6
3.68/8
L. Young n 882.8
1.46/2
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Cheltenham Attacking

Cheltenham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 21 April 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Archer n 884.3
0.42/1
0.11/0
S. Stubbs n 890
0.43/0
0.32/0
T. Bradbury n 879.1
00/0
00/0
J. Thomas n 888.6
1.48/2
0.86/0
L. Young n 882.8
0.74/1
0.32/0
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Cheltenham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 21 April 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Archer n 884.3
0.11/0
00/0
S. Stubbs n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
T. Bradbury n 879.1
00/0
00/0
J. Thomas n 888.6
0.43/0
00/0
L. Young n 882.8
00/0
00/0
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Carlisle

Carlisle Defensive

Carlisle — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carlisle before kick-off, to 21 April 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Lavelle n 884.4
1.25/3
0.43/0
—
C. Harper n 889.6
0.42/1
0.54/0
S. Stubbs
G. Breeze n 890
00/0
0.64/1
—
T. Thomas n 890
0.94/2
14/2
T. Bradbury
K. Harris n 890
0.65/0
1.66/5
—
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Carlisle — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carlisle before kick-off, to 21 April 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Lavelle n 884.4
25/5
C. Harper n 889.6
1.34/3
G. Breeze n 890
00/0
T. Thomas n 890
2.48/7
K. Harris n 890
1.56/4
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Carlisle Attacking

Carlisle — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carlisle before kick-off, to 21 April 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Lavelle n 884.4
0.53/1
0.11/0
C. Harper n 889.6
0.42/1
0.32/0
G. Breeze n 890
00/0
00/0
T. Thomas n 890
0.54/0
0.32/0
K. Harris n 890
1.14/3
0.63/2
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Carlisle — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Carlisle before kick-off, to 21 April 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Lavelle n 884.4
00/0
00/0
C. Harper n 889.6
00/0
00/0
G. Breeze n 890
00/0
00/0
T. Thomas n 890
0.11/0
00/0
K. Harris n 890
0.11/0
00/0
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Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CheltenhamCarlisle
44%Possession56%
21Shots14
8Shots on target4
6Shots off target6
7Blocked shots4
16Shots inside the box10
6Corners7
1Offsides0
10Fouls17
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
2Saves5
247Passes322
64%Pass accuracy69%

Cheltenham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Day9000000006.9
Arkelle Nicholas Cecil Jude-Boyd90000010Y6.5
S. Stubbs9000100306.9
L. Kinsella9000000406.6
J. Thomas9010215408.9
E. Archer9001102307.7
T. Bradbury7800000106.7
Ashley Hay7810540007.9
R. Haynes5900001106.9
Tommy Backwell5900000206.9
L. Dulson5900112006.6
D. Power sub3100001206.7
T. Dieng sub3100103107
G. Miller sub3110111007.3
I. Bakare sub1200001006.9
M. Taylor sub1201211008.2

Carlisle Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
G. Breeze90000000Y6.2
A. Hayden90000000Y7.2
T. Thomas9000000106.9
C. Whelan9000001206.5
K. Harris9000200306
M. Dennis90102102Y6.7
G. Kelly9010420207.2
C. Harper7900002206.9
S. Fusire7900000006.6
J. Ellis6800000406.7
S. Wearne6800213207.5
J. Vela sub2200000206.2
E. Embleton sub2201003107.2
P. Dummett sub1100000006.9
J. Hugill sub1100000006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Cheltenham v Carlisle — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CheltenhamLLWDW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
CarlisleLWWWD
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Cheltenham 4 · 1 draw · Carlisle 1 · 1.5 goals/game
  • 2024-10-26 Carlisle 0–1 Cheltenham
  • 2024-04-09 Cheltenham 0–1 Carlisle
  • 2023-12-23 Carlisle 0–1 Cheltenham
  • 2021-04-27 Cheltenham 1–1 Carlisle
  • 2020-11-14 Carlisle 1–2 Cheltenham
  • 2020-02-11 Carlisle 0–1 Cheltenham
League standing · 2024/25
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
Cheltenham#15 pos60 pts46 pl-10 GD
Carlisle#23 pos42 pts46 pl-27 GD
Goals per game
Cheltenham scored1.3
Carlisle scored0.96
Cheltenham conceded1.52
Carlisle conceded1.54

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Cheltenham and Carlisle?
In their last 6 meetings, Cheltenham won 4, Carlisle won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Cheltenham and Carlisle?
Recent form — Cheltenham 2W 1D 2L; Carlisle 3W 1D 1L.

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