CheltenhamGrimsby

Cheltenham v Grimsby result

Full-time · Cheltenham 2–2 Grimsby

League Two · · Whaddon Road

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Cheltenham 2–2 Grimsby — this League Two match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.30 at William Hill
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Cheltenham and Grimsby drew 2–2 at Whaddon Road in League Two on Saturday 5 September. Cheltenham have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Cheltenham led 2–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Cheltenham: Charlie McCann (12’, assisted by Jake Evans) and Andreas Weimann (41’ pen); Grimsby: Mark Shelton (47’, assisted by Harvey Rodgers) and Kieran Green (82’, assisted by Jayden Sweeney).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Kieran Green’s goal on 82 minutes.

Discipline

D. Baines showed two yellow cards — against 3.5 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Cheltenham: Jonathan Tomkinson (28’); Grimsby: Kieran Green (79’).

What it changes

Cheltenham move down from fifth to sixth (five league matches played). Cheltenham have scored 10 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Cheltenham have conceded nine goals, the fourth-most of the 24 clubs.

Grimsby move down from eighth to ninth (five league matches played). Grimsby have scored seven goals, the 11th-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Grimsby have conceded six goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Cheltenham are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Grimsby are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Andreas Weimann (Cheltenham) 6.8, Jake Evans (Cheltenham) 6.0 and Jayden Sweeney (Grimsby) 5.8 led the match.

Head-to-head

Grimsby are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Cheltenham, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Cheltenham or Grimsby (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

Cheltenham next travel to Exeter City on 14 November 2026.

Grimsby next travel to Stafford Rangers on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Cheltenham: Exeter City v Cheltenham, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Grimsby: Stafford Rangers v Grimsby, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Cheltenham 2–2 Grimsby · League Two
  • Venue: Whaddon Road · Cheltenham
  • Referee: D. Baines
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Cheltenham 0 · draws 2 · Grimsby 4 · 3.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Cheltenham 2W 1D 2L · Grimsby 1W 3D 1L

Cheltenham 2–2 Grimsby (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.25
Goals
against 2.63 / 1.38 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
5 / 7
Corners
against 3.88 / 4.29 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.5 / 4.57
Shots on target
against 5.38 / 3.14 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.5 / 1
Cards
against 1.13 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 1 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCheltenham for / againstLineGrimsby for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 2.63 against n 8
2.75our book
1.25 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
5 for · 3.88 against n 8
9.5standard
7 for · 4.29 against n 7
Shots
10.75 for · 13.63 against n 8
19.5standard
15.14 for · 10.29 against n 7
Shots on target
3.5 for · 5.38 against n 8
8.5standard
4.57 for · 3.14 against n 7
Fouls committed
11.25 for · 10 against n 8
21.5standard
11.29 for · 10.71 against n 7
Cards shown
1.5 for · 1.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1 for · 2 against n 7

Referee: D. Baines.

Cheltenham

Cheltenham Goalkeeper

Cheltenham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
W. Stanway578390 min112.5 /9071.6 /9000 /90
J. Day16565 min34.2 /9034.2 /9000 /90
Cheltenham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
W. Stanway n 578
2.53/3
J. Day n 886.9
2.66/6

Cheltenham Defensive

Cheltenham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Tomkinson591455 min112.2 /9071.4 /9010.2 /90275.3 /9040.8 /9020.4 /90
R. Cundy591455 min71.4 /9071.4 /9051 /90428.3 /9020.4 /9000 /90
J. Tomlinson577385 min20.5 /9030.7 /9010.2 /90163.7 /9040.9 /9010.2 /90
P. Sweeney480320 min20.6 /9010.3 /9030.8 /90123.4 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90
G. Nurse375226 min31.2 /9031.2 /9020.8 /90135.2 /9020.8 /9000 /90
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Cheltenham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Tomkinson n 890.1
14/4
0.64/1
J. Sweeney
R. Cundy n 884.6
0.43/0
0.54/0
C. McJannet
C. McCann n 590.8
1.65/3
0.21/0
—
W. Stanway n 578
00/0
00/0
—
J. Tomlinson n 577
0.93/1
1.22/2
H. Rodgers
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Cheltenham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Tomkinson n 890.1
2.47/4
R. Cundy n 884.6
1.14/3
C. McCann n 590.8
1.85/2
J. Tomlinson n 577
0.52/0
B. Stevenson n 881.1
1.86/4
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Cheltenham Attacking

Cheltenham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Weimann451204 min00 /9010.4 /9020.9 /9010.4 /9041.8 /9000 /90
J. Bickerstaff42289 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9022 /9033 /90
K. Otchere350151 min00 /9000 /9021.2 /9010.6 /9000 /9000 /90
G. Miller16565 min11.4 /9000 /9011.4 /9011.4 /9000 /9000 /90
C. McCann591454 min30.6 /9000 /9081.6 /9051 /9081.6 /9000 /90
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Cheltenham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Cundy n 884.6
0.43/0
0.11/0
J. Tomkinson n 890.1
0.11/0
00/0
C. McCann n 590.8
1.64/2
13/2
W. Stanway n 578
00/0
00/0
J. Tomlinson n 577
1.44/1
0.93/1
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Cheltenham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Cundy n 884.6
00/0
0.32/0
J. Tomkinson n 890.1
00/0
00/0
C. McCann n 590.8
0.63/0
00/0
W. Stanway n 578
00/0
00/0
J. Tomlinson n 577
00/0
0.21/0
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Grimsby

Grimsby Goalkeeper

Grimsby — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
C. Pym581405 min92 /9061.3 /9000 /90
S. Auton14545 min12 /9012 /9000 /90
Grimsby — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Pym n 884.4
1.24/0

Grimsby Defensive

Grimsby — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. McJannet590450 min81.6 /9071.4 /9000 /90367.2 /9061.2 /9020.4 /90
H. Rodgers590450 min40.8 /9010.2 /9020.4 /90295.8 /9020.4 /9010.2 /90
J. Sweeney590450 min204 /9071.4 /9020.4 /90397.8 /9051 /9010.2 /90
M. Kacurri590450 min61.2 /9071.4 /9030.6 /90357 /9091.8 /9010.2 /90
G. Turi590449 min173.4 /9081.6 /9000 /90316.2 /9040.8 /9000 /90
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Grimsby — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. McJannet n 890
1.16/1
0.85/1
R. Cundy
M. Kacurri n 890
1.14/3
0.42/1
—
J. Sweeney n 880.4
13/2
16/1
J. Tomkinson
H. Rodgers n 886.4
0.43/0
0.84/1
J. Tomlinson
G. Turi n 888.3
0.84/1
0.95/2
—
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Grimsby — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Sweeney n 880.4
3.47/6
C. McJannet n 890
1.65/4
M. Kacurri n 890
1.57/3
H. Rodgers n 886.4
1.26/3
G. Turi n 888.3
2.87/5
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Grimsby Attacking

Grimsby — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Cook583414 min20.4 /9000 /90132.8 /9071.5 /9061.3 /9030.7 /90
Iwan Morgan530152 min00 /9000 /9063.6 /9021.2 /9021.2 /90127.1 /90
J. Andrews21631 min00 /9000 /9025.8 /9000 /9012.9 /9000 /90
G. Turi590449 min00 /9020.4 /9000 /9000 /9061.2 /9051 /90
K. Green583416 min00 /9020.4 /9010.2 /9000 /9091.9 /9000 /90
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Grimsby — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
H. Rodgers n 886.4
0.94/2
0.42/1
C. McJannet n 890
0.84/2
0.42/1
J. Sweeney n 880.4
0.75/0
0.11/0
M. Kacurri n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
G. Turi n 888.3
0.11/0
00/0
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Grimsby — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
H. Rodgers n 886.4
0.32/0
00/0
M. Kacurri n 890
0.11/0
00/0
C. McJannet n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Sweeney n 880.4
00/0
00/0
G. Turi n 888.3
00/0
0.32/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CheltenhamGrimsby
42%Possession58%
8Shots13
4Shots on target4
4Shots off target6
0Blocked shots3
4Shots inside the box10
3Corners7
1Offsides1
8Fouls10
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Saves2
348Passes487

Cheltenham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
W. Stanway9000000006
J. Tomkinson90000003Y5.5
R. Cundy9000100006
P. Sweeney9000000006.2
B. Stevenson9000100106.3
C. McCann9010110207.2
J. Tomlinson8600111206.4
S. McWilliams8600001106.1
J. Shipley7200000205.8
J. Evans6401101006.8
A. Weimann6410111107.2
F. Willcox2600100005.7
J. Bickerstaff2600110006.8
G. Nurse1800000005.9
J. Wilson400000006.1
K. Otchere400000006.4

Grimsby Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
G. Turi9000201106.7
J. Sweeney9001002106.7
H. Rodgers9001101106.5
C. McJannet9000000006.8
M. Kacurri9000000206.6
K. Green90101100Y6.5
D. Harrington9000000006.2
Iwan Morgan6900101006.3
S. Finch6900000106.4
C. Vernam4500102206.1
A. Cook4500320006.1
Cian Doyle4500002006
M. Shelton4510211007
Ryley Reynolds2100000006
F. Cartwright2100200106.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Cheltenham v Grimsby — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CheltenhamLWLDW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 2 conceded per game
GrimsbyLWDDD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Cheltenham 0 · 2 draws · Grimsby 4 · 3.83 goals/game
  • 2026-01-24 Cheltenham 0–2 Grimsby
  • 2025-09-27 Grimsby 7–1 Cheltenham
  • 2025-03-01 Cheltenham 1–1 Grimsby
  • 2024-08-17 Grimsby 3–2 Cheltenham
  • 2021-04-05 Grimsby 1–1 Cheltenham
  • 2020-10-13 Cheltenham 1–3 Grimsby
League standing · 2026/27
Cheltenham#5 pos21 pts14 pl-2 GD
Grimsby#6 pos20 pts14 pl+6 GD
Goals per game
Cheltenham scored1.64
Grimsby scored1.71
Cheltenham conceded1.79
Grimsby conceded1.29

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Cheltenham v Grimsby?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Cheltenham v Grimsby was Home or Away (best price 1.30 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between Cheltenham and Grimsby?
In their last 6 meetings, Cheltenham won 0, Grimsby won 4 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Cheltenham and Grimsby?
Recent form — Cheltenham 2W 1D 2L; Grimsby 1W 3D 1L.

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