Cheltenham v Grimsby result
Team pages: Cheltenham · Grimsby · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Cheltenham 2–2 Grimsby — this League Two match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
The result
Cheltenham and Grimsby drew 2–2 at Whaddon Road in League Two on Saturday 5 September. Cheltenham have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.
The goals
Cheltenham led 2–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Cheltenham: Charlie McCann (12’, assisted by Jake Evans) and Andreas Weimann (41’ pen); Grimsby: Mark Shelton (47’, assisted by Harvey Rodgers) and Kieran Green (82’, assisted by Jayden Sweeney).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Kieran Green’s goal on 82 minutes.
Discipline
D. Baines showed two yellow cards — against 3.5 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Cheltenham: Jonathan Tomkinson (28’); Grimsby: Kieran Green (79’).
What it changes
Cheltenham move down from fifth to sixth (five league matches played). Cheltenham have scored 10 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Cheltenham have conceded nine goals, the fourth-most of the 24 clubs.
Grimsby move down from eighth to ninth (five league matches played). Grimsby have scored seven goals, the 11th-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Grimsby have conceded six goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Cheltenham are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Grimsby are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Andreas Weimann (Cheltenham) 6.8, Jake Evans (Cheltenham) 6.0 and Jayden Sweeney (Grimsby) 5.8 led the match.
Head-to-head
Grimsby are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Cheltenham, every meeting checked.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Cheltenham or Grimsby (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).
Next up
Cheltenham next travel to Exeter City on 14 November 2026.
Grimsby next travel to Stafford Rangers on 8 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Cheltenham: Exeter City v Cheltenham, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Grimsby: Stafford Rangers v Grimsby, Sunday 8 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Cheltenham 2–2 Grimsby · League Two
- Venue: Whaddon Road · Cheltenham
- Referee: D. Baines
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Cheltenham 0 · draws 2 · Grimsby 4 · 3.83 goals/game
- Recent form: Cheltenham 2W 1D 2L · Grimsby 1W 3D 1L
Cheltenham 2–2 Grimsby (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Cheltenham for / against | Line | Grimsby for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.38 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.75our book | 1.25 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 7 for · 4.29 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots | 10.75 for · 13.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 15.14 for · 10.29 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.5 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.57 for · 3.14 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.25 for · 10 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11.29 for · 10.71 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.5 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1 for · 2 against n 7 Last 5 |
Referee: D. Baines.
Cheltenham
Cheltenham Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Stanway | 5 | 78390 min | 112.5 /90 | 71.6 /90 | 00 /90 |
| J. Day | 1 | 6565 min | 34.2 /90 | 34.2 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| W. Stanway n 5 | 78 | 2.5 |
| J. Day n 8 | 86.9 | 2.6 |
Cheltenham Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Tomkinson | 5 | 91455 min | 112.2 /90 | 71.4 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 275.3 /90 | 40.8 /90 | 20.4 /90 |
| R. Cundy | 5 | 91455 min | 71.4 /90 | 71.4 /90 | 51 /90 | 428.3 /90 | 20.4 /90 | 00 /90 |
| J. Tomlinson | 5 | 77385 min | 20.5 /90 | 30.7 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 163.7 /90 | 40.9 /90 | 10.2 /90 |
| P. Sweeney | 4 | 80320 min | 20.6 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 30.8 /90 | 123.4 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 10.3 /90 |
| G. Nurse | 3 | 75226 min | 31.2 /90 | 31.2 /90 | 20.8 /90 | 135.2 /90 | 20.8 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Tomkinson n 8 | 90.1 | 1 | 0.6 | J. Sweeney |
| R. Cundy n 8 | 84.6 | 0.4 | 0.5 | C. McJannet |
| C. McCann n 5 | 90.8 | 1.6 | 0.2 | — |
| W. Stanway n 5 | 78 | 0 | 0 | — |
| J. Tomlinson n 5 | 77 | 0.9 | 1.2 | H. Rodgers |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Tomkinson n 8 | 90.1 | 2.4 |
| R. Cundy n 8 | 84.6 | 1.1 |
| C. McCann n 5 | 90.8 | 1.8 |
| J. Tomlinson n 5 | 77 | 0.5 |
| B. Stevenson n 8 | 81.1 | 1.8 |
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Cheltenham Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Weimann | 4 | 51204 min | 00 /90 | 10.4 /90 | 20.9 /90 | 10.4 /90 | 41.8 /90 | 00 /90 |
| J. Bickerstaff | 4 | 2289 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 22 /90 | 33 /90 |
| K. Otchere | 3 | 50151 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 21.2 /90 | 10.6 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| G. Miller | 1 | 6565 min | 11.4 /90 | 00 /90 | 11.4 /90 | 11.4 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| C. McCann | 5 | 91454 min | 30.6 /90 | 00 /90 | 81.6 /90 | 51 /90 | 81.6 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| R. Cundy n 8 | 84.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| J. Tomkinson n 8 | 90.1 | 0.1 | 0 |
| C. McCann n 5 | 90.8 | 1.6 | 1 |
| W. Stanway n 5 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Tomlinson n 5 | 77 | 1.4 | 0.9 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| R. Cundy n 8 | 84.6 | 0 | 0.3 |
| J. Tomkinson n 8 | 90.1 | 0 | 0 |
| C. McCann n 5 | 90.8 | 0.6 | 0 |
| W. Stanway n 5 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Tomlinson n 5 | 77 | 0 | 0.2 |
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Grimsby
Grimsby Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pym | 5 | 81405 min | 92 /90 | 61.3 /90 | 00 /90 |
| S. Auton | 1 | 4545 min | 12 /90 | 12 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| C. Pym n 8 | 84.4 | 1.2 |
Grimsby Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. McJannet | 5 | 90450 min | 81.6 /90 | 71.4 /90 | 00 /90 | 367.2 /90 | 61.2 /90 | 20.4 /90 |
| H. Rodgers | 5 | 90450 min | 40.8 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 20.4 /90 | 295.8 /90 | 20.4 /90 | 10.2 /90 |
| J. Sweeney | 5 | 90450 min | 204 /90 | 71.4 /90 | 20.4 /90 | 397.8 /90 | 51 /90 | 10.2 /90 |
| M. Kacurri | 5 | 90450 min | 61.2 /90 | 71.4 /90 | 30.6 /90 | 357 /90 | 91.8 /90 | 10.2 /90 |
| G. Turi | 5 | 90449 min | 173.4 /90 | 81.6 /90 | 00 /90 | 316.2 /90 | 40.8 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. McJannet n 8 | 90 | 1.1 | 0.8 | R. Cundy |
| M. Kacurri n 8 | 90 | 1.1 | 0.4 | — |
| J. Sweeney n 8 | 80.4 | 1 | 1 | J. Tomkinson |
| H. Rodgers n 8 | 86.4 | 0.4 | 0.8 | J. Tomlinson |
| G. Turi n 8 | 88.3 | 0.8 | 0.9 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Sweeney n 8 | 80.4 | 3.4 |
| C. McJannet n 8 | 90 | 1.6 |
| M. Kacurri n 8 | 90 | 1.5 |
| H. Rodgers n 8 | 86.4 | 1.2 |
| G. Turi n 8 | 88.3 | 2.8 |
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Grimsby Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Cook | 5 | 83414 min | 20.4 /90 | 00 /90 | 132.8 /90 | 71.5 /90 | 61.3 /90 | 30.7 /90 |
| Iwan Morgan | 5 | 30152 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 63.6 /90 | 21.2 /90 | 21.2 /90 | 127.1 /90 |
| J. Andrews | 2 | 1631 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 25.8 /90 | 00 /90 | 12.9 /90 | 00 /90 |
| G. Turi | 5 | 90449 min | 00 /90 | 20.4 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 61.2 /90 | 51 /90 |
| K. Green | 5 | 83416 min | 00 /90 | 20.4 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 00 /90 | 91.9 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| H. Rodgers n 8 | 86.4 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| C. McJannet n 8 | 90 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| J. Sweeney n 8 | 80.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| M. Kacurri n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| G. Turi n 8 | 88.3 | 0.1 | 0 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| H. Rodgers n 8 | 86.4 | 0.3 | 0 |
| M. Kacurri n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0 |
| C. McJannet n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Sweeney n 8 | 80.4 | 0 | 0 |
| G. Turi n 8 | 88.3 | 0 | 0.3 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Cheltenham | Grimsby | |
|---|---|---|
| 42% | Possession | 58% |
| 8 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 4 | Shots off target | 6 |
| 0 | Blocked shots | 3 |
| 4 | Shots inside the box | 10 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 8 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 0 | Saves | 2 |
| 348 | Passes | 487 |
Cheltenham Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Stanway | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| J. Tomkinson | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Y | 5.5 |
| R. Cundy | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| P. Sweeney | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| B. Stevenson | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| C. McCann | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| J. Tomlinson | 86 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.4 |
| S. McWilliams | 86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.1 |
| J. Shipley | 72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5.8 |
| J. Evans | 64 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.8 |
| A. Weimann | 64 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| F. Willcox | 26 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.7 |
| J. Bickerstaff | 26 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.8 |
| G. Nurse | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.9 |
| J. Wilson | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.1 |
| K. Otchere | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.4 |
Grimsby Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Turi | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| J. Sweeney | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| H. Rodgers | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| C. McJannet | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.8 |
| M. Kacurri | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| K. Green | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.5 |
| D. Harrington | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Iwan Morgan | 69 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| S. Finch | 69 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.4 |
| C. Vernam | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6.1 |
| A. Cook | 45 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.1 |
| Cian Doyle | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| M. Shelton | 45 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Ryley Reynolds | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| F. Cartwright | 21 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Cheltenham v Grimsby — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-01-24 Cheltenham 0–2 Grimsby
- 2025-09-27 Grimsby 7–1 Cheltenham
- 2025-03-01 Cheltenham 1–1 Grimsby
- 2024-08-17 Grimsby 3–2 Cheltenham
- 2021-04-05 Grimsby 1–1 Cheltenham
- 2020-10-13 Cheltenham 1–3 Grimsby
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Cheltenham v Grimsby?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Cheltenham v Grimsby was Home or Away (best price 1.30 at William Hill).
- What is the head-to-head record between Cheltenham and Grimsby?
- In their last 6 meetings, Cheltenham won 0, Grimsby won 4 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.83 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Cheltenham and Grimsby?
- Recent form — Cheltenham 2W 1D 2L; Grimsby 1W 3D 1L.
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