CheltenhamNewport County

Cheltenham v Newport County result

Full-time · Cheltenham 1–0 Newport County

League Two ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Cheltenham 1–0 Newport County — Cheltenham won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 78% of 5167 landed (95% range 76.8–79.1%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Cheltenham beat Newport County 1–0 in League Two on Saturday 18 April. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Newport County out-shot Cheltenham 17 to 8 and created the better chances, 1.92 xG to 1.30 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Cheltenham: George Miller (82’, assisted by Modou Faal).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with George Miller’s goal on 82 minutes.

Discipline

S. Mather showed five yellow cards — against 3.5 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Cheltenham: Isaac Hutchinson (90+2’); Newport County: Matthew Baker (16’), Harrison Biggins (62’), Cameron Evans (68’) and J. Crole (84’).

What it changes

Cheltenham move up from 18th to 17th (43 league matches played). Cheltenham have scored 53 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Cheltenham have conceded 79 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Newport County stay 22nd after this result (44 league matches played). Newport County have scored 48 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Newport County have conceded 77 goals, the fourth-most of the 24 clubs.

Cheltenham are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Modou Faal (Cheltenham) 5.6, George Miller (Cheltenham) 4.9 and B. Lloyd (Newport County) 4.5 led the match.

Head-to-head

Cheltenham are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Newport County.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Cheltenham or Newport County (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78% of the time in the last 90 days (4028 of 5167).

Next up

Cheltenham next travel to Exeter City on 14 November 2026.

Newport County next travel to Crewe on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Cheltenham: Exeter City v Cheltenham, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Newport County: Crewe v Newport County, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Cheltenham 1–0 Newport County · League Two
  • Referee: S. Mather
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Cheltenham 3 · draws 2 · Newport County 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Cheltenham 2W 1D 2L · Newport County 2W 0D 3L

Cheltenham 1–0 Newport County (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.5 / 6.63
Corners
against 4.38 / 4.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3 / 3
Shots on target
against 3.38 / 4.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 2
Cards
against 1.25 / 2.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.5 yellows
Referee · S. Mather
20.6 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 10 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 14 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 14 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameCheltenham for / againstLineNewport County for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
1 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
3.5 for · 4.38 against n 8
9.5standard
6.63 for · 4.88 against n 8
Shots
8.88 for · 12.38 against n 8
19.5standard
10.25 for · 11.88 against n 8
Shots on target
3 for · 3.38 against n 8
8.5standard
3 for · 4.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.13 for · 10 against n 8
21.5standard
13.75 for · 10.25 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 1.25 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: S. Mather — 3.5 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 20.6 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Cheltenham

Cheltenham Goalkeeper

Cheltenham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Day45904054 min1513.4 /90731.6 /9020 /90
Cheltenham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Day n 890
1.95/2

Cheltenham Defensive

Cheltenham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Wilson40883501 min461.2 /90571.5 /90270.7 /901293.3 /90140.4 /9030.1 /90
J. Tomkinson32902865 min742.3 /90321 /90170.5 /901725.4 /90351.1 /9070.2 /90
R. Cundy26862244 min251 /90311.2 /90150.6 /902028.1 /90200.8 /9060.2 /90
G. Nurse664384 min61.4 /9020.5 /9000 /90204.7 /9040.9 /9000 /90
L. Young43803427 min591.5 /90200.5 /90250.7 /901514 /90260.7 /9080.2 /90
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Cheltenham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Day n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
L. Young n 869.3
15/1
14/2
C. Evans
J. Wilson n 890
0.11/0
0.32/0
L. Jenkins
J. Bickerstaff n 880.8
1.16/2
1.86/5
—
J. Thomas n 884.4
0.11/0
0.95/2
—
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Cheltenham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Young n 869.3
1.66/3
J. Wilson n 890
17/1
J. Bickerstaff n 880.8
0.84/1
J. Thomas n 884.4
2.18/5
Arkelle Nicholas Cecil Jude-Boyd n 863
1.87/3
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Cheltenham Attacking

Cheltenham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Bickerstaff39742899 min40.1 /9050.2 /90300.9 /90160.5 /90381.2 /90280.9 /90
L. Young43803427 min20.1 /9040.1 /90260.7 /90100.3 /90601.6 /9050.1 /90
J. Thomas37802976 min60.2 /9050.2 /90371.1 /90170.5 /90391.2 /90722.2 /90
B. Stevenson30862578 min00 /9000 /9050.2 /9000 /9070.2 /90100.3 /90
J. Martin1647745 min30.4 /9000 /90131.6 /9070.8 /90121.4 /90121.4 /90
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Cheltenham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Day n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Young n 869.3
0.52/1
0.21/0
J. Wilson n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Bickerstaff n 880.8
0.42/1
0.32/0
J. Thomas n 884.4
0.94/2
0.74/1
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Cheltenham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Day n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Young n 869.3
00/0
0.53/0
J. Wilson n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Bickerstaff n 880.8
0.11/0
0.11/0
J. Thomas n 884.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
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Newport County

Newport County Goalkeeper

Newport County — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
N. Tzanev12901080 min302.5 /90242 /9010.1 /90

Newport County Defensive

Newport County — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
T. Davies29742160 min532.2 /90291.2 /9030.1 /901415.9 /90231 /9020.1 /90
Joe Thomas24591422 min442.8 /90231.5 /9030.2 /901046.6 /9060.4 /9000 /90
H. Ogunneye17811381 min221.4 /9090.6 /9070.5 /90684.4 /90201.3 /9030.2 /90
C. Brennan17611036 min211.8 /90131.1 /90151.3 /90625.4 /90131.1 /9010.1 /90
J. Clarke1468958 min40.4 /9050.5 /9060.6 /90535 /9050.5 /9000 /90
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Newport County — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newport County before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Baker n 890
0.32/0
0.32/0
—
B. Kamwa n 885.5
0.96/1
1.14/3
—
J. Wright n 890
00/0
0.53/1
—
L. Jenkins n 873
0.85/0
1.15/2
J. Wilson
C. Evans n 880.4
2.58/5
1.36/1
L. Young
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Newport County — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newport County before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Baker n 890
0.95/1
B. Kamwa n 885.5
0.53/1
J. Wright n 890
0.11/0
L. Jenkins n 873
1.76/4
C. Evans n 880.4
2.48/5
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Newport County Attacking

Newport County — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Spellman29561624 min40.2 /9010.1 /90291.6 /90130.7 /90120.7 /90271.5 /90
N. Opoku27551493 min60.4 /9030.2 /90251.5 /90130.8 /90191.1 /90221.3 /90
G. Garner23561290 min20.1 /9010.1 /90141 /9080.6 /90110.8 /9010.1 /90
M. Reindorf1756949 min00 /9010.1 /90131.2 /9080.8 /9040.4 /90161.5 /90
B. Kamwa34782639 min20.1 /9030.1 /90421.4 /90170.6 /90401.4 /90501.7 /90
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Newport County — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newport County before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Baker n 890
0.32/0
00/0
B. Kamwa n 885.5
26/5
1.16/2
J. Wright n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Jenkins n 873
0.85/0
0.53/0
C. Evans n 880.4
0.62/1
0.11/0
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Newport County — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newport County before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Baker n 890
00/0
0.11/0
B. Kamwa n 885.5
0.32/0
0.31/1
J. Wright n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Jenkins n 873
0.21/0
0.21/0
C. Evans n 880.4
00/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CheltenhamNewport County
56%Possession44%
1.30Expected goals (xG)1.92
8Shots17
4Shots on target3
3Shots off target9
1Blocked shots5
7Shots inside the box11
2Corners8
2Offsides2
9Fouls13
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
3Saves3
349Passes265
70%Pass accuracy61%

Cheltenham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Day9000000007.5
J. Tomkinson9000100107
J. Wilson9000000007.2
G. Nurse9000001007.2
L. Young9000002107.3
I. Hutchinson90001003Y6.7
R. Broom8100000306.7
Harry Ashfield5700100007.2
J. Thomas5700110006
J. Davison4500111006.9
R. Cundy4200000006.9
Arkelle Nicholas Cecil Jude-Boyd sub4800001207.2
M. Faal sub4501111007.2
G. Miller sub3310110007.3
J. Bickerstaff sub3300001006.5
Cole Deeming sub900000106.6

Newport County Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Wright9000000006.6
L. Shephard9000001207.2
M. Baker90001001Y6.9
R. Delaney9000100306.9
L. Jenkins9000102006.2
S. Sprangler9000202206.9
H. Biggins90001011Y6.2
J. Crole90003214Y6.6
C. Evans85000002Y6.3
B. Lloyd8500201606.6
N. Opoku7100111206.5
M. Spellman sub1900000006.5
B. Kamwa sub1000000006.3
C. Jarvis sub1000000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Cheltenham v Newport County — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CheltenhamLLDWW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Newport CountyLWLLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Cheltenham 3 · 2 draws · Newport County 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2025-10-18 Newport County 0–2 Cheltenham
  • 2025-02-22 Newport County 0–3 Cheltenham
  • 2024-08-10 Cheltenham 3–2 Newport County
  • 2021-05-01 Newport County 1–0 Cheltenham
  • 2021-01-19 Cheltenham 1–1 Newport County
  • 2020-01-01 Newport County 1–1 Cheltenham
League standing · 2025/26
Cheltenham#18 pos52 pts46 pl-26 GD
Newport County#20 pos43 pts46 pl-29 GD
Goals per game
Cheltenham scored1.15
Newport County scored1.04
Cheltenham conceded1.72
Newport County conceded1.67

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Cheltenham v Newport County?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Cheltenham v Newport County was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Cheltenham and Newport County?
In their last 6 meetings, Cheltenham won 3, Newport County won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Cheltenham and Newport County?
Recent form — Cheltenham 2W 1D 2L; Newport County 2W 0D 3L.

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