Cheltenham v Newport County result
Team pages: Cheltenham · Newport County · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Cheltenham 1–0 Newport County — Cheltenham won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
The result
Cheltenham beat Newport County 1–0 in League Two on Saturday 18 April. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Newport County out-shot Cheltenham 17 to 8 and created the better chances, 1.92 xG to 1.30 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.
The goals
It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Cheltenham: George Miller (82’, assisted by Modou Faal).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with George Miller’s goal on 82 minutes.
Discipline
S. Mather showed five yellow cards — against 3.5 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Cheltenham: Isaac Hutchinson (90+2’); Newport County: Matthew Baker (16’), Harrison Biggins (62’), Cameron Evans (68’) and J. Crole (84’).
What it changes
Cheltenham move up from 18th to 17th (43 league matches played). Cheltenham have scored 53 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Cheltenham have conceded 79 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Newport County stay 22nd after this result (44 league matches played). Newport County have scored 48 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Newport County have conceded 77 goals, the fourth-most of the 24 clubs.
Cheltenham are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Modou Faal (Cheltenham) 5.6, George Miller (Cheltenham) 4.9 and B. Lloyd (Newport County) 4.5 led the match.
Head-to-head
Cheltenham are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Newport County.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Cheltenham or Newport County (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78% of the time in the last 90 days (4028 of 5167).
Next up
Cheltenham next travel to Exeter City on 14 November 2026.
Newport County next travel to Crewe on 14 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Cheltenham: Exeter City v Cheltenham, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Newport County: Crewe v Newport County, Saturday 14 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Cheltenham 1–0 Newport County · League Two
- Referee: S. Mather
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Cheltenham 3 · draws 2 · Newport County 1 · 2.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Cheltenham 2W 1D 2L · Newport County 2W 0D 3L
Cheltenham 1–0 Newport County (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 14 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Cheltenham for / against | Line | Newport County for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.5 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 6.63 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 8.88 for · 12.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 10.25 for · 11.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 9.13 for · 10 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 13.75 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: S. Mather — 3.5 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 20.6 fouls over 10 matches.
The referee's home and away split · Pro
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Cheltenham
Cheltenham Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Day | 45 | 904054 min | 1513.4 /90 | 731.6 /90 | 20 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Day n 8 | 90 | 1.9 |
Cheltenham Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Wilson | 40 | 883501 min | 461.2 /90 | 571.5 /90 | 270.7 /90 | 1293.3 /90 | 140.4 /90 | 30.1 /90 |
| J. Tomkinson | 32 | 902865 min | 742.3 /90 | 321 /90 | 170.5 /90 | 1725.4 /90 | 351.1 /90 | 70.2 /90 |
| R. Cundy | 26 | 862244 min | 251 /90 | 311.2 /90 | 150.6 /90 | 2028.1 /90 | 200.8 /90 | 60.2 /90 |
| G. Nurse | 6 | 64384 min | 61.4 /90 | 20.5 /90 | 00 /90 | 204.7 /90 | 40.9 /90 | 00 /90 |
| L. Young | 43 | 803427 min | 591.5 /90 | 200.5 /90 | 250.7 /90 | 1514 /90 | 260.7 /90 | 80.2 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Day n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| L. Young n 8 | 69.3 | 1 | 1 | C. Evans |
| J. Wilson n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0.3 | L. Jenkins |
| J. Bickerstaff n 8 | 80.8 | 1.1 | 1.8 | — |
| J. Thomas n 8 | 84.4 | 0.1 | 0.9 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. Young n 8 | 69.3 | 1.6 |
| J. Wilson n 8 | 90 | 1 |
| J. Bickerstaff n 8 | 80.8 | 0.8 |
| J. Thomas n 8 | 84.4 | 2.1 |
| Arkelle Nicholas Cecil Jude-Boyd n 8 | 63 | 1.8 |
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Cheltenham Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bickerstaff | 39 | 742899 min | 40.1 /90 | 50.2 /90 | 300.9 /90 | 160.5 /90 | 381.2 /90 | 280.9 /90 |
| L. Young | 43 | 803427 min | 20.1 /90 | 40.1 /90 | 260.7 /90 | 100.3 /90 | 601.6 /90 | 50.1 /90 |
| J. Thomas | 37 | 802976 min | 60.2 /90 | 50.2 /90 | 371.1 /90 | 170.5 /90 | 391.2 /90 | 722.2 /90 |
| B. Stevenson | 30 | 862578 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 50.2 /90 | 00 /90 | 70.2 /90 | 100.3 /90 |
| J. Martin | 16 | 47745 min | 30.4 /90 | 00 /90 | 131.6 /90 | 70.8 /90 | 121.4 /90 | 121.4 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Day n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Young n 8 | 69.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| J. Wilson n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Bickerstaff n 8 | 80.8 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| J. Thomas n 8 | 84.4 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Day n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Young n 8 | 69.3 | 0 | 0.5 |
| J. Wilson n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Bickerstaff n 8 | 80.8 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| J. Thomas n 8 | 84.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
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Newport County
Newport County Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Tzanev | 12 | 901080 min | 302.5 /90 | 242 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
Newport County Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Davies | 29 | 742160 min | 532.2 /90 | 291.2 /90 | 30.1 /90 | 1415.9 /90 | 231 /90 | 20.1 /90 |
| Joe Thomas | 24 | 591422 min | 442.8 /90 | 231.5 /90 | 30.2 /90 | 1046.6 /90 | 60.4 /90 | 00 /90 |
| H. Ogunneye | 17 | 811381 min | 221.4 /90 | 90.6 /90 | 70.5 /90 | 684.4 /90 | 201.3 /90 | 30.2 /90 |
| C. Brennan | 17 | 611036 min | 211.8 /90 | 131.1 /90 | 151.3 /90 | 625.4 /90 | 131.1 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| J. Clarke | 14 | 68958 min | 40.4 /90 | 50.5 /90 | 60.6 /90 | 535 /90 | 50.5 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Baker n 8 | 90 | 0.3 | 0.3 | — |
| B. Kamwa n 8 | 85.5 | 0.9 | 1.1 | — |
| J. Wright n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| L. Jenkins n 8 | 73 | 0.8 | 1.1 | J. Wilson |
| C. Evans n 8 | 80.4 | 2.5 | 1.3 | L. Young |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Baker n 8 | 90 | 0.9 |
| B. Kamwa n 8 | 85.5 | 0.5 |
| J. Wright n 8 | 90 | 0.1 |
| L. Jenkins n 8 | 73 | 1.7 |
| C. Evans n 8 | 80.4 | 2.4 |
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Newport County Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Spellman | 29 | 561624 min | 40.2 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 291.6 /90 | 130.7 /90 | 120.7 /90 | 271.5 /90 |
| N. Opoku | 27 | 551493 min | 60.4 /90 | 30.2 /90 | 251.5 /90 | 130.8 /90 | 191.1 /90 | 221.3 /90 |
| G. Garner | 23 | 561290 min | 20.1 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 141 /90 | 80.6 /90 | 110.8 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| M. Reindorf | 17 | 56949 min | 00 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 131.2 /90 | 80.8 /90 | 40.4 /90 | 161.5 /90 |
| B. Kamwa | 34 | 782639 min | 20.1 /90 | 30.1 /90 | 421.4 /90 | 170.6 /90 | 401.4 /90 | 501.7 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Baker n 8 | 90 | 0.3 | 0 |
| B. Kamwa n 8 | 85.5 | 2 | 1.1 |
| J. Wright n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Jenkins n 8 | 73 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| C. Evans n 8 | 80.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Baker n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.1 |
| B. Kamwa n 8 | 85.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| J. Wright n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Jenkins n 8 | 73 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| C. Evans n 8 | 80.4 | 0 | 0.1 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Cheltenham | Newport County | |
|---|---|---|
| 56% | Possession | 44% |
| 1.30 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.92 |
| 8 | Shots | 17 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 3 | Shots off target | 9 |
| 1 | Blocked shots | 5 |
| 7 | Shots inside the box | 11 |
| 2 | Corners | 8 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 3 |
| 349 | Passes | 265 |
| 70% | Pass accuracy | 61% |
Cheltenham Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Day | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.5 |
| J. Tomkinson | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| J. Wilson | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| G. Nurse | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| L. Young | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| I. Hutchinson | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Y | 6.7 |
| R. Broom | 81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Harry Ashfield | 57 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| J. Thomas | 57 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| J. Davison | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| R. Cundy | 42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Arkelle Nicholas Cecil Jude-Boyd sub | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| M. Faal sub | 45 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| G. Miller sub | 33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| J. Bickerstaff sub | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Cole Deeming sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
Newport County Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Wright | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| L. Shephard | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| M. Baker | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.9 |
| R. Delaney | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| L. Jenkins | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| S. Sprangler | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| H. Biggins | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Y | 6.2 |
| J. Crole | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | Y | 6.6 |
| C. Evans | 85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Y | 6.3 |
| B. Lloyd | 85 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 6.6 |
| N. Opoku | 71 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.5 |
| M. Spellman sub | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| B. Kamwa sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| C. Jarvis sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Cheltenham v Newport County — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-10-18 Newport County 0–2 Cheltenham
- 2025-02-22 Newport County 0–3 Cheltenham
- 2024-08-10 Cheltenham 3–2 Newport County
- 2021-05-01 Newport County 1–0 Cheltenham
- 2021-01-19 Cheltenham 1–1 Newport County
- 2020-01-01 Newport County 1–1 Cheltenham
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Cheltenham v Newport County?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Cheltenham v Newport County was Home or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Cheltenham and Newport County?
- In their last 6 meetings, Cheltenham won 3, Newport County won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Cheltenham and Newport County?
- Recent form — Cheltenham 2W 1D 2L; Newport County 2W 0D 3L.
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