Cheltenham v Rochdale prediction

League Two · Tue, 01 Dec 2026 19:45 GMT · Whaddon Road

Updated 7 Nov 2026, 12:25 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Cheltenham v Rochdale, League Two on Tue, 01 Dec 2026 19:45 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Cheltenham host Rochdale in League Two on Tuesday 1 December (kick-off 19:45 UK).

The key numbers

Both teams scored in 12 of Cheltenham’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%).

Rochdale have conceded 26 goals, the most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games, ranked per game).

Rochdale are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

11 of Cheltenham’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). At home, Cheltenham have five wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.88 and conceding 1.63. Cheltenham have scored 23 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games, ranked per game). Cheltenham have conceded 25 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Nine of Rochdale’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in seven of Rochdale’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Rochdale have one win, two draws and five defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.63 points per game, scoring 0.88 and conceding 1.88. Rochdale have scored 17 goals, the 11th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games, ranked per game).

Cheltenham (fifth) and Rochdale (20th) are six points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Cheltenham the stronger side, 94 rating points above Rochdale (Cheltenham 1381, Rochdale 1287, after at least 106 rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Cheltenham XI (4-1-4-1): W. Stanway, P. Sweeney, J. Tomkinson, J. Wilson, R. Cundy, J. Evans, B. Stevenson, C. McCann, J. Shipley, R. Broom, A. Weimann — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jake Evans (4.5 per match over 14 appearances, four goals and four assists) and Charlie McCann (4.4 per match over 14 appearances, nine goals and one assist) have been Cheltenham’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Cheltenham (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jake Evans averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 1073 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Charlie McCann averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 1239 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Rochdale XI (4-2-3-1): S. Waller, A. Flint, K. Wilson, C. Tasker, S. Sherring, H. Gilmour, G. Middleton, B. Adeeko, E. Francis, C. Hayes, D. Brown — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Sam Waller (3.9 per match over five appearances) and Charlie Tasker (3.7 per match over 10 appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Rochdale’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Rochdale (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Sam Waller averages 3.0 saves per 90 over 450 minutes, with two or more saves in four of the last five appearances. Charlie Tasker averages 1.4 tackles per 90 over 853 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Tue, 01 Dec 2026 19:45 GMT · League Two · Whaddon Road
Recent form: Cheltenham 2W 0D 3L · Rochdale 0W 2D 3L

Cheltenham v Rochdale (League Two): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.5

Goals

against 1.88 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.13 / 5

Corners

against 5.13 / 4.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

2.25 / 3.5

Shots on target

against 5.5 / 4.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

3.25 / 1.13

Cards

against 2.38 / 1.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Cheltenham for / against	Line	Rochdale for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.5 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.13 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	8.25 for · 16.75 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	11 for · 16.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	2.25 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.5 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.5 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	3.25 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.13 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5

Cheltenham

Cheltenham Goalkeeper

Cheltenham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
W. Stanway	15	861290 min	453.1 /90	110.8 /90	00 /90
J. Day	1	6565 min	34.2 /90	34.2 /90	00 /90

Cheltenham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
W. Stanway n 8	90	3.6 4/4
J. Day n 8	86.9	2.6 6/6

Cheltenham Defensive

Cheltenham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Tomkinson	14	901265 min	271.9 /90	151.1 /90	10.1 /90	805.7 /90	130.9 /90	70.5 /90
P. Sweeney	14	861208 min	100.7 /90	70.5 /90	60.4 /90	544 /90	60.4 /90	20.1 /90
R. Cundy	11	90995 min	151.4 /90	131.2 /90	80.7 /90	888 /90	20.2 /90	00 /90
J. Tomlinson	10	80796 min	101.1 /90	50.6 /90	20.2 /90	354 /90	80.9 /90	10.1 /90
J. Wilson	8	82658 min	111.5 /90	111.5 /90	20.3 /90	294 /90	50.7 /90	00 /90
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Cheltenham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
W. Stanway n 8	90	0 0/0	0.4 3/0	—
J. Tomkinson n 8	90	1 7/1	1.6 6/4	—
C. McCann n 8	86.9	1.3 5/4	0.6 3/2	—
P. Sweeney n 8	88.5	0.6 4/1	1 5/1	—
J. Shipley n 8	85.4	0.7 3/1	0.4 2/1	—
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Cheltenham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Tomkinson n 8	90	1.6 7/4
C. McCann n 8	86.9	1.2 5/3
P. Sweeney n 8	88.5	1 4/3
J. Shipley n 8	85.4	1.8 7/4
J. Evans n 8	80.6	1.3 6/2
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Cheltenham Attacking

Cheltenham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Weimann	14	751048 min	40.3 /90	20.2 /90	121 /90	60.5 /90	121 /90	60.5 /90
J. Bickerstaff	7	22152 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.6 /90	10.6 /90	21.2 /90	31.8 /90
K. Otchere	6	54323 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	41.1 /90	20.6 /90	20.6 /90	20.6 /90
G. Miller	4	45179 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	21 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90
C. McCann	14	891239 min	90.7 /90	10.1 /90	191.4 /90	120.9 /90	201.5 /90	80.6 /90
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Cheltenham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
W. Stanway n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Tomkinson n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
C. McCann n 8	86.9	1.3 6/3	0.8 5/1
P. Sweeney n 8	88.5	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
J. Shipley n 8	85.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Cheltenham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
W. Stanway n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Tomkinson n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
C. McCann n 8	86.9	0.6 4/1	0.1 1/0
P. Sweeney n 8	88.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Shipley n 8	85.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Rochdale

Rochdale Goalkeeper

Rochdale — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Nils Ramming	10	90900 min	333.3 /90	80.8 /90	00 /90
Sam Waller	5	90450 min	153 /90	51 /90	00 /90

Rochdale — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rochdale before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Nils Ramming n 8	90	2.8 6/4
Sam Waller n 5	90	3 4/3

Rochdale Defensive

Rochdale — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Kaiden Wilson	15	781176 min	131 /90	80.6 /90	60.5 /90	372.8 /90	120.9 /90	10.1 /90
C. Tasker	10	85853 min	131.4 /90	141.5 /90	30.3 /90	363.8 /90	131.4 /90	00 /90
A. Flint	9	90810 min	30.3 /90	20.2 /90	111.2 /90	444.9 /90	20.2 /90	00 /90
O. Adebayo-Rowling	9	75677 min	131.7 /90	40.5 /90	00 /90	344.5 /90	101.3 /90	30.4 /90
S. Sherring	7	81569 min	121.9 /90	00 /90	40.6 /90	284.4 /90	60.9 /90	10.2 /90
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Rochdale — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rochdale before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
D. Brown n 8	84.3	2 8/5	1.2 6/2	—
Kaiden Wilson n 8	84.9	0.7 4/1	0.4 3/0	—
H. Gilmour n 8	89.8	1.8 6/4	1.6 7/4	—
B. Adeeko n 8	79	0.6 4/0	0.7 4/1	—
E. Francis n 8	62.6	2 7/3	0.5 2/1	—
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Rochdale — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rochdale before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
D. Brown n 8	84.3	0.4 2/1
Kaiden Wilson n 8	84.9	1.1 5/2
H. Gilmour n 8	89.8	2.1 8/7
B. Adeeko n 8	79	1.6 7/3
E. Francis n 8	62.6	0.7 3/1
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Rochdale Attacking

Rochdale — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
D. Brown	15	821229 min	40.3 /90	20.1 /90	332.4 /90	141 /90	70.5 /90	131 /90
E. Dieseruvwe	9	61551 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	101.6 /90	20.3 /90	10.2 /90	20.3 /90
I. Henderson	2	4079 min	11.1 /90	00 /90	22.3 /90	11.1 /90	11.1 /90	00 /90
J. Paterson	2	1938 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	12.4 /90	00 /90
H. Gilmour	14	831158 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.1 /90	00 /90	70.5 /90	40.3 /90
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Rochdale — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rochdale before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
D. Brown n 8	84.3	2.9 8/6	1.2 7/2
Kaiden Wilson n 8	84.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
H. Gilmour n 8	89.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
B. Adeeko n 8	79	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
E. Francis n 8	62.6	0.7 3/1	0.2 1/0
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Rochdale — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rochdale before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
D. Brown n 8	84.3	0.5 4/0	0.1 1/0
Kaiden Wilson n 8	84.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
H. Gilmour n 8	89.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
B. Adeeko n 8	79	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
E. Francis n 8	62.6	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Cheltenham v Rochdale — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

CheltenhamLLWWL

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

RochdaleDLDLL

Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 1.4 scored / 3 conceded per game

League standing · 2026/27

Cheltenham#5 pos21 pts14 pl-2 GD

Rochdale#20 pos15 pts14 pl-9 GD

Goals per game

Cheltenham scored1.64

Rochdale scored1.21

Cheltenham conceded1.79

Rochdale conceded1.86

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