CheltenhamTranmere

Cheltenham v Tranmere result

Full-time · Cheltenham 1–3 Tranmere

League Two ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Cheltenham · Tranmere · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Cheltenham 1–3 Tranmere — Tranmere won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55% of 140 landed (95% range 46.7–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Tranmere won 3–1 at Cheltenham in League Two on Tuesday 21 April. Cheltenham have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Tranmere came from behind: Cheltenham led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Cheltenham: George Miller (40’); Tranmere: Nathan Smith (47’), Jayden Joseph (64’, assisted by Stephen Negru) and O. Patrick (85’, assisted by Jayden Joseph).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jayden Joseph’s goal on 64 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Cheltenham 0.00, Tranmere 0.00, from 11 shots to 14 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

S. Parkinson showed one yellow card — against 2.0 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Cheltenham: Isaac Hutchinson (90+4’).

What it changes

Cheltenham stay 17th after this result (44 league matches played).

Tranmere move up from 21st to 20th (44 league matches played).

With four goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 40, across 12 matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Charlie Jay Whitaker (Tranmere) 9.3, Jayden Joseph (Tranmere) 9.1 and Nathan Smith (Tranmere) 6.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Cheltenham next travel to Exeter City on 14 November 2026.

Tranmere next travel to Barnet on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Cheltenham: Exeter City v Cheltenham, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Tranmere: Fleetwood Town v Tranmere, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Cheltenham 1–3 Tranmere · League Two
  • Referee: S. Parkinson
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Cheltenham 3 · draws 0 · Tranmere 3 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Cheltenham 3W 1D 1L · Tranmere 0W 1D 4L

Cheltenham 1–3 Tranmere (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 0.38
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.5 / 4.63
Corners
against 4.38 / 5.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3 / 3.25
Shots on target
against 3.38 / 4.5 · 0 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 2.38
Cards
against 1.5 / 1 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2 yellows
Referee · S. Parkinson
23.9 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 10 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 18 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameCheltenham for / againstLineTranmere for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5standard
0.38 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
3.5 for · 4.38 against n 8
9.5standard
4.63 for · 5.88 against n 8
Shots
8.88 for · 12.75 against n 8
19.5standard
10.13 for · 12.63 against n 8
Shots on target
3 for · 3.38 against n 8
8.5standard
3.25 for · 4.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.38 for · 10.13 against n 8
21.5standard
12.88 for · 10.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
2.38 for · 1 against n 8

Referee: S. Parkinson — 2 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 23.9 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Cheltenham

Cheltenham Goalkeeper

Cheltenham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Day46904144 min1543.3 /90731.6 /9020 /90
Cheltenham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Day n 890
2.16/3

Cheltenham Defensive

Cheltenham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Wilson41883591 min461.2 /90581.5 /90280.7 /901353.4 /90140.4 /9030.1 /90
J. Tomkinson33902955 min752.3 /90321 /90170.5 /901805.5 /90371.1 /9070.2 /90
R. Cundy27852286 min251 /90311.2 /90150.6 /902058.1 /90210.8 /9060.2 /90
G. Nurse768474 min61.1 /9040.8 /9000 /90234.4 /9040.8 /9000 /90
L. Young44803517 min601.5 /90210.5 /90270.7 /901543.9 /90260.7 /9080.2 /90
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Cheltenham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Day n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
L. Young n 877.4
0.74/1
15/2
—
J. Wilson n 890
0.11/0
0.43/0
N. Smith
J. Bickerstaff n 874.4
1.15/2
1.55/4
—
J. Thomas n 880.3
0.32/0
0.84/2
—
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Cheltenham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Young n 877.4
1.56/3
J. Wilson n 890
0.96/1
J. Bickerstaff n 874.4
0.83/1
J. Thomas n 880.3
27/4
Arkelle Nicholas Cecil Jude-Boyd n 860
2.17/4
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Cheltenham Attacking

Cheltenham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Bickerstaff40732932 min40.1 /9050.2 /90300.9 /90160.5 /90391.2 /90280.9 /90
L. Young44803517 min20.1 /9040.1 /90260.7 /90100.3 /90621.6 /9050.1 /90
J. Thomas38803033 min60.2 /9050.1 /90381.1 /90180.5 /90391.2 /90722.1 /90
B. Stevenson30862578 min00 /9000 /9050.2 /9000 /9070.2 /90100.3 /90
J. Martin1647745 min30.4 /9000 /90131.6 /9070.8 /90121.4 /90121.4 /90
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Cheltenham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Day n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Young n 877.4
0.42/1
0.11/0
J. Wilson n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Bickerstaff n 874.4
0.52/1
0.32/0
J. Thomas n 880.3
0.74/1
0.64/0
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Cheltenham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Day n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Young n 877.4
00/0
0.43/0
J. Wilson n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Bickerstaff n 874.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
J. Thomas n 880.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
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Tranmere

Tranmere Defensive

Tranmere — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tranmere before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Smith n 890
0.95/2
1.17/2
J. Wilson
P. Brough n 883.6
28/4
0.32/0
—
Charlie Jay Whitaker n 855
14/1
2.57/3
—
C. Norman n 844.1
2.55/3
1.55/1
—
O. Patrick n 866.3
0.53/0
0.21/0
—
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Tranmere — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tranmere before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Smith n 890
0.64/1
P. Brough n 883.6
1.77/3
Charlie Jay Whitaker n 855
2.56/4
C. Norman n 844.1
2.35/3
O. Patrick n 866.3
1.24/2
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Tranmere Attacking

Tranmere — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tranmere before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Smith n 890
0.42/1
0.11/0
P. Brough n 883.6
0.75/0
0.43/0
Charlie Jay Whitaker n 855
1.24/2
0.63/0
C. Norman n 844.1
0.31/0
00/0
O. Patrick n 866.3
1.74/3
14/2
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Tranmere — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tranmere before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Smith n 890
00/0
00/0
P. Brough n 883.6
00/0
0.11/0
Charlie Jay Whitaker n 855
00/0
00/0
C. Norman n 844.1
00/0
00/0
O. Patrick n 866.3
00/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CheltenhamTranmere
56%Possession44%
11Shots14
1Shots on target6
6Shots off target4
4Blocked shots4
6Shots inside the box7
4Corners5
2Offsides1
10Fouls14
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
3Saves0
434Passes336
78%Pass accuracy67%

Cheltenham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Day9000000006.2
S. Sherring9000000006.2
J. Wilson9000101106.3
L. Young9000002006.3
R. Broom9000000306.9
I. Hutchinson90001020Y6.6
J. Tomkinson8600001106.9
Arkelle Nicholas Cecil Jude-Boyd7700001206.7
Cole Deeming7700101106.7
J. Martin6600000306.3
G. Miller6610310007.6
J. Thomas sub2400000006.5
M. Faal sub2400100105.6
Harry Ashfield sub1300000006.3
J. Bickerstaff sub1300000006.7
G. Nurse sub1000000006.7

Tranmere Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Maroši9000000006.7
S. Negru9001101206.6
N. Smith9010111007.9
W. Tamen9000000206.7
Jayden Joseph9011111108.3
S. Finley9000320206.7
R. Watson9000000106.9
E. Bristow9000001306
Charlie Jay Whitaker9000003507.3
O. Patrick8910211006.6
K. Woolery8300210006.3
J. Ironside sub1300000006.2
J. Plant sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Cheltenham v Tranmere — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CheltenhamLDWWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
TranmereLLLDL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Cheltenham 3 · 0 draws · Tranmere 3 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2025-11-15 Tranmere 3–2 Cheltenham
  • 2025-03-28 Tranmere 2–0 Cheltenham
  • 2024-11-22 Cheltenham 1–0 Tranmere
  • 2021-04-02 Cheltenham 4–0 Tranmere
  • 2020-09-19 Tranmere 0–3 Cheltenham
  • 2019-01-12 Cheltenham 1–3 Tranmere
League standing · 2025/26
Cheltenham#18 pos52 pts46 pl-26 GD
Tranmere#21 pos41 pts46 pl-25 GD
Goals per game
Cheltenham scored1.15
Tranmere scored1.17
Cheltenham conceded1.72
Tranmere conceded1.72

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Cheltenham v Tranmere?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Cheltenham v Tranmere was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Cheltenham and Tranmere?
In their last 6 meetings, Cheltenham won 3, Tranmere won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Cheltenham and Tranmere?
Recent form — Cheltenham 3W 1D 1L; Tranmere 0W 1D 4L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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