CheltenhamYork

Cheltenham v York result

Full-time · Cheltenham 3–2 York

League Two · · Whaddon Road

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Cheltenham · York

The model’s pre-match pick

Cheltenham 3–2 York — Cheltenham won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.82 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Cheltenham beat York 3–2 at Whaddon Road in League Two on Tuesday 1 September. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: York out-shot Cheltenham 20 to 13 and created the better chances, 2.89 xG to 1.93 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — York: Ollie Pearce (12’) and Jovan Malcolm (73’, assisted by Harry Boyes); Cheltenham: Jake Evans (17’; 65’, assisted by Andreas Weimann) and Charlie McCann (86’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Charlie McCann’s goal on 86 minutes.

Discipline

S. Copeland showed one yellow card — against 2.9 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Cheltenham: Shaun McWilliams (5’).

What it changes

Cheltenham move up from 10th to fifth (shared) (four league matches played).

York move down from third to fifth (shared) (four league matches played).

With five goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 4, across 12 matches. Cheltenham have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jake Evans (Cheltenham) 12.7, Lucas Pasquoto (Cheltenham) 12.0 and Alfie Shane McNally (York) 6.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Cheltenham next travel to Exeter City on 14 November 2026.

York next travel to Rochdale on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Cheltenham: Exeter City v Cheltenham, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for York: Rochdale v York, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Cheltenham 3–2 York · League Two
  • Venue: Whaddon Road · Cheltenham
  • Referee: S. Copeland
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Cheltenham 1W 1D 3L · York 2W 2D 1L

Cheltenham 3–2 York (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.63
Goals
against 2.38 / 1 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.75 / 7.25
Corners
against 4.38 / 4.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 4 matches
3.38 / 5
Shots on target
against 5.13 / 3 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 4 matches
1.5 / 2.25
Cards
against 1.63 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.86 yellows
Referee · S. Copeland
21.14 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 29 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 29 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCheltenham for / againstLineYork for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 2.38 against n 8
2.75our book
1.63 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
4.75 for · 4.38 against n 8
9.5standard
7.25 for · 4.75 against n 4
Shots
10.13 for · 13.25 against n 8
19.5standard
13.75 for · 9.75 against n 4
Shots on target
3.38 for · 5.13 against n 8
8.5standard
5 for · 3 against n 4
Fouls committed
11 for · 10.88 against n 8
21.5standard
9 for · 10.25 against n 4
Cards shown
1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 2.25 against n 8

Referee: S. Copeland — 2.86 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 21.14 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Cheltenham

Cheltenham Goalkeeper

Cheltenham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
W. Stanway475300 min82.4 /9051.5 /9000 /90
J. Day16565 min34.2 /9034.2 /9000 /90
Cheltenham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
W. Stanway n 475
2.42/2
J. Day n 886.9
2.66/6

Cheltenham Defensive

Cheltenham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Tomkinson491365 min102.5 /9071.7 /9010.2 /90204.9 /9041 /9020.5 /90
R. Cundy491365 min71.7 /9051.2 /9051.2 /90327.9 /9010.2 /9000 /90
J. Tomlinson474295 min10.3 /9030.9 /9000 /9092.7 /9030.9 /9010.3 /90
P. Sweeney392275 min20.7 /9010.3 /9020.7 /90123.9 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90
G. Nurse375226 min31.2 /9031.2 /9020.8 /90135.2 /9020.8 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Cheltenham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Tomkinson n 890.1
1.25/5
0.75/1
M. Williams
R. Cundy n 884.6
0.32/0
0.74/1
M. Williams
C. McCann n 491
1.74/3
0.21/0
O. Pearce
W. Stanway n 475
00/0
00/0
—
J. Tomlinson n 473.8
0.92/1
0.91/1
M. Williams
See more players · Pro
Cheltenham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Tomkinson n 890.1
2.47/4
R. Cundy n 884.6
1.35/4
C. McCann n 491
24/2
J. Tomlinson n 473.8
0.31/0
R. Broom n 859.5
2.16/3
See more players · Pro

Cheltenham Attacking

Cheltenham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Bickerstaff42289 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9022 /9033 /90
K. Otchere350151 min00 /9000 /9021.2 /9010.6 /9000 /9000 /90
A. Weimann338115 min00 /9000 /9021.6 /9010.8 /9021.6 /9000 /90
G. Miller16565 min11.4 /9000 /9011.4 /9011.4 /9000 /9000 /90
C. McCann491364 min20.5 /9000 /9051.2 /9030.7 /9061.5 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
Cheltenham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Cundy n 884.6
0.32/0
0.11/0
J. Tomkinson n 890.1
0.22/0
00/0
C. McCann n 491
1.23/1
0.72/1
W. Stanway n 475
00/0
00/0
J. Tomlinson n 473.8
1.53/1
1.23/1
See more players · Pro
Cheltenham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Cundy n 884.6
00/0
0.32/0
J. Tomkinson n 890.1
00/0
00/0
C. McCann n 491
0.52/0
00/0
W. Stanway n 475
00/0
00/0
J. Tomlinson n 473.8
00/0
0.31/0
See more players · Pro

York

York Goalkeeper

York — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Alfie Shane McNally490360 min61.5 /9061.5 /9000 /90
York — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for York before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Alfie Shane McNally n 490
1.51/1

York Defensive

York — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Williams490360 min30.8 /9041 /9041 /90153.8 /9061.5 /9020.5 /90
M. Kitching384251 min10.4 /9010.4 /9000 /9062.2 /9010.4 /9000 /90
Z. Johnson370210 min20.9 /9010.4 /9041.7 /9093.9 /9010.4 /9000 /90
R. Fallowfield275150 min00 /9095.4 /9031.8 /9010.6 /9010.6 /9010.6 /90
J. King22141 min12.2 /9000 /9000 /9024.4 /9000 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
York — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for York before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Williams n 490
1.53/2
0.31/0
J. Tomlinson
O. Banks n 490
0.83/0
0.82/1
—
J. Grey n 490
0.52/0
2.53/3
—
Alfie Shane McNally n 490
00/0
00/0
—
O. Pearce n 484
0.83/0
0.31/0
C. McCann
See more players · Pro
York — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for York before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Grey n 490
13/1
M. Williams n 490
0.81/1
O. Banks n 490
0.52/0
O. Pearce n 484
0.31/0
A. Hunt n 473
0.93/0
See more players · Pro

York Attacking

York — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Grey490360 min00 /9010.3 /9010.3 /9010.3 /9061.5 /9030.8 /90
O. Pearce484336 min00 /9010.3 /9071.9 /9010.3 /9041.1 /9010.3 /90
A. Newby465259 min31 /9010.3 /9093.1 /9082.8 /9020.7 /9041.4 /90
Afolabi Akinyemi260120 min00 /9000 /9032.3 /9032.3 /9010.8 /9032.3 /90
J. Malcolm12424 min13.8 /9000 /90415 /90311.3 /9000 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
York — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for York before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
O. Banks n 490
0.51/1
00/0
J. Grey n 490
0.31/0
0.31/0
M. Williams n 490
00/0
00/0
Alfie Shane McNally n 490
00/0
00/0
O. Pearce n 484
1.93/2
0.31/0
See more players · Pro
York — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for York before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Grey n 490
00/0
0.31/0
O. Banks n 490
00/0
00/0
M. Williams n 490
00/0
00/0
Alfie Shane McNally n 490
00/0
00/0
O. Pearce n 484
00/0
0.31/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CheltenhamYork
37%Possession63%
1.93Expected goals (xG)2.89
13Shots20
5Shots on target5
5Shots off target9
3Blocked shots6
7Shots inside the box16
4Corners4
2Offsides3
11Fouls6
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
3Saves2
322Passes553
74%Pass accuracy81%

Cheltenham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
W. Stanway9000000007.3
J. Tomkinson9000000106.3
R. Cundy9000101007.5
J. Tomlinson9000101106.9
S. McWilliams90000012Y6.2
C. McCann9010322107
A. Weimann8901002006.9
J. Wilson8700000106.7
J. Evans8720330208.3
B. Stevenson6100000206.9
J. Shipley4500100006.3
P. Sweeney sub4500001006.7
F. Willcox sub2900000006.3
G. Nurse sub1000000006.9
J. Bickerstaff sub1000000006.3
K. Otchere sub10010000–

York Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Williams9000000006.5
R. Fallowfield9000001206.3
O. Banks9000002206.5
H. Boyes9001302106.5
O. Pearce9010220107
J. Grey9000200306.3
Alfie Shane McNally9000100006.3
M. Kitching8800101205.9
J. Felix6700100205.6
A. Hunt6700103206.9
A. Newby6700111006.7
J. Felix6700100206.5
A. Read sub2300110106.9
J. Malcolm sub2310110007.2
J. King sub2300002006.3
Z. Medley sub900000006.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Cheltenham v York — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CheltenhamLLWLD
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
YorkDLWDW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Cheltenham#5 pos21 pts14 pl-2 GD
York#7 pos20 pts14 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Cheltenham scored1.64
York scored1.71
Cheltenham conceded1.79
York conceded1.5

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Cheltenham v York?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Cheltenham v York was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.82 at Betano).
What is the recent form of Cheltenham and York?
Recent form — Cheltenham 1W 1D 3L; York 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+