ChesterfieldCheltenham

Chesterfield v Cheltenham result

Full-time · Chesterfield 1–0 Cheltenham

League Two ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Chesterfield 1–0 Cheltenham — Chesterfield won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 515 landed (95% range 64.2–72.2%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Chesterfield beat Cheltenham 1–0 in League Two on Friday 3 April.

Cheltenham have conceded 77 goals, the most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 42 games, ranked per game).

The goals

Chesterfield led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Chesterfield: William Dickson (25’, assisted by Liam Mandeville).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with William Dickson’s goal on 25 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Chesterfield 0.00, Cheltenham 0.00, from 13 shots to 6 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

J. Durkin showed two yellow cards — against 5.3 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Chesterfield: Liam Mandeville (35’); Cheltenham: Robbie Cundy (54’).

What it changes

Chesterfield stay seventh after this result (40 league matches played). Chesterfield have scored 66 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 42 games, ranked per game). Chesterfield have conceded 53 goals, the 10th-most of the 24 clubs.

Cheltenham stay 18th after this result (39 league matches played). Cheltenham have scored 45 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 42 games, ranked per game).

Cheltenham are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Isaac Hutchinson (Cheltenham) 6.4, Liam Mandeville (Chesterfield) 5.5 and Kyle McFadzean (Chesterfield) 4.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.3% of the time in the last 90 days (352 of 515).

Next up

Chesterfield next host Yeovil Town on 7 November 2026.

Cheltenham next host FC Halifax Town on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Chesterfield: Chesterfield v Yeovil Town, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Cheltenham: Cheltenham v FC Halifax Town, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Chesterfield 1–0 Cheltenham · League Two
  • Referee: J. Durkin
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 5): Chesterfield 1 · draws 2 · Cheltenham 2 · 1.8 goals/game
  • Recent form: Chesterfield 3W 0D 2L · Cheltenham 1W 3D 1L

Chesterfield 1–0 Cheltenham (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.63 / 3.38
Corners
against 3.75 / 5.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 3.88
Shots on target
against 3.75 / 4.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.38 / 2.38
Cards
against 2.88 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 21 March 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameChesterfield for / againstLineCheltenham for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
1.75 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
6.63 for · 3.75 against n 8
9.5standard
3.38 for · 5.13 against n 8
Shots
15.88 for · 11.63 against n 8
19.5standard
11.88 for · 13.63 against n 8
Shots on target
4.5 for · 3.75 against n 8
8.5standard
3.88 for · 4.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.38 for · 11.13 against n 8
21.5standard
9.63 for · 10.88 against n 8
Cards shown
1.38 for · 2.88 against n 8
3.5standard
2.38 for · 2.25 against n 8

Referee: J. Durkin.

Chesterfield

Chesterfield Goalkeeper

Chesterfield — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Z. Hemming40903600 min942.4 /90561.4 /9020.1 /90
Chesterfield — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chesterfield before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Z. Hemming n 890
2.17/3

Chesterfield Defensive

Chesterfield — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
K. McFadzean32892835 min481.5 /90290.9 /90150.5 /902046.5 /90451.4 /9080.3 /90
C. Dunkley30872613 min230.8 /90270.9 /90180.6 /902388.2 /90421.4 /9060.2 /90
L. Gordon25832070 min391.7 /90231 /9090.4 /90873.8 /9060.3 /9020.1 /90
Devan Austin Tanton Pedraza15681015 min211.9 /90111 /9050.4 /90494.3 /90100.9 /9020.2 /90
A. Lewis848381 min81.9 /9030.7 /9010.2 /90204.7 /9020.5 /9010.2 /90
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Chesterfield — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chesterfield before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Z. Hemming n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
L. Bonis n 848.1
2.86/4
1.45/1
—
T. Naylor n 879.1
0.72/2
0.64/0
J. Bickerstaff
R. Stirk n 875.6
0.73/1
15/2
L. Young
D. Markanday n 883.4
0.42/1
1.15/3
L. Young
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Chesterfield — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chesterfield before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Bonis n 848.1
0.52/0
T. Naylor n 879.1
0.73/2
R. Stirk n 875.6
1.85/3
D. Markanday n 883.4
26/2
K. McFadzean n 884.4
1.65/5
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Chesterfield Attacking

Chesterfield — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
L. Bonis40602414 min100.4 /9020.1 /90532 /90321.2 /90180.7 /9060.2 /90
W. Grigg26431126 min40.3 /9030.2 /90201.6 /90121 /90121 /9020.2 /90
T. Naylor34782640 min70.2 /9010 /90230.8 /90110.4 /90220.8 /9070.2 /90
R. Stirk33842778 min00 /9010 /9080.3 /9020.1 /90190.6 /90120.4 /90
D. Markanday33722380 min70.3 /9040.2 /90250.9 /90130.5 /90311.2 /90491.9 /90
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Chesterfield — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chesterfield before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Z. Hemming n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Bonis n 848.1
1.95/2
0.93/1
T. Naylor n 879.1
1.45/3
0.94/2
R. Stirk n 875.6
0.64/0
0.32/0
D. Markanday n 883.4
1.16/1
0.53/1
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Chesterfield — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chesterfield before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Z. Hemming n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Bonis n 848.1
0.52/0
00/0
T. Naylor n 879.1
0.63/1
0.11/0
R. Stirk n 875.6
00/0
00/0
D. Markanday n 883.4
0.11/0
0.32/0
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Cheltenham

Cheltenham Goalkeeper

Cheltenham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Day41903694 min1423.5 /90701.7 /9020 /90
Cheltenham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Day n 890
2.86/3

Cheltenham Defensive

Cheltenham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Wilson36873141 min411.2 /90521.5 /90250.7 /901223.5 /90140.4 /9030.1 /90
J. Tomkinson28892505 min682.4 /90281 /90160.6 /901555.6 /90311.1 /9070.3 /90
R. Cundy22861884 min221.1 /90251.2 /90130.6 /901828.7 /90201 /9050.2 /90
G. Nurse484335 min20.5 /9010.3 /9000 /90154 /9041.1 /9000 /90
L. Young39803138 min551.6 /90180.5 /90240.7 /901424.1 /90240.7 /9080.2 /90
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Cheltenham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Day n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
L. Young n 867.4
0.84/1
0.73/1
D. Markanday
J. Wilson n 890
0.43/0
0.11/0
—
J. Bickerstaff n 886.3
1.68/3
1.64/4
T. Naylor
J. Thomas n 885.1
0.93/3
1.67/3
—
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Cheltenham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Young n 867.4
1.87/4
J. Wilson n 890
0.85/1
J. Bickerstaff n 886.3
0.86/0
J. Thomas n 885.1
1.56/3
Arkelle Nicholas Cecil Jude-Boyd n 859.1
1.97/3
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Cheltenham Attacking

Cheltenham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Bickerstaff35742596 min40.1 /9040.1 /90291 /90150.5 /90361.2 /90240.8 /90
L. Young39803138 min20.1 /9030.1 /90250.7 /90100.3 /90571.6 /9050.1 /90
J. Thomas33802631 min60.2 /9040.1 /90361.2 /90160.5 /90331.1 /90672.3 /90
B. Stevenson28872445 min00 /9000 /9040.1 /9000 /9070.3 /9080.3 /90
J. Martin1647745 min30.4 /9000 /90131.6 /9070.8 /90121.4 /90121.4 /90
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Cheltenham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Day n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Young n 867.4
0.83/2
0.21/0
J. Wilson n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Bickerstaff n 886.3
1.24/2
0.52/1
J. Thomas n 885.1
1.15/2
0.53/1
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Cheltenham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 21 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Day n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Young n 867.4
00/0
0.32/0
J. Wilson n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Bickerstaff n 886.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
J. Thomas n 885.1
0.32/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ChesterfieldCheltenham
63%Possession37%
13Shots6
3Shots on target1
6Shots off target3
4Blocked shots2
7Shots inside the box2
6Corners1
0Offsides2
11Fouls6
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Saves2
536Passes321
82%Pass accuracy71%

Chesterfield Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Boot9000000007.6
K. McFadzean9000002207.7
S. Swinkels9000001207.2
D. Markanday9000102406.6
S. Braybrooke9000002107.7
R. Stirk9000110107
L. Mandeville88010023Y8.3
A. Owolabi-Belewu6700000307.3
J. Berry-McNally6700100207.2
T. Naylor6700201106.9
William Dickson6710110007.2
L. Bonis sub2300000006.9
A. Dobra sub2300101006.5
D. Duffy sub2300211006.5
J. Donacien sub2300000006.7
S. Curtis sub800000006.7

Cheltenham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Day9000000007.7
R. Cundy90000000Y6.7
J. Wilson9000000206.9
J. Tomkinson9000101106.3
I. Hutchinson9000001607
J. Bickerstaff9000000006.2
R. Broom8000000306.6
L. Young8000000006.5
J. Thomas8000110106.9
B. Stevenson7200100006.3
G. Miller7200100006.2
J. Davison sub1800000006.7
Harry Ashfield sub1800000207.2
Cole Deeming sub1000000006.6
M. Faal sub1000000006.7
G. Nurse sub1000000006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Chesterfield v Cheltenham — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ChesterfieldWLWLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
CheltenhamDDWDL
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.8 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 5
Chesterfield 1 · 2 draws · Cheltenham 2 · 1.8 goals/game
  • 2025-08-09 Cheltenham 0–2 Chesterfield
  • 2025-02-01 Cheltenham 1–0 Chesterfield
  • 2024-09-21 Chesterfield 1–1 Cheltenham
  • 2018-03-17 Cheltenham 1–1 Chesterfield
  • 2017-09-30 Chesterfield 0–2 Cheltenham
League standing · 2025/26
Chesterfield#6 pos79 pts46 pl+15 GD
Cheltenham#18 pos52 pts46 pl-26 GD
Goals per game
Chesterfield scored1.54
Cheltenham scored1.15
Chesterfield conceded1.22
Cheltenham conceded1.72

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Chesterfield v Cheltenham?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Chesterfield v Cheltenham was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Chesterfield and Cheltenham?
In their last 5 meetings, Chesterfield won 1, Cheltenham won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.8 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Chesterfield and Cheltenham?
Recent form — Chesterfield 3W 0D 2L; Cheltenham 1W 3D 1L.

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