Colchester v Accrington ST result
Team pages: Colchester · Accrington ST · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Colchester 2–1 Accrington ST — Colchester won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.
The result
Colchester beat Accrington ST 2–1 at Colchester Community Stadium in League Two on Tuesday 14 April. It is Colchester’s first win over Accrington ST since 28 October 2023, after four meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).
The goals
It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Accrington ST: Shaun Whalley (33’, assisted by D. Matthews); Colchester: William Goodwin (43’, assisted by Owura Edwards) and Jack Payne (86’, assisted by Romeo Akachukwu).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jack Payne’s goal on 86 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Colchester 1.80, Accrington ST 0.63, from 17 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
J. Miles showed five yellow cards — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Colchester: William Goodwin (28’), Arthur Read (31’), Robert Hunt (72’) and Jack Tucker (90+7’); Accrington ST: Josh Woods (63’).
What it changes
Colchester move up from 13th to 12th (43 league matches played). Colchester have scored 62 goals, the 10th-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Colchester have conceded 49 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 24 clubs.
Accrington ST stay 16th after this result (43 league matches played). Accrington ST have scored 47 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Accrington ST have conceded 58 goals, the 12th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Colchester have won their last three matches in all competitions. Accrington ST have lost their last three matches in all competitions. Colchester have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jack Payne (Colchester) 8.7, Devon Matthews (Accrington ST) 8.6 and C. O'Brien (Accrington ST) 7.1 led the match.
Head-to-head
Accrington ST are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Colchester.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Colchester to win, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.
Next up
Colchester next host Gillingham on 14 November 2026.
Accrington ST next travel to Port Vale on 14 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Colchester: Colchester v Gillingham, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Accrington ST: Port Vale v Accrington ST, Saturday 14 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Colchester 2–1 Accrington ST · League Two
- Venue: Colchester Community Stadium · Colchester
- Referee: J. Miles
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Colchester 1 · draws 2 · Accrington ST 3 · 1.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Colchester 2W 1D 2L · Accrington ST 1W 0D 4L
Colchester 2–1 Accrington ST (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Colchester for / against | Line | Accrington ST for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 0.5 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 6.63 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 3.63 for · 8 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 15.88 for · 12.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 10 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.75 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 2.38 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 8.75 for · 12.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12.25 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.5 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.75 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: J. Miles.
Colchester
Colchester Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Tucker n 8 | 90 | 0.3 | 0.6 | F. Rawson |
| M. Macey n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| A. Read n 8 | 75.5 | 0.9 | 1.5 | — |
| Kyreece Lisbie n 8 | 80.6 | 0.7 | 2 | — |
| K. Vincent-Young n 8 | 82.4 | 0.8 | 0.7 | F. Rawson |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Tucker n 8 | 90 | 1 |
| M. Macey n 8 | 90 | 0 |
| A. Read n 8 | 75.5 | 2.5 |
| Kyreece Lisbie n 8 | 80.6 | 0.7 |
| K. Vincent-Young n 8 | 82.4 | 1 |
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Colchester Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Tucker n 8 | 90 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| M. Macey n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Read n 8 | 75.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| Kyreece Lisbie n 8 | 80.6 | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| K. Vincent-Young n 8 | 82.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Tucker n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Macey n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Read n 8 | 75.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Kyreece Lisbie n 8 | 80.6 | 0.1 | 0 |
| K. Vincent-Young n 8 | 82.4 | 0 | 0 |
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Accrington ST
Accrington ST Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Wright n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| Devon Matthews n 8 | 78.3 | 0.9 | 1.7 | — |
| I. Sinclair n 8 | 76.5 | 1.5 | 1.8 | — |
| S. Conneely n 8 | 59.9 | 1.1 | 1.5 | — |
| F. Rawson n 8 | 90 | 0.6 | 1 | K. Vincent-Young |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Oliver Wright n 8 | 90 | 0 |
| Devon Matthews n 8 | 78.3 | 1.3 |
| I. Sinclair n 8 | 76.5 | 1.3 |
| S. Conneely n 8 | 59.9 | 1.9 |
| F. Rawson n 8 | 90 | 1.1 |
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Accrington ST Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Wright n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Devon Matthews n 8 | 78.3 | 0.3 | 0 |
| I. Sinclair n 8 | 76.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| S. Conneely n 8 | 59.9 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| F. Rawson n 8 | 90 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Wright n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Devon Matthews n 8 | 78.3 | 0 | 0 |
| I. Sinclair n 8 | 76.5 | 0 | 0 |
| S. Conneely n 8 | 59.9 | 0.2 | 0 |
| F. Rawson n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Colchester | Accrington ST | |
|---|---|---|
| 72% | Possession | 28% |
| 1.80 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.63 |
| 17 | Shots | 11 |
| 7 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 5 | Shots off target | 6 |
| 5 | Blocked shots | 2 |
| 12 | Shots inside the box | 8 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 9 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 5 |
| 543 | Passes | 211 |
| 80% | Pass accuracy | 56% |
Colchester Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Macey | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| R. Hunt | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Y | 7.3 |
| J. Tucker | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Y | 7.9 |
| F. Terry | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| A. Read | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | Y | 6.9 |
| H. Anderson | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| J. Payne | 90 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8.2 |
| O. Edwards | 89 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Finley Frank Barbrook | 76 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| W. Goodwin | 76 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | Y | 7.9 |
| K. Vincent-Young | 64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| S. Tovide sub | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| R. Akachukwu sub | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Kyreece Lisbie sub | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| S. Kuffour sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
Accrington ST Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Wright | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| C. O'Brien | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6.9 |
| F. Rawson | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Devon Matthews | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6.3 |
| F. Sass | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| L. Coyle | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| Luke Joseph Butterfield | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| I. Sinclair | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| C. Brown | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7.5 |
| J. Woods | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | Y | 5.5 |
| S. Whalley | 78 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.9 |
| P. Madden sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Colchester v Accrington ST — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-09-13 Accrington ST 1–0 Colchester
- 2025-01-04 Colchester 0–2 Accrington ST
- 2024-08-31 Accrington ST 1–1 Colchester
- 2024-02-17 Colchester 1–1 Accrington ST
- 2023-10-28 Accrington ST 0–1 Colchester
- 2018-11-10 Accrington ST 1–0 Colchester
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Colchester v Accrington ST?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Colchester v Accrington ST was Home win.
- What is the head-to-head record between Colchester and Accrington ST?
- In their last 6 meetings, Colchester won 1, Accrington ST won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Colchester and Accrington ST?
- Recent form — Colchester 2W 1D 2L; Accrington ST 1W 0D 4L.
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