ColchesterNotts County

Colchester v Notts County result

Full-time · Colchester 0–1 Notts County

League Two · · Colchester Community Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Colchester · Notts County · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Colchester 0–1 Notts County — Notts County won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Notts County won 1–0 at Colchester Community Stadium in League Two on Saturday 25 April. It is Notts County’s first win over Colchester since 20 April 2024, after three meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Notts County: Nicholas Tsaroulla (47’, assisted by Tom Iorpenda).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Nicholas Tsaroulla’s goal on 47 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Colchester 0.67, Notts County 2.54, from 6 shots to 18 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

C. Breakspear showed six yellow cards — against 3.7 yellows a game across the last 17 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Colchester: Kane Vincent-Young (45+1’), Finley Frank Barbrook (52’) and Arthur Read (70’); Notts County: Conor Grant (61’), Scott Robertson (75’) and Nicholas Tsaroulla (76’).

What it changes

Colchester stay 13th after this result (45 league matches played).

Notts County move down from fourth to fifth (45 league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Tom Iorpenda (Notts County) 8.7, Nicholas Tsaroulla (Notts County) 8.6 and Jayden Luker (Notts County) 4.4 led the match.

Head-to-head

Colchester are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Notts County.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Colchester next host Gillingham on 14 November 2026.

Notts County next travel to Bromley on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Colchester: Colchester v Gillingham, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Notts County: Bromley v Notts County, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Colchester 0–1 Notts County · League Two
  • Venue: Colchester Community Stadium · Colchester
  • Referee: C. Breakspear
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Colchester 3 · draws 2 · Notts County 1 · 3.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Colchester 3W 0D 2L · Notts County 2W 0D 3L

Colchester 0–1 Notts County (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 2
Goals
against 1 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
7 / 5.13
Corners
against 4.13 / 4.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 4.63
Shots on target
against 4.38 / 4 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 1.75
Cards
against 1.63 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 18 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameColchester for / againstLineNotts County for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1 against n 8
2.5standard
2 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
7 for · 4.13 against n 8
9.5standard
5.13 for · 4.75 against n 8
Shots
16.38 for · 12.88 against n 8
19.5standard
12.5 for · 10.63 against n 8
Shots on target
4.75 for · 4.38 against n 8
8.5standard
4.63 for · 4 against n 8
Fouls committed
9 for · 11 against n 8
21.5standard
10.88 for · 11.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: C. Breakspear.

Colchester

Colchester Defensive

Colchester — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Colchester before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Tucker n 890
0.43/0
0.85/1
—
M. Macey n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
A. Read n 884.9
0.74/1
1.56/2
—
Kyreece Lisbie n 872.5
0.95/1
2.24/3
—
J. Payne n 877.6
0.95/1
1.25/3
—
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Colchester — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Colchester before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Tucker n 890
0.94/2
M. Macey n 890
00/0
A. Read n 884.9
2.16/4
Kyreece Lisbie n 872.5
0.85/0
J. Payne n 877.6
1.77/4
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Colchester Attacking

Colchester — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Colchester before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Tucker n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
M. Macey n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Read n 884.9
0.53/1
0.11/0
Kyreece Lisbie n 872.5
26/3
1.14/2
J. Payne n 877.6
2.58/5
1.25/3
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Colchester — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Colchester before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Tucker n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Macey n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Read n 884.9
0.11/0
0.11/0
Kyreece Lisbie n 872.5
0.21/0
00/0
J. Payne n 877.6
0.32/0
0.11/0
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Notts County

Notts County Defensive

Notts County — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Notts County before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Bedeau n 884.4
1.65/3
0.84/2
—
Tom Iorpenda n 890
15/3
2.97/5
—
M. Dennis n 857.9
2.76/4
0.63/0
—
Nicholas Tsaroulla n 872.6
1.56/2
1.96/4
—
C. Grant n 861.5
0.94/1
1.56/2
—
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Notts County — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Notts County before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Bedeau n 884.4
1.66/4
Tom Iorpenda n 890
2.48/6
M. Dennis n 857.9
12/1
Nicholas Tsaroulla n 872.6
1.55/3
C. Grant n 861.5
2.47/4
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Notts County Attacking

Notts County — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Notts County before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Bedeau n 884.4
00/0
00/0
Tom Iorpenda n 890
0.64/1
0.43/0
M. Dennis n 857.9
14/1
0.63/0
Nicholas Tsaroulla n 872.6
0.53/0
0.32/0
C. Grant n 861.5
1.55/3
1.14/2
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Notts County — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Notts County before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Bedeau n 884.4
00/0
00/0
Tom Iorpenda n 890
0.11/0
0.32/0
M. Dennis n 857.9
00/0
00/0
Nicholas Tsaroulla n 872.6
00/0
00/0
C. Grant n 861.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ColchesterNotts County
51%Possession49%
0.67Expected goals (xG)2.54
6Shots18
0Shots on target11
3Shots off target4
3Blocked shots3
5Shots inside the box13
4Corners5
2Offsides1
14Fouls16
3Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
9Saves0
354Passes334
74%Pass accuracy75%

Colchester Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Macey90000000010
J. Tucker9000000006.9
F. Terry9000000007.9
A. Read90000012Y6.7
J. Payne9000000307.2
W. Goodwin9000001006.5
K. Vincent-Young72000002Y6.7
Finley Frank Barbrook66000000Y6
S. Tovide5800001106.3
R. Hunt5700000306.5
O. Edwards4500100106.7
Kyreece Lisbie sub4500000106.6
S. Kuffour sub3300100106.9
H. Anderson sub3200000206.7
R. Akachukwu sub2400000006.3
Jaden Williams sub1800100006.9

Notts County Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Belshaw9000000006.9
R. McDonald9000110007
J. Bedeau9000000307.5
Nicholas Tsaroulla90103234Y8.3
Tom Iorpenda9001112607.2
J. Jones9000203008
C. Grant90000020Y6.5
A. Jatta9000442106.5
O. Norburn8200000306.9
J. Luker6800321207.5
L. Macari3800000006.9
L. Ness sub5200000307.3
S. Robertson sub22000001Y6.9
K. Bennetts sub800112006.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Colchester v Notts County — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ColchesterLWWWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
Notts CountyWLWLL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Colchester 3 · 2 draws · Notts County 1 · 3.83 goals/game
  • 2025-11-22 Notts County 1–3 Colchester
  • 2025-04-05 Colchester 1–0 Notts County
  • 2025-02-18 Notts County 1–1 Colchester
  • 2024-04-20 Notts County 1–0 Colchester
  • 2023-09-30 Colchester 5–4 Notts County
  • 2019-01-05 Colchester 3–3 Notts County
League standing · 2025/26
Colchester#12 pos66 pts46 pl+13 GD
Notts County#5 pos80 pts46 pl+22 GD
Goals per game
Colchester scored1.35
Notts County scored1.61
Colchester conceded1.07
Notts County conceded1.13

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Colchester v Notts County?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Colchester v Notts County was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Colchester and Notts County?
In their last 6 meetings, Colchester won 3, Notts County won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Colchester and Notts County?
Recent form — Colchester 3W 0D 2L; Notts County 2W 0D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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