Colchester v Port Vale prediction

League Two · Tue, 15 Dec 2026 19:45 GMT · Colchester Community Stadium

Updated 1 Nov 2026, 15:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Colchester · Port Vale · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Colchester v Port Vale, League Two on Tue, 15 Dec 2026 19:45 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.31 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5090 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Colchester host Port Vale in League Two on Tuesday 15 December (kick-off 19:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Colchester or Port Vale (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Colchester are winless in their last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Six of Colchester’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in nine of Colchester’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Colchester have two wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.29 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 1.14. Colchester have scored 12 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 13 games, ranked per game). Colchester have conceded 19 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Four of Port Vale’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in five of Port Vale’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, Port Vale have one win, one draw and six defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.50 points per game, scoring 0.50 and conceding 1.88. Port Vale have scored 10 goals, the third-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). Port Vale have conceded 14 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Colchester (23rd) and Port Vale (18th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Port Vale the stronger side, 170 rating points above Colchester (Port Vale 1478, Colchester 1308, after at least 282 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Colchester are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Port Vale. The most recent meeting, on 11 March 2025, finished Colchester 2–1 Port Vale.

Team news

Predicted Colchester XI (4-2-3-1): T. Lo-Tutala, E. Iandolo, J. Tucker, F. Terry, R. Hunt, M. Sesay, J. Williams, J. Payne, O. Thorn, P. Digby, B. Ihionvien — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jack Payne (5.0 per match over 12 appearances, one goal and one assist) and Moses Sesay (4.1 per match over 12 appearances, three goals and one assist) have been Colchester’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Colchester (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jack Payne averages 3.0 key passes per 90 over 1022 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Moses Sesay averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 951 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Port Vale XI (3-5-2): M. Maroši, J. Moon, C. Humphreys, C. Hall, J. Lawrence-Gabriel, K. Dempsey, J. Headley, G. Byers, G. Hall, O. Lynch, O. Hernández — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Kyle Dempsey (3.9 per match over 13 appearances, one goal and one assist) and George Byers (3.6 per match over 10 appearances, three goals) have been Port Vale’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Port Vale (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Kyle Dempsey averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 1079 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. George Byers averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 597 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Tue, 15 Dec 2026 19:45 GMT · League Two · Colchester Community Stadium
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Colchester 2 · draws 2 · Port Vale 2 · 2 goals/game
Recent form: Colchester 0W 2D 3L · Port Vale 3W 1D 1L

Colchester v Port Vale (League Two): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 1 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 1

Goals

against 1.38 / 1 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

3.88 / 5

Corners

against 5.88 / 5.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.25 / 4

Shots on target

against 3.5 / 2.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.63 / 2

Cards

against 2.38 / 1.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Colchester for / against	Line	Port Vale for / against
Goals scored	0.75 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	2.5our book	1 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.88 for · 5.88 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12.13 for · 13.25 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	11.63 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.25 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	14.5 for · 13.63 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.38 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.63 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5

Colchester

Colchester Goalkeeper

Colchester — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
T. Lo-Tutala	14	901266 min	402.8 /90	110.8 /90	00 /90

Colchester — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Colchester before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
T. Lo-Tutala n 8	90	1.9 4/2

Colchester Defensive

Colchester — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
E. Iandolo	14	881238 min	201.5 /90	141 /90	30.2 /90	846.1 /90	181.3 /90	20.1 /90
J. Tucker	14	871215 min	50.4 /90	171.3 /90	120.9 /90	574.2 /90	50.4 /90	10.1 /90
R. Hunt	13	76982 min	100.9 /90	80.7 /90	60.5 /90	383.5 /90	121.1 /90	20.2 /90
S. Raggett	10	91906 min	10.1 /90	70.7 /90	70.7 /90	565.6 /90	111.1 /90	00 /90
K. Vincent-Young	9	68609 min	71 /90	101.5 /90	91.3 /90	304.4 /90	40.6 /90	10.1 /90
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Colchester — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Colchester before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
T. Lo-Tutala n 8	90	0 0/0	0.4 3/0	—
E. Iandolo n 8	90	1.5 7/4	0.8 5/1	—
J. Tucker n 8	90	0.5 3/1	0.1 1/0	—
O. Thorn n 8	58.8	1.9 5/3	0 0/0	—
R. Hunt n 8	75.4	1.3 5/3	1 6/1	—
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Colchester — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Colchester before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
E. Iandolo n 8	90	1.9 7/5
J. Tucker n 8	90	0.5 3/1
O. Thorn n 8	58.8	2.3 5/3
R. Hunt n 8	75.4	0.6 3/1
J. Payne n 8	82	2.2 6/5
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Colchester Attacking

Colchester — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
B. Ihionvien	12	53640 min	00 /90	00 /90	131.8 /90	60.8 /90	50.7 /90	71 /90
Jaden Williams	8	40319 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	30.8 /90	20.6 /90	61.7 /90	61.7 /90
K. Kouassi	5	70350 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	51.3 /90	20.5 /90	71.8 /90	61.5 /90
L. Chiwome	5	30149 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	31.8 /90	31.8 /90
K. Connelly	2	1632 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	12.8 /90
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Colchester — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Colchester before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
T. Lo-Tutala n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
E. Iandolo n 8	90	0.8 4/1	0.3 2/0
J. Tucker n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
O. Thorn n 8	58.8	1.3 5/1	0.4 2/0
R. Hunt n 8	75.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Colchester — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Colchester before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
T. Lo-Tutala n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
E. Iandolo n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
J. Tucker n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
O. Thorn n 8	58.8	0 0/0	0.6 3/0
R. Hunt n 8	75.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Port Vale

Port Vale Goalkeeper

Port Vale — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Smith	7	90630 min	142 /90	91.3 /90	00 /90
M. Maroši	6	90540 min	162.7 /90	30.5 /90	00 /90

Port Vale — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Port Vale before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Smith n 7	90	2 4/3
M. Maroši n 8	90	2.3 6/3

Port Vale Defensive

Port Vale — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
C. Hall	11	77848 min	50.5 /90	50.5 /90	70.7 /90	485.1 /90	70.7 /90	00 /90
C. Humphreys	10	90900 min	101 /90	121.2 /90	30.3 /90	414.1 /90	131.3 /90	30.3 /90
L. Montsma	7	80557 min	101.6 /90	71.1 /90	10.2 /90	406.5 /90	61 /90	10.2 /90
K. John	7	61424 min	102.1 /90	71.5 /90	10.2 /90	255.3 /90	51.1 /90	00 /90
J. Moon	6	78467 min	81.5 /90	91.7 /90	00 /90	366.9 /90	91.7 /90	20.4 /90
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Port Vale — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Port Vale before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Lawrence-Gabriel n 8	86.9	1.8 7/3	1.9 7/4	—
K. Dempsey n 8	78.6	1.1 5/2	0.3 2/0	—
O. Lynch n 8	50.4	0.2 1/0	0.4 2/0	—
O. Hernández n 8	47.3	1.2 4/1	1.4 4/2	—
C. Hall n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0.8 6/0	—
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Port Vale — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Port Vale before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Lawrence-Gabriel n 8	86.9	1.6 6/4
K. Dempsey n 8	78.6	1.6 6/3
O. Lynch n 8	50.4	0.2 1/0
O. Hernández n 8	47.3	2.4 6/3
C. Hall n 8	90	0.6 3/2
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Port Vale Attacking

Port Vale — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
O. Lynch	13	57747 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	131.6 /90	70.8 /90	50.6 /90	60.7 /90
O. Hernández	12	51610 min	20.3 /90	00 /90	91.3 /90	60.9 /90	121.8 /90	131.9 /90
M. Watters	6	50302 min	00 /90	00 /90	92.7 /90	41.2 /90	00 /90	41.2 /90
B. Waine	5	54272 min	00 /90	00 /90	31 /90	20.7 /90	20.7 /90	10.3 /90
K. Figueroa	5	39196 min	20.9 /90	00 /90	73.2 /90	41.8 /90	00 /90	31.4 /90
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Port Vale — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Port Vale before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Lawrence-Gabriel n 8	86.9	0.9 5/2	0.3 2/0
K. Dempsey n 8	78.6	1.4 6/3	0.9 5/1
O. Lynch n 8	50.4	1.1 4/1	0.7 3/0
O. Hernández n 8	47.3	1.7 5/2	1 3/1
C. Hall n 8	90	0.4 2/1	0 0/0
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Port Vale — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Port Vale before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Lawrence-Gabriel n 8	86.9	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
K. Dempsey n 8	78.6	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
O. Lynch n 8	50.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
O. Hernández n 8	47.3	0.5 2/0	0 0/0
C. Hall n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Colchester v Port Vale — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

ColchesterLDDLL

Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Port ValeWWDLW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Colchester 2 · 2 draws · Port Vale 2 · 2 goals/game

2025-03-11 Colchester 2–1 Port Vale
2024-10-01 Port Vale 1–1 Colchester
2022-03-05 Colchester 1–0 Port Vale
2021-10-23 Port Vale 3–0 Colchester
2021-03-20 Colchester 0–1 Port Vale
2020-12-12 Port Vale 1–1 Colchester

League standing · 2026/27

Colchester#23 pos12 pts13 pl-7 GD

Port Vale#18 pos15 pts12 pl-4 GD

Goals per game

Colchester scored0.92

Port Vale scored0.83

Colchester conceded1.46

Port Vale conceded1.17

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Expected goals (xG)

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Win probability & value

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Colchester v Port Vale?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Colchester v Port Vale is Home or Away (best price 1.31 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Colchester and Port Vale?: In their last 6 meetings, Colchester won 2, Port Vale won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Colchester and Port Vale?: Recent form — Colchester 0W 2D 3L; Port Vale 3W 1D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 1 Nov 2026, 15:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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