ColchesterSwindon Town

Colchester v Swindon Town result

Full-time · Colchester 3–0 Swindon Town

League Two · · Colchester Community Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Colchester 3–0 Swindon Town — Colchester won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.5% of 1761 landed (95% range 74.5–78.5%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Colchester beat Swindon Town 3–0 at Colchester Community Stadium in League Two on Friday 10 April.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Colchester: Arthur Read (48’, assisted by Owura Edwards), William Goodwin (54’, assisted by Ellis Iandolo) and Harry Anderson (69’, assisted by Ellis Iandolo). James Ball (29’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Arthur Read’s goal on 48 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Colchester 2.00, Swindon Town 0.26, from 25 shots to 4 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

P. Howard showed one yellow card and one red — against 4.0 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Colchester: Ellis Iandolo (63’).

What it changes

Colchester stay 13th after this result (42 league matches played). Colchester have scored 62 goals, the 10th-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Colchester have conceded 49 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Swindon Town move down from fourth to fifth (43 league matches played). Swindon Town have scored 70 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Swindon Town have conceded 59 goals, the 10th-most of the 24 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ellis Iandolo (Colchester) 9.3, Harry Anderson (Colchester) 8.0 and Owura Edwards (Colchester) 7.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Colchester or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.5% of the time in the last 90 days (1348 of 1761).

Next up

Colchester next host Gillingham on 14 November 2026.

Swindon Town next host Grimsby on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Colchester: Colchester v Gillingham, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Swindon Town: Swindon Town v Grimsby, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Colchester 3–0 Swindon Town · League Two
  • Venue: Colchester Community Stadium · Colchester
  • Referee: P. Howard
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Colchester 2 · draws 2 · Swindon Town 2 · 3.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Colchester 1W 1D 3L · Swindon Town 3W 2D 0L

Colchester 3–0 Swindon Town (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.63 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.25 / 1 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.88 / 6
Corners
against 5.13 / 7.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 3.88
Shots on target
against 4.63 / 4.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 1.63
Cards
against 1.88 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4 yellows
Referee · P. Howard
23.33 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 6 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameColchester for / againstLineSwindon Town for / against
Goals scored
0.63 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
5.88 for · 5.13 against n 8
9.5standard
6 for · 7.25 against n 8
Shots
13.25 for · 13.75 against n 8
19.5standard
9.38 for · 14.63 against n 8
Shots on target
3.75 for · 4.63 against n 8
8.5standard
3.88 for · 4.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
8.88 for · 14 against n 8
21.5standard
8.88 for · 11.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: P. Howard — 4 yellow cards a game, 0.17 red cards, 23.33 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Colchester

Colchester Defensive

Colchester — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Colchester before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Tucker n 890
0.32/0
0.64/1
—
M. Macey n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
A. Read n 879
16/1
1.34/2
T. Nichols
Kyreece Lisbie n 880.6
0.74/1
24/3
—
K. Vincent-Young n 882.4
0.85/1
0.74/1
—
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Colchester — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Colchester before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Tucker n 890
15/2
M. Macey n 890
00/0
A. Read n 879
2.46/5
Kyreece Lisbie n 880.6
0.75/0
K. Vincent-Young n 882.4
15/2
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Colchester Attacking

Colchester — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Colchester before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Tucker n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
M. Macey n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Read n 879
0.43/0
0.11/0
Kyreece Lisbie n 880.6
1.86/3
1.15/2
K. Vincent-Young n 882.4
0.54/0
0.11/0
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Colchester — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Colchester before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Tucker n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Macey n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Read n 879
00/0
0.11/0
Kyreece Lisbie n 880.6
0.11/0
00/0
K. Vincent-Young n 882.4
00/0
00/0
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Swindon Town

Swindon Town Goalkeeper

Swindon Town — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
C. Ripley44893920 min1082.5 /90531.2 /9010 /90
Swindon Town — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swindon Town before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Ripley n 890
36/4

Swindon Town Defensive

Swindon Town — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
W. Wright33802642 min521.8 /90291 /90180.6 /901434.9 /90190.6 /9050.2 /90
Joel McGregor30581747 min583 /90291.5 /9040.2 /901668.6 /90211.1 /9040.2 /90
R. Tafazolli22751644 min221.2 /90221.2 /90311.7 /901628.9 /9070.4 /9030.2 /90
Filozofe Mabete19561068 min211.8 /90181.5 /9090.8 /90625.2 /90131.1 /9020.2 /90
B. Kirkman959533 min203.4 /90111.9 /9061 /90376.2 /9091.5 /9020.3 /90
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Swindon Town — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swindon Town before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Ripley n 890
00/0
0.53/1
—
G. Kilkenny n 881.5
0.73/1
14/1
—
O. Palmer n 849.6
1.65/2
1.45/1
—
A. Drinan n 890
0.83/3
0.84/2
—
T. Nichols n 858.4
1.36/1
0.63/0
A. Read
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Swindon Town — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swindon Town before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
G. Kilkenny n 881.5
2.88/7
O. Palmer n 849.6
0.94/0
A. Drinan n 890
0.11/0
T. Nichols n 858.4
2.76/4
D. Oldaker n 875.3
1.87/3
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Swindon Town Attacking

Swindon Town — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
O. Palmer38612320 min80.3 /9020.1 /90461.8 /90261 /90271 /90240.9 /90
G. Kilkenny41843453 min10 /9010 /90200.5 /9070.2 /90270.7 /90240.6 /90
A. Drinan37863178 min210.6 /9040.1 /90712 /90421.2 /90280.8 /90210.6 /90
T. Nichols37692554 min10 /9000 /90100.4 /9050.2 /90170.6 /90170.6 /90
D. Oldaker35702454 min10 /9050.2 /90200.7 /9070.3 /90220.8 /90230.8 /90
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Swindon Town — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swindon Town before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Ripley n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Kilkenny n 881.5
0.32/0
00/0
O. Palmer n 849.6
1.64/1
0.92/1
A. Drinan n 890
28/5
16/2
T. Nichols n 858.4
0.42/0
00/0
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Swindon Town — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swindon Town before kick-off, to 6 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Ripley n 890
00/0
0.32/0
G. Kilkenny n 881.5
00/0
00/0
O. Palmer n 849.6
0.21/0
00/0
A. Drinan n 890
0.43/0
0.11/0
T. Nichols n 858.4
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ColchesterSwindon Town
65%Possession35%
2.00Expected goals (xG)0.26
25Shots4
10Shots on target1
7Shots off target2
8Blocked shots1
20Shots inside the box1
10Corners1
4Offsides1
10Fouls6
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards1
1Saves7
580Passes313
79%Pass accuracy62%

Colchester Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Macey9000000007
R. Hunt9000001207.3
J. Tucker9000100007.7
F. Terry9000002107.3
Finley Frank Barbrook9000113007.2
H. Anderson9010313008.2
J. Payne9000211207.2
E. Iandolo89021132Y8.7
O. Edwards7901222207.9
W. Goodwin7910211007.3
A. Read6210210207.9
R. Akachukwu sub2800321106.2
Jaden Williams sub1100000106.7
S. Tovide sub1100001006.7
F. Back sub10000000–

Swindon Town Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Ripley9000000007
Joel McGregor9000100106
Jamie Knight-Lebel9000000206.3
Jake Thomas Batty9000000106.2
D. Oldaker9000002106.3
W. Wright7400000105.9
A. Drinan7400000006
T. Nichols5900000106.5
Aidan Borland5900000106.5
J. Hoilett5900000006.2
J. Ball29000001R5
O. Clarke sub3100101006.5
F. Holman sub3100000006.5
O. Palmer sub3100111006.7
B. Bodin sub1600000006.2
Filozofe Mabete sub1600000207.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Colchester v Swindon Town — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ColchesterLLDLW
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Swindon TownWWDDW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.4 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Colchester 2 · 2 draws · Swindon Town 2 · 3.33 goals/game
  • 2025-10-25 Swindon Town 0–0 Colchester
  • 2025-01-01 Swindon Town 3–2 Colchester
  • 2024-12-03 Colchester 4–0 Swindon Town
  • 2024-11-02 Swindon Town 2–1 Colchester
  • 2024-01-06 Swindon Town 2–2 Colchester
  • 2023-11-07 Colchester 3–1 Swindon Town
League standing · 2025/26
Colchester#12 pos66 pts46 pl+13 GD
Swindon Town#9 pos75 pts46 pl+11 GD
Goals per game
Colchester scored1.35
Swindon Town scored1.52
Colchester conceded1.07
Swindon Town conceded1.28

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Colchester v Swindon Town?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Colchester v Swindon Town was Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Colchester and Swindon Town?
In their last 6 meetings, Colchester won 2, Swindon Town won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Colchester and Swindon Town?
Recent form — Colchester 1W 1D 3L; Swindon Town 3W 2D 0L.

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