Crawley Town v Port Vale prediction

League Two · · The Broadfield Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Crawley Town v Port Vale, League Two on Tue, 01 Dec 2026 19:45 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Crawley Town host Port Vale in League Two on Tuesday 1 December (kick-off 19:45 UK).

The key numbers

Crawley Town are winless in their last eight matches in all competitions. Port Vale are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Port Vale are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Crawley Town, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Seven of Crawley Town’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in eight of Crawley Town’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Crawley Town have no wins, three draws and four defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 0.43 points per game, scoring 0.71 and conceding 1.57. Crawley Town have scored 11 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Crawley Town have conceded 20 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Four of Port Vale’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in five of Port Vale’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, Port Vale have one win, one draw and seven defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 0.44 points per game, scoring 0.56 and conceding 1.78. Port Vale have scored six goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Port Vale have conceded 10 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Crawley Town (24th) and Port Vale (20th) are seven points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Port Vale the stronger side, 256 rating points above Crawley Town (Port Vale 1488, Crawley Town 1232, after at least 280 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 12 March 2022, finished Port Vale 4–1 Crawley Town.

Team news

Predicted Crawley Town XI (4-4-2): V. Mannone, P. Farquharson, C. Barker, A. Odimayo, J. Russell, J. Arthurs, O. Kamara, A. Adeyemo, K. Jennings, D. Orsi, D. Morgan — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ade Adeyemo (4.3 per match over 12 appearances, one goal) and Dylan Morgan (4.0 per match over five appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Crawley Town’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Crawley Town (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ade Adeyemo averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 990 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. Dylan Morgan averages 2.2 shots per 90 over 372 minutes, with a shot in five of the last five appearances.

Predicted Port Vale XI (3-5-2): M. Maroši, C. Hall, C. Humphreys, L. Montsma, B. Garrity, K. Dempsey, J. Lawrence-Gabriel, J. Headley, G. Hall, O. Lynch, O. Hernández — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Kyle Dempsey (3.8 per match over 11 appearances, one goal) and Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel (3.6 per match over 11 appearances, one assist) have been Port Vale’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Port Vale (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Kyle Dempsey averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 898 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel averages 0.7 key passes per 90 over 971 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · League Two · The Broadfield Stadium
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Crawley Town 0 · draws 1 · Port Vale 5 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Crawley Town 0W 1D 4L · Port Vale 3W 1D 1L

Crawley Town v Port Vale (League Two): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 20 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.13 / 0.63
Goals
against 2.25 / 0.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 4.38
Corners
against 4.38 / 6.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 3.38
Shots on target
against 5.25 / 3.13 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.5 / 1.75
Cards
against 2.38 / 1.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameCrawley Town for / againstLinePort Vale for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 2.25 against n 8
2.5standard
0.63 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
4.13 for · 4.38 against n 8
9.5standard
4.38 for · 6.38 against n 8
Shots
13.63 for · 15.88 against n 8
19.5standard
10.75 for · 11 against n 8
Shots on target
4.13 for · 5.25 against n 8
8.5standard
3.38 for · 3.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.38 for · 12.5 against n 8
21.5standard
13 for · 11.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2.5 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 1.63 against n 8
Crawley Town
Crawley Town — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Nathan Tinsdale n 743.7
2.63/2
0.62/0
—
P. Aderoju n 846.3
2.45/4
3.67/4
—
Johnny Russell n 847
1.96/1
2.65/3
—
P. Farquharson n 885
1.25/3
1.26/3
—
A. Adeyemo n 882.6
1.27/2
0.54/0
—
Crawley Town — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Morgan n 574.4
2.25/2
0.52/0
Lucas Pasquoto n 832.3
2.12/2
0.31/0
G. Di Biase n 831.9
1.84/1
1.12/1
D. Orsi n 847.5
1.75/2
0.93/1
P. Aderoju n 846.3
1.74/2
0.72/1
Crawley Town — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Orsi n 847.5
0.52/0
0.21/0
G. Di Biase n 831.9
0.71/1
00/0
P. Aderoju n 846.3
0.52/0
00/0
D. Morgan n 574.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
L. Watson n 856
0.21/0
0.21/0
Crawley Town — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Kai Jennings n 852.9
2.85/3
A. Odimayo n 861.5
2.45/4
J. Arthurs n 890
2.17/4
Osman Kamara n 868.9
2.16/5
Nathan Tinsdale n 743.7
2.13/2
Crawley Town — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
V. Mannone n 886.8
3.86/5
N. Michalski n 682.5
3.55/4
Port Vale
Port Vale — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
G. Hall n 852.6
2.65/3
1.33/2
—
Maleace Asamoah n 827.4
2.14/1
2.15/0
—
T. Simpson n 828.1
25/0
0.81/1
—
K. Figueroa n 434.8
1.93/0
2.62/2
—
M. Watters n 857.5
1.66/1
0.42/0
—
Port Vale — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Figueroa n 434.8
2.62/2
1.32/0
Lucas Pasquoto n 832.3
2.12/2
0.31/0
M. Watters n 857.5
1.84/2
0.62/1
K. Dempsey n 878.5
1.65/4
0.63/1
Maleace Asamoah n 827.4
1.62/1
1.21/1
Port Vale — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Figueroa n 434.8
0.61/0
00/0
G. Byers n 854.6
0.42/0
00/0
Maleace Asamoah n 827.4
00/0
0.41/0
J. Moon n 878.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
J. Headley n 859.5
00/0
0.21/0
Port Vale — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Walters n 858.3
2.36/3
K. Dempsey n 878.5
2.17/3
K. John n 863.6
2.15/3
G. Byers n 854.6
2.14/3
J. Lawrence-Gabriel n 890
27/6
Port Vale — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Maroši n 890
2.47/4
J. Smith n 893.8
2.25/4

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Crawley Town v Port Vale — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Crawley TownLLDLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 1.2 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Port ValeWLWWD
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 0.8 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Crawley Town 0 · 1 draw · Port Vale 5 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2022-03-12 Port Vale 4–1 Crawley Town
  • 2021-10-30 Crawley Town 1–4 Port Vale
  • 2021-03-27 Crawley Town 1–3 Port Vale
  • 2020-09-12 Port Vale 2–0 Crawley Town
  • 2019-12-14 Crawley Town 0–0 Port Vale
  • 2019-01-19 Crawley Town 0–1 Port Vale
League standing · 2026/27
Crawley Town#24 pos5 pts10 pl-9 GD
Port Vale#20 pos12 pts10 pl-4 GD
Goals per game
Crawley Town scored1.1
Port Vale scored0.6
Crawley Town conceded2
Port Vale conceded1

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock every market for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Crawley Town and Port Vale?
In their last 6 meetings, Crawley Town won 0, Port Vale won 5 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Crawley Town and Port Vale?
Recent form — Crawley Town 0W 1D 4L; Port Vale 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →