Crewe v Accrington ST result

Full-time · Crewe 2–0 Accrington ST

League Two · Sat, 09 Aug 2025 15:00 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Crewe · Accrington ST · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Crewe 2–0 Accrington ST — Crewe won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick

Home or Draw

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.3% of 1490 landed (95% range 73–77.4%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Crewe beat Accrington ST 2–0 in League Two on Saturday 9 August.

The goals

Crewe led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Crewe: Reece Hutchinson (18’, assisted by Joshua March) and Calum Agius (30’, assisted by Joshua March).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Reece Hutchinson’s goal on 18 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Crewe 2.24, Accrington ST 0.52, from 15 shots to 9 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

R. Eley showed three yellow cards — against 3.4 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Crewe: M. Sanders (35’); Accrington ST: Charlie Brown (73’) and Farrend Rawson (76’).

What it changes

Crewe move up from second to first (two league matches played).

Accrington ST move down from first to 17th (two league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Joshua March (Crewe) 8.2, Reece Hutchinson (Crewe) 7.4 and Calum Agius (Crewe) 5.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Crewe or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 75.3% of the time in the last 90 days (1122 of 1490).

Next up

Crewe next travel to Exeter City on 20 October 2026.

Accrington ST next travel to York on 20 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Crewe: Exeter City v Crewe, Tuesday 20 October — the preview. Next for Accrington ST: York v Accrington ST, Tuesday 20 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Crewe 2–0 Accrington ST · League Two
Referee: R. Eley
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Crewe 1 · draws 2 · Accrington ST 3 · 2.33 goals/game
Recent form: Crewe 1W 1D 3L · Accrington ST 2W 2D 1L

Crewe 2–0 Accrington ST (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.88 / 1.38

Goals

against 1.25 / 1.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.5 / 3.17

Corners

against 5.33 / 5.5 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 6 matches

3.5 / 3.17

Shots on target

against 4.17 / 3 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 6 matches

2.83 / 2.33

Cards

against 2.33 / 2.33 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 6 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Crewe for / against	Line	Accrington ST for / against
Goals scored	0.88 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.38 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.5 for · 5.33 against n 6 Last 5	9.5standard	3.17 for · 5.5 against n 6 Last 5
Shots	12.17 for · 13.67 against n 6 Last 5	19.5standard	9.17 for · 11.17 against n 6 Last 5
Shots on target	3.5 for · 4.17 against n 6 Last 5	8.5standard	3.17 for · 3 against n 6 Last 5
Fouls committed	14.33 for · 14.5 against n 6 Last 5	21.5standard	11.33 for · 12.17 against n 6 Last 5
Cards shown	2.83 for · 2.33 against n 6 Last 5	3.5standard	2.33 for · 2.33 against n 6 Last 5

Referee: R. Eley.

Crewe

Crewe — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 5 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
O. Lunt n 8	59.8	3 6/5	3.6 7/6	—
O. Bogle n 8	52.4	2.4 5/2	3.2 4/4	—
C. Thomas n 8	68	2.3 5/4	0.7 2/1	—
K. Hemmings n 8	49.9	2.3 5/4	1.4 2/2	—
A. Thibaut n 8	48.1	2.1 4/2	3.5 6/5	—

Crewe — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 5 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. March n 8	88	3.5 7/7	1.3 6/3
J. Lankester n 8	60.3	2.6 6/3	1.3 4/2
Calum Agius n 8	41.6	1.6 3/2	1.1 3/1
C. Long n 8	58.9	1.1 3/3	0.6 3/0
K. Hemmings n 8	49.9	1.1 4/1	0.9 3/1

Crewe — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 5 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. March n 8	88	0.3 2/0	0.5 4/0
J. Lankester n 8	60.3	0.6 3/0	0.2 1/0
C. Thomas n 8	68	0.3 1/1	0 0/0
Calum Agius n 8	41.6	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
M. Demetriou n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0

Crewe — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 5 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Sanders n 8	61.1	4 8/5
M. Conway n 8	88.3	3.6 8/7
R. Cooney n 8	41.8	2.7 4/3
Calum Agius n 8	41.6	2.4 5/2
O. Lunt n 8	59.8	2.1 7/2

Accrington ST

Accrington ST — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 5 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
T. Walton n 8	66.4	2 6/5	0.5 2/1	—
Benn David Ward n 8	86.6	1.6 8/3	1.2 5/3	—
D. Martin n 8	57	1.6 6/2	0.6 2/1	—
C. Brown n 8	31.5	1.4 3/1	1.4 4/0	—
D. Love n 8	79.5	1.3 5/1	0.6 3/1	—

Accrington ST — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 5 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Woods n 8	60.1	1.7 5/2	0.9 4/1
B. Woods n 8	90	1.1 6/2	0.6 4/1
C. Brown n 8	31.5	1.1 3/0	0.4 1/0
T. Walton n 8	66.4	1 4/2	0.5 3/0
D. Martin n 8	57	1 3/2	0.2 1/0

Accrington ST — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 5 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Woods n 8	60.1	0.4 2/0	0.2 1/0
B. Woods n 8	90	0.5 4/0	0.1 1/0
T. Walton n 8	66.4	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
K. Mooney n 8	35	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0
S. Whalley n 8	76	0.3 2/0	0 0/0

Accrington ST — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 5 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
S. Quirk n 8	53.3	3.2 5/4
D. Love n 8	79.5	3.1 6/5
Benn David Ward n 8	86.6	3 8/6
Sonny Aljofree n 8	83	2.7 8/4
D. Martin n 8	57	2.4 6/5

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Crewe		Accrington ST
56%	Possession	44%
2.24	Expected goals (xG)	0.52
15	Shots	9
4	Shots on target	3
5	Shots off target	4
6	Blocked shots	2
8	Shots inside the box	4
8	Corners	2
0	Offsides	2
13	Fouls	19
1	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
3	Saves	2
337	Passes	270
68%	Pass accuracy	66%

Crewe player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
T. Booth	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
L. Billington	90	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	6.9
J. Connolly	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.3
M. Demetriou	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	7.7
R. Hutchinson	90	1	0	2	1	1	3	0	8.7
O. Lunt	90	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	6.6
J. March	90	0	2	0	0	3	1	0	7.3
C. Thomas	87	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.9
T. O'Reilly	87	0	0	0	0	3	2	0	7.2
Calum Agius	80	1	0	2	1	0	0	0	7.9
M. Sanders	77	0	0	2	1	1	1	Y	7
E. Tezgel sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
L. Moult sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
J. Powell sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
C. Finney sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.5

Accrington ST player stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. Kelly	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
Devon Matthews	90	0	0	0	2	0	6.3
F. Rawson	90	0	0	1	3	Y	7.3
F. Sass	90	0	0	0	3	0	7.2
D. Love	90	0	0	0	1	0	6
L. Coyle	90	1	0	0	3	0	6.5
I. Sinclair	90	1	0	0	0	0	6.3
C. Caton	82	1	0	1	0	0	6.3
J. Woods	82	2	1	1	0	0	6.6
C. Grant	45	1	1	1	3	0	6.6
Logan Pye	45	0	0	0	3	0	6.7
Alex Henderson sub	45	0	0	1	1	0	6.6
C. Brown sub	45	1	1	0	2	Y	6.7
A. Popoola sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
K. Mooney sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	6.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Crewe v Accrington ST — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

CreweDLLLW

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1 conceded per game

Accrington STDWLDW

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Crewe 1 · 2 draws · Accrington ST 3 · 2.33 goals/game

2025-01-25 Crewe 0–1 Accrington ST
2024-09-14 Accrington ST 0–1 Crewe
2024-04-06 Accrington ST 0–0 Crewe
2023-12-16 Crewe 3–3 Accrington ST
2022-02-12 Accrington ST 4–1 Crewe
2021-08-21 Crewe 0–1 Accrington ST

League standing · 2025/26

Crewe#11 pos67 pts46 pl+6 GD

Accrington ST#16 pos53 pts46 pl-11 GD

Goals per game

Crewe scored1.39

Accrington ST scored1.02

Crewe conceded1.26

Accrington ST conceded1.26

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Crewe v Accrington ST?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Crewe v Accrington ST was Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Crewe and Accrington ST?: In their last 6 meetings, Crewe won 1, Accrington ST won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Crewe and Accrington ST?: Recent form — Crewe 1W 1D 3L; Accrington ST 2W 2D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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