Crewe v Carlisle result
Team pages: Crewe · Carlisle · Head-to-head
Crewe 3–2 Carlisle — Crewe won this League Two match.
The result
Crewe beat Carlisle 3–2 at Mornflake Stadium in League Two on Wednesday 1 January. It is Crewe’s first win over Carlisle since 1 January 2020, after three meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).
The goals
It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Carlisle: J. Ellis (21’, assisted by Harrison Biggins) and K. Harris (78’, assisted by L. Armstrong); Crewe: C. Long (32’, assisted by Matúš Holíček), O. Bogle (90+3’, assisted by J. Powell) and Jack Lankester (90+8’, assisted by Matúš Holíček).
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Crewe 0.00, Carlisle 0.00, from 18 shots to 13 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
S. Mather showed seven yellow cards — against 3.5 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Crewe: Z. Williams (35’), Jamie Knight-Lebel (86’) and Max Conway (90+2’); Carlisle: Samuel Lavelle (8’), Harrison Neal (53’), Gabriel Breeze (84’) and Harrison Biggins (90+6’).
What it changes
Crewe have scored 49 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2024/25 so far, after 46 games, ranked per game). Crewe have conceded 48 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 24 clubs.
Carlisle have scored 44 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2024/25 so far, after 46 games, ranked per game). Carlisle have conceded 71 goals, the third-most of the 24 clubs.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Matúš Holíček (Crewe) 9.3, L. Armstrong (Carlisle) 5.8 and O. Bogle (Crewe) 5.6 led the match.
Head-to-head
Carlisle are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Crewe.
Next up
Crewe next host Newport County on 14 November 2026.
Carlisle next host Boston United on 14 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Crewe: Crewe v Newport County, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Carlisle: Carlisle v Boston United, Saturday 14 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Crewe 3–2 Carlisle · League Two
- Venue: Mornflake Stadium · Crewe, Cheshire
- Referee: S. Mather
- Head-to-head (last 6): Crewe 3 · draws 2 · Carlisle 1 · 3.17 goals/game
- Recent form: Crewe 1W 3D 1L · Carlisle 1W 2D 2L
Crewe 3–2 Carlisle (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 May 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 29 December 2024. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Crewe for / against | Line | Carlisle for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.13 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 0.63 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.2 for · 3.8 against n 5 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5 for · 4.6 against n 5 Last 5 |
| Shots | 11.8 for · 10.6 against n 5 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 8 for · 11.8 against n 5 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 2.8 for · 2 against n 5 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 2 for · 4.2 against n 5 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 13.6 for · 11.6 against n 5 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12.8 for · 13.4 against n 5 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 3 for · 3.4 against n 5 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 3.2 for · 3 against n 5 Last 5 |
Referee: S. Mather — 3.5 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 20.6 fouls over 10 matches.
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Crewe
Crewe Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Marschall n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| M. Conway n 8 | 84 | 0.7 | 1.3 | H. Neal |
| S. Tracey n 8 | 88.1 | 2 | 1.4 | — |
| J. Tabiner n 8 | 89 | 1.4 | 1.4 | D. Sadi |
| M. Demetriou n 8 | 90 | 0.8 | 0.8 | J. Mellish |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| F. Marschall n 8 | 90 | 0 |
| M. Conway n 8 | 84 | 2 |
| S. Tracey n 8 | 88.1 | 0.5 |
| J. Tabiner n 8 | 89 | 1 |
| M. Demetriou n 8 | 90 | 1.4 |
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Crewe Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| F. Marschall n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Conway n 8 | 84 | 0.3 | 0 |
| S. Tracey n 8 | 88.1 | 1 | 0.4 |
| J. Tabiner n 8 | 89 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| M. Demetriou n 8 | 90 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| F. Marschall n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Conway n 8 | 84 | 0 | 0.1 |
| S. Tracey n 8 | 88.1 | 0.1 | 0 |
| J. Tabiner n 8 | 89 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| M. Demetriou n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
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Carlisle
Carlisle Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Mellish n 8 | 79 | 1 | 1.4 | M. Demetriou |
| D. Sadi n 8 | 84.3 | 2 | 1.5 | J. Tabiner |
| S. Lavelle n 8 | 87.4 | 0.6 | 0.5 | — |
| H. Neal n 8 | 48.6 | 3.2 | 2.1 | M. Conway |
| C. Harper n 8 | 79.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Mellish n 8 | 79 | 1.6 |
| D. Sadi n 8 | 84.3 | 3.3 |
| S. Lavelle n 8 | 87.4 | 1.5 |
| H. Neal n 8 | 48.6 | 3.5 |
| C. Harper n 8 | 79.4 | 1.4 |
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Carlisle Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Mellish n 8 | 79 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| D. Sadi n 8 | 84.3 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
| S. Lavelle n 8 | 87.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| H. Neal n 8 | 48.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| C. Harper n 8 | 79.4 | 0.1 | 0 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Mellish n 8 | 79 | 0 | 0.1 |
| D. Sadi n 8 | 84.3 | 0.1 | 0 |
| S. Lavelle n 8 | 87.4 | 0 | 0.1 |
| H. Neal n 8 | 48.6 | 0 | 0 |
| C. Harper n 8 | 79.4 | 0 | 0 |
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Match Statistics & Details
| Crewe | Carlisle | |
|---|---|---|
| 43% | Possession | 57% |
| 18 | Shots | 13 |
| 8 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 4 | Shots off target | 3 |
| 6 | Blocked shots | 4 |
| 13 | Shots inside the box | 7 |
| 7 | Corners | 8 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 4 | Saves | 5 |
| 272 | Passes | 371 |
| 59% | Pass accuracy | 69% |
Crewe Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Marschall | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Jamie Knight-Lebel | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Y | 6.9 |
| M. Demetriou | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| M. Holíček | 90 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7.9 |
| M. Sanders | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| M. Conway | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | Y | 7.2 |
| J. Tabiner | 83 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| C. Long | 72 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| R. Cooney | 71 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| S. Tracey | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Z. Williams | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.7 |
| J. Connolly sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| J. Lankester sub | 23 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| C. Finney sub | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.3 |
| O. Bogle sub | 18 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| J. Powell sub | 16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.5 |
Carlisle Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Breeze | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 7 |
| B. Barclay | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| S. Lavelle | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 7 |
| J. Mellish | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| H. Neal | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | Y | 6.9 |
| H. Biggins | 90 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | Y | 7.2 |
| L. Armstrong | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| D. Adu-Adjei | 83 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| D. Sadi | 82 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7.2 |
| C. Harper | 59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| J. Ellis | 59 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| K. Harris sub | 31 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Jordan Jones sub | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| T. Charters sub | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| T. Burey sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Crewe v Carlisle — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2024-11-30 Carlisle 1–1 Crewe
- 2022-12-29 Crewe 0–3 Carlisle
- 2022-10-01 Carlisle 0–0 Crewe
- 2020-01-01 Crewe 4–1 Carlisle
- 2019-10-12 Carlisle 2–4 Crewe
- 2019-02-12 Crewe 2–1 Carlisle
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Crewe and Carlisle?
- In their last 6 meetings, Crewe won 3, Carlisle won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Crewe and Carlisle?
- Recent form — Crewe 1W 3D 1L; Carlisle 1W 2D 2L.
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