CreweCrawley Town

Crewe v Crawley Town result

Full-time · Crewe 1–0 Crawley Town

League Two ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Crewe · Crawley Town · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Crewe 1–0 Crawley Town — Crewe won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Crewe beat Crawley Town 1–0 in League Two on Saturday 16 August. Crawley Town have lost their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

Crewe led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Crewe: T. O'Reilly (23’, assisted by Joshua March).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with T. O'Reilly’s goal on 23 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Crewe 0.00, Crawley Town 0.00, from 13 shots to 16 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

S. Stockbridge showed six yellow cards — against 3.7 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Crewe: James Connolly (45+2’), Reece Hutchinson (71’), T. O'Reilly (85’) and Owen Lunt (87’); Crawley Town: Jay Williams (67’) and J. Roles (85’).

What it changes

Crewe stay first (shared) after this result (three league matches played). Crewe have scored 60 goals, the seventh-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 42 games, ranked per game). Crewe have conceded 50 goals, the 12th-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Crawley Town stay 23rd (shared) after this result (three league matches played). Crawley Town have scored 41 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 42 games, ranked per game). Crawley Town have conceded 63 goals, the seventh-most of the 24 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Joshua March (Crewe) 5.8, T. O'Reilly (Crewe) 5.3 and Reece Hutchinson (Crewe) 4.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.5% of the time in the last 90 days (346 of 505).

Next up

Crewe next host Newport County on 14 November 2026.

Crawley Town next travel to Wimborne Town on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Crewe: Crewe v Newport County, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Crawley Town: Wimborne Town v Crawley Town, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Crewe 1–0 Crawley Town · League Two
  • Referee: S. Stockbridge
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Crewe 4 · draws 1 · Crawley Town 1 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Crewe 2W 0D 3L · Crawley Town 2W 0D 3L

Crewe 1–0 Crawley Town (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 4
Corners
against 5 / 5.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.5 / 4
Shots on target
against 5.13 / 4.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 1.88
Cards
against 2.25 / 2.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.71 yellows
Referee · S. Stockbridge
23.57 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 12 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameCrewe for / againstLineCrawley Town for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
4.5 for · 5 against n 8
9.5standard
4 for · 5.75 against n 8
Shots
11.88 for · 14 against n 8
19.5standard
10.88 for · 11.63 against n 8
Shots on target
3.5 for · 5.13 against n 8
8.5standard
4 for · 4.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.88 for · 14.5 against n 8
21.5standard
10.13 for · 12.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 2.38 against n 8

Referee: S. Stockbridge — 3.71 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 23.57 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Crewe

Crewe Defensive

Crewe — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crewe before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
O. Lunt n 873.6
3.27/7
3.88/8
J. Williams
J. Connolly n 871.4
1.46/3
0.85/0
J. Flint
L. Billington n 882.4
0.54/0
0.53/1
J. Flint
Calum Agius n 854
0.82/2
2.55/4
—
T. O'Reilly n 365
2.33/1
2.83/2
—
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Crewe — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crewe before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
O. Lunt n 873.6
1.56/2
J. Connolly n 871.4
0.94/2
L. Billington n 882.4
0.74/1
Calum Agius n 854
2.15/3
T. O'Reilly n 365
2.33/2
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Crewe Attacking

Crewe — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crewe before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Connolly n 871.4
0.82/2
0.52/1
O. Lunt n 873.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
L. Billington n 882.4
0.84/2
0.11/0
Calum Agius n 854
1.74/3
14/1
T. O'Reilly n 365
1.82/1
0.51/0
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Crewe — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crewe before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
O. Lunt n 873.6
00/0
00/0
J. Connolly n 871.4
00/0
00/0
L. Billington n 882.4
00/0
0.11/0
Calum Agius n 854
0.42/0
00/0
T. O'Reilly n 365
00/0
00/0
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Crawley Town

Crawley Town Defensive

Crawley Town — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crawley Town before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Barker n 890
0.95/1
0.64/1
—
J. Flint n 877.3
0.42/1
2.27/4
L. Billington
H. Davies n 390
0.31/0
0.31/0
—
K. Tshimanga n 386.3
0.72/0
0.31/0
—
J. Williams n 887.3
2.27/6
1.86/5
O. Lunt
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Crawley Town — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crawley Town before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Barker n 890
1.95/4
J. Flint n 877.3
1.56/2
H. Davies n 390
00/0
K. Tshimanga n 386.3
0.31/0
J. Williams n 887.3
0.84/2
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Crawley Town Attacking

Crawley Town — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crawley Town before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Barker n 890
0.64/1
0.11/0
J. Flint n 877.3
0.11/0
00/0
H. Davies n 390
00/0
00/0
K. Tshimanga n 386.3
13/0
0.31/0
J. Williams n 887.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
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Crawley Town — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crawley Town before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
H. Davies n 390
00/0
00/0
C. Barker n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Flint n 877.3
00/0
00/0
K. Tshimanga n 386.3
0.31/0
00/0
J. Williams n 887.3
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CreweCrawley Town
47%Possession53%
13Shots16
2Shots on target4
9Shots off target6
2Blocked shots6
7Shots inside the box10
7Corners3
7Offsides0
20Fouls16
4Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
4Saves1
265Passes319
63%Pass accuracy69%

Crewe Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. Booth9000000006.9
L. Billington9000000207.2
J. Connolly90000001Y7.3
M. Demetriou9000000107.6
R. Hutchinson90000023Y7.3
O. Lunt90001002Y6.9
C. Thomas9000100106.7
T. O'Reilly90104132Y7.7
M. Sanders9000113307.5
J. March8201303206.9
Calum Agius7300100206.9
E. Tezgel sub1800000006.6
C. Finney sub900000006.7
A. Thibaut sub10000000–

Crawley Town Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
H. Davies9000000006.7
C. Barker9000100006.6
J. Mukena9000200006.7
J. Flint9000000107
J. Williams90000003Y6.9
A. Adeyemo9000000006.6
K. Tshimanga9000112006.2
M. Anderson7300000206.6
H. McKirdy6400110106.6
R. Brown6400112106.3
Louis Flower6300101106.5
D. Cashman sub2800100006.2
L. Watson sub2700000206.9
K. Dixon sub2700210106.6
J. Roles sub18000040Y7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Crewe v Crawley Town — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CreweLLWWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Crawley TownWWLLL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Crewe 4 · 1 draw · Crawley Town 1 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2024-05-19 Crawley Town 2–0 Crewe
  • 2024-02-10 Crewe 1–0 Crawley Town
  • 2023-10-21 Crawley Town 2–4 Crewe
  • 2023-02-11 Crawley Town 2–2 Crewe
  • 2022-09-17 Crewe 1–0 Crawley Town
  • 2020-02-11 Crewe 2–1 Crawley Town
League standing · 2025/26
Crewe#11 pos67 pts46 pl+6 GD
Crawley Town#22 pos40 pts46 pl-24 GD
Goals per game
Crewe scored1.39
Crawley Town scored0.96
Crewe conceded1.26
Crawley Town conceded1.48

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Crewe v Crawley Town?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Crewe v Crawley Town was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Crewe and Crawley Town?
In their last 6 meetings, Crewe won 4, Crawley Town won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Crewe and Crawley Town?
Recent form — Crewe 2W 0D 3L; Crawley Town 2W 0D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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