Crewe v Oldham result
Team pages: Crewe · Oldham · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Crewe 2–1 Oldham — Crewe won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
The result
Crewe beat Oldham 2–1 in League Two on Saturday 28 March. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Oldham out-shot Crewe 23 to 18 and created the better chances, 1.67 xG to 1.30 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
The goals
It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Oldham: Kane Drummond (29’, assisted by Kai Payne); Crewe: Reece Hutchinson (33’, assisted by Matúš Holíček) and Matúš Holíček (90’).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Matúš Holíček’s goal on 90 minutes.
Discipline
S. Mather showed four yellow cards — against 3.5 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Crewe: Reece Hutchinson (46’), Alfie Pond (75’), M. Sanders (83’) and Matúš Holíček (90+2’).
What it changes
Crewe move up from ninth to seventh (40 league matches played). Crewe have scored 60 goals, the seventh-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 42 games, ranked per game). Crewe have conceded 50 goals, the 12th-fewest of the 24 clubs.
Oldham move down from ninth to 10th (39 league matches played). Oldham have scored 53 goals, the 12th-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 41 games, ranked per game). Oldham have conceded 36 goals, the second-fewest of the 24 clubs.
Crewe are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Oldham have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Kane Drummond (Oldham) 9.6, Reece Hutchinson (Crewe) 7.8 and Matúš Holíček (Crewe) 6.9 led the match.
Head-to-head
Crewe are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Oldham.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Crewe or Oldham (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).
Next up
Crewe next host Newport County on 14 November 2026.
Oldham next host Sheffield Wednesday on 8 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Crewe: Crewe v Newport County, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Oldham: Oldham v Sheffield Wednesday, Sunday 8 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Crewe 2–1 Oldham · League Two
- Referee: S. Mather
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 5): Crewe 2 · draws 2 · Oldham 1 · 2 goals/game
- Recent form: Crewe 2W 1D 2L · Oldham 5W 0D 0L
Crewe 2–1 Oldham (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Crewe for / against | Line | Oldham for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.38 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 2 for · 0.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.5 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.63 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 11.38 for · 15.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11.63 for · 10.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.38 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5.63 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.25 for · 13.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12.25 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.5 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.63 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: S. Mather — 3.5 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 20.6 fouls over 10 matches.
The referee's home and away split · Pro
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Crewe
Crewe Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Billington n 8 | 90 | 0.3 | 0.3 | J. Robson |
| T. O'Reilly n 8 | 74.8 | 2.1 | 2.6 | — |
| R. Hutchinson n 8 | 85.3 | 0.4 | 0.9 | D. Daniels |
| Calum Agius n 8 | 74.9 | 0.8 | 0.9 | — |
| J. Connolly n 8 | 76.4 | 1.8 | 1.3 | E. Monthe |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. Billington n 8 | 90 | 1.4 |
| T. O'Reilly n 8 | 74.8 | 2.1 |
| R. Hutchinson n 8 | 85.3 | 1.3 |
| Calum Agius n 8 | 74.9 | 2 |
| J. Connolly n 8 | 76.4 | 1.2 |
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Crewe Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| L. Billington n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0 |
| T. O'Reilly n 8 | 74.8 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| R. Hutchinson n 8 | 85.3 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Calum Agius n 8 | 74.9 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| J. Connolly n 8 | 76.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| L. Billington n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.1 |
| T. O'Reilly n 8 | 74.8 | 0 | 0.3 |
| R. Hutchinson n 8 | 85.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Calum Agius n 8 | 74.9 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Connolly n 8 | 76.4 | 0.1 | 0 |
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Oldham
Oldham Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Monthe n 8 | 90 | 1.4 | 0.9 | J. Connolly |
| M. Hudson n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| J. Robson n 8 | 90 | 0.8 | 0.9 | L. Billington |
| R. Woods n 8 | 86.8 | 1 | 1.9 | — |
| D. Daniels n 8 | 90 | 0.5 | 0.8 | R. Hutchinson |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| E. Monthe n 8 | 90 | 0.9 |
| M. Hudson n 8 | 90 | 0 |
| J. Robson n 8 | 90 | 1.6 |
| R. Woods n 8 | 86.8 | 1.2 |
| D. Daniels n 8 | 90 | 1 |
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Oldham Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| E. Monthe n 8 | 90 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| M. Hudson n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Robson n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| R. Woods n 8 | 86.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| D. Daniels n 8 | 90 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| E. Monthe n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| M. Hudson n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.1 |
| J. Robson n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| R. Woods n 8 | 86.8 | 0 | 0 |
| D. Daniels n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Crewe | Oldham | |
|---|---|---|
| 47% | Possession | 53% |
| 1.30 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.67 |
| 18 | Shots | 23 |
| 7 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 6 | Shots off target | 15 |
| 5 | Blocked shots | 4 |
| 9 | Shots inside the box | 14 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 13 | Fouls | 9 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 5 |
| 322 | Passes | 356 |
| 68% | Pass accuracy | 65% |
Crewe Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Lawlor | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| L. Billington | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| A. Pond | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Y | 6.6 |
| J. Connolly | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| R. Hutchinson | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | Y | 8.2 |
| M. Holíček | 90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Y | 8.3 |
| J. March | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| E. Tezgel | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| M. Sanders | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.3 |
| T. O'Reilly | 74 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| J. Lankester | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| J. Powell sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| A. Thibaut sub | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.2 |
| O. Bogle sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Oldham Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Hudson | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| D. Daniels | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| E. Monthe | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| J. Robson | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6.2 |
| T. Pett | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| R. Woods | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| K. Drummond | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7.7 |
| M. Fondop-Talum | 90 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| W. Sutton | 75 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Jack Stevens | 60 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Kai Payne | 45 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| C. Kavanagh sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| J. Hawkes sub | 30 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| J. Leake sub | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Crewe v Oldham — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-11-15 Oldham 0–0 Crewe
- 2020-02-08 Crewe 2–1 Oldham
- 2019-08-10 Oldham 1–2 Crewe
- 2019-02-16 Oldham 1–1 Crewe
- 2018-12-08 Crewe 0–2 Oldham
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Crewe v Oldham?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Crewe v Oldham was Home or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Crewe and Oldham?
- In their last 5 meetings, Crewe won 2, Oldham won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Crewe and Oldham?
- Recent form — Crewe 2W 1D 2L; Oldham 5W 0D 0L.
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