GillinghamAccrington ST

Gillingham v Accrington ST result

Full-time · Gillingham 2–0 Accrington ST

League Two ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Gillingham 2–0 Accrington ST — Gillingham won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55% of 140 landed (95% range 46.7–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Gillingham beat Accrington ST 2–0 in League Two on Monday 6 April. It is Gillingham’s first win over Accrington ST since 13 January 2024, after three meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

Gillingham led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Gillingham: Andrew Smith (36’) and Garath McCleary (56’). Tyler Walton (81’) and David Ogundele Abimbola (90+5’) were sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Andrew Smith’s goal on 36 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Gillingham 0.87, Accrington ST 0.64, from 11 shots to 8 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Gillingham: Ronan Hale (11’), N. Khumbeni (24’) and Garath McCleary (42’); Accrington ST: Oliver Wright (11’), Josh Woods (33’), Tyler Walton (75’) and Paddy Madden (80’).

What it changes

Gillingham move up from 17th to 16th (41 league matches played). Gillingham have scored 53 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Gillingham have conceded 72 goals, the fifth-most of the 24 clubs.

Accrington ST stay 15th after this result (41 league matches played). Accrington ST have scored 47 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Accrington ST have conceded 58 goals, the 12th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Andrew Smith (Gillingham) 7.0, Armani Little (Gillingham) 6.4 and Garath McCleary (Gillingham) 4.2 led the match.

Head-to-head

Accrington ST are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Gillingham.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Gillingham next travel to Colchester on 14 November 2026.

Accrington ST next travel to Port Vale on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Gillingham: Colchester v Gillingham, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Accrington ST: Port Vale v Accrington ST, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Gillingham 2–0 Accrington ST · League Two
  • Referee: G. Laflin
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Gillingham 3 · draws 2 · Accrington ST 1 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Gillingham 0W 1D 4L · Accrington ST 1W 1D 3L

Gillingham 2–0 Accrington ST (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 0.5
Goals
against 2.38 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 3.75
Corners
against 4.13 / 7.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.88 / 2.75
Shots on target
against 4.63 / 4 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 2.13
Cards
against 1.13 / 1 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameGillingham for / againstLineAccrington ST for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 2.38 against n 8
2.5standard
0.5 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
4.5 for · 4.13 against n 8
9.5standard
3.75 for · 7.25 against n 8
Shots
11.25 for · 11.38 against n 8
19.5standard
9.5 for · 13.75 against n 8
Shots on target
2.88 for · 4.63 against n 8
8.5standard
2.75 for · 4 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.63 for · 9.88 against n 8
21.5standard
10.63 for · 9.88 against n 8
Cards shown
2.38 for · 1.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 1 against n 8

Referee: G. Laflin.

Gillingham

Gillingham Defensive

Gillingham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gillingham before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Hutton n 882
0.54/0
0.11/0
—
S. Gale n 883.8
1.77/3
0.84/1
S. Conneely
R. McKenzie n 870.3
13/1
0.64/0
—
M. Clark n 884.5
0.95/2
0.54/0
—
B. Dack n 873.1
26/3
1.86/4
—
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Gillingham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gillingham before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Hutton n 882
1.46/3
S. Gale n 883.8
1.77/3
R. McKenzie n 870.3
1.15/1
M. Clark n 884.5
3.16/5
B. Dack n 873.1
25/3
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Gillingham Attacking

Gillingham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gillingham before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Hutton n 882
0.32/0
0.32/0
S. Gale n 883.8
00/0
00/0
R. McKenzie n 870.3
1.34/3
0.32/0
M. Clark n 884.5
0.73/2
00/0
B. Dack n 873.1
1.56/3
0.32/0
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Gillingham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gillingham before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Hutton n 882
00/0
00/0
S. Gale n 883.8
00/0
00/0
R. McKenzie n 870.3
0.21/0
00/0
M. Clark n 884.5
00/0
0.11/0
B. Dack n 873.1
00/0
00/0
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Accrington ST

Accrington ST Defensive

Accrington ST — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Oliver Wright n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
Devon Matthews n 885
0.74/1
1.36/3
—
I. Sinclair n 876.5
1.88/2
1.26/2
—
S. Conneely n 867.9
0.84/1
1.74/3
S. Gale
Isaac Heath n 883.1
0.32/0
0.84/2
—
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Accrington ST — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Oliver Wright n 890
00/0
Devon Matthews n 885
1.35/1
I. Sinclair n 876.5
1.85/5
S. Conneely n 867.9
25/4
Isaac Heath n 883.1
0.84/2
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Accrington ST Attacking

Accrington ST — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Oliver Wright n 890
00/0
00/0
Devon Matthews n 885
0.43/0
00/0
I. Sinclair n 876.5
0.74/1
0.43/0
S. Conneely n 867.9
13/1
0.53/0
Isaac Heath n 883.1
0.53/1
0.53/1
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Accrington ST — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Oliver Wright n 890
00/0
00/0
Devon Matthews n 885
00/0
00/0
I. Sinclair n 876.5
0.11/0
0.11/0
S. Conneely n 867.9
0.21/0
00/0
Isaac Heath n 883.1
00/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
GillinghamAccrington ST
54%Possession46%
0.87Expected goals (xG)0.64
11Shots8
5Shots on target0
4Shots off target4
2Blocked shots4
8Shots inside the box4
6Corners2
2Offsides3
13Fouls18
3Yellow cards4
0Red cards2
1Saves3
319Passes281
62%Pass accuracy61%

Gillingham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
G. Morris9000000006.7
R. Hutton9000001007
M. Clark9000102007.5
S. Gale9000000206.5
N. Khumbeni90000010Y6.7
S. Palmer-Houlden9000110106.5
Lenni Rae Cirino8400210006.9
A. Smith8310221108
Ronan Hale83011011Y6.2
G. McCleary62101101Y7.3
A. Little5501002107.9
J. Williams sub3500000106.6
B. Dack sub2800000107.2
S. Vokes sub1800100006.5
C. Masterson sub1800000106.9
Louie Dayal sub1700002006.6

Accrington ST Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Oliver Wright90000000Y6.7
F. Rawson9000000207.2
D. Love9000101306.5
F. Sass9000101206.2
I. Sinclair9000001106
S. Whalley8400001106.5
T. Walton81002001RY5.7
J. Woods74000022Y6.3
C. O'Brien5800000306
S. Conneely5800000007.2
D. Martin5800000006.5
P. Madden sub32000000Y6.3
L. Coyle sub3200000106.5
Devon Matthews sub3200000006.6
David Ogundele Abimbola sub21000000R5.9
Luke Joseph Butterfield sub1700000206.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Gillingham v Accrington ST — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
GillinghamLLLLD
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.6 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
Accrington STDLLLW
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Gillingham 3 · 2 draws · Accrington ST 1 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2025-08-02 Accrington ST 1–1 Gillingham
  • 2025-03-15 Accrington ST 1–1 Gillingham
  • 2024-10-12 Gillingham 1–2 Accrington ST
  • 2024-01-13 Accrington ST 1–2 Gillingham
  • 2023-08-12 Gillingham 1–0 Accrington ST
  • 2022-03-26 Accrington ST 1–2 Gillingham
League standing · 2025/26
Gillingham#17 pos53 pts46 pl-19 GD
Accrington ST#16 pos53 pts46 pl-11 GD
Goals per game
Gillingham scored1.15
Accrington ST scored1.02
Gillingham conceded1.57
Accrington ST conceded1.26

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Gillingham v Accrington ST?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Gillingham v Accrington ST was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Gillingham and Accrington ST?
In their last 6 meetings, Gillingham won 3, Accrington ST won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Gillingham and Accrington ST?
Recent form — Gillingham 0W 1D 4L; Accrington ST 1W 1D 3L.

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