GillinghamShrewsbury

Gillingham v Shrewsbury result

Full-time · Gillingham 1–0 Shrewsbury

League Two ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Gillingham · Shrewsbury · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Gillingham 1–0 Shrewsbury — Gillingham won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55% of 140 landed (95% range 46.7–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Gillingham beat Shrewsbury 1–0 in League Two on Saturday 2 May. It is Gillingham’s first win over Shrewsbury since 29 January 2020, after five meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Gillingham: Garath McCleary (90’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Garath McCleary’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Shrewsbury out-shot Gillingham 15 to 6 and created the better chances, 1.82 xG to 0.31 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

D. Rock showed three yellow cards — against 4.7 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Gillingham: Ronan Hale (37’); Shrewsbury: Taylor Perry (31’) and W. Gary (57’).

What it changes

Gillingham move up from 18th to 17th (46 league matches played).

Shrewsbury stay 19th after this result (46 league matches played).

Shrewsbury are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Garath McCleary (Gillingham) 4.3, J. Williams (Gillingham) 4.2 and Kevin Berkoe (Shrewsbury) 4.1 led the match.

Head-to-head

Shrewsbury are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Gillingham.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Gillingham next host Barrow on 7 November 2026.

Shrewsbury next travel to Eastleigh on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Gillingham: Gillingham v Barrow, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Shrewsbury: Eastleigh v Shrewsbury, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Gillingham 1–0 Shrewsbury · League Two
  • Referee: D. Rock
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Gillingham 1 · draws 4 · Shrewsbury 1 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Gillingham 1W 1D 3L · Shrewsbury 2W 2D 1L

Gillingham 1–0 Shrewsbury (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 0.63
Goals
against 2.25 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 3.13
Corners
against 4.63 / 5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3 / 2.5
Shots on target
against 5.13 / 3.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 1.38
Cards
against 1.88 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.73 yellows
Referee · D. Rock
24.27 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 11 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameGillingham for / againstLineShrewsbury for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 2.25 against n 8
2.5our book
0.63 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
4.63 for · 4.63 against n 8
9.5standard
3.13 for · 5 against n 8
Shots
9.13 for · 12.63 against n 8
19.5standard
9.25 for · 9.25 against n 8
Shots on target
3 for · 5.13 against n 8
8.5standard
2.5 for · 3.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.63 for · 10.63 against n 8
21.5standard
9.88 for · 11.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2.38 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.38 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: D. Rock — 4.73 yellow cards a game, 0.45 red cards, 24.27 fouls over 11 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Gillingham

Gillingham Defensive

Gillingham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gillingham before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Hutton n 890
0.95/2
0.94/2
T. Perry
S. Gale n 890
1.36/2
1.16/2
W. Boyle
M. Clark n 888.4
1.14/1
0.32/0
T. Perry
R. McKenzie n 872.6
1.14/1
0.53/0
T. Perry
B. Dack n 870.9
1.65/2
1.76/3
—
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Gillingham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gillingham before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Hutton n 890
1.56/4
S. Gale n 890
1.56/4
M. Clark n 888.4
2.96/5
R. McKenzie n 872.6
1.56/3
B. Dack n 870.9
38/5
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Gillingham Attacking

Gillingham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gillingham before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Hutton n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
S. Gale n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Clark n 888.4
0.53/1
0.11/0
R. McKenzie n 872.6
0.93/2
0.21/0
B. Dack n 870.9
14/2
0.52/1
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Gillingham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gillingham before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Hutton n 890
00/0
00/0
S. Gale n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Clark n 888.4
00/0
00/0
R. McKenzie n 872.6
0.21/0
00/0
B. Dack n 870.9
00/0
0.21/0
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Shrewsbury

Shrewsbury Goalkeeper

Shrewsbury — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Elyh Harrison890720 min293.6 /90222.8 /9010.1 /90
Shrewsbury — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shrewsbury before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Elyh Harrison n 890
3.67/6

Shrewsbury Defensive

Shrewsbury — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
W. Boyle44883854 min511.2 /90411 /90300.7 /903077.2 /90461.1 /90110.3 /90
L. Hoole35782733 min892.9 /90301 /90150.5 /902227.3 /90441.4 /9070.2 /90
T. Anderson29852457 min371.4 /90301.1 /90140.5 /901987.3 /90230.8 /9060.2 /90
T. Perry44743250 min942.6 /90501.4 /9080.2 /901945.4 /90531.5 /90100.3 /90
Ismeal Kabia39823187 min601.7 /90250.7 /9040.1 /901624.6 /90310.9 /9040.1 /90
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Shrewsbury — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shrewsbury before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
W. Boyle n 890
0.54/0
0.43/0
S. Gale
T. Perry n 863.4
1.64/3
24/3
R. McKenzie
Ismeal Kabia n 881.3
0.85/1
1.55/3
—
G. Lloyd n 856
2.25/3
2.66/5
—
S. Clucas n 860.6
1.34/1
0.21/0
—
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Shrewsbury — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shrewsbury before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
W. Boyle n 890
0.84/2
T. Perry n 863.4
36/4
Ismeal Kabia n 881.3
1.25/2
G. Lloyd n 856
0.62/1
S. Clucas n 860.6
2.66/5
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Shrewsbury Attacking

Shrewsbury — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Marquis35722528 min40.1 /9000 /90240.9 /9090.3 /90170.6 /90130.5 /90
T. McDermott29631841 min10 /9010 /90170.8 /9060.3 /90130.6 /90311.5 /90
Iwan Morgan21751566 min30.2 /9000 /90352 /90181 /90211.2 /90221.3 /90
T. Ogunsuyi1350649 min20.3 /9000 /9081.1 /9040.6 /9030.4 /9060.8 /90
T. Perry44743250 min20.1 /9010 /90210.6 /9080.2 /90190.5 /90140.4 /90
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Shrewsbury — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shrewsbury before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
W. Boyle n 890
0.85/1
0.43/0
T. Perry n 863.4
0.53/0
0.21/0
Ismeal Kabia n 881.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
G. Lloyd n 856
1.25/1
0.21/0
S. Clucas n 860.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
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Shrewsbury — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shrewsbury before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
W. Boyle n 890
0.11/0
00/0
T. Perry n 863.4
00/0
0.21/0
Ismeal Kabia n 881.3
0.11/0
00/0
G. Lloyd n 856
00/0
00/0
S. Clucas n 860.6
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
GillinghamShrewsbury
49%Possession51%
0.31Expected goals (xG)1.82
6Shots15
2Shots on target5
2Shots off target6
2Blocked shots4
1Shots inside the box8
2Corners5
4Offsides4
10Fouls14
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
5Saves1
306Passes303
64%Pass accuracy73%

Gillingham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
G. Morris9000000007.5
C. Masterson9000000006.9
A. Smith9000000007
R. Hutton9000000106.2
R. McKenzie9000110206.5
A. Little9000000006.9
M. Clark9000000106.6
Ronan Hale90002000Y6.5
S. Vokes7400002007.2
B. Dack6500000106.3
S. Gale3600000006.9
J. Williams sub5400001507.3
G. McCleary sub2510111007.6
S. Palmer-Houlden sub1600001006.3

Shrewsbury Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
William Michael Brook9000000006.2
W. Boyle9000100006.3
J. Ruffels9000101106.9
T. Sang9000003006.2
T. Perry90000023Y7.2
K. Berkoe9000001307.2
Iwan Morgan8700323007.2
J. Marquis7200211006.3
I. Lee7100000006.6
W. Gary71000000Y6.6
G. Lloyd7100001006.2
L. Hoole sub1900000105.6
Isaac England sub1900000006.3
B. Ihionvien sub1900210006.9
T. McDermott sub1800210006.6
H. Aiston sub900000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Gillingham v Shrewsbury — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
GillinghamWDLLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
ShrewsburyWLWDD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Gillingham 1 · 4 draws · Shrewsbury 1 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2025-11-29 Shrewsbury 3–3 Gillingham
  • 2022-01-25 Gillingham 0–0 Shrewsbury
  • 2021-08-28 Shrewsbury 2–1 Gillingham
  • 2021-04-10 Gillingham 0–0 Shrewsbury
  • 2020-10-03 Shrewsbury 1–1 Gillingham
  • 2020-01-29 Gillingham 2–0 Shrewsbury
League standing · 2025/26
Gillingham#17 pos53 pts46 pl-19 GD
Shrewsbury#19 pos49 pts46 pl-27 GD
Goals per game
Gillingham scored1.15
Shrewsbury scored0.91
Gillingham conceded1.57
Shrewsbury conceded1.5

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Gillingham v Shrewsbury?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Gillingham v Shrewsbury was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Gillingham and Shrewsbury?
In their last 6 meetings, Gillingham won 1, Shrewsbury won 1 and there were 4 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Gillingham and Shrewsbury?
Recent form — Gillingham 1W 1D 3L; Shrewsbury 2W 2D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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