Grimsby v Salford City result
Team pages: Grimsby · Salford City · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Grimsby 1–2 Salford City — Salford City won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
The result
Salford City won 2–1 at Grimsby in League Two on Sunday 10 May. Grimsby have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions.
The goals
Salford City led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Grimsby: Reece Staunton (1’); Salford City: Kallum Cesay (4’) and Adebola Oluwo (40’, assisted by Luke Garbutt).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Adebola Oluwo’s goal on 40 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Grimsby 0.78, Salford City 0.56, from 12 shots to 7 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
M. Corlett showed four yellow cards — against 4.6 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Grimsby: Géza Turi (58’); Salford City: Luke Garbutt (19’), Joshua Austerfield (58’) and Matthew Butcher (63’).
What it changes
Grimsby have scored 75 goals, the third-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 47 games, ranked per game). Grimsby have conceded 52 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Salford City have scored 63 goals, the 11th-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 47 games, ranked per game). Salford City have conceded 52 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Salford City are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Adebola Oluwo (Salford City) 7.7, Maldini Kacurri (Grimsby) 6.1 and Reece Staunton (Grimsby) 6.0 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Grimsby or Salford City (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78% of the time in the last 90 days (4028 of 5167).
Next up
Grimsby next travel to Swindon Town on 14 November 2026.
Salford City next host Northampton on 14 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Grimsby: Swindon Town v Grimsby, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Salford City: Salford City v Northampton, Saturday 14 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Grimsby 1–2 Salford City · League Two
- Referee: M. Corlett
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Grimsby 5 · draws 0 · Salford City 1 · 2.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Grimsby 3W 1D 1L · Salford City 2W 2D 1L
Grimsby 1–2 Salford City (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Grimsby for / against | Line | Salford City for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2.25 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5our book | 0.88 for · 0.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.5 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.25 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 14 for · 10 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 13.13 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.38 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 9.5 for · 10 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11 for · 14.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.5 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: M. Corlett — 4.57 yellow cards a game, 0.14 red cards, 22.57 fouls over 7 matches.
The referee's home and away split · Pro
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Grimsby
Grimsby Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Smith | 27 | 902438 min | 521.9 /90 | 250.9 /90 | 20.1 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Smith n 8 | 91 | 0.9 |
Grimsby Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. McJannet | 50 | 904487 min | 661.3 /90 | 460.9 /90 | 280.6 /90 | 3857.7 /90 | 310.6 /90 | 70.1 /90 |
| H. Rodgers | 49 | 864212 min | 561.2 /90 | 320.7 /90 | 170.4 /90 | 2846.1 /90 | 210.4 /90 | 70.1 /90 |
| R. Staunton | 33 | 762522 min | 562 /90 | 291 /90 | 70.2 /90 | 1796.4 /90 | 160.6 /90 | 30.1 /90 |
| J. Sweeney | 24 | 791905 min | 381.8 /90 | 211 /90 | 100.5 /90 | 1044.9 /90 | 231.1 /90 | 30.1 /90 |
| T. Warren | 23 | 781803 min | 371.8 /90 | 341.7 /90 | 150.7 /90 | 1427.1 /90 | 211 /90 | 20.1 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. McJannet n 8 | 91 | 0.5 | 1.1 | L. Garbutt |
| H. Rodgers n 8 | 80 | 0.7 | 0.6 | L. Garbutt |
| K. Green n 8 | 80 | 0.4 | 0.3 | D. Udoh |
| Jaze Kabia n 8 | 84 | 0.9 | 2.1 | — |
| C. Vernam n 8 | 57 | 0.6 | 0.4 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| C. McJannet n 8 | 91 | 1 |
| H. Rodgers n 8 | 80 | 1.1 |
| K. Green n 8 | 80 | 1 |
| Jaze Kabia n 8 | 84 | 2.1 |
| C. Vernam n 8 | 57 | 0.4 |
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Grimsby Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaze Kabia | 45 | 713187 min | 190.5 /90 | 20.1 /90 | 621.8 /90 | 391.1 /90 | 210.6 /90 | 180.5 /90 |
| A. Cook | 23 | 681558 min | 80.5 /90 | 20.1 /90 | 412.4 /90 | 201.2 /90 | 171 /90 | 130.8 /90 |
| Jude Jacob Soonsup-Bell | 16 | 42668 min | 10.1 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 162.2 /90 | 70.9 /90 | 30.4 /90 | 131.8 /90 |
| T. Sellars-Fleming | 5 | 45227 min | 10.4 /90 | 00 /90 | 52 /90 | 31.2 /90 | 31.2 /90 | 10.4 /90 |
| K. Green | 46 | 793634 min | 140.3 /90 | 50.1 /90 | 611.5 /90 | 310.8 /90 | 581.4 /90 | 270.7 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. McJannet n 8 | 91 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| H. Rodgers n 8 | 80 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| K. Green n 8 | 80 | 1.5 | 1 |
| Jaze Kabia n 8 | 84 | 2.1 | 1.5 |
| C. Vernam n 8 | 57 | 1.8 | 1.4 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. McJannet n 8 | 91 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| H. Rodgers n 8 | 80 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| K. Green n 8 | 80 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Jaze Kabia n 8 | 84 | 1.1 | 0.1 |
| C. Vernam n 8 | 57 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
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Salford City
Salford City Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Young | 47 | 904230 min | 1242.6 /90 | 521.1 /90 | 20 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Young n 8 | 90 | 2.4 |
Salford City Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Garbutt | 46 | 894098 min | 691.5 /90 | 350.8 /90 | 330.7 /90 | 2365.2 /90 | 320.7 /90 | 70.2 /90 |
| O. Turton | 39 | 803105 min | 481.4 /90 | 300.9 /90 | 100.3 /90 | 1293.7 /90 | 341 /90 | 40.1 /90 |
| B. Cooper | 36 | 742657 min | 441.5 /90 | 411.4 /90 | 180.6 /90 | 2297.8 /90 | 260.9 /90 | 40.1 /90 |
| A. Oluwo | 35 | 852983 min | 481.4 /90 | 401.2 /90 | 351.1 /90 | 2808.4 /90 | 391.2 /90 | 70.2 /90 |
| H. Mnoga | 25 | 751868 min | 522.5 /90 | 201 /90 | 110.5 /90 | 21210.2 /90 | 532.6 /90 | 130.6 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Young n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| L. Garbutt n 8 | 90 | 0.5 | 0.1 | H. Rodgers |
| J. Grant n 8 | 88.8 | 0.8 | 1.8 | — |
| O. Turton n 8 | 83.5 | 1.2 | 0.7 | — |
| D. Udoh n 8 | 74.1 | 1.5 | 2 | K. Green |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. Garbutt n 8 | 90 | 1 |
| J. Grant n 8 | 88.8 | 1.8 |
| O. Turton n 8 | 83.5 | 2 |
| D. Udoh n 8 | 74.1 | 0.5 |
| J. Austerfield n 8 | 80.8 | 2.2 |
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Salford City Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Udoh | 38 | 782969 min | 90.3 /90 | 70.2 /90 | 441.3 /90 | 280.8 /90 | 461.4 /90 | 200.6 /90 |
| K. N’Mai | 28 | 792213 min | 60.2 /90 | 50.2 /90 | 341.4 /90 | 150.6 /90 | 371.5 /90 | 421.7 /90 |
| R. Graydon | 24 | 892131 min | 50.2 /90 | 50.2 /90 | 472 /90 | 170.7 /90 | 220.9 /90 | 130.5 /90 |
| J. Grant | 44 | 783418 min | 40.1 /90 | 40.1 /90 | 411.1 /90 | 160.4 /90 | 631.7 /90 | 160.4 /90 |
| J. Austerfield | 38 | 702641 min | 20.1 /90 | 30.1 /90 | 210.7 /90 | 120.4 /90 | 250.9 /90 | 80.3 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Young n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Garbutt n 8 | 90 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| J. Grant n 8 | 88.8 | 1 | 0.3 |
| O. Turton n 8 | 83.5 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| D. Udoh n 8 | 74.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Young n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Garbutt n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.3 |
| J. Grant n 8 | 88.8 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| O. Turton n 8 | 83.5 | 0.1 | 0 |
| D. Udoh n 8 | 74.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Grimsby | Salford City | |
|---|---|---|
| 54% | Possession | 46% |
| 0.78 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.56 |
| 12 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 4 | Shots off target | 3 |
| 4 | Blocked shots | 1 |
| 5 | Shots inside the box | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 5 | Offsides | 1 |
| 7 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 3 |
| 287 | Passes | 246 |
| 60% | Pass accuracy | 53% |
Grimsby Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Smith | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| H. Rodgers | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| M. Kacurri | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.6 |
| C. McJannet | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7.3 |
| R. Staunton | 90 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| G. Turi | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | Y | 7.2 |
| K. Green | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| A. Cook | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| C. Oduor | 79 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Justin Amaluzor | 68 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Jaze Kabia | 68 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| D. Burns sub | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| C. Vernam sub | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| J. Walker sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
Salford City Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Young | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| H. Mnoga | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6.9 |
| A. Oluwo | 90 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8.2 |
| B. Cooper | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| L. Garbutt | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | Y | 6.3 |
| M. Butcher | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | Y | 6.9 |
| K. Cesay | 90 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| R. Graydon | 89 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.2 |
| D. Udoh | 88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5.9 |
| J. Austerfield | 72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Y | 6.2 |
| K. N’Mai | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.7 |
| R. Longelo-Mbule sub | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| B. Woodburn sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| C. Stockton sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| F. Borini sub | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Grimsby v Salford City — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-03-03 Grimsby 3–1 Salford City
- 2025-10-04 Salford City 0–2 Grimsby
- 2025-03-15 Grimsby 0–1 Salford City
- 2024-10-12 Salford City 1–2 Grimsby
- 2023-12-29 Salford City 0–3 Grimsby
- 2023-08-15 Grimsby 2–0 Salford City
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Grimsby v Salford City?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Grimsby v Salford City was Home or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Grimsby and Salford City?
- In their last 6 meetings, Grimsby won 5, Salford City won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Grimsby and Salford City?
- Recent form — Grimsby 3W 1D 1L; Salford City 2W 2D 1L.
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