Grimsby v York prediction

League Two · Sat, 31 Oct 2026 12:30 GMT · Blundell Park

Updated 28 Oct 2026, 22:03 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Grimsby · York

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Grimsby v York, League Two on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 12:30 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.65 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 581 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Grimsby host York in League Two on Saturday 31 October (kick-off 12:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

York have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of Grimsby’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Grimsby’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Grimsby have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 1.29. Grimsby have scored 19 goals, the seventh-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Grimsby have conceded 16 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Six of York’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in 10 of York’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, York have no wins, four draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.57 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.71. York have scored 22 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). York have conceded 16 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Grimsby (11th) and York (fifth) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have York the stronger side, 60 rating points above Grimsby (York 1531, Grimsby 1471, after at least 13 rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Grimsby XI (4-1-4-1): C. Pym, H. Rodgers, M. Kacurri, J. Foulkes, C. McJannet, K. Green, C. Vernam, G. Turi, J. Walker, J. Amaluzor, A. Cook — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Géza Turi (5.7 per match over 12 appearances, two goals and three assists) and C. Doyle (3.8 per match over four appearances, one goal) have been Grimsby’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Grimsby (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Géza Turi averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 1382 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted York XI (3-4-2-1): A. McNally, Z. Johnson, M. Kitching, R. Fallowfield, H. Boyes, A. Hunt, O. Banks, A. Read, J. Grey, J. Felix, O. Pearce — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Harry Boyes (5.0 per match over 13 appearances, two goals and six assists) and Alexander Newby (3.8 per match over 13 appearances, six goals and one assist) have been York’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for York (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Harry Boyes averages 2.6 key passes per 90 over 1146 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Alexander Newby averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 813 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 31 Oct 2026 12:30 GMT · League Two · Blundell Park
Referee: A. Jackson
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: Grimsby 1W 1D 3L · York 1W 3D 1L

Grimsby v York (League Two): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 28 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.63

Goals

against 1.25 / 1 · 2 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

6.38 / 4.38

Corners

against 6.63 / 4.75 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5.38 / 3.75

Shots on target

against 3.88 / 4.25 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.5 / 2.13

Cards

against 3.25 / 2.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 27 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Grimsby for / against	Line	York for / against
Goals scored	1.5 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	1.63 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6.38 for · 6.63 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.38 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	16.13 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13.13 for · 14.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.38 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.75 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11 for · 14.63 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9.63 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.5 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.13 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5

Grimsby

Grimsby Goalkeeper

Grimsby — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
C. Pym	12	861035 min	282.4 /90	90.8 /90
D. Harrington	2	90180 min	31.5 /90	00 /90
S. Auton	1	4545 min	12 /90	12 /90

Grimsby — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
C. Pym n 8	84.4	2.8 6/4

Grimsby Defensive

Grimsby — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
H. Rodgers	14	881238 min	80.6 /90	120.9 /90	20.1 /90	795.7 /90	40.3 /90	10.1 /90
M. Kacurri	13	901170 min	181.4 /90	181.4 /90	60.5 /90	896.8 /90	211.6 /90	40.3 /90
C. McJannet	11	90990 min	171.5 /90	90.8 /90	30.3 /90	898.1 /90	121.1 /90	20.2 /90
J. Sweeney	11	88973 min	252.3 /90	131.2 /90	20.2 /90	666.1 /90	171.6 /90	10.1 /90
J. Foulkes	3	74221 min	41.6 /90	31.2 /90	10.4 /90	145.7 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Grimsby — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
H. Rodgers n 8	87.3	0.1 1/0	1.9 7/6	—
K. Green n 8	88.8	1 5/3	0.6 3/1	—
C. Vernam n 8	79.1	0.7 4/1	1.6 7/4	—
Iwan Morgan n 8	54.1	0.8 3/1	0.2 1/0	—
M. Kacurri n 8	90	1.5 7/3	1.1 7/1	—
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Grimsby — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
H. Rodgers n 8	87.3	0.4 2/1
K. Green n 8	88.8	0.9 4/2
C. Vernam n 8	79.1	0.9 5/1
Iwan Morgan n 8	54.1	0.6 2/1
M. Kacurri n 8	90	1.5 7/3
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Grimsby Attacking

Grimsby — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Iwan Morgan	14	47654 min	20.3 /90	20.3 /90	212.9 /90	71 /90	162.2 /90	152.1 /90
A. Cook	12	77923 min	20.2 /90	00 /90	252.4 /90	111.1 /90	131.3 /90	60.6 /90
S. Finch	7	54378 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	112.6 /90	41 /90	10.2 /90	00 /90
J. Andrews	3	1649 min	00 /90	00 /90	35.5 /90	11.8 /90	11.8 /90	00 /90
K. Green	14	871216 min	40.3 /90	20.1 /90	141 /90	50.4 /90	221.6 /90	50.4 /90
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Grimsby — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
H. Rodgers n 8	87.3	1.2 6/1	0.5 3/1
K. Green n 8	88.8	1.5 6/4	0.5 4/0
C. Vernam n 8	79.1	2.6 8/6	1.6 7/4
Iwan Morgan n 8	54.1	2.9 6/5	1 4/1
M. Kacurri n 8	90	0.4 2/1	0 0/0
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Grimsby — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
H. Rodgers n 8	87.3	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
K. Green n 8	88.8	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
C. Vernam n 8	79.1	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Iwan Morgan n 8	54.1	0.4 2/0	0.4 2/0
M. Kacurri n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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York

York Goalkeeper

York — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Alfie Shane McNally	14	901260 min	392.8 /90	120.9 /90	10.1 /90

York — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for York before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Alfie Shane McNally n 8	90	3.4 7/6

York Defensive

York — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Kitching	13	881143 min	181.4 /90	80.6 /90	40.3 /90	403.1 /90	60.5 /90	20.2 /90
R. Fallowfield	12	76913 min	151.5 /90	212.1 /90	70.7 /90	333.3 /90	90.9 /90	20.2 /90
Z. Johnson	11	85930 min	60.6 /90	111.1 /90	80.8 /90	444.3 /90	70.7 /90	00 /90
J. King	9	40359 min	82 /90	20.5 /90	20.5 /90	194.8 /90	41 /90	10.3 /90
M. Williams	7	82573 min	71.1 /90	60.9 /90	60.9 /90	274.2 /90	121.9 /90	40.6 /90
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York — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for York before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Alfie Shane McNally n 8	90	0 0/0	0.4 2/1	—
O. Pearce n 8	85.4	0.8 6/0	1.3 6/2	—
A. Hunt n 8	77	1 6/1	1.2 6/2	—
H. Boyes n 8	89.5	0.5 3/1	1.3 6/4	—
M. Kitching n 8	89.3	0.5 2/2	0.9 4/3	—
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York — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for York before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
O. Pearce n 8	85.4	0.8 5/1
A. Hunt n 8	77	1.9 8/1
H. Boyes n 8	89.5	1.5 6/4
M. Kitching n 8	89.3	1.4 6/3
O. Banks n 8	85.4	1.3 5/3
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York Attacking

York — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
O. Pearce	14	851194 min	60.5 /90	40.3 /90	312.3 /90	120.9 /90	110.8 /90	40.3 /90
J. Grey	13	801039 min	10.1 /90	10.1 /90	161.4 /90	50.4 /90	121 /90	121 /90
J. Malcolm	8	27212 min	31.3 /90	00 /90	83.4 /90	73 /90	31.3 /90	41.7 /90
Afolabi Akinyemi	2	60120 min	00 /90	00 /90	32.3 /90	32.3 /90	10.8 /90	32.3 /90
A. Hunt	14	751049 min	10.1 /90	20.2 /90	110.9 /90	20.2 /90	242.1 /90	60.5 /90
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York — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for York before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Alfie Shane McNally n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
O. Pearce n 8	85.4	2.6 7/7	1.2 6/2
A. Hunt n 8	77	0.7 4/1	0.1 1/0
H. Boyes n 8	89.5	1.4 5/2	0.1 1/0
M. Kitching n 8	89.3	0.5 4/0	0 0/0
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York — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for York before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Alfie Shane McNally n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
O. Pearce n 8	85.4	0.7 5/0	0.3 2/0
A. Hunt n 8	77	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
H. Boyes n 8	89.5	0 0/0	0.3 1/1
M. Kitching n 8	89.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Grimsby v York — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

GrimsbyLLLDW

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

YorkDDDWL

Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

League standing · 2026/27

Grimsby#11 pos17 pts13 pl+3 GD

York#5 pos20 pts13 pl+6 GD

Goals per game

Grimsby scored1.46

York scored1.69

Grimsby conceded1.23

York conceded1.23

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Grimsby v York?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Grimsby v York is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.65 at Betano).
What is the recent form of Grimsby and York?: Recent form — Grimsby 1W 1D 3L; York 1W 3D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 28 Oct 2026, 22:03 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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