Harrogate TownBarnet

Harrogate Town v Barnet result

Full-time · Harrogate Town 1–2 Barnet

League Two ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Harrogate Town 1–2 Barnet — Barnet won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 515 landed (95% range 64.2–72.2%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Barnet won 2–1 at Harrogate Town in League Two on Saturday 2 May. Barnet are unbeaten in their last nine matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Barnet: C. Stead (5’) and Phillip Chinedu (82’, assisted by C. Stead); Harrogate Town: B. Morris (29’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Phillip Chinedu’s goal on 82 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Harrogate Town out-shot Barnet 16 to 13 and created the better chances, 3.03 xG to 0.98 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.

Discipline

T. Parsons showed four yellow cards — against 3.4 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Harrogate Town: Tobias Brenan (13’) and S. McCoulsky (21’); Barnet: Nikola Tavares (45’) and Daniele Collinge (46’).

What it changes

Harrogate Town move down from 22nd to 23rd (46 league matches played).

Barnet move up from eighth to seventh (46 league matches played).

Harrogate Town have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions. Barnet have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, C. Stead (Barnet) 10.9, B. Morris (Harrogate Town) 10.5 and Phillip Chinedu (Barnet) 4.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Harrogate Town next host Altrincham on 14 November 2026.

Barnet next host Tranmere on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Harrogate Town: Harrogate Town v Altrincham, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Barnet: Walsall v Barnet, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Harrogate Town 1–2 Barnet · League Two
  • Referee: T. Parsons
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Harrogate Town 2 · draws 1 · Barnet 1 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Harrogate Town 3W 0D 2L · Barnet 4W 1D 0L

Harrogate Town 1–2 Barnet (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 2.88
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
4.75 / 7.25
Corners
against 6.25 / 3.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.5 / 5.38
Shots on target
against 4.13 / 3.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 2
Cards
against 1.5 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.43 yellows
Referee · T. Parsons
25.57 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameHarrogate Town for / againstLineBarnet for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.13 against n 8
3our book
2.88 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
4.75 for · 6.25 against n 8
9.5standard
7.25 for · 3.63 against n 8
Shots
11 for · 14.38 against n 8
19.5standard
15 for · 10 against n 8
Shots on target
3.5 for · 4.13 against n 8
8.5standard
5.38 for · 3.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.13 for · 9 against n 8
21.5standard
11.75 for · 12 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: T. Parsons — 3.43 yellow cards a game, 0.29 red cards, 25.57 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Harrogate Town

Harrogate Town Defensive

Harrogate Town — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Harrogate Town before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Smith n 883.3
0.53/1
0.42/1
I. Kanu
J. Evans n 889.8
2.17/5
0.85/1
—
B. Morris n 891
16/2
0.22/0
—
J. Slater n 886.8
0.94/3
0.83/2
D. Collinge
E. Taylor n 872.6
0.63/1
0.32/0
—
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Harrogate Town — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Harrogate Town before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Smith n 883.3
1.56/4
J. Evans n 889.8
3.47/7
B. Morris n 891
27/5
J. Slater n 886.8
1.48/2
E. Taylor n 872.6
1.46/2
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Harrogate Town Attacking

Harrogate Town — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Harrogate Town before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Smith n 883.3
1.25/2
0.74/1
J. Evans n 889.8
0.85/1
0.43/0
B. Morris n 891
0.54/0
0.11/0
J. Slater n 886.8
0.54/0
0.32/0
E. Taylor n 872.6
1.97/5
0.84/1
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Harrogate Town — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Harrogate Town before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Smith n 883.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
J. Evans n 889.8
0.32/0
0.32/0
B. Morris n 891
0.11/0
00/0
J. Slater n 886.8
0.11/0
0.11/0
E. Taylor n 872.6
0.31/1
00/0
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Barnet

Barnet Defensive

Barnet — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnet before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Glover n 885.5
1.36/3
0.74/1
—
A. Senior n 890
0.64/1
1.36/3
—
I. Kanu n 860
0.94/1
3.47/5
R. Smith
C. Slicker n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
—
D. Collinge n 884.4
0.43/0
0.95/2
J. Slater
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Barnet — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnet before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Glover n 885.5
0.86/0
A. Senior n 890
1.46/3
I. Kanu n 860
0.84/0
C. Slicker n 890
00/0
D. Collinge n 884.4
0.74/1
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Barnet Attacking

Barnet — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnet before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Glover n 885.5
1.66/5
0.52/1
A. Senior n 890
0.96/1
0.32/0
I. Kanu n 860
0.82/2
0.42/0
C. Slicker n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Collinge n 884.4
1.35/3
0.53/1
See more players · Pro
Barnet — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Barnet before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Glover n 885.5
00/0
0.85/1
A. Senior n 890
00/0
0.11/0
I. Kanu n 860
0.21/0
00/0
C. Slicker n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Collinge n 884.4
0.32/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Harrogate TownBarnet
47%Possession53%
3.03Expected goals (xG)0.98
16Shots13
3Shots on target7
10Shots off target3
3Blocked shots3
10Shots inside the box9
4Corners6
3Offsides0
14Fouls10
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
5Saves2
313Passes373
68%Pass accuracy68%

Harrogate Town Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Oxley9000000007.5
L. Cass9000000106.7
B. Faulkner9000100106.9
Cathal Heffernan9000111206.2
J. Slater9000101106.7
B. Morris9010320407.7
J. Evans9000102306.9
R. Smith9000001106.7
S. McCoulsky90002020Y6.3
Thomas Daniel Hill7300200206.2
Tobias Brenan65001011Y6.2
G. Thomson sub2500002006.3
S. Duke-McKenna sub1700101006.3

Barnet Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Slicker9000000006.7
A. Senior9000002006.9
R. Crichlow-Noble9000000006.2
M. Shelton9000320206
C. Stead9011211507.7
K. Tshimanga9000110006.2
I. Kanu8100000106.5
R. Glover6800001106.9
A. Hartigan6500000006.6
D. Collinge64000014Y6.2
N. Tavares45000001Y6.3
K. Smith sub4500212007.2
J. Kizzi sub2600110107.2
N. Ofoborh sub2500001107
D. Jaiyesimi sub2200001307.2
P. Chinedu sub910110007.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Harrogate Town v Barnet — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Harrogate TownWLLWW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
BarnetDWWWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 3.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Harrogate Town 2 · 1 draw · Barnet 1 · 2 goals/game
  • 2025-11-29 Barnet 1–1 Harrogate Town
  • 2019-10-29 Harrogate Town 2–1 Barnet
  • 2019-03-19 Barnet 1–0 Harrogate Town
  • 2018-08-14 Harrogate Town 2–0 Barnet
League standing · 2025/26
Harrogate Town#23 pos39 pts46 pl-29 GD
Barnet#8 pos76 pts46 pl+17 GD
Goals per game
Harrogate Town scored0.85
Barnet scored1.52
Harrogate Town conceded1.48
Barnet conceded1.15

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Harrogate Town v Barnet?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Harrogate Town v Barnet was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Harrogate Town and Barnet?
In their last 4 meetings, Harrogate Town won 2, Barnet won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Harrogate Town and Barnet?
Recent form — Harrogate Town 3W 0D 2L; Barnet 4W 1D 0L.

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