Harrogate Town v Bristol Rovers result
Team pages: Harrogate Town · Bristol Rovers
The model’s pre-match pick
Harrogate Town 2–3 Bristol Rovers — Bristol Rovers won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.
The result
Bristol Rovers won 3–2 at Harrogate Town in League Two on Monday 6 April. Bristol Rovers have won their last five matches in all competitions.
The goals
Bristol Rovers came from behind: Harrogate Town led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Harrogate Town: E. Taylor (27’, 55’); Bristol Rovers: Shaqai Forde (50’) and Ellis Harrison (61’, 79’ pen).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ellis Harrison’s goal on 79 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Harrogate Town 1.14, Bristol Rovers 1.88, from 17 shots to 15 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
S. Parkinson showed one yellow card — against 2.0 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Harrogate Town: C. Headman (75’).
What it changes
Harrogate Town move down from 23rd to 24th (42 league matches played). Harrogate Town have scored 39 goals, the fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Harrogate Town have conceded 68 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Bristol Rovers move up from 16th to 15th (42 league matches played). Bristol Rovers have scored 56 goals, the 11th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Bristol Rovers have conceded 65 goals, the ninth-most of the 24 clubs.
Bristol Rovers have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ellis Harrison (Bristol Rovers) 10.7, E. Taylor (Harrogate Town) 10.0 and Shaqai Forde (Bristol Rovers) 7.5 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.
Next up
Harrogate Town next host Altrincham on 14 November 2026.
Bristol Rovers next host Chesterfield on 14 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Harrogate Town: Harrogate Town v Altrincham, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Bristol Rovers: Bristol Rovers v Chesterfield, Saturday 14 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Harrogate Town 2–3 Bristol Rovers · League Two
- Referee: S. Parkinson
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 3): Harrogate Town 1 · draws 0 · Bristol Rovers 2 · 1.67 goals/game
- Recent form: Harrogate Town 2W 0D 3L · Bristol Rovers 4W 0D 1L
Harrogate Town 2–3 Bristol Rovers (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Harrogate Town for / against | Line | Bristol Rovers for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.38 for · 0.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.13 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 13.38 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11.63 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.5 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.5 for · 9.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.5 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: S. Parkinson — 2 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 23.9 fouls over 10 matches.
The referee's home and away split · Pro
Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+
Harrogate Town
Harrogate Town Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Smith n 8 | 81 | 0.4 | 0.7 | — |
| J. Evans n 8 | 89.8 | 1.5 | 0.6 | — |
| B. Morris n 8 | 91 | 0.5 | 0 | — |
| J. Slater n 8 | 91 | 0.9 | 1.9 | C. Mola |
| A. O'Connor n 8 | 81.3 | 1.1 | 0.3 | — |
| See more players · Pro Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+ | ||||
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| R. Smith n 8 | 81 | 1.9 |
| J. Evans n 8 | 89.8 | 3.4 |
| B. Morris n 8 | 91 | 1.9 |
| J. Slater n 8 | 91 | 1.5 |
| A. O'Connor n 8 | 81.3 | 1.2 |
| See more players · Pro | ||
Harrogate Town Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| R. Smith n 8 | 81 | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| J. Evans n 8 | 89.8 | 1 | 0.8 |
| B. Morris n 8 | 91 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| J. Slater n 8 | 91 | 0.5 | 0 |
| A. O'Connor n 8 | 81.3 | 1 | 0.1 |
| See more players · Pro | |||
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| R. Smith n 8 | 81 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| J. Evans n 8 | 89.8 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| B. Morris n 8 | 91 | 0.1 | 0 |
| J. Slater n 8 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| A. O'Connor n 8 | 81.3 | 0 | 0 |
| See more players · Pro | |||
Bristol Rovers
Bristol Rovers Defensive
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Cavegn n 8 | 56 | 0.4 | 1 | — |
| J. Sparkes n 8 | 84.4 | 0.4 | 1.5 | — |
| A. Kilgour n 8 | 85.5 | 0.9 | 0.9 | — |
| E. Harrison n 8 | 52.5 | 2.8 | 2.8 | — |
| C. Mola n 8 | 84.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | J. Slater |
| See more players · Pro | ||||
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| F. Cavegn n 8 | 56 | 0.8 |
| J. Sparkes n 8 | 84.4 | 0.7 |
| A. Kilgour n 8 | 85.5 | 1.1 |
| E. Harrison n 8 | 52.5 | 0.4 |
| C. Mola n 8 | 84.4 | 1.7 |
| See more players · Pro | ||
Bristol Rovers Attacking
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| F. Cavegn n 8 | 56 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| J. Sparkes n 8 | 84.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| A. Kilgour n 8 | 85.5 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| E. Harrison n 8 | 52.5 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| C. Mola n 8 | 84.4 | 0 | 0 |
| See more players · Pro | |||
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| F. Cavegn n 8 | 56 | 0.2 | 0 |
| J. Sparkes n 8 | 84.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| A. Kilgour n 8 | 85.5 | 0.1 | 0 |
| E. Harrison n 8 | 52.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| C. Mola n 8 | 84.4 | 0 | 0 |
| See more players · Pro | |||
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Harrogate Town | Bristol Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| 47% | Possession | 53% |
| 1.14 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.88 |
| 17 | Shots | 15 |
| 2 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 5 | Shots off target | 8 |
| 10 | Blocked shots | 1 |
| 13 | Shots inside the box | 9 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 0 |
| 301 | Passes | 370 |
| 67% | Pass accuracy | 67% |
Harrogate Town Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Gray | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.9 |
| Cathal Heffernan | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.7 |
| L. Gibson | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6.5 |
| B. Morris | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Evans | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| E. Taylor | 90 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9.2 |
| Tobias Brenan | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7.2 |
| R. Smith | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| C. Headman | 81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Y | 5.6 |
| J. Slater | 76 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| E. Acquah | 58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| S. McCoulsky sub | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.3 |
| B. Faulkner sub | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| S. Duke-McKenna sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
Bristol Rovers Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Young | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| K. Balmer | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| C. Mola | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7.2 |
| R. Harbottle | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.7 |
| J. Senior | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| S. Forde | 90 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7.9 |
| R. De Havilland | 72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Y. Akhamrich | 72 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| J. McEachran | 64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| K. Thompson-Sommers | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| J. Quigley | 45 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| E. Harrison sub | 45 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7.9 |
| T. Leigh sub | 45 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| T. Lockyer sub | 26 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.5 |
| A. Kilgour sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| F. Cavegn sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Harrogate Town v Bristol Rovers — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-08-02 Bristol Rovers 0–1 Harrogate Town
- 2022-03-12 Bristol Rovers 3–0 Harrogate Town
- 2021-10-30 Harrogate Town 0–1 Bristol Rovers
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+
Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Harrogate Town v Bristol Rovers?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Harrogate Town v Bristol Rovers was Under 2.5 goals.
- What is the head-to-head record between Harrogate Town and Bristol Rovers?
- In their last 3 meetings, Harrogate Town won 1, Bristol Rovers won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Harrogate Town and Bristol Rovers?
- Recent form — Harrogate Town 2W 0D 3L; Bristol Rovers 4W 0D 1L.
Today’s Boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.