Harrogate TownColchester

Harrogate Town v Colchester result

Full-time · Harrogate Town 1–0 Colchester

League Two ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Harrogate Town · Colchester · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Harrogate Town 1–0 Colchester — Harrogate Town won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 515 landed (95% range 64.2–72.2%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Harrogate Town beat Colchester 1–0 in League Two on Saturday 18 April.

Harrogate Town have scored 39 goals, the fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games).

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Harrogate Town: J. Slater (90’, assisted by L. Gibson).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with J. Slater’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Harrogate Town 1.55, Colchester 1.50, from 13 shots to 16 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

M. Coy showed five yellow cards — against 2.7 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Harrogate Town: M. Bennett (35’), Jack Evans (46’), Thomas Daniel Hill (48’) and Tobias Brenan (76’); Colchester: Kyreece Lisbie (87’).

What it changes

Harrogate Town stay 24th after this result (44 league matches played). Harrogate Town have conceded 68 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games).

Colchester move down from 12th to 13th (44 league matches played). Colchester have scored 62 goals, the 10th-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Colchester have conceded 49 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, J. Slater (Harrogate Town) 7.8, B. Morris (Harrogate Town) 5.4 and Finley Frank Barbrook (Colchester) 5.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Harrogate Town next host AFC Fylde on 7 November 2026.

Colchester next host Worcester City on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Harrogate Town: Harrogate Town v AFC Fylde, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Colchester: Colchester v Worcester City, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Harrogate Town 1–0 Colchester · League Two
  • Referee: M. Coy
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Harrogate Town 3 · draws 1 · Colchester 2 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Harrogate Town 1W 0D 4L · Colchester 3W 1D 1L

Harrogate Town 1–0 Colchester (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1
Goals
against 1.75 / 0.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 7.13
Corners
against 5.75 / 4 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3 / 4.75
Shots on target
against 5.25 / 4 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.13 / 2
Cards
against 1.38 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.67 yellows
Referee · M. Coy
24.17 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 14 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 14 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameHarrogate Town for / againstLineColchester for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.5standard
1 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
4.63 for · 5.75 against n 8
9.5standard
7.13 for · 4 against n 8
Shots
11 for · 14.13 against n 8
19.5standard
16 for · 12.5 against n 8
Shots on target
3 for · 5.25 against n 8
8.5standard
4.75 for · 4 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.13 for · 9.38 against n 8
21.5standard
9.13 for · 11.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.13 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 1.88 against n 8

Referee: M. Coy — 2.67 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 24.17 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Harrogate Town

Harrogate Town Defensive

Harrogate Town — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Harrogate Town before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Smith n 881
0.42/1
0.63/1
—
J. Evans n 889.8
1.66/4
0.64/1
A. Read
B. Morris n 891
0.75/1
0.22/0
A. Read
J. Slater n 886.8
0.84/2
1.65/4
J. Tucker
E. Taylor n 872.6
0.63/1
0.32/0
—
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Harrogate Town — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Harrogate Town before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Smith n 881
1.87/5
J. Evans n 889.8
3.37/7
B. Morris n 891
1.78/4
J. Slater n 886.8
1.38/2
E. Taylor n 872.6
1.46/2
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Harrogate Town Attacking

Harrogate Town — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Harrogate Town before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Smith n 881
1.45/3
0.85/1
J. Evans n 889.8
16/2
0.64/1
B. Morris n 891
0.64/1
0.11/0
J. Slater n 886.8
0.54/0
0.11/0
E. Taylor n 872.6
1.97/5
0.84/1
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Harrogate Town — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Harrogate Town before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Smith n 881
0.11/0
0.32/0
J. Evans n 889.8
0.32/0
0.11/0
B. Morris n 891
0.11/0
00/0
J. Slater n 886.8
00/0
0.11/0
E. Taylor n 872.6
0.31/1
00/0
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Colchester

Colchester Defensive

Colchester — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Colchester before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Tucker n 890
0.32/0
0.54/0
J. Slater
M. Macey n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
A. Read n 884.9
0.95/2
1.66/3
B. Morris
Kyreece Lisbie n 880.6
0.74/1
24/3
—
K. Vincent-Young n 881.1
0.85/1
0.74/1
—
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Colchester — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Colchester before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Tucker n 890
15/2
M. Macey n 890
00/0
A. Read n 884.9
2.47/5
Kyreece Lisbie n 880.6
0.75/0
K. Vincent-Young n 881.1
0.84/2
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Colchester Attacking

Colchester — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Colchester before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Tucker n 890
0.43/0
0.11/0
M. Macey n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Read n 884.9
0.53/1
0.11/0
Kyreece Lisbie n 880.6
1.86/3
1.15/2
K. Vincent-Young n 881.1
0.64/0
0.11/0
See more players · Pro
Colchester — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Colchester before kick-off, to 14 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Tucker n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Macey n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Read n 884.9
0.11/0
0.11/0
Kyreece Lisbie n 880.6
0.11/0
00/0
K. Vincent-Young n 881.1
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Harrogate TownColchester
43%Possession57%
1.55Expected goals (xG)1.50
13Shots16
5Shots on target3
4Shots off target6
4Blocked shots7
7Shots inside the box12
7Corners5
1Offsides2
14Fouls8
4Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
3Saves4
296Passes417
57%Pass accuracy67%

Harrogate Town Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Oxley9000000008.2
L. Cass9000210106.9
B. Faulkner9000001107.5
J. Slater9010113108.2
B. Morris9000102407.6
J. Evans90000013Y6.3
R. Smith9000111007.2
Cathal Heffernan7000100107.2
Thomas Daniel Hill55002101Y6.5
L. Sutton5500000006.5
M. Bennett55000000Y6.7
S. Duke-McKenna sub3500111006.9
Tobias Brenan sub35000000Y6.7
E. Acquah sub3500001006.6
L. Gibson sub2001001107.2

Colchester Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Macey9000000007.2
R. Hunt9000001106.9
J. Tucker9000000006.3
F. Terry9000110007.5
Finley Frank Barbrook9000003107.3
A. Read9000102006.6
H. Anderson7600002106.3
J. Payne6600100006.5
W. Goodwin6600000006.2
O. Edwards6500110006.3
E. Iandolo2700000006.9
K. Vincent-Young sub6300000006.7
Kyreece Lisbie sub25001010Y5.9
R. Akachukwu sub2400100006.2
S. Tovide sub2400001006.7
Jaden Williams sub1400310006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Harrogate Town v Colchester — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Harrogate TownLLWLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
ColchesterDLWWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Harrogate Town 3 · 1 draw · Colchester 2 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2025-10-18 Colchester 3–1 Harrogate Town
  • 2025-01-21 Harrogate Town 0–0 Colchester
  • 2024-08-24 Colchester 0–1 Harrogate Town
  • 2024-02-10 Harrogate Town 1–0 Colchester
  • 2023-10-21 Colchester 1–2 Harrogate Town
  • 2023-01-07 Harrogate Town 1–3 Colchester
League standing · 2025/26
Harrogate Town#23 pos39 pts46 pl-29 GD
Colchester#12 pos66 pts46 pl+13 GD
Goals per game
Harrogate Town scored0.85
Colchester scored1.35
Harrogate Town conceded1.48
Colchester conceded1.07

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Harrogate Town v Colchester?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Harrogate Town v Colchester was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Harrogate Town and Colchester?
In their last 6 meetings, Harrogate Town won 3, Colchester won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Harrogate Town and Colchester?
Recent form — Harrogate Town 1W 0D 4L; Colchester 3W 1D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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