Harrogate Town v Grimsby result
Team pages: Harrogate Town · Grimsby · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Harrogate Town 3–3 Grimsby — this League Two match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.
The result
Harrogate Town and Grimsby drew 3–3 in League Two on Saturday 9 August. Harrogate Town have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.
The goals
It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Harrogate Town: Reece Smith (58’, assisted by W. Burrell), E. Taylor (71’ pen) and C. McAleny (76’, assisted by S. McCoulsky); Grimsby: Charles Vernam (68’, assisted by Kieran Green), Harvey Rodgers (84’, assisted by James Walker) and J. Kabia (90’, assisted by Cameron Gardner).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with J. Kabia’s goal on 90 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Harrogate Town, from fewer shots (9 to 13), created the better chances, 1.63 xG to 0.96 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.
Discipline
The bookings — Harrogate Town: T. Bradbury (7’), Stephen Duke-McKenna (11’), W. Burrell (15’), C. McAleny (88’) and A. O'Connor (90+5’); Grimsby: Harvey Rodgers (38’), Darragh Burns (51’) and Cameron Gardner (90+6’).
What it changes
Harrogate Town move down from second to eighth (two league matches played).
Grimsby move down from first to fifth (two league matches played).
With six goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 2, across 12 matches. Harrogate Town are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, E. Taylor (Harrogate Town) 9.2, Reece Smith (Harrogate Town) 8.2 and Kieran Green (Grimsby) 6.7 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.
Next up
Harrogate Town next host Bury on 20 October 2026.
Grimsby next travel to Rochdale on 20 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Harrogate Town: Harrogate Town v Bury, Tuesday 20 October — the preview. Next for Grimsby: Rochdale v Grimsby, Tuesday 20 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: Harrogate Town 3–3 Grimsby · League Two
- Referee: J. Bancroft
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Harrogate Town 3 · draws 2 · Grimsby 1 · 2.67 goals/game
- Recent form: Harrogate Town 3W 1D 1L · Grimsby 1W 2D 2L
Harrogate Town 3–3 Grimsby (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Harrogate Town for / against | Line | Grimsby for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.75 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.57 for · 7.57 against n 7 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 6 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 15 for · 15 against n 7 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 12.13 for · 11.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.57 for · 4.29 against n 7 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12 for · 10.29 against n 7 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 8.88 for · 15.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.71 for · 0.86 against n 7 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.25 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
Harrogate Town
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Falkingham n 8 | 52 | 2.6 | 0.9 | — |
| B. Bilongo n 8 | 55.5 | 1.8 | 0.8 | — |
| Z. Asare n 8 | 51.1 | 1.8 | 1.1 | — |
| J. Muldoon n 8 | 90 | 1.6 | 0.8 | — |
| J. Moon n 8 | 90 | 1.4 | 0.6 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. March n 8 | 88 | 3.5 | 1.3 |
| Tom Cursons n 8 | 52.5 | 2.1 | 0.6 |
| E. Taylor n 8 | 90 | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| J. Daly n 8 | 61.3 | 1.3 | 0.2 |
| J. Muldoon n 8 | 90 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| E. Taylor n 8 | 90 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| J. March n 8 | 88 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Tom Cursons n 8 | 52.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| S. Duke-McKenna n 8 | 69.6 | 0.2 | 0 |
| B. Bilongo n 8 | 55.5 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. Gibson n 8 | 49.5 | 3.4 |
| Stephen Dooley n 8 | 56.5 | 2.8 |
| J. Evans n 5 | 38.6 | 2.8 |
| J. Falkingham n 8 | 52 | 2.6 |
| Toby Sims n 8 | 82.6 | 2.5 |
Grimsby
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaze Kabia n 8 | 41.1 | 3 | 1.9 | — |
| J. Davies n 8 | 46.4 | 2.9 | 1.7 | — |
| C. Thompson n 8 | 23 | 2.4 | 2 | — |
| G. Turi n 4 | 39.3 | 1.7 | 1.7 | — |
| C. Ainley n 8 | 14.4 | 1.6 | 2.3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Vernam n 8 | 36.4 | 2.5 | 1.5 |
| Justin Patrick Nnamdi Obikwu n 8 | 56.4 | 2 | 1.6 |
| Luca Barrington n 8 | 64.3 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| C. Ainley n 8 | 14.4 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| J. Luker n 8 | 49.5 | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Luker n 8 | 49.5 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Luca Barrington n 8 | 64.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Justin Patrick Nnamdi Obikwu n 8 | 56.4 | 0.6 | 0 |
| K. Green n 8 | 84.9 | 0.4 | 0 |
| J. Davies n 8 | 46.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| G. Turi n 4 | 39.3 | 7.5 |
| C. Thompson n 8 | 23 | 4.4 |
| J. Davies n 8 | 46.4 | 3.9 |
| G. McEachran n 8 | 76 | 3.4 |
| J. Sweeney n 8 | 65.1 | 3.1 |
The next free picks, by email
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Match statistics & details
| Harrogate Town | Grimsby | |
|---|---|---|
| 38% | Possession | 62% |
| 1.63 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.96 |
| 9 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 4 | Shots off target | 4 |
| 2 | Blocked shots | 5 |
| 5 | Shots inside the box | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 9 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 0 |
| 280 | Passes | 457 |
| 62% | Pass accuracy | 73% |
Harrogate Town player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Belshaw | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| L. Cass | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| A. O'Connor | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6.5 |
| T. Bradbury | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.3 |
| W. Burrell | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | Y | 6.3 |
| B. Morris | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| J. Evans | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6.6 |
| E. Taylor | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.3 |
| S. Duke-McKenna | 78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Y | 6.2 |
| S. McCoulsky | 78 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| R. Smith | 73 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 8.2 |
| C. McAleny sub | 17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | Y | 7.7 |
| Thomas Daniel Hill sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Tom Cursons sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
Grimsby player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pym | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.2 |
| H. Rodgers | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Y | 7.2 |
| D. Tharme | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| C. McJannet | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| G. McEachran | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| C. Vernam | 90 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Jaze Kabia | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| K. Green | 89 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 6.2 |
| J. Sweeney | 77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.7 |
| E. Khouri | 66 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| D. Burns | 65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | Y | 6.5 |
| Justin Amaluzor sub | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| J. Walker sub | 24 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Cameron Gardner sub | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | Y | 6.7 |
| Henry Brown sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Harrogate Town v Grimsby — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-04-12 Harrogate Town 2–2 Grimsby
- 2024-12-26 Grimsby 2–1 Harrogate Town
- 2024-04-09 Harrogate Town 1–0 Grimsby
- 2023-12-23 Grimsby 1–2 Harrogate Town
- 2023-02-21 Grimsby 0–0 Harrogate Town
- 2022-12-26 Harrogate Town 3–2 Grimsby
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently asked questions
- What was the model’s pick for Harrogate Town v Grimsby?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Harrogate Town v Grimsby was Over 2.5 goals.
- What is the head-to-head record between Harrogate Town and Grimsby?
- In their last 6 meetings, Harrogate Town won 3, Grimsby won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Harrogate Town and Grimsby?
- Recent form — Harrogate Town 3W 1D 1L; Grimsby 1W 2D 2L.
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