Harrogate TownNotts County

Harrogate Town v Notts County result

Full-time · Harrogate Town 0–2 Notts County

League Two ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Harrogate Town · Notts County · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Harrogate Town 0–2 Notts County — Notts County won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Notts County won 2–0 at Harrogate Town in League Two on Saturday 28 March.

Harrogate Town have scored 32 goals, the fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 42 games, ranked per game).

The goals

Notts County led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Notts County: Alassana Jatta (10’, assisted by Tom Iorpenda; 79’, assisted by Jodi Jones).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Alassana Jatta’s goal on 10 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Harrogate Town 0.17, Notts County 1.80, from 8 shots to 15 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

W. Finnie showed one yellow card — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Harrogate Town: Tobias Brenan (62’).

What it changes

Harrogate Town stay 23rd after this result (40 league matches played). Harrogate Town have conceded 62 goals, the eighth-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 42 games, ranked per game).

Notts County move up from fourth to third (40 league matches played). Notts County have scored 69 goals, the second-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 42 games, ranked per game). Notts County have conceded 43 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Alassana Jatta (Notts County) 9.9, Jodi Jones (Notts County) 6.7 and Tom Iorpenda (Notts County) 6.4 led the match.

Head-to-head

Notts County are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Harrogate Town.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Harrogate Town or Notts County (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Harrogate Town next host AFC Fylde on 7 November 2026.

Notts County next travel to Altrincham on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Harrogate Town: Harrogate Town v AFC Fylde, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Notts County: Altrincham v Notts County, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Harrogate Town 0–2 Notts County · League Two
  • Referee: W. Finnie
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Harrogate Town 2 · draws 1 · Notts County 3 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Harrogate Town 1W 1D 3L · Notts County 3W 0D 2L

Harrogate Town 0–2 Notts County (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 2.25
Goals
against 1 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.88 / 5.38
Corners
against 4 / 4.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 5.88
Shots on target
against 3.63 / 3.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1 / 3.38
Cards
against 2.13 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.22 yellows
Referee · W. Finnie
24 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 9 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 24 March 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameHarrogate Town for / againstLineNotts County for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 1 against n 8
2.5standard
2.25 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
5.88 for · 4 against n 8
9.5standard
5.38 for · 4.63 against n 8
Shots
13.88 for · 12.38 against n 8
19.5standard
12.63 for · 11 against n 8
Shots on target
4.13 for · 3.63 against n 8
8.5standard
5.88 for · 3.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
10 for · 9.5 against n 8
21.5standard
11 for · 11 against n 8
Cards shown
1 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
3.38 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: W. Finnie — 4.22 yellow cards a game, 0.11 red cards, 24 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Harrogate Town

Harrogate Town Defensive

Harrogate Town — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Harrogate Town before kick-off, to 24 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Smith n 882.3
0.11/0
0.85/1
—
J. Evans n 888.8
1.47/3
0.94/1
—
B. Morris n 884.4
0.52/1
00/0
—
A. O'Connor n 881.3
1.16/2
0.32/0
—
J. Slater n 888
0.84/2
27/6
—
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Harrogate Town — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Harrogate Town before kick-off, to 24 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Smith n 882.3
1.98/6
J. Evans n 888.8
2.87/6
B. Morris n 884.4
1.57/4
A. O'Connor n 881.3
1.24/3
J. Slater n 888
1.57/4
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Harrogate Town Attacking

Harrogate Town — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Harrogate Town before kick-off, to 24 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Smith n 882.3
1.88/3
16/1
J. Evans n 888.8
0.95/2
0.63/2
B. Morris n 884.4
0.95/2
0.32/0
A. O'Connor n 881.3
15/1
0.11/0
J. Slater n 888
0.65/0
00/0
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Harrogate Town — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Harrogate Town before kick-off, to 24 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Smith n 882.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
J. Evans n 888.8
00/0
0.11/0
B. Morris n 884.4
00/0
00/0
A. O'Connor n 881.3
00/0
00/0
J. Slater n 888
00/0
00/0
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Notts County

Notts County Defensive

Notts County — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Notts County before kick-off, to 24 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Bedeau n 888.4
0.95/2
0.32/0
—
Tom Iorpenda n 888.1
0.85/1
1.96/4
—
Nicholas Tsaroulla n 872.6
1.56/2
1.96/4
—
M. Dennis n 865.4
1.75/3
0.95/0
—
J. Jones n 877.5
1.37/2
1.65/4
—
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Notts County — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Notts County before kick-off, to 24 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Bedeau n 888.4
1.46/3
Tom Iorpenda n 888.1
26/6
Nicholas Tsaroulla n 872.6
1.55/3
M. Dennis n 865.4
0.21/0
J. Jones n 877.5
0.32/0
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Notts County Attacking

Notts County — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Notts County before kick-off, to 24 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Bedeau n 888.4
0.11/0
00/0
Tom Iorpenda n 888.1
0.94/2
0.53/1
Nicholas Tsaroulla n 872.6
0.53/0
0.32/0
M. Dennis n 865.4
1.55/3
14/2
J. Jones n 877.5
1.56/3
1.26/2
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Notts County — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Notts County before kick-off, to 24 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Bedeau n 888.4
00/0
00/0
Tom Iorpenda n 888.1
0.11/0
00/0
Nicholas Tsaroulla n 872.6
00/0
00/0
M. Dennis n 865.4
0.32/0
00/0
J. Jones n 877.5
0.64/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Harrogate TownNotts County
53%Possession47%
0.17Expected goals (xG)1.80
8Shots15
2Shots on target6
3Shots off target4
3Blocked shots5
5Shots inside the box10
3Corners7
2Offsides1
11Fouls6
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
4Saves2
417Passes374
74%Pass accuracy75%

Harrogate Town Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
H. Gray9000000006.2
C. Headman9000000206.3
Cathal Heffernan9000000107
L. Gibson9000001507.5
J. Slater9000101106
B. Morris9000001307.2
J. Evans9000000506.6
R. Smith9000001307.2
J. Muldoon7100001006.3
E. Taylor6100210106.2
L. Sutton4500000106.2
Tobias Brenan sub45000032Y6.7
S. Duke-McKenna sub2900210006
E. Acquah sub1900000006.7

Notts County Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Belshaw9000001006.9
L. Macari9000001407.2
L. Ness9000000007.7
J. Bedeau9000001407.2
M. Palmer9000101207.6
Tom Iorpenda9001002307.3
A. Jatta9020220208.5
K. Bennetts8900102407.7
J. Jones8901212307
M. Dennis7100211405.9
H. Tangen4400000106.3
C. Grant sub4600220106.6
L. Ndlovu sub1900000006.9
L. Browne sub800000006.6
J. Luker sub800000006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Harrogate Town v Notts County — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Harrogate TownDLLWL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Notts CountyWLWWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Harrogate Town 2 · 1 draw · Notts County 3 · 3 goals/game
  • 2025-11-15 Notts County 1–1 Harrogate Town
  • 2025-04-26 Harrogate Town 1–3 Notts County
  • 2024-10-26 Notts County 1–0 Harrogate Town
  • 2024-04-06 Notts County 3–0 Harrogate Town
  • 2023-12-16 Harrogate Town 3–1 Notts County
  • 2020-08-02 Harrogate Town 3–1 Notts County
League standing · 2025/26
Harrogate Town#23 pos39 pts46 pl-29 GD
Notts County#5 pos80 pts46 pl+22 GD
Goals per game
Harrogate Town scored0.85
Notts County scored1.61
Harrogate Town conceded1.48
Notts County conceded1.13

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Harrogate Town v Notts County?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Harrogate Town v Notts County was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Harrogate Town and Notts County?
In their last 6 meetings, Harrogate Town won 2, Notts County won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Harrogate Town and Notts County?
Recent form — Harrogate Town 1W 1D 3L; Notts County 3W 0D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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