Milton Keynes Dons v Bristol Rovers result

Full-time · Milton Keynes Dons 1–0 Bristol Rovers

League Two · Tue, 27 Jan 2026 19:45 GMT

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Milton Keynes Dons · Bristol Rovers · Head-to-head

Milton Keynes Dons 1–0 Bristol Rovers — Milton Keynes Dons won this League Two match.

Match report, in numbers

The result

Milton Keynes Dons beat Bristol Rovers 1–0 in League Two on Tuesday 27 January.

Milton Keynes Dons have scored 80 goals, the most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 43 games, ranked per game).

The goals

Milton Keynes Dons led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Milton Keynes Dons: Callum Paterson (45’, assisted by Aaron Collins).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Milton Keynes Dons 2.11, Bristol Rovers 0.97, from 12 shots to 13 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

C. Hicks showed six yellow cards — against 2.4 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Milton Keynes Dons: Callum Paterson (27’), Luke Offord (40’) and Liam Kelly (90’); Bristol Rovers: Riley-Jay Harbottle (28’), K. Conteh (89’) and Jack Sparkes (90’).

What it changes

Milton Keynes Dons stay second after this result (28 league matches played). Milton Keynes Dons have conceded 42 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 43 games, ranked per game).

Bristol Rovers stay 22nd after this result (27 league matches played). Bristol Rovers have scored 48 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 43 games, ranked per game). Bristol Rovers have conceded 61 goals, the ninth-most of the 24 clubs.

Milton Keynes Dons are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. Bristol Rovers have lost their last three matches in all competitions. Milton Keynes Dons have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. Bristol Rovers have failed to score in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Aaron Collins (Milton Keynes Dons) 5.5, Callum Paterson (Milton Keynes Dons) 5.5 and Jack Sanders (Milton Keynes Dons) 5.2 led the match.

Next up

Milton Keynes Dons next host Burton Albion on 14 November 2026.

Bristol Rovers next host Chesterfield on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Milton Keynes Dons: Milton Keynes Dons v Burton Albion, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Bristol Rovers: Bristol Rovers v Chesterfield, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Milton Keynes Dons 1–0 Bristol Rovers · League Two
Referee: C. Hicks
Head-to-head (last 6): Milton Keynes Dons 5 · draws 0 · Bristol Rovers 1 · 2.33 goals/game
Recent form: Milton Keynes Dons 2W 2D 1L · Bristol Rovers 1W 0D 4L

Milton Keynes Dons 1–0 Bristol Rovers (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2 / 0.75

Goals

against 0.75 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

2.86 / 3.75

Corners

against 4.29 / 6 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 7 matches

4.86 / 2.63

Shots on target

against 2.86 / 4.38 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.71 / 2.38

Cards

against 2.29 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 7 matches

2.4 yellows

Referee · C. Hicks

22.2 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 5 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 January 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 24 January 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Milton Keynes Dons for / against	Line	Bristol Rovers for / against
Goals scored	2 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	0.75 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	2.86 for · 4.29 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	3.75 for · 6 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12.86 for · 10.57 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	9.13 for · 13.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.86 for · 2.86 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	2.63 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.86 for · 9.57 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	14.25 for · 9.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.71 for · 2.29 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	2.38 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: C. Hicks — 2.4 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 22.2 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Milton Keynes Dons

Milton Keynes Dons Defensive

Milton Keynes Dons — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Milton Keynes Dons before kick-off, to 24 January 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
L. Offord n 8	90	1.5 5/4	0.3 1/1	—
L. Kelly n 8	80.3	1.4 6/4	0.4 2/1	—
C. MacGillivray n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
A. Gilbey n 8	87.4	1 7/1	1.2 5/3	F. Cavegn
C. Paterson n 8	83.8	2 7/5	1.3 6/2	—
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Milton Keynes Dons — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Milton Keynes Dons before kick-off, to 24 January 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
L. Offord n 8	90	1 6/2
L. Kelly n 8	80.3	0.8 3/3
C. MacGillivray n 8	90	0 0/0
A. Gilbey n 8	87.4	1.5 4/4
C. Paterson n 8	83.8	0.9 5/2
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Milton Keynes Dons Attacking

Milton Keynes Dons — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Milton Keynes Dons before kick-off, to 24 January 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
L. Offord n 8	90	0.5 4/0	0.3 2/0
L. Kelly n 8	80.3	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
C. MacGillivray n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Gilbey n 8	87.4	2.1 7/5	1.2 6/2
C. Paterson n 8	83.8	1.9 6/5	1.3 5/3
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Milton Keynes Dons — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Milton Keynes Dons before kick-off, to 24 January 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
L. Offord n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
L. Kelly n 8	80.3	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
C. MacGillivray n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Gilbey n 8	87.4	0.3 1/1	0.1 1/0
C. Paterson n 8	83.8	0.8 4/1	0.4 2/1
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Bristol Rovers

Bristol Rovers Defensive

Bristol Rovers — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol Rovers before kick-off, to 24 January 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
F. Cavegn n 8	80.1	0.6 3/1	0.4 2/1	A. Gilbey
J. Sparkes n 8	84.4	0.5 3/1	0.7 4/1	—
K. Conteh n 8	90	1.5 7/4	0.5 4/0	—
L. Thomas n 8	72	0.9 5/1	0.3 2/0	—
L. Southwood n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.4 3/0	—
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Bristol Rovers — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol Rovers before kick-off, to 24 January 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
F. Cavegn n 8	80.1	0.3 2/0
J. Sparkes n 8	84.4	2.3 6/5
K. Conteh n 8	90	2.3 8/7
L. Thomas n 8	72	2.5 5/4
L. Southwood n 8	90	0 0/0
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Bristol Rovers Attacking

Bristol Rovers — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol Rovers before kick-off, to 24 January 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
F. Cavegn n 8	80.1	1.5 5/2	0.8 4/1
J. Sparkes n 8	84.4	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
K. Conteh n 8	90	0.8 4/2	0.1 1/0
L. Thomas n 8	72	0.9 4/2	0.3 2/0
L. Southwood n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Bristol Rovers — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol Rovers before kick-off, to 24 January 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
F. Cavegn n 8	80.1	0.6 2/1	0 0/0
J. Sparkes n 8	84.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
K. Conteh n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
L. Thomas n 8	72	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Southwood n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Milton Keynes Dons		Bristol Rovers
54%	Possession	46%
2.11	Expected goals (xG)	0.97
12	Shots	13
3	Shots on target	3
6	Shots off target	4
3	Blocked shots	6
7	Shots inside the box	8
4	Corners	3
3	Offsides	3
10	Fouls	18
3	Yellow cards	3
0	Red cards	0
3	Saves	2
300	Passes	261
67%	Pass accuracy	61%

Milton Keynes Dons Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
C. MacGillivray	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.2
J. Sanders	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	7.9
C. Nelson	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	8.2
L. Offord	90	0	0	2	0	0	1	Y	6.7
A. Gilbey	90	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	6.7
J. Mellish	90	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	6.9
A. Collins	89	0	1	1	0	2	2	0	7.6
B. Wiles	83	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	6.7
C. Paterson	83	1	0	2	1	2	0	Y	6.9
A. Nemane	76	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.3
J. Matete	45	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
L. Kelly sub	45	0	0	1	0	1	1	Y	6.7
G. Jones sub	14	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.9
C. Lemonheigh-Evans sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
S. Hogan sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
M. Ekpiteta sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Bristol Rovers Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Brad Young	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
K. Balmer	90	0	0	1	1	0	7
T. Moore	90	0	0	0	2	0	7.2
R. Harbottle	90	1	1	1	1	Y	5.9
R. De Havilland	90	0	0	0	4	0	6.9
J. Sparkes	90	1	0	0	1	Y	6.9
S. Forde	90	1	0	5	3	0	6.9
F. Cavegn	90	2	2	0	1	0	6.3
C. Mola	77	0	0	0	4	0	6.6
J. Senior	68	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
E. Harrison	63	1	0	1	0	0	6.5
M. Rijks sub	27	1	0	0	1	0	6.2
Y. Akhamrich sub	22	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
K. Conteh sub	13	0	0	0	1	Y	6.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Milton Keynes Dons v Bristol Rovers — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Milton Keynes DonsLDDWW

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2 scored / 1 conceded per game

Bristol RoversLLWLL

Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Milton Keynes Dons 5 · 0 draws · Bristol Rovers 1 · 2.33 goals/game

2025-10-11 Bristol Rovers 0–4 Milton Keynes Dons
2023-02-04 Bristol Rovers 0–2 Milton Keynes Dons
2022-10-11 Milton Keynes Dons 0–1 Bristol Rovers
2021-04-20 Bristol Rovers 0–2 Milton Keynes Dons
2020-12-26 Milton Keynes Dons 2–0 Bristol Rovers
2020-01-01 Milton Keynes Dons 3–0 Bristol Rovers

League standing · 2025/26

Milton Keynes Dons#2 pos86 pts46 pl+41 GD

Bristol Rovers#14 pos62 pts46 pl-9 GD

Goals per game

Milton Keynes Dons scored1.87

Bristol Rovers scored1.22

Milton Keynes Dons conceded0.98

Bristol Rovers conceded1.41

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Milton Keynes Dons and Bristol Rovers?: In their last 6 meetings, Milton Keynes Dons won 5, Bristol Rovers won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Milton Keynes Dons and Bristol Rovers?: Recent form — Milton Keynes Dons 2W 2D 1L; Bristol Rovers 1W 0D 4L.

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