Milton Keynes DonsBromley

Milton Keynes Dons v Bromley result

Full-time · Milton Keynes Dons 2–1 Bromley

League Two ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Milton Keynes Dons 2–1 Bromley — Milton Keynes Dons won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Milton Keynes Dons beat Bromley 2–1 in League Two on Saturday 11 April. Bromley have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Milton Keynes Dons led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Milton Keynes Dons: Nathaniel Mendez-Laing (1’) and Benjamin Wiles (17’, assisted by Gethin Jones); Bromley: Marcus Lemar Ifill (74’). Jon Mellish (67’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Nathaniel Mendez-Laing’s goal on 1 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Milton Keynes Dons 2.10, Bromley 1.85, from 10 shots to 19 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

W. Finnie showed six yellow cards and one red — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Milton Keynes Dons: Curtis Nelson (18’), Jon Mellish (66’) and Jon Mellish (67’); Bromley: Omar Sowunmi (67’), Zechariah Medley (71’) and Jude Arthurs (86’).

What it changes

Milton Keynes Dons stay second after this result (43 league matches played). Milton Keynes Dons have scored 86 goals, the most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Milton Keynes Dons have conceded 45 goals, the third-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Bromley stay first after this result (43 league matches played). Bromley have scored 71 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Bromley have conceded 46 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Milton Keynes Dons are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Benjamin Wiles (Milton Keynes Dons) 6.5, Marcus Lemar Ifill (Bromley) 6.3 and Nathaniel Mendez-Laing (Milton Keynes Dons) 5.2 led the match.

Head-to-head

Bromley are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Milton Keynes Dons, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Milton Keynes Dons or Bromley (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Milton Keynes Dons next host Swindon Town on 7 November 2026.

Bromley next host Rotherham on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Milton Keynes Dons: Milton Keynes Dons v Swindon Town, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Bromley: Bromley v Rotherham, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Milton Keynes Dons 2–1 Bromley · League Two
  • Referee: W. Finnie
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): Milton Keynes Dons 0 · draws 1 · Bromley 2 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Milton Keynes Dons 1W 2D 2L · Bromley 3W 1D 1L

Milton Keynes Dons 2–1 Bromley (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1.13
Goals
against 1 / 0.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 4.88
Corners
against 4.25 / 5.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 4.25
Shots on target
against 3.5 / 4.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 2.25
Cards
against 1.88 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.22 yellows
Referee · W. Finnie
24 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 9 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameMilton Keynes Dons for / againstLineBromley for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1 against n 8
2.5standard
1.13 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
4.5 for · 4.25 against n 8
9.5standard
4.88 for · 5.38 against n 8
Shots
13.25 for · 11 against n 8
19.5standard
11.88 for · 13.88 against n 8
Shots on target
4.75 for · 3.5 against n 8
8.5standard
4.25 for · 4.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.88 for · 10 against n 8
21.5standard
10.5 for · 9.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: W. Finnie — 4.22 yellow cards a game, 0.11 red cards, 24 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Milton Keynes Dons

Milton Keynes Dons Defensive

Milton Keynes Dons — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Milton Keynes Dons before kick-off, to 7 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. MacGillivray n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
A. Gilbey n 890
1.88/6
1.36/4
M. Pinnock
L. Kelly n 872.5
0.95/1
0.63/1
A. Charles
L. Offord n 885.9
1.35/3
1.34/3
—
M. Ekpiteta n 884.6
1.26/1
1.25/2
I. Odutayo
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Milton Keynes Dons — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Milton Keynes Dons before kick-off, to 7 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. MacGillivray n 890
00/0
A. Gilbey n 890
1.14/3
L. Kelly n 872.5
1.67/3
L. Offord n 885.9
1.66/4
M. Ekpiteta n 884.6
1.96/6
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Milton Keynes Dons Attacking

Milton Keynes Dons — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Milton Keynes Dons before kick-off, to 7 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. MacGillivray n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Gilbey n 890
1.35/3
0.54/0
L. Kelly n 872.5
0.63/1
0.21/0
L. Offord n 885.9
0.32/0
0.11/0
M. Ekpiteta n 884.6
1.16/2
0.74/1
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Milton Keynes Dons — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Milton Keynes Dons before kick-off, to 7 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. MacGillivray n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Gilbey n 890
0.32/0
00/0
L. Kelly n 872.5
0.21/0
0.32/0
L. Offord n 885.9
0.11/0
00/0
M. Ekpiteta n 884.6
0.43/0
00/0
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Bromley

Bromley Defensive

Bromley — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bromley before kick-off, to 7 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Pinnock n 889.9
0.93/3
0.84/1
A. Gilbey
I. Odutayo n 889.6
0.32/0
0.64/1
M. Ekpiteta
A. Charles n 874.5
1.76/5
1.46/2
L. Kelly
G. Smith n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
Marcus Lemar Ifill n 872.1
0.84/1
0.84/1
—
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Bromley — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bromley before kick-off, to 7 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Pinnock n 889.9
1.15/3
I. Odutayo n 889.6
1.86/5
A. Charles n 874.5
26/6
G. Smith n 890
00/0
Marcus Lemar Ifill n 872.1
37/4
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Bromley Attacking

Bromley — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bromley before kick-off, to 7 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Pinnock n 889.9
0.43/0
0.32/0
I. Odutayo n 889.6
0.11/0
00/0
A. Charles n 874.5
0.84/1
0.32/0
G. Smith n 890
00/0
00/0
Marcus Lemar Ifill n 872.1
0.32/0
0.21/0
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Bromley — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bromley before kick-off, to 7 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Pinnock n 889.9
00/0
00/0
I. Odutayo n 889.6
00/0
00/0
A. Charles n 874.5
0.21/0
00/0
G. Smith n 890
00/0
00/0
Marcus Lemar Ifill n 872.1
0.21/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Milton Keynes DonsBromley
41%Possession59%
2.10Expected goals (xG)1.85
10Shots19
4Shots on target7
3Shots off target5
3Blocked shots7
9Shots inside the box10
2Corners9
3Offsides1
14Fouls14
3Yellow cards3
1Red cards0
6Saves2
255Passes349
59%Pass accuracy66%

Milton Keynes Dons Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. MacGillivray9000000008.5
M. Ekpiteta9000000107
C. Nelson90000000Y7.3
J. Sanders9000000107
B. Wiles9010212207.9
A. Gilbey9000001006.6
C. Paterson9000321007.2
G. Jones8301001007.2
L. Kelly7000003206.3
J. Mellish67000000RY6.3
N. Mendez-Laing6510211107.3
A. Collins sub2500000106.7
C. Lemonheigh-Evans sub2000000006.2
J. Tomlinson sub1300000207

Bromley Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
G. Smith9000000006.6
Marcus Lemar Ifill9010112107.2
O. Sowunmi90002201Y6.3
K. Cameron9000001005.6
M. Pinnock9000224008
N. Kabamba9000110005.9
A. Charles8900101206.6
I. Odutayo4500100105.9
W. Hondermarck4500000006.2
C. Whitely4500000006.5
D. Ajayi4500000005.9
B. Thompson sub4500201006.3
Ben Krauhaus sub4500001006.7
J. Arthurs sub45002101Y6.9
Z. Medley sub45000010Y7
G. Evans sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Milton Keynes Dons v Bromley — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Milton Keynes DonsWLLDD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
BromleyWWLDW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
Milton Keynes Dons 0 · 1 draw · Bromley 2 · 2 goals/game
  • 2025-10-25 Bromley 2–1 Milton Keynes Dons
  • 2025-02-08 Milton Keynes Dons 0–1 Bromley
  • 2024-09-28 Bromley 1–1 Milton Keynes Dons
League standing · 2025/26
Milton Keynes Dons#2 pos86 pts46 pl+41 GD
Bromley#1 pos87 pts46 pl+25 GD
Goals per game
Milton Keynes Dons scored1.87
Bromley scored1.54
Milton Keynes Dons conceded0.98
Bromley conceded1

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Milton Keynes Dons v Bromley?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Milton Keynes Dons v Bromley was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Milton Keynes Dons and Bromley?
In their last 3 meetings, Milton Keynes Dons won 0, Bromley won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Milton Keynes Dons and Bromley?
Recent form — Milton Keynes Dons 1W 2D 2L; Bromley 3W 1D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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