OldhamCheltenham

Oldham v Cheltenham result

Full-time · Oldham 4–1 Cheltenham

League Two · · Boundary Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Oldham · Cheltenham · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Oldham 4–1 Cheltenham — Oldham won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.80 at Bet365
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Oldham beat Cheltenham 4–1 at Boundary Park in League Two on Saturday 17 October.

The goals

Oldham led 3–1 at half-time. The goals — Oldham: Calum Kavanagh (19’, assisted by Favour Fawunmi), Jamie Robson (25’, assisted by Favour Fawunmi; 81’, assisted by Oliver Hammond) and Favour Fawunmi (41’, assisted by Calum Kavanagh); Cheltenham: Freddie Willcox (45+1’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Calum Kavanagh’s goal on 19 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Oldham 2.16, Cheltenham 1.83, from 18 shots to 10 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

S. Oldham showed two yellow cards — against 3.9 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Cheltenham: Shaun McWilliams (18’) and Charlie McCann (24’).

What it changes

Oldham move up from 21st to 18th (10 league matches played). Oldham have scored 13 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Oldham have conceded 14 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Cheltenham move down from fourth to eighth (11 league matches played). Cheltenham have scored 17 goals, the fourth-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Cheltenham have conceded 20 goals, the second-most of the 24 clubs.

Oldham’s three-goal margin was the biggest of round 11, across 12 matches. Cheltenham have lost their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Favour Fawunmi (Oldham) 14.7, Jamie Robson (Oldham) 10.1 and Calum Kavanagh (Oldham) 8.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Oldham next host Sheffield Wednesday on 8 November 2026.

Cheltenham next travel to Exeter City on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Oldham: Oldham v Sheffield Wednesday, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Cheltenham: Exeter City v Cheltenham, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Oldham 4–1 Cheltenham · League Two
  • Venue: Boundary Park · Oldham, Greater Manchester
  • Referee: S. Oldham
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Oldham 3 · draws 1 · Cheltenham 2 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Oldham 0W 1D 4L · Cheltenham 2W 1D 2L

Oldham 4–1 Cheltenham (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
6.25 / 3.88
Corners
against 4.88 / 7 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 2.88
Shots on target
against 3.5 / 5.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 3.13
Cards
against 2 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.91 yellows
Referee · S. Oldham
21.18 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 11 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 10 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameOldham for / againstLineCheltenham for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.75our book
1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
6.25 for · 4.88 against n 8
9.5standard
3.88 for · 7 against n 8
Shots
14.38 for · 11.5 against n 8
19.5standard
8.5 for · 16.75 against n 8
Shots on target
3.75 for · 3.5 against n 8
8.5standard
2.88 for · 5.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.75 for · 12 against n 8
21.5standard
12.13 for · 10.25 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
3.13 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: S. Oldham — 3.91 yellow cards a game, 0.18 red cards, 21.18 fouls over 11 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Oldham

Oldham Goalkeeper

Oldham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Hudson1091907 min202 /90111.1 /9020.2 /90
Oldham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oldham before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Hudson n 890
25/3

Oldham Defensive

Oldham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Robson1091907 min212.1 /9080.8 /9020.2 /90676.6 /9060.6 /9020.2 /90
G. Scott-Morriss1086864 min192 /90111.1 /9020.2 /90464.8 /90141.5 /9000 /90
D. Daniels983748 min81 /9050.6 /9070.8 /90344.1 /9040.5 /9010.1 /90
R. Delaney882656 min101.4 /9081.1 /9071 /90466.3 /9040.5 /9020.3 /90
E. Monthe658348 min20.5 /9051.3 /9000 /90174.4 /9041 /9000 /90
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Oldham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oldham before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Appiah-Forson n 890
0.86/0
0.83/1
C. McCann
J. Robson n 890
0.63/2
0.43/0
—
M. Hudson n 890
00/0
0.53/1
—
O. Norburn n 887
1.37/2
1.67/4
C. McCann
G. Scott-Morriss n 884.6
1.67/4
0.86/0
—
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Oldham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oldham before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Robson n 890
27/6
K. Appiah-Forson n 890
1.47/4
O. Norburn n 887
1.25/3
G. Scott-Morriss n 884.6
1.57/4
K. Drummond n 873.1
2.27/4
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Oldham Attacking

Oldham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
C. Kavanagh1072716 min40.5 /9030.4 /90263.3 /90101.3 /90121.5 /9050.6 /90
M. Fondop-Talum965582 min10.2 /9010.2 /90162.5 /9071.1 /9071.1 /9020.3 /90
E. Nevitt640238 min10.4 /9000 /9041.5 /9031.1 /9031.1 /9010.4 /90
O. Hammond15656 min00 /9000 /9011.6 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
K. Appiah-Forson1091907 min10.1 /9010.1 /9050.5 /9030.3 /9080.8 /90121.2 /90
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Oldham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oldham before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Appiah-Forson n 890
0.65/0
0.43/0
J. Robson n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
M. Hudson n 890
00/0
00/0
O. Norburn n 887
0.41/1
00/0
G. Scott-Morriss n 884.6
1.65/4
0.43/0
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Oldham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oldham before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Robson n 890
00/0
0.32/0
K. Appiah-Forson n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
M. Hudson n 890
00/0
00/0
O. Norburn n 887
00/0
00/0
G. Scott-Morriss n 884.6
00/0
00/0
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Cheltenham

Cheltenham Goalkeeper

Cheltenham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
W. Stanway1185930 min343.3 /90111.1 /9000 /90
J. Day16565 min34.2 /9034.2 /9000 /90
Cheltenham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
W. Stanway n 890
3.24/4
J. Day n 886.9
2.66/6

Cheltenham Defensive

Cheltenham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Tomkinson1190995 min211.9 /90131.2 /9010.1 /90615.5 /9090.8 /9050.5 /90
R. Cundy1190995 min151.4 /90131.2 /9080.7 /90888 /9020.2 /9000 /90
P. Sweeney1085848 min70.7 /9030.3 /9060.6 /90333.5 /9050.5 /9020.2 /90
J. Tomlinson1080796 min101.1 /9050.6 /9020.2 /90354 /9080.9 /9010.1 /90
G. Nurse556279 min41.3 /9031 /9020.6 /90185.8 /9020.6 /9000 /90
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Cheltenham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Tomkinson n 890
0.96/1
1.15/3
—
R. Cundy n 890
0.32/0
0.86/0
—
W. Stanway n 890
00/0
0.95/1
—
C. McCann n 890
1.35/4
0.42/1
O. Norburn
B. Stevenson n 884.9
0.94/3
0.73/2
—
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Cheltenham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Tomkinson n 890
1.57/3
R. Cundy n 890
1.35/4
C. McCann n 890
1.47/3
B. Stevenson n 884.9
2.58/5
P. Sweeney n 882.9
0.72/2
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Cheltenham Attacking

Cheltenham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Weimann1070700 min40.5 /9020.3 /9060.8 /9050.6 /9091.2 /9050.6 /90
J. Bickerstaff523115 min00 /9000 /9010.8 /9010.8 /9021.6 /9032.3 /90
K. Otchere350151 min00 /9000 /9021.2 /9010.6 /9000 /9000 /90
G. Miller16565 min11.4 /9000 /9011.4 /9011.4 /9000 /9000 /90
C. McCann1090904 min70.7 /9000 /90121.2 /9090.9 /90131.3 /9030.3 /90
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Cheltenham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Cundy n 890
0.43/0
00/0
J. Tomkinson n 890
0.11/0
00/0
W. Stanway n 890
00/0
00/0
C. McCann n 890
1.35/3
15/3
B. Stevenson n 884.9
0.32/0
00/0
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Cheltenham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Tomkinson n 890
00/0
0.11/0
R. Cundy n 890
00/0
00/0
W. Stanway n 890
00/0
00/0
C. McCann n 890
0.85/1
00/0
B. Stevenson n 884.9
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
OldhamCheltenham
47%Possession53%
2.16Expected goals (xG)1.83
18Shots10
5Shots on target4
9Shots off target4
4Blocked shots2
10Shots inside the box6
4Corners5
1Offsides2
6Fouls11
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
3Saves1
464Passes510

Oldham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
K. Appiah-Forson9000001206.5
M. Hudson9000000006.7
W. Sutton9000000206
O. Norburn9000101207.2
E. Monthe9000100206.6
C. Kavanagh9011311108.6
D. Daniels9000111006.4
J. Robson9020221007.9
T. Pett8300104207.2
F. Fawunmi7612414209.3
K. Drummond7000300306.2
M. Fondop-Talum2000101006.7
O. Hammond1401101006.4
Kai Payne700000006.3

Cheltenham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
F. Willcox9010210107.1
J. Wilson9000100206.4
A. Weimann9000211006
P. Sweeney9000100206.3
J. Shipley9000001105.8
G. Nurse9000000105.6
C. McCann90001120Y6.6
W. Stanway9000000005.7
J. Evans8800310005.9
G. Miller7500000106.2
S. McWilliams60000001Y4.9
K. Otchere3000001006.4
J. Bickerstaff1500000006.2
Favour Onukwuli200000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Oldham v Cheltenham — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
OldhamLLLLD
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.4 scored / 2 conceded per game
CheltenhamWDWLL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Oldham 3 · 1 draw · Cheltenham 2 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2026-01-17 Oldham 2–1 Cheltenham
  • 2025-09-20 Cheltenham 0–3 Oldham
  • 2021-01-26 Cheltenham 2–0 Oldham
  • 2020-11-03 Oldham 2–1 Cheltenham
  • 2020-01-04 Cheltenham 3–0 Oldham
  • 2019-10-05 Oldham 1–1 Cheltenham
League standing · 2026/27
Oldham#18 pos15 pts14 pl-4 GD
Cheltenham#5 pos21 pts14 pl-2 GD
Goals per game
Oldham scored1.07
Cheltenham scored1.64
Oldham conceded1.36
Cheltenham conceded1.79

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Oldham v Cheltenham?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Oldham v Cheltenham was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.80 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Oldham and Cheltenham?
In their last 6 meetings, Oldham won 3, Cheltenham won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Oldham and Cheltenham?
Recent form — Oldham 0W 1D 4L; Cheltenham 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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