OldhamSwindon Town

Oldham v Swindon Town result

Full-time · Oldham 3–0 Swindon Town

League Two · · Boundary Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Oldham 3–0 Swindon Town — Oldham won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.30 at William Hill
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Oldham beat Swindon Town 3–0 at Boundary Park in League Two on Saturday 29 August. Swindon Town are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Oldham, every meeting checked.

The goals

Oldham led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Oldham: Elliott Nevitt (41’, assisted by Calum Kavanagh), Calum Kavanagh (84’ pen) and M. Fondop-Talum (90’, assisted by Calum Kavanagh).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Elliott Nevitt’s goal on 41 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Oldham 2.90, Swindon Town 0.22, from 26 shots to 3 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

D. Whitestone showed three yellow cards — against 3.9 yellows a game across the last 15 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Swindon Town: Oliver Clarke (71’), Kaelan Majekodunmi (75’) and Connor Ripley (83’).

What it changes

Oldham move up from eighth to fourth (three league matches played).

Swindon Town move down from seventh to 14th (three league matches played).

Oldham’s three-goal margin was the biggest of round 3, across 12 matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Calum Kavanagh (Oldham) 13.2, Kaelan Majekodunmi (Swindon Town) 7.9 and M. Fondop-Talum (Oldham) 6.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Oldham or Swindon Town (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

Oldham next host Sheffield Wednesday on 8 November 2026.

Swindon Town next host Grimsby on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Oldham: Oldham v Sheffield Wednesday, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Swindon Town: Swindon Town v Grimsby, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Oldham 3–0 Swindon Town · League Two
  • Venue: Boundary Park · Oldham
  • Referee: D. Whitestone
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Oldham 0 · draws 1 · Swindon Town 5 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Oldham 2W 0D 3L · Swindon Town 1W 1D 3L

Oldham 3–0 Swindon Town (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.63 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.88 / 3.63
Corners
against 4.63 / 7.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 2.75
Shots on target
against 4.88 / 5.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 1.63
Cards
against 2.25 / 0.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 22 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameOldham for / againstLineSwindon Town for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5our book
1.13 for · 2 against n 8
Corners won
3.88 for · 4.63 against n 8
9.5standard
3.63 for · 7.13 against n 8
Shots
9.88 for · 13.25 against n 8
19.5standard
8 for · 14.25 against n 8
Shots on target
3.75 for · 4.88 against n 8
8.5standard
2.75 for · 5.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.38 for · 12.63 against n 8
21.5standard
9.5 for · 8.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 0.88 against n 8

Referee: D. Whitestone.

Oldham

Oldham Goalkeeper

Oldham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Hudson392277 min82.6 /9041.3 /9010.3 /90
Oldham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oldham before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Hudson n 887.5
2.46/3

Oldham Defensive

Oldham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Robson392277 min103.2 /9031 /9000 /90299.4 /9010.3 /9000 /90
R. Delaney392277 min31 /9000 /9031 /90175.5 /9020.6 /9010.3 /90
D. Daniels385254 min00 /9010.4 /9000 /90103.5 /9020.7 /9010.4 /90
G. Scott-Morriss378234 min93.5 /9020.8 /9010.4 /90135 /9041.5 /9000 /90
L. Temple23468 min11.3 /9022.6 /9011.3 /9079.3 /9022.6 /9000 /90
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Oldham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oldham before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Appiah-Forson n 392.3
1.33/1
0.62/0
—
R. Delaney n 392.3
0.62/0
0.31/0
M. Clark
J. Robson n 890.8
0.43/0
16/1
S. Negru
M. Hudson n 887.5
00/0
0.31/1
—
O. Norburn n 388.3
13/0
23/2
—
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Oldham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oldham before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Robson n 890.8
27/5
K. Appiah-Forson n 392.3
1.93/3
R. Delaney n 392.3
12/1
O. Norburn n 388.3
1.43/1
K. Drummond n 886.6
2.17/5
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Oldham Attacking

Oldham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Fondop-Talum375224 min00 /9010.4 /9031.2 /9020.8 /9031.2 /9010.4 /90
C. Kavanagh367201 min20.9 /9000 /9062.7 /9041.8 /9020.9 /9000 /90
E. Nevitt22651 min00 /9000 /9023.5 /9011.8 /9000 /9000 /90
K. Appiah-Forson392277 min10.3 /9000 /9010.3 /9010.3 /9031 /9020.6 /90
O. Norburn388265 min00 /9010.3 /9000 /9000 /9010.3 /9000 /90
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Oldham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oldham before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Robson n 890.8
0.43/0
0.22/0
K. Appiah-Forson n 392.3
0.31/0
0.31/0
R. Delaney n 392.3
00/0
00/0
M. Hudson n 887.5
00/0
00/0
O. Norburn n 388.3
00/0
00/0
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Oldham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Oldham before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Appiah-Forson n 392.3
0.31/0
00/0
J. Robson n 890.8
00/0
0.22/0
R. Delaney n 392.3
00/0
00/0
M. Hudson n 887.5
00/0
00/0
O. Norburn n 388.3
00/0
0.31/0
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Swindon Town

Swindon Town Goalkeeper

Swindon Town — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
C. Ripley390270 min103.3 /9041.3 /9000 /90
Swindon Town — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swindon Town before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Ripley n 890
3.26/4

Swindon Town Defensive

Swindon Town — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
B. Kirkman390270 min196.3 /90103.3 /9010.3 /904113.7 /9031 /9000 /90
S. Negru390270 min93 /9031 /9062 /90196.3 /9010.3 /9000 /90
M. Clark381244 min51.8 /9041.5 /9000 /90155.5 /9041.5 /9010.4 /90
R. Tafazolli343129 min32.1 /9032.1 /9021.4 /90117.7 /9010.7 /9000 /90
K. Majekodunmi24896 min10.9 /9000 /9021.9 /90109.4 /9000 /9000 /90
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Swindon Town — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swindon Town before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
B. Kirkman n 870.3
1.65/4
0.63/1
—
S. Negru n 390
0.31/0
0.72/0
J. Robson
A. Drinan n 885.6
0.11/0
0.32/0
—
C. Ripley n 890
00/0
0.43/0
—
M. Clark n 381.3
1.52/1
1.83/1
R. Delaney
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Swindon Town — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swindon Town before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
B. Kirkman n 870.3
4.87/6
S. Negru n 390
33/2
A. Drinan n 885.6
0.32/0
M. Clark n 381.3
1.83/1
M. Virtue-Thick n 379.3
33/1
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Swindon Town Attacking

Swindon Town — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Drinan390270 min10.3 /9000 /9051.7 /9010.3 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90
L. Millard349146 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9010.6 /90
O. Palmer33295 min00 /9000 /9010.9 /9000 /9000 /9021.9 /90
J. Hungbo23671 min00 /9011.3 /9000 /9000 /9033.8 /9033.8 /90
P. Glatzel19090 min11 /9000 /9011 /9011 /9011 /9000 /90
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Swindon Town — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swindon Town before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Drinan n 885.6
1.26/2
0.53/1
B. Kirkman n 870.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
C. Ripley n 890
00/0
00/0
S. Negru n 390
00/0
00/0
M. Clark n 381.3
00/0
00/0
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Swindon Town — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swindon Town before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Drinan n 885.6
0.43/0
0.11/0
S. Negru n 390
00/0
0.31/0
B. Kirkman n 870.3
0.21/0
00/0
C. Ripley n 890
00/0
0.11/0
M. Clark n 381.3
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
OldhamSwindon Town
45%Possession55%
2.90Expected goals (xG)0.22
26Shots3
9Shots on target1
9Shots off target1
8Blocked shots2
19Shots inside the box2
14Corners4
6Offsides2
6Fouls12
0Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
1Saves6
285Passes373
73%Pass accuracy76%

Oldham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
K. Appiah-Forson9000102207
R. Delaney9000100207
C. Kavanagh9012423107.6
O. Norburn9000004008.5
J. Robson9000111207.7
M. Hudson9000000006.9
G. Scott-Morriss9000312207.2
K. Drummond8600003207.3
D. Daniels6800200006.9
F. Fawunmi6800325008
E. Nevitt6810110107.7
E. Monthe sub2200000006.9
M. Fondop-Talum sub2210221008.5
N. Chilvers sub2200001206.6
T. Pett sub1000000006.9

Swindon Town Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Tafazolli9000000306.3
S. Negru9000000106.5
K. Majekodunmi90000005Y7.2
A. Drinan9000110106.2
M. Clark9000000106.3
C. Ripley90000000Y8.5
O. Clarke77000000Y6
B. Middlemas5900000206.3
L. Millard5900000006.2
J. Snowdon4500002106.9
A. Munda4500000106.3
Jack Thomson sub4500000206.2
O. Palmer sub4500000006.7
T. Nichols sub3100000006.3
P. Glatzel sub3100000006.6
J. Pearman sub1300000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Oldham v Swindon Town — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
OldhamLWLWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Swindon TownLLLDW
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Oldham 0 · 1 draw · Swindon Town 5 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2026-02-07 Swindon Town 3–0 Oldham
  • 2025-08-16 Oldham 1–2 Swindon Town
  • 2022-03-12 Swindon Town 1–0 Oldham
  • 2021-10-30 Oldham 1–3 Swindon Town
  • 2019-12-14 Swindon Town 2–0 Oldham
  • 2019-04-13 Oldham 2–2 Swindon Town
League standing · 2026/27
Oldham#18 pos15 pts14 pl-4 GD
Swindon Town#13 pos19 pts14 pl-2 GD
Goals per game
Oldham scored1.07
Swindon Town scored1.07
Oldham conceded1.36
Swindon Town conceded1.21

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Oldham v Swindon Town?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Oldham v Swindon Town was Home or Away (best price 1.30 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between Oldham and Swindon Town?
In their last 6 meetings, Oldham won 0, Swindon Town won 5 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Oldham and Swindon Town?
Recent form — Oldham 2W 0D 3L; Swindon Town 1W 1D 3L.

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