RochdaleGillingham

Rochdale v Gillingham result

Full-time · Rochdale 1–4 Gillingham

League Two · · Spotland Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Rochdale · Gillingham · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Rochdale 1–4 Gillingham — Gillingham won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.33 at Bet365
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Gillingham won 4–1 at Spotland Stadium in League Two on Saturday 5 September. Gillingham are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Rochdale, every meeting checked.

The goals

Gillingham led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Gillingham: James Brophy (33’, assisted by Nicholas Freeman; 68’, assisted by Eli King), Omar Beckles (53’) and Lamin Sillah (56’, assisted by Andrew Smith); Rochdale: Charlie Tasker (87’, assisted by Glenn Middleton). Edward Francis (60’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with James Brophy’s goal on 33 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Rochdale 0.76, Gillingham 1.39, from 7 shots to 16 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

J. Robinson showed one yellow card and one red — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition).

What it changes

Rochdale move down from 19th to 22nd (five league matches played). Rochdale have scored 17 goals, the 11th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games, ranked per game). Rochdale have conceded 26 goals, the most of the 24 clubs.

Gillingham move up from 18th to 13th (five league matches played). Gillingham have scored 20 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 14 games, ranked per game). Gillingham have conceded 19 goals, the 12th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Gillingham recorded the only away win among the 12 finished matches of round 5. Gillingham are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, James Brophy (Gillingham) 12.4, Eli King (Gillingham) 8.4 and Charlie Tasker (Rochdale) 6.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Rochdale or Gillingham (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).

Next up

Rochdale next travel to Fleetwood Town on 7 November 2026.

Gillingham next host Barrow on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Rochdale: Fleetwood Town v Rochdale, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Gillingham: Gillingham v Barrow, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Rochdale 1–4 Gillingham · League Two
  • Venue: Spotland Stadium · Rochdale
  • Referee: J. Robinson
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Rochdale 0 · draws 2 · Gillingham 4 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Rochdale 1W 0D 4L · Gillingham 0W 3D 2L

Rochdale 1–4 Gillingham (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 0.75
Goals
against 1.63 / 2.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.4 / 3.25
Corners
against 6 / 7.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 5 matches
2.4 / 2.88
Shots on target
against 5.4 / 6.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 5 matches
2.5 / 2
Cards
against 2.67 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 6 matches
4.2 yellows
Referee · J. Robinson
27.4 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 1 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameRochdale for / againstLineGillingham for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5our book
0.75 for · 2.25 against n 8
Corners won
3.4 for · 6 against n 5
9.5standard
3.25 for · 7.13 against n 8
Shots
7.8 for · 14.8 against n 5
19.5standard
8.75 for · 16.5 against n 8
Shots on target
2.4 for · 5.4 against n 5
8.5standard
2.88 for · 6.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.2 for · 11.2 against n 5
21.5standard
12.25 for · 11.25 against n 8
Cards shown
2.5 for · 2.67 against n 6
3.5standard
2 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: J. Robinson — 4.2 yellow cards a game, 0.4 red cards, 27.4 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Rochdale

Rochdale Goalkeeper

Rochdale — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Nils Ramming590450 min193.8 /9081.6 /9000 /90
Rochdale — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rochdale before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Nils Ramming n 590
3.84/4

Rochdale Defensive

Rochdale — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
E. Ebanks-Landell576382 min61.4 /9030.7 /9030.7 /90184.2 /9020.5 /9000 /90
Kaiden Wilson563317 min30.9 /9020.6 /9020.6 /90133.7 /9061.7 /9010.3 /90
O. Adebayo-Rowling490360 min71.8 /9020.5 /9000 /90194.8 /9041 /9020.5 /90
S. Sherring483333 min71.9 /9000 /9030.8 /90143.8 /9030.8 /9010.3 /90
D. Moss389267 min41.3 /9031 /9000 /90134.4 /9041.3 /9020.7 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Rochdale — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rochdale before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Nils Ramming n 590
00/0
0.42/0
—
D. Brown n 576.8
1.94/2
2.14/3
J. Brophy
E. Ebanks-Landell n 881.5
0.74/1
0.63/1
—
Kaiden Wilson n 563.4
1.72/2
0.92/1
O. Beckles
O. Adebayo-Rowling n 490
12/2
1.83/2
—
See more players · Pro
Rochdale — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rochdale before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Brown n 576.8
00/0
E. Ebanks-Landell n 881.5
1.75/2
Kaiden Wilson n 563.4
0.92/1
O. Adebayo-Rowling n 490
1.84/3
S. Sherring n 483.3
1.94/1
See more players · Pro

Rochdale Attacking

Rochdale — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Brown577384 min00 /9010.2 /9071.6 /9040.9 /9020.5 /9051.2 /90
E. Dieseruvwe478313 min00 /9010.3 /9041.2 /9010.3 /9010.3 /9000 /90
Z. Silcott-Duberry464255 min00 /9000 /9010.4 /9000 /9020.7 /9041.4 /90
R. East483330 min00 /9010.3 /9000 /9000 /9051.4 /9020.5 /90
H. Gilmour482326 min00 /9000 /9010.3 /9000 /9020.6 /9010.3 /90
See more players · Pro
Rochdale — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rochdale before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Nils Ramming n 590
00/0
00/0
D. Brown n 576.8
1.64/2
0.93/1
E. Ebanks-Landell n 881.5
0.32/0
0.11/0
Kaiden Wilson n 563.4
00/0
00/0
O. Adebayo-Rowling n 490
0.52/0
00/0
See more players · Pro
Rochdale — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rochdale before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Nils Ramming n 590
00/0
00/0
D. Brown n 576.8
00/0
0.21/0
E. Ebanks-Landell n 881.5
0.11/0
00/0
Kaiden Wilson n 563.4
00/0
00/0
O. Adebayo-Rowling n 490
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

Gillingham

Gillingham Goalkeeper

Gillingham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Maynard-Brewer290180 min21 /9031.5 /9000 /90
Oliver Wright290180 min84 /9021 /9000 /90
O. Mason19090 min88 /9033 /9000 /90

Gillingham Defensive

Gillingham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Smith590450 min61.2 /9061.2 /9010.2 /90204 /9061.2 /9010.2 /90
O. Beckles590450 min91.8 /9091.8 /9040.8 /90326.4 /9040.8 /9010.2 /90
L. Dobbs578391 min61.4 /9081.8 /9020.5 /90245.5 /9071.6 /9010.2 /90
L. Gordon13737 min12.4 /9000 /9000 /9037.3 /9000 /9000 /90
N. Freeman590450 min132.6 /9081.6 /9051 /90183.6 /9000 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
Gillingham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gillingham before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Smith n 888.4
1.16/3
1.15/2
—
O. Beckles n 882.4
15/2
0.74/1
Kaiden Wilson
N. Freeman n 590
00/0
0.42/0
—
J. Brophy n 588.6
13/2
25/3
D. Brown
Ronan Hale n 882.9
1.56/3
0.85/1
—
See more players · Pro
Gillingham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gillingham before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Freeman n 590
2.65/3
O. Beckles n 882.4
2.37/5
A. Smith n 888.4
0.94/2
J. Brophy n 588.6
1.64/3
Ronan Hale n 882.9
0.42/1
See more players · Pro

Gillingham Attacking

Gillingham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Brophy589443 min00 /9000 /9051 /9010.2 /9071.4 /9071.4 /90
Ronan Hale579393 min10.2 /9000 /90102.3 /9051.1 /9030.7 /9040.9 /90
W. Goodwin558291 min00 /9000 /90103.1 /9061.9 /9051.5 /9030.9 /90
S. Palmer-Houlden24385 min00 /9000 /9011.1 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
S. Kendall12323 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9013.9 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
Gillingham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gillingham before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
O. Beckles n 882.4
0.54/0
0.32/0
A. Smith n 888.4
0.31/1
0.11/0
N. Freeman n 590
00/0
00/0
J. Brophy n 588.6
13/2
0.21/0
Ronan Hale n 882.9
2.27/6
0.73/1
See more players · Pro
Gillingham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gillingham before kick-off, to 1 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Freeman n 590
00/0
0.21/0
A. Smith n 888.4
00/0
00/0
O. Beckles n 882.4
00/0
00/0
J. Brophy n 588.6
00/0
00/0
Ronan Hale n 882.9
0.11/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
RochdaleGillingham
54%Possession46%
0.76Expected goals (xG)1.39
7Shots16
2Shots on target6
4Shots off target7
1Blocked shots3
5Shots inside the box7
6Corners6
2Offsides6
13Fouls12
0Yellow cards1
1Red cards0
2Saves2
437Passes356
81%Pass accuracy74%

Rochdale Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Adeeko9000100005.6
Nils Ramming9000000005.8
Kaiden Wilson9000000205.1
C. Tasker9010110107
D. Moss9000000006.2
Kane Taylor9000000105.4
E. Dieseruvwe8800200006.4
L. Hannant8100111005.6
D. Brown8100101005.7
Z. Silcott-Duberry6600000006
E. Francis60001020R5.3
H. Gilmour2400000005.9
J. Smith900000005.8
G. Middleton901001005.9
I. Henderson200000006.3

Gillingham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Smith9001002107.3
N. Freeman9001003107.5
J. Brophy9020421209.2
O. Beckles9010210107.7
Oliver Wright9000000006
Ronan Hale9000621106.7
H. Waldock7300002306.7
E. King7201102607.3
L. Sillah7210110006.8
L. Dobbs6400100106.6
R. McKenzie4500001006.6
Conor McManus45000002Y6.4
J. Daley2600000006.9
Z. Obiero1800000006.5
W. Goodwin1800000006.5
S. Kendall1700100006.4

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Rochdale v Gillingham — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
RochdaleLLLLW
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
GillinghamLLDDD
Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 0.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Rochdale 0 · 2 draws · Gillingham 4 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2023-02-18 Rochdale 0–2 Gillingham
  • 2022-08-06 Gillingham 1–0 Rochdale
  • 2021-01-23 Gillingham 2–2 Rochdale
  • 2020-12-19 Rochdale 1–4 Gillingham
  • 2020-01-25 Rochdale 2–2 Gillingham
  • 2019-12-29 Gillingham 1–0 Rochdale
League standing · 2026/27
Rochdale#20 pos15 pts14 pl-9 GD
Gillingham#8 pos20 pts14 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
Rochdale scored1.21
Gillingham scored1.43
Rochdale conceded1.86
Gillingham conceded1.36

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Rochdale v Gillingham?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Rochdale v Gillingham was Home or Away (best price 1.33 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Rochdale and Gillingham?
In their last 6 meetings, Rochdale won 0, Gillingham won 4 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Rochdale and Gillingham?
Recent form — Rochdale 1W 0D 4L; Gillingham 0W 3D 2L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+