Rotherham v Shrewsbury prediction

League Two · · Aesseal New York Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Rotherham v Shrewsbury, League Two on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 15:00 BST.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4599 landed (95% range 76.2–78.6%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Rotherham host Shrewsbury in League Two on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 15:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Rotherham or Shrewsbury (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Rotherham are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of Rotherham’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in 10 of Rotherham’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Rotherham have one win, four draws and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 0.88 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 2.13. Rotherham have scored 12 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Rotherham have conceded 18 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Six of Shrewsbury’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in six of Shrewsbury’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Shrewsbury have one win, two draws and five defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.63 points per game, scoring 0.50 and conceding 1.88. Shrewsbury have scored 10 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Shrewsbury have conceded 15 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Rotherham (23rd) and Shrewsbury (14th) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Shrewsbury the stronger side, 130 rating points above Rotherham (Shrewsbury 1408, Rotherham 1278, after at least 11 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Shrewsbury are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Rotherham. The most recent meeting, on 8 February 2025, finished Rotherham 1–2 Shrewsbury.

Team news

Predicted Rotherham XI (3-4-1-2): J. Eyestone, S. Aljofree, D. Iorfa, D. Hall, B. Cover, J. Buyabu, O. Ashley, J. Austerfield, A. Nemane, P. Mullin, F. Tavares — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jamie Jellis (4.0 per match over four appearances) and Ewan Otoo (3.4 per match over eight appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Rotherham’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Rotherham (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jamie Jellis averages 0.3 key passes per 90 over 319 minutes. Ewan Otoo averages 1.2 tackles per 90 over 724 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last eight appearances.

Predicted Shrewsbury XI (3-4-1-2): W. Brook, W. Boyle, S. Stubbs, J. Ruffels, K. Berkoe, T. Sang, L. Hoole, J. Turner-Cooke, W. Gary, G. Lloyd, K. M. Brown — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Thomas Sang (4.3 per match over 13 appearances, one assist) and William Boyle (3.6 per match over 13 appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Shrewsbury’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Shrewsbury (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Thomas Sang averages 2.6 key passes per 90 over 1090 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. William Boyle averages 1.1 tackles per 90 over 1180 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · League Two · Aesseal New York Stadium
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Rotherham 1 · draws 3 · Shrewsbury 2 · 1.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Rotherham 1W 1D 3L · Shrewsbury 2W 2D 1L

Rotherham v Shrewsbury (League Two): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 20 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1 / 1
Goals
against 1.75 / 1.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.88 / 5.5
Corners
against 5.13 / 4.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.5 / 3.88
Shots on target
against 4 / 3.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 3.88
Cards
against 2.63 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameRotherham for / againstLineShrewsbury for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.5standard
1 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
3.88 for · 5.13 against n 8
9.5standard
5.5 for · 4.13 against n 8
Shots
11.38 for · 11.88 against n 8
19.5standard
13.63 for · 10 against n 8
Shots on target
3.5 for · 4 against n 8
8.5standard
3.88 for · 3.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.5 for · 10.63 against n 8
21.5standard
16.38 for · 11.25 against n 8
Cards shown
2.38 for · 2.63 against n 8
3.5standard
3.88 for · 1.63 against n 8
Rotherham
Rotherham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Jayce Fitzgerald n 733.6
2.76/1
1.13/0
—
J. Buyabu n 681.5
25/5
0.62/1
—
K. Spence n 856.9
24/3
1.46/1
—
J. Buyabu n 872.8
1.96/5
0.63/1
—
T. Bradshaw n 836.6
1.83/1
1.54/1
—
Rotherham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Lucas Pasquoto n 832.3
2.12/2
0.31/0
Fábio Tavares n 877.4
1.77/2
16/1
P. Mullin n 873
1.77/4
1.14/3
E. Adegboyega n 859.6
1.35/1
0.21/0
K. Spence n 856.9
1.25/1
0.42/0
Rotherham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
P. Mullin n 873
0.64/0
00/0
K. Spence n 856.9
00/0
0.63/0
J. Buyabu n 681.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
Fábio Tavares n 877.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
A. Nemane n 839.5
0.31/0
00/0
Rotherham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Brandon Ashley Cover n 881.9
2.67/4
J. Austerfield n 881.8
2.57/6
Jamie Jellis n 875.4
2.56/4
K. Spence n 856.9
2.46/5
Jayce Fitzgerald n 733.6
2.34/1
Rotherham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
T. Cann n 890.5
3.17/4
J. Eyestone n 690
2.24/3
Shrewsbury
Shrewsbury — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Davison n 863.4
37/5
1.86/2
—
M. Golding n 610.2
32/0
00/0
—
Arkelle Nicholas Cecil Jude-Boyd n 865
2.67/6
1.45/3
—
J. Gbode n 834.4
2.64/2
1.34/0
—
G. Lloyd n 879.8
2.47/5
1.45/4
—
Shrewsbury — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Golding n 610.2
5.94/0
1.51/0
K. M. Brown n 779.7
2.66/4
14/2
J. Gbode n 834.4
2.35/1
12/1
Lucas Pasquoto n 832.3
2.12/2
0.31/0
G. Lloyd n 879.8
1.88/2
0.75/0
Shrewsbury — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
G. Lloyd n 879.8
0.43/0
00/0
W. Boyle n 890
00/0
0.31/1
K. M. Brown n 779.7
0.32/0
00/0
T. Anderson n 868.8
00/0
0.21/0
Isaac Fletcher n 851.3
0.21/0
00/0
Shrewsbury — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Sousa n 819
4.15/2
M. Golding n 610.2
32/0
T. Sang n 885.4
2.67/5
W. Gary n 852.6
2.64/2
Arkelle Nicholas Cecil Jude-Boyd n 865
2.16/5
Shrewsbury — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
William Michael Brook n 890
1.94/3

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Rotherham v Shrewsbury — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
RotherhamWDLLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
ShrewsburyDDWLW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Rotherham 1 · 3 draws · Shrewsbury 2 · 1.83 goals/game
  • 2025-02-08 Rotherham 1–2 Shrewsbury
  • 2024-09-28 Shrewsbury 1–1 Rotherham
  • 2022-03-19 Rotherham 0–3 Shrewsbury
  • 2022-03-01 Shrewsbury 0–0 Rotherham
  • 2019-12-26 Shrewsbury 1–2 Rotherham
  • 2019-09-21 Rotherham 0–0 Shrewsbury
League standing · 2026/27
Rotherham#23 pos10 pts11 pl-6 GD
Shrewsbury#14 pos14 pts11 pl-5 GD
Goals per game
Rotherham scored1.09
Shrewsbury scored0.91
Rotherham conceded1.64
Shrewsbury conceded1.36

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 246 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Rotherham v Shrewsbury?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Rotherham v Shrewsbury is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Rotherham and Shrewsbury?
In their last 6 meetings, Rotherham won 1, Shrewsbury won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Rotherham and Shrewsbury?
Recent form — Rotherham 1W 1D 3L; Shrewsbury 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →