This Matchweek

Swindon TownCheltenham

Swindon Town v Cheltenham result

Full-time · Swindon Town 2–1 Cheltenham

League Two · · County Ground

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Swindon Town · Cheltenham · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Swindon Town 2–1 Cheltenham — Swindon Town won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Swindon Town beat Cheltenham 2–1 at County Ground in League Two on Saturday 22 August. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Cheltenham out-shot Swindon Town 14 to 5 and created the better chances, 1.20 xG to 0.63 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.

The goals

Swindon Town led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Swindon Town: Aaron Drinan (17’, assisted by Anthony Munda) and Oliver Clarke (55’, assisted by Stephen Negru); Cheltenham: Ryan Broom (85’, assisted by Pierce Sweeney).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Aaron Drinan’s goal on 17 minutes.

Discipline

C. Hicks showed two yellow cards — against 2.4 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Swindon Town: Matthew Virtue-Thick (4’); Cheltenham: Jacob Bickerstaff (90+2’).

What it changes

Swindon Town move up from 11th to seventh (two league matches played).

Cheltenham move down from fourth to 14th (two league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Billy Kirkman (Swindon Town) 13.6, Anthony Munda (Swindon Town) 7.6 and Oliver Clarke (Swindon Town) 6.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Swindon Town or Cheltenham (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Swindon Town next travel to Milton Keynes Dons on 7 November 2026.

Cheltenham next host FC Halifax Town on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Swindon Town: Milton Keynes Dons v Swindon Town, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Cheltenham: Cheltenham v FC Halifax Town, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Swindon Town 2–1 Cheltenham · League Two
  • Venue: County Ground · Swindon
  • Referee: C. Hicks
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Swindon Town 2 · draws 2 · Cheltenham 2 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Swindon Town 0W 2D 3L · Cheltenham 1W 0D 4L

Swindon Town 2–1 Cheltenham (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1.5
Goals
against 2 / 2 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4 / 5.25
Corners
against 7.75 / 3.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.5 / 3.13
Shots on target
against 5.13 / 5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 1.25
Cards
against 0.75 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.4 yellows
Referee · C. Hicks
22.2 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 5 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 15 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameSwindon Town for / againstLineCheltenham for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 2 against n 8
2.75our book
1.5 for · 2 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 7.75 against n 8
9.5standard
5.25 for · 3.25 against n 8
Shots
7.88 for · 15 against n 8
19.5standard
10.13 for · 13.5 against n 8
Shots on target
2.5 for · 5.13 against n 8
8.5standard
3.13 for · 5 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.25 for · 8.25 against n 8
21.5standard
9.13 for · 11.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 0.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: C. Hicks — 2.4 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 22.2 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Swindon Town

Swindon Town Goalkeeper

Swindon Town — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
C. Ripley290180 min52.5 /9031.5 /9000 /90
Swindon Town — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swindon Town before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Ripley n 890
3.26/4

Swindon Town Defensive

Swindon Town — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
B. Kirkman290180 min73.5 /9042 /9010.5 /902211 /9010.5 /9000 /90
S. Negru290180 min84 /9021 /9063 /90147 /9010.5 /9000 /90
M. Clark277154 min42.3 /9031.8 /9000 /90116.4 /9042.3 /9010.6 /90
R. Tafazolli23468 min22.6 /9034 /9011.3 /9067.9 /9011.3 /9000 /90
K. Majekodunmi16767 min11.3 /9000 /9011.3 /90810.7 /9000 /9000 /90
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Swindon Town — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swindon Town before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
B. Kirkman n 870.3
1.34/3
0.84/1
R. Cundy
A. Drinan n 885.6
0.11/0
0.32/0
—
C. Ripley n 890
00/0
0.43/0
—
B. Middlemas n 553.8
1.72/1
1.33/1
B. Stevenson
T. Nichols n 863.3
1.26/1
0.73/1
—
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Swindon Town — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swindon Town before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
B. Kirkman n 870.3
3.47/6
A. Drinan n 885.6
0.32/0
B. Middlemas n 553.8
1.72/1
T. Nichols n 863.3
2.36/3
R. Tafazolli n 874.1
0.96/0
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Swindon Town Attacking

Swindon Town — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Drinan290180 min00 /9000 /9042 /9000 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90
J. Hungbo23671 min00 /9011.3 /9000 /9000 /9033.8 /9033.8 /90
O. Palmer22550 min00 /9000 /9011.8 /9000 /9000 /9023.6 /90
P. Glatzel19090 min11 /9000 /9011 /9011 /9011 /9000 /90
B. Middlemas279158 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9010.6 /9000 /90
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Swindon Town — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swindon Town before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Drinan n 885.6
1.36/3
0.42/1
B. Kirkman n 870.3
0.32/0
0.21/0
C. Ripley n 890
00/0
00/0
B. Middlemas n 553.8
11/1
0.31/0
T. Nichols n 863.3
00/0
00/0
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Swindon Town — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swindon Town before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Drinan n 885.6
0.32/0
0.11/0
B. Kirkman n 870.3
0.21/0
00/0
C. Ripley n 890
00/0
0.11/0
B. Middlemas n 553.8
0.31/0
00/0
T. Nichols n 863.3
00/0
00/0
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Cheltenham

Cheltenham Goalkeeper

Cheltenham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
W. Stanway260120 min75.3 /9010.8 /9000 /90
J. Day16565 min34.2 /9034.2 /9000 /90
Cheltenham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Day n 886.9
2.66/6

Cheltenham Defensive

Cheltenham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Tomkinson293185 min73.4 /9041.9 /9010.5 /90115.4 /9000 /9010.5 /90
P. Sweeney293185 min21 /9010.5 /9021 /90115.4 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90
R. Cundy293185 min52.4 /9021 /9041.9 /90178.3 /9000 /9000 /90
G. Nurse278155 min31.7 /9021.2 /9021.2 /90116.4 /9021.2 /9000 /90
J. Tomlinson258115 min00 /9010.8 /9000 /9010.8 /9010.8 /9010.8 /90
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Cheltenham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Tomkinson n 890.1
0.94/3
0.75/1
—
B. Stevenson n 883.1
0.53/1
0.53/1
B. Middlemas
R. Cundy n 884.6
0.42/1
0.74/1
B. Kirkman
G. Nurse n 863
0.72/2
0.41/1
—
R. Broom n 852.4
00/0
1.75/2
—
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Cheltenham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Tomkinson n 890.1
2.57/4
B. Stevenson n 883.1
1.66/3
R. Cundy n 884.6
1.14/3
G. Nurse n 863
1.85/4
R. Broom n 852.4
1.95/2
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Cheltenham Attacking

Cheltenham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
G. Miller16565 min11.4 /9000 /9011.4 /9011.4 /9000 /9000 /90
J. Evans14545 min12 /9000 /9012 /9012 /9000 /9000 /90
A. Weimann12020 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9014.5 /9000 /90
C. McCann292184 min10.5 /9000 /9021 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9000 /90
J. Shipley275149 min00 /9000 /9010.6 /9010.6 /9010.6 /9000 /90
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Cheltenham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Cundy n 884.6
0.32/0
0.11/0
J. Tomkinson n 890.1
0.22/0
00/0
B. Stevenson n 883.1
0.11/0
00/0
G. Nurse n 863
00/0
00/0
R. Broom n 852.4
00/0
00/0
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Cheltenham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cheltenham before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Cundy n 884.6
00/0
0.32/0
J. Tomkinson n 890.1
00/0
00/0
B. Stevenson n 883.1
00/0
00/0
G. Nurse n 863
00/0
0.21/0
R. Broom n 852.4
00/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Swindon TownCheltenham
42%Possession58%
0.63Expected goals (xG)1.20
5Shots14
3Shots on target6
1Shots off target4
1Blocked shots4
2Shots inside the box9
2Corners5
7Fouls12
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
5Saves1
346Passes461
68%Pass accuracy75%

Swindon Town Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Ripley9000000007
M. Clark9000001106.3
S. Negru9001001107.9
B. Kirkman90000011208
A. Munda9001001507.2
A. Drinan9010110007.3
M. Virtue-Thick85001101Y6.2
R. Tafazolli6100000107.5
O. Clarke6110110208
B. Middlemas5300101206.7
J. Pearman4500001106.9
O. Palmer sub4500000006.3
L. Millard sub3700000006.5
K. Majekodunmi sub2900000006.3
T. Nichols sub2900000306.9
J. Debayo sub1200000006.6

Cheltenham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
W. Stanway9000000006.2
J. Tomkinson9000002206.3
R. Cundy9000001006.6
P. Sweeney9001001006.7
B. Stevenson9000100106.9
J. Tomlinson9000321006.3
C. McCann9000003106
J. Evans8500002306.5
G. Nurse7100000006.2
J. Shipley7100000006.2
K. Otchere6300210005.9
A. Weimann sub2700211006.2
R. Broom sub1910220107.2
J. Bickerstaff sub19000010Y6.6
F. Willcox sub1200000106.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Swindon Town v Cheltenham — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Swindon TownDLLLD
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 1 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
CheltenhamLLLLW
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1 scored / 3 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Swindon Town 2 · 2 draws · Cheltenham 2 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2025-12-29 Cheltenham 0–2 Swindon Town
  • 2025-12-09 Swindon Town 0–1 Cheltenham
  • 2025-03-15 Swindon Town 3–3 Cheltenham
  • 2024-10-12 Cheltenham 2–3 Swindon Town
  • 2019-11-19 Swindon Town 0–1 Cheltenham
  • 2019-11-09 Cheltenham 1–1 Swindon Town
League standing · 2026/27
Swindon Town#13 pos19 pts14 pl-2 GD
Cheltenham#5 pos21 pts14 pl-2 GD
Goals per game
Swindon Town scored1.07
Cheltenham scored1.64
Swindon Town conceded1.21
Cheltenham conceded1.79

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Swindon Town v Cheltenham?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Swindon Town v Cheltenham was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Swindon Town and Cheltenham?
In their last 6 meetings, Swindon Town won 2, Cheltenham won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Swindon Town and Cheltenham?
Recent form — Swindon Town 0W 2D 3L; Cheltenham 1W 0D 4L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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