TranmereBristol Rovers

Tranmere v Bristol Rovers result

Full-time · Tranmere 1–2 Bristol Rovers

League Two ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Tranmere · Bristol Rovers · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Tranmere 1–2 Bristol Rovers — Bristol Rovers won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.1% of 1431 landed (95% range 65.7–70.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Bristol Rovers won 2–1 at Tranmere in League Two on Saturday 18 April. Tranmere are winless in their last 12 matches in all competitions. Bristol Rovers have won their last seven matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Bristol Rovers: P. Omochere (65’, assisted by Brad Young) and Yusuf Akhamrich (84’, assisted by Shaqai Forde); Tranmere: Jayden Joseph (71’, assisted by E. Bristow).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Yusuf Akhamrich’s goal on 84 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Tranmere 0.63, Bristol Rovers 0.48, from 10 shots to 10 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

C. Brook showed seven yellow cards — against 4.5 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Tranmere: N. Kenneh (12’), Samuel Finley (63’), Nathan Smith (75’) and K. Dennis (90+2’); Bristol Rovers: Riley-Jay Harbottle (34’), Kofi Balmer (63’) and Brad Young (90+2’).

What it changes

Tranmere move down from 20th to 21st (43 league matches played). Tranmere have scored 54 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Tranmere have conceded 79 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Bristol Rovers stay 15th after this result (44 league matches played). Bristol Rovers have scored 56 goals, the 11th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Bristol Rovers have conceded 65 goals, the ninth-most of the 24 clubs.

It is Bristol Rovers’s first win over Tranmere since 20 August 2019, after four meetings without one (the 5 prior meetings TACTIX holds). Bristol Rovers have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jayden Joseph (Tranmere) 7.4, E. Bristow (Tranmere) 6.8 and P. Omochere (Bristol Rovers) 5.8 led the match.

Head-to-head

Tranmere are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Bristol Rovers.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Bristol Rovers, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.1% of the time in the last 90 days (975 of 1431).

Next up

Tranmere next travel to Fleetwood Town on 14 November 2026.

Bristol Rovers next host Chesterfield on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Tranmere: Fleetwood Town v Tranmere, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Bristol Rovers: Bristol Rovers v Chesterfield, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Tranmere 1–2 Bristol Rovers · League Two
  • Referee: C. Brook
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 5): Tranmere 1 · draws 3 · Bristol Rovers 1 · 2.6 goals/game
  • Recent form: Tranmere 0W 1D 4L · Bristol Rovers 5W 0D 0L

Tranmere 1–2 Bristol Rovers (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.38 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.63 / 0.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 4.13
Corners
against 6.5 / 4.13 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.25 / 4
Shots on target
against 4.75 / 2.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 2
Cards
against 0.88 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.5 yellows
Referee · C. Brook
21.33 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 11 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameTranmere for / againstLineBristol Rovers for / against
Goals scored
0.38 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
1.75 for · 0.63 against n 8
Corners won
4.63 for · 6.5 against n 8
9.5standard
4.13 for · 4.13 against n 8
Shots
9.75 for · 13.63 against n 8
19.5standard
11.88 for · 12.25 against n 8
Shots on target
3.25 for · 4.75 against n 8
8.5standard
4 for · 2.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.88 for · 9 against n 8
21.5standard
12.38 for · 10.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 0.88 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: C. Brook — 4.5 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 21.33 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Tranmere

Tranmere Defensive

Tranmere — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tranmere before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Smith n 890
0.84/2
0.96/1
J. Sparkes
P. Brough n 889.1
1.98/4
0.32/0
—
Charlie Jay Whitaker n 855
14/1
2.57/3
—
C. Norman n 844.1
2.55/3
1.55/1
—
J. Ironside n 884.3
1.67/4
1.24/4
—
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Tranmere — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tranmere before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Smith n 890
0.43/0
P. Brough n 889.1
1.57/2
Charlie Jay Whitaker n 855
2.56/4
C. Norman n 844.1
2.35/3
J. Ironside n 884.3
0.11/0
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Tranmere Attacking

Tranmere — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tranmere before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Smith n 890
0.42/1
0.11/0
P. Brough n 889.1
0.65/0
0.43/0
Charlie Jay Whitaker n 855
1.24/2
0.63/0
C. Norman n 844.1
0.31/0
00/0
J. Ironside n 884.3
0.74/1
0.32/0
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Tranmere — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tranmere before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Smith n 890
00/0
00/0
P. Brough n 889.1
00/0
0.11/0
Charlie Jay Whitaker n 855
00/0
00/0
C. Norman n 844.1
00/0
00/0
J. Ironside n 884.3
00/0
00/0
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Bristol Rovers

Bristol Rovers Defensive

Bristol Rovers — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol Rovers before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Cavegn n 849.3
0.52/0
1.15/0
—
J. Sparkes n 884.4
0.32/0
1.25/4
N. Smith
A. Kilgour n 876.5
0.95/1
0.93/2
—
E. Harrison n 855.1
2.26/5
3.17/5
—
C. Mola n 884.4
0.74/1
0.32/0
—
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Bristol Rovers — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol Rovers before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Cavegn n 849.3
0.94/0
J. Sparkes n 884.4
0.85/1
A. Kilgour n 876.5
0.94/2
E. Harrison n 855.1
0.42/0
C. Mola n 884.4
2.16/3
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Bristol Rovers Attacking

Bristol Rovers — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol Rovers before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Cavegn n 849.3
1.14/1
0.93/1
J. Sparkes n 884.4
0.53/1
0.32/0
A. Kilgour n 876.5
0.74/1
0.42/1
E. Harrison n 855.1
3.17/3
1.44/2
C. Mola n 884.4
00/0
00/0
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Bristol Rovers — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol Rovers before kick-off, to 11 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Cavegn n 849.3
0.21/0
00/0
J. Sparkes n 884.4
0.11/0
0.32/0
A. Kilgour n 876.5
0.11/0
00/0
E. Harrison n 855.1
0.83/1
0.21/0
C. Mola n 884.4
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
TranmereBristol Rovers
52%Possession48%
0.63Expected goals (xG)0.48
10Shots10
3Shots on target4
4Shots off target4
3Blocked shots2
4Shots inside the box4
5Corners2
1Offsides1
11Fouls14
4Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
3Saves2
325Passes312
61%Pass accuracy65%

Tranmere Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Maroši9000000006
N. Smith90000002Y6.6
W. Tamen9000101006.3
Jayden Joseph9010111107.2
S. Finley90000011Y7
E. Bristow9001101307
O. Patrick9000001206.5
Z. Obiero7900220206.9
N. Kenneh64000004Y8.2
K. Woolery6400101206
L. O'Connor4400000006.9
P. Brough sub4600000206.2
R. Watson sub2600100106.2
K. Dennis sub26000010Y7
Charlie Jay Whitaker sub1100000006.7

Bristol Rovers Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Brad Young90010010Y6.9
J. Senior9000000106.7
K. Balmer90001102Y6.9
R. Harbottle90000003Y6.7
J. Sparkes9000101407.2
R. De Havilland9000211407
S. Forde8901102206.2
J. Quigley7900001106.2
K. Thompson-Sommers7800000407.3
F. Cavegn6000001006.3
T. Leigh4500100106.9
J. McEachran sub4500001206.5
P. Omochere sub3010110107.3
Y. Akhamrich sub1210110007.6
E. Harrison sub1100000006.3
M. Rijks sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Tranmere v Bristol Rovers — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
TranmereLLLLD
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Bristol RoversWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 2.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 5
Tranmere 1 · 3 draws · Bristol Rovers 1 · 2.6 goals/game
  • 2025-10-18 Bristol Rovers 1–4 Tranmere
  • 2022-04-09 Tranmere 1–1 Bristol Rovers
  • 2021-11-20 Bristol Rovers 2–2 Tranmere
  • 2020-02-11 Tranmere 0–0 Bristol Rovers
  • 2019-08-20 Bristol Rovers 2–0 Tranmere
League standing · 2025/26
Tranmere#21 pos41 pts46 pl-25 GD
Bristol Rovers#14 pos62 pts46 pl-9 GD
Goals per game
Tranmere scored1.17
Bristol Rovers scored1.22
Tranmere conceded1.72
Bristol Rovers conceded1.41

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Tranmere v Bristol Rovers?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Tranmere v Bristol Rovers was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Tranmere and Bristol Rovers?
In their last 5 meetings, Tranmere won 1, Bristol Rovers won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.6 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Tranmere and Bristol Rovers?
Recent form — Tranmere 0W 1D 4L; Bristol Rovers 5W 0D 0L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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