TranmereNotts County

Tranmere v Notts County result

Full-time · Tranmere 1–2 Notts County

League Two ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Tranmere · Notts County · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Tranmere 1–2 Notts County — Notts County won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55% of 140 landed (95% range 46.7–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Notts County won 2–1 at Tranmere in League Two on Saturday 30 August. Tranmere have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Notts County came from behind: Tranmere led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Tranmere: O. Patrick (45’, assisted by Charlie Jay Whitaker); Notts County: Matthew Dennis (49’, assisted by Tom Iorpenda) and Kellan Gordon (62’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Kellan Gordon’s goal on 62 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Tranmere 0.00, Notts County 0.00, from 15 shots to 7 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Tranmere: Richard Smallwood (20’), E. Bristow (45+2’), Taylan Harris (69’), L. O'Connor (73’) and Luke McGee (90+7’); Notts County: Jodi Jones (45+2’) and K. Roos (87’).

What it changes

Tranmere move down from seventh to 11th (five league matches played). Tranmere have scored 52 goals, the 12th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 43 games, ranked per game). Tranmere have conceded 75 goals, the second-most of the 24 clubs.

Notts County move up from 16th to 12th (six league matches played). Notts County have scored 69 goals, the second-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 42 games, ranked per game). Notts County have conceded 43 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Notts County are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, O. Patrick (Tranmere) 7.4, Matthew Dennis (Notts County) 4.9 and Patrick Brough (Tranmere) 4.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Tranmere next travel to Fleetwood Town on 14 November 2026.

Notts County next travel to Bromley on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Tranmere: Fleetwood Town v Tranmere, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Notts County: Bromley v Notts County, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Tranmere 1–2 Notts County · League Two
  • Referee: Zac Kennard-Kettle, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Tranmere 2 · draws 1 · Notts County 3 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Tranmere 2W 3D 0L · Notts County 1W 1D 3L

Tranmere 1–2 Notts County (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 1.13
Goals
against 0.5 / 1.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.57 / 4.14
Corners
against 4 / 4.43 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.29 / 4.43
Shots on target
against 1.86 / 3.14 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.57 / 1.86
Cards
against 2.86 / 2.86 · 4 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 23 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameTranmere for / againstLineNotts County for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 0.5 against n 8
2.5standard
1.13 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
4.57 for · 4 against n 7
9.5standard
4.14 for · 4.43 against n 7
Shots
11.29 for · 9 against n 7
19.5standard
10 for · 9 against n 7
Shots on target
4.29 for · 1.86 against n 7
8.5standard
4.43 for · 3.14 against n 7
Fouls committed
14.29 for · 12 against n 7
21.5standard
11.43 for · 14.86 against n 7
Cards shown
2.57 for · 2.86 against n 7
3.5standard
1.86 for · 2.86 against n 7

Referee: Zac Kennard-Kettle, England.

Tranmere

Tranmere Defensive

Tranmere — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tranmere before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Norman n 882.4
1.14/3
1.96/5
M. Palmer
N. Smith n 490
14/0
24/3
J. Bedeau
L. O'Connor n 888.5
0.43/0
0.84/1
J. Bedeau
P. Brough n 490
0.31/0
0.52/0
Sonny Aljofree
L. McGee n 890
0.11/0
0.94/2
—
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Tranmere — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tranmere before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
P. Brough n 490
2.34/3
L. O'Connor n 888.5
27/4
C. Norman n 882.4
1.56/4
N. Smith n 490
0.31/0
L. McGee n 890
00/0
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Tranmere Attacking

Tranmere — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tranmere before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Smith n 490
12/2
0.31/0
C. Norman n 882.4
0.43/0
0.43/0
L. O'Connor n 888.5
0.11/0
00/0
L. McGee n 890
00/0
00/0
P. Brough n 490
00/0
00/0
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Tranmere — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tranmere before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Norman n 882.4
0.11/0
0.42/1
N. Smith n 490
0.31/0
00/0
L. McGee n 890
00/0
00/0
P. Brough n 490
00/0
00/0
L. O'Connor n 888.5
00/0
00/0
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Notts County

Notts County Defensive

Notts County — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Notts County before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Bedeau n 890
28/4
0.95/2
L. O'Connor
Tom Iorpenda n 690
1.25/2
2.36/4
—
M. Palmer n 890
17/1
1.16/3
C. Norman
K. Roos n 690
00/0
0.31/1
—
Sonny Aljofree n 684.3
0.94/1
0.42/0
P. Brough
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Notts County — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Notts County before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Tom Iorpenda n 690
2.86/5
M. Palmer n 890
1.56/5
J. Bedeau n 890
15/1
K. Roos n 690
00/0
Sonny Aljofree n 684.3
2.15/3
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Notts County Attacking

Notts County — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Notts County before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Tom Iorpenda n 690
1.35/2
0.83/1
M. Palmer n 890
0.11/0
00/0
J. Bedeau n 890
0.11/0
00/0
K. Roos n 690
00/0
00/0
Sonny Aljofree n 684.3
0.53/0
0.21/0
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Notts County — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Notts County before kick-off, to 23 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Roos n 690
00/0
0.21/0
Tom Iorpenda n 690
00/0
0.21/0
M. Palmer n 890
00/0
0.11/0
J. Bedeau n 890
00/0
00/0
Sonny Aljofree n 684.3
0.21/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
TranmereNotts County
49%Possession51%
15Shots7
2Shots on target4
8Shots off target1
5Blocked shots2
10Shots inside the box3
8Corners3
10Fouls8
5Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves1
384Passes413
71%Pass accuracy74%

Tranmere Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. McGee90000000Y6.3
L. O'Connor90000006Y7.3
N. Smith9000001006
P. Brough9000101406.5
C. Norman9000001106.7
O. Patrick9010422007.3
R. Smallwood84001001Y6.5
Charlie Jay Whitaker8401102007
N. Kenneh7400000206.7
E. Bristow68000011Y6.2
J. Davison6800100105.9
C. Jennings sub2200000007.7
Taylan Harris sub22000000Y6.2
Billy Blacker sub1600101006.7
Jayden Joseph sub1500101006.3
J. Lowe sub1500000007

Notts County Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
K. Roos90000000Y6.3
Sonny Aljofree9000000106.3
R. McDonald9000000107.3
J. Bedeau9000000006.6
O. Norburn9000000406.9
M. Palmer9000000207.5
Nicholas Tsaroulla9000100506.3
M. Dennis9010221007.3
J. Jones77000000Y6.3
Tom Iorpenda5901001106.6
Barry Cotter4500000006.2
K. Gordon sub4510110006.9
A. Jatta sub3100001306.9
C. Grant sub1300110206.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Tranmere v Notts County — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
TranmereDWDDW
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.8 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Notts CountyLLLWD
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Tranmere 2 · 1 draw · Notts County 3 · 3 goals/game
  • 2025-02-22 Notts County 2–1 Tranmere
  • 2024-08-10 Tranmere 0–0 Notts County
  • 2024-01-01 Tranmere 4–2 Notts County
  • 2023-08-26 Notts County 2–1 Tranmere
  • 2019-02-23 Tranmere 1–0 Notts County
  • 2018-12-15 Notts County 3–2 Tranmere
League standing · 2025/26
Tranmere#21 pos41 pts46 pl-25 GD
Notts County#5 pos80 pts46 pl+22 GD
Goals per game
Tranmere scored1.17
Notts County scored1.61
Tranmere conceded1.72
Notts County conceded1.13

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Tranmere v Notts County?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Tranmere v Notts County was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Tranmere and Notts County?
In their last 6 meetings, Tranmere won 2, Notts County won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Tranmere and Notts County?
Recent form — Tranmere 2W 3D 0L; Notts County 1W 1D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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