York v Bristol Rovers result
Team pages: York · Bristol Rovers
The model’s pre-match pick
York 3–2 Bristol Rovers — York won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.
The result
York beat Bristol Rovers 3–2 at York Community Stadium in League Two on Saturday 15 August. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Bristol Rovers, from fewer shots (13 to 16), created the better chances, 2.02 xG to 1.62 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
The goals
York came from behind: Bristol Rovers led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Bristol Rovers: Clinton Mola (30’, assisted by Fabrizio Cavegn) and Tommy Leigh (78’ pen); York: Alexander Newby (60’, assisted by Joseph Grey) and Harry Boyes (63’, assisted by Ollie Pearce; 80’, assisted by Alexander Newby).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Harry Boyes’s goal on 80 minutes.
Discipline
T. Nield showed two yellow cards — against 3.4 yellows a game across the last 14 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — York: Oliver Banks (70’) and Morgan Williams (78’).
What it changes
York are sixth after this result (one league match played).
Bristol Rovers are 15th after this result (one league match played).
With five goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 1, across 12 matches. Bristol Rovers are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Harry Boyes (York) 11.0, Alexander Newby (York) 7.9 and Clinton Mola (Bristol Rovers) 6.4 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.
Next up
York next travel to Rochdale on 14 November 2026.
Bristol Rovers next host Chesterfield on 14 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for York: Rochdale v York, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Bristol Rovers: Bristol Rovers v Chesterfield, Saturday 14 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: York 3–2 Bristol Rovers · League Two
- Venue: York Community Stadium · York
- Referee: T. Nield
- Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
- Recent form: York 3W 1D 1L · Bristol Rovers 3W 1D 1L
York 3–2 Bristol Rovers (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| York | Bristol Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% | Possession | 30% |
| 1.62 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.02 |
| 16 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 8 | Shots off target | 2 |
| 3 | Blocked shots | 8 |
| 8 | Shots inside the box | 9 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 9 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 2 |
| 574 | Passes | 237 |
| 87% | Pass accuracy | 68% |
York Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfie Shane McNally | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| M. Williams | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Y | 6.9 |
| Z. Johnson | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| M. Kitching | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5.9 |
| J. Felix | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| O. Banks | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Y | 7.2 |
| J. Grey | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7.6 |
| O. Pearce | 90 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| H. Boyes | 83 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 8.5 |
| A. Hunt | 69 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Afolabi Akinyemi | 43 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| A. Newby sub | 47 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8.3 |
| A. Read sub | 21 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Z. Medley sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
Bristol Rovers Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Young | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Keenan Gough | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| K. Balmer | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| R. Harbottle | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.6 |
| M. Southam-Hales | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| C. Mola | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| J. Sparkes | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.5 |
| F. Cavegn | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| S. Forde | 84 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.3 |
| J. Quigley | 68 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.3 |
| R. Smallwood | 61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| T. Leigh sub | 29 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| R. Russell-Denny sub | 22 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| B. Kamwa sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind York v Bristol Rovers — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+
Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for York v Bristol Rovers?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for York v Bristol Rovers was Under 2.5 goals (best price 1.75 at Betano).
- What is the recent form of York and Bristol Rovers?
- Recent form — York 3W 1D 1L; Bristol Rovers 3W 1D 1L.
Today’s Boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.