Guadalajara Chivas v Club Tijuana result

Full-time · Guadalajara Chivas 5–2 Club Tijuana

Liga MX · Sun, 23 Aug 2026 00:07 BST · Estadio AKRON

Updated 11 Oct 2026, 16:43 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Guadalajara Chivas · Club Tijuana · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Guadalajara Chivas 5–2 Club Tijuana — Guadalajara Chivas won this Liga MX match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Under 2.5 goals

Best price: 2.20 at Betfair

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.3% of 176 landed (95% range 44.9–59.5%); it had given them 77.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Guadalajara Chivas beat Club Tijuana 5–2 at Estadio AKRON in Liga MX on Sunday 23 August.

The goals

Guadalajara Chivas led 3–0 at half-time. The goals — Guadalajara Chivas: Santiago Sandoval (23’, assisted by L. Romo), R. Marin (31’, assisted by D. Campillo Del Campo; 45’ pen), R. Alvarado (59’, assisted by B. Gutierrez) and D. Campillo Del Campo (69’, assisted by R. Alvarado); Club Tijuana: Elias Manoel (74’, assisted by Francisco González; 90’, assisted by Adonis Preciado).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s seven key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Santiago Sandoval’s goal on 23 minutes.

Discipline

M. Chavez showed four yellow cards — against 2.4 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Guadalajara Chivas: E. Alvarez (8’), M. Gomez (49’) and L. Romo (73’); Club Tijuana: R. Arciga (45+1’).

What it changes

Guadalajara Chivas move up from eighth to third (five league matches played).

Club Tijuana move down from second to fourth (five league matches played).

Guadalajara Chivas’s three-goal margin was the biggest of Apertura round 5, across nine matches. Guadalajara Chivas have won their last three matches in all competitions.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Guadalajara Chivas next host Necaxa on 21 October 2026.

Club Tijuana next travel to Toluca on 22 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Guadalajara Chivas: Guadalajara Chivas v Necaxa, Wednesday 21 October — the preview. Next for Club Tijuana: Toluca v Club Tijuana, Thursday 22 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Guadalajara Chivas 5–2 Club Tijuana · Liga MX
Venue: Estadio AKRON · Zapopan
Referee: M. Chavez
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Guadalajara Chivas 2 · draws 3 · Club Tijuana 1 · 3 goals/game
Recent form: Guadalajara Chivas 2W 2D 1L · Club Tijuana 1W 1D 3L

Guadalajara Chivas 5–2 Club Tijuana (Liga MX): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 11 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.88 / 1.13

Goals

against 1 / 1.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

9.63 / 2.86

Corners

against 3.13 / 5.71 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

7.13 / 3.29

Shots on target

against 3.75 / 4.29 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.13 / 1.86

Cards

against 1.38 / 2.86 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

2.4 yellows

Referee · M. Chavez

1.6 home / 0.8 away

over 5 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 August 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Guadalajara Chivas for / against	Line	Club Tijuana for / against
Goals scored	0.88 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	1.13 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	9.63 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	2.86 for · 5.71 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	18.5 for · 10 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12 for · 13.14 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	7.13 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.29 for · 4.29 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.38 for · 10.13 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.57 for · 12.14 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	1.13 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.86 for · 2.86 against n 7 Last 5

Referee: M. Chavez — 2.4 yellow cards a game, 0.4 red cards, 21.6 fouls over 5 matches (1.6 to the home side, 0.8 to the away side).

Home 1.6Away 0.8

Guadalajara Chivas

Guadalajara Chivas — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
S. Aguayo n 8	16.1	5.6 7/1	2.8 3/1	—
A. Gonzalez n 8	52.3	2.2 6/2	0.2 1/0	—
E. Alvarez n 8	47.1	1.9 7/1	1 3/1	—
D. Aguirre n 8	82.9	1.6 6/4	1 4/2	—
B. Gutierrez n 8	56.8	1.6 6/1	1.2 3/2	—

Guadalajara Chivas — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
S. Aguayo n 8	16.1	4.9 4/2	2.1 3/0
Santiago Sandoval n 8	48.9	3.7 7/6	1.8 5/3
H. Camberos n 8	32.6	3.1 4/2	1.7 4/1
R. Marin n 8	35	2.9 5/2	1.6 3/2
E. Alvarez n 8	47.1	2.6 8/2	1 4/0

Guadalajara Chivas — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Santiago Sandoval n 8	48.9	0.9 3/1	0 0/0
H. Camberos n 8	32.6	0.7 2/0	0 0/0
S. Aguayo n 8	16.1	0.7 1/0	0 0/0
R. Marin n 8	35	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0
R. Alvarado n 8	89.9	0.4 3/0	0 0/0

Guadalajara Chivas — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Gomez n 8	38.4	3.8 5/3
H. Camberos n 8	32.6	2.4 5/2
L. Romo n 8	87	2.3 7/5
Y. Padilla n 8	48.9	2.1 5/2
S. Aguayo n 8	16.1	2.1 1/1

Guadalajara Chivas — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Óscar Whalley n 8	90	3.2 6/5
R. Rangel n 8	92.3	2.2 5/2

Club Tijuana

Club Tijuana — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
F. Boya n 8	30.1	2.6 4/2	0.7 2/0	—
A. Mejía n 8	63.1	2.1 6/4	0.4 2/0	—
M. El Ghezouani n 8	42.8	2.1 5/2	1.6 3/1	—
R. Fernández n 8	82.3	1.9 6/4	0.7 4/1	—
Francisco González n 8	62.3	1.6 5/4	2 6/4	—

Club Tijuana — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. El Ghezouani n 8	42.8	2.4 5/4	1.3 3/2
D. Abreu n 8	54.1	2.3 8/2	0.8 3/1
I. Rivero n 8	73.6	2.1 6/5	0.9 5/1
J. González n 5	34.4	2.1 1/1	0 0/0
Francisco González n 8	62.3	2 5/3	0.7 3/1

Club Tijuana — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. El Ghezouani n 8	42.8	0.8 2/1	0.3 1/0
Elias Manoel n 8	28.9	0.8 2/0	0 0/0
Francisco González n 8	62.3	0.2 1/0	0.5 2/1
G. Mora n 8	70.1	0.3 2/0	0.2 1/0
A. Vega n 8	48.1	0 0/0	0.5 2/0

Club Tijuana — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
R. Arciga n 8	69.5	2.9 5/5
I. Tona n 8	82.9	2.6 7/7
A. Vega n 8	48.1	2.3 4/1
Adonis Preciado n 8	82.5	2.2 6/6
Y. Padilla n 8	48.9	2.1 5/2

Club Tijuana — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Rodriguez n 8	90	2.9 7/4
J. Hernandez n 6	56	2.4 2/2

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Guadalajara Chivas		Club Tijuana
59%	Possession	41%
13	Shots	16
8	Shots on target	4
3	Shots off target	9
2	Blocked shots	3
10	Shots inside the box	10
4	Corners	4
0	Offsides	1
15	Fouls	10
3	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
2	Saves	3
561	Passes	374

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Guadalajara Chivas v Club Tijuana — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Guadalajara ChivasDDLWW

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Club TijuanaDLLLW

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Guadalajara Chivas 2 · 3 draws · Club Tijuana 1 · 3 goals/game

2026-04-26 Guadalajara Chivas 0–0 Club Tijuana
2025-08-23 Club Tijuana 3–3 Guadalajara Chivas
2025-02-10 Guadalajara Chivas 2–1 Club Tijuana
2024-07-13 Club Tijuana 4–2 Guadalajara Chivas
2024-01-27 Club Tijuana 1–1 Guadalajara Chivas
2023-08-23 Guadalajara Chivas 1–0 Club Tijuana

League standing · 2026

Guadalajara Chivas#4 pos20 pts12 pl+7 GD

Club Tijuana#10 pos16 pts11 pl+1 GD

Goals per game

Guadalajara Chivas scored1.58

Club Tijuana scored1.36

Guadalajara Chivas conceded1

Club Tijuana conceded1.27

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Guadalajara Chivas v Club Tijuana?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Guadalajara Chivas v Club Tijuana was Under 2.5 goals (best price 2.20 at Betfair).
What is the head-to-head record between Guadalajara Chivas and Club Tijuana?: In their last 6 meetings, Guadalajara Chivas won 2, Club Tijuana won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Guadalajara Chivas and Club Tijuana?: Recent form — Guadalajara Chivas 2W 2D 1L; Club Tijuana 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 11 Oct 2026, 16:43 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.