Monterrey v Santos Laguna result

Full-time · Monterrey 3–2 Santos Laguna

Liga MX · · Estadio BBVA

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Monterrey · Santos Laguna · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Monterrey 3–2 Santos Laguna — Monterrey won this Liga MX match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.3% of 1490 landed (95% range 73–77.4%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Monterrey beat Santos Laguna 3–2 at Estadio BBVA in Liga MX on Sunday 19 July. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Santos Laguna, from fewer shots (11 to 19), created the better chances, 2.28 xG to 1.87 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

The goals

Monterrey led 3–1 at half-time. The goals — Monterrey: Lucas Ocampos (20’, assisted by Diego Rossi; 25’, assisted by Óliver Torres) and Jesus Corona (31’, assisted by Lucas Ocampos); Santos Laguna: Lucas Di Yorio (40’) and E. Aguirre (90’, assisted by Felipe Sánchez).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Lucas Ocampos’s goal on 20 minutes.

Discipline

M. Ortiz showed no yellow cards — against 3.0 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition).

What it changes

Monterrey are third (shared) after this result (one league match played).

Santos Laguna are 12th (shared) after this result (one league match played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Lucas Ocampos (Monterrey) 14.9, J. Rodríguez (Monterrey) 7.2 and Óliver Torres (Monterrey) 6.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Monterrey or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 75.3% of the time in the last 90 days (1122 of 1490).

Next up

Monterrey next host CF Pachuca on 19 October 2026.

Santos Laguna next host U.N.A.M. - Pumas on 22 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Monterrey: Monterrey v CF Pachuca, Monday 19 October — the preview. Next for Santos Laguna: Santos Laguna v U.N.A.M. - Pumas, Thursday 22 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Monterrey 3–2 Santos Laguna · Liga MX
  • Venue: Estadio BBVA · Monterrey
  • Referee: M. Ortiz
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Monterrey 5 · draws 0 · Santos Laguna 1 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Monterrey 1W 1D 3L · Santos Laguna 1W 1D 3L

Monterrey 3–2 Santos Laguna (Liga MX): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 1 August 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.13 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.88 / 1.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
4.63 / 5
Corners
against 5.25 / 4.83 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 6 matches
5.13 / 3
Shots on target
against 5 / 5.33 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 6 matches
2.5 / 3.33
Cards
against 2.63 / 2.83 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 6 matches
3 yellows
Referee · M. Ortiz
1.42 home / 1.58 away
over 12 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 April 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameMonterrey for / againstLineSantos Laguna for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.25our book
1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
4.63 for · 5.25 against n 8
9.5standard
5 for · 4.83 against n 6
Shots
15.88 for · 12.75 against n 8
19.5standard
9.67 for · 15 against n 6
Shots on target
5.13 for · 5 against n 8
8.5standard
3 for · 5.33 against n 6
Fouls committed
12.88 for · 12.63 against n 8
21.5standard
14.17 for · 13.5 against n 6
Cards shown
2.5 for · 2.63 against n 8
3.5standard
3.33 for · 2.83 against n 6

Referee: M. Ortiz — 3 yellow cards a game, 0.5 red cards, 19 fouls over 12 matches (1.42 to the home side, 1.58 to the away side).

Monterrey
Monterrey — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Ricardo Chávez n 877
2.66/5
0.73/2
—
Cristian Reyes n 843
2.46/3
1.34/1
—
S. Medina n 870.5
2.25/5
0.64/0
—
Fidel Ambríz n 883.6
26/5
0.53/1
—
Óliver Torres n 871.6
1.65/3
0.64/0
Carlos Gruezo
Monterrey — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Joaquin Moxica n 831.8
2.84/2
1.13/0
Lucas Ocampos n 856.6
2.46/3
1.25/1
Luca Orellano n 871.5
26/6
1.15/2
Sergio Canales n 865.9
25/4
13/2
U. Đurđević n 862.8
25/2
1.43/2
Monterrey — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Martial n 852.9
0.21/0
0.62/1
Roberto de la Rosa n 854.4
0.41/1
0.21/0
Óliver Torres n 871.6
0.21/0
0.32/0
Sergio Canales n 865.9
0.32/0
0.21/0
U. Đurđević n 862.8
0.53/0
00/0
Monterrey — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Lucas Ocampos n 856.6
3.45/4
Óliver Torres n 871.6
3.38/4
Alonso Aceves n 856
2.86/3
S. Medina n 870.5
2.27/4
Ricardo Chávez n 877
25/4
Monterrey — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Cardenas n 891.1
3.36/5
Santiago Mele n 888.8
2.35/4
Santos Laguna
Santos Laguna — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Vuoso n 317.3
5.22/1
00/0
—
Carlos Gruezo n 866.6
3.77/6
0.74/0
Óliver Torres
Diego Medina n 813.1
3.43/1
1.71/1
—
Cristián Dájome n 823.8
3.35/2
0.92/0
—
Luis Gómez n 830.9
2.95/1
3.36/3
—
Santos Laguna — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Lucas Di Yorio n 887.3
2.78/6
1.57/3
L. Vuoso n 317.3
1.71/0
00/0
Tahiel Jiménez n 813
1.71/1
00/0
Luis Gómez n 830.9
1.54/0
0.72/0
Ramiro Sordo n 862.5
1.43/3
0.93/2
Santos Laguna — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Lucas Di Yorio n 887.3
0.54/0
0.32/0
Ezequiel Bullaude n 882.1
0.32/0
0.41/1
Cristián Dájome n 823.8
00/0
0.51/0
Ramiro Sordo n 862.5
00/0
0.42/0
Aldo Lopez n 872.4
0.32/0
00/0
Santos Laguna — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Diego Medina n 813.1
5.16/0
Salvador Mariscal n 869.5
3.16/5
Javier Guemez n 882.6
2.98/4
Carlos Gruezo n 866.6
2.47/4
E. Orona n 855.1
2.47/2
Santos Laguna — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Acevedo n 885.6
3.87/6
Hector Holguin n 763.4
3.24/3

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
MonterreySantos Laguna
56%Possession44%
1.87Expected goals (xG)2.28
19Shots11
13Shots on target3
4Shots off target5
2Blocked shots3
12Shots inside the box10
5Corners5
2Offsides0
14Fouls9
1Saves10
522Passes407
86%Pass accuracy82%

Monterrey player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Cardenas9000000006.5
Ricardo Chávez9000001005.9
S. Medina9000000206.7
Alonso Aceves9000000206.3
Gerardo Arteaga9000111206.2
Luca Orellano9000442107.3
Óliver Torres8901223007.2
Lucas Ocampos89214342010
Diego Rossi8901312006.9
J. Rodríguez7600000607.3
Jesus Corona6210113007.9
Fidel Ambríz sub2800110006.5
Iker Fimbres sub1400000006.3
L. Reyes sub800000006.5
Roberto de la Rosa sub800001006.9
U. Đurđević sub800100006.3

Santos Laguna player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Acevedo9000000007.3
Franco Pardo9000000206.9
Felipe Sánchez9001101207.7
Mauricio Cuevas9000002105.9
Salvador Mariscal9000000106.5
Ezequiel Bullaude9000102206.2
Carlos Gruezo8200100506.7
Ramiro Sordo8200001406.9
J. Abella6000000006
D. González6000110106.2
Lucas Di Yorio6010111107.2
Kevin Picon sub3000101007.3
Francisco Villalba sub3000001006.9
E. Aguirre sub3010110006.9
Aldo Lopez sub800000006.6
Diego Medina sub800100206.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Monterrey v Santos Laguna — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MonterreyLDLWL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Santos LagunaDLLLW
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Monterrey 5 · 0 draws · Santos Laguna 1 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2026-04-26 Santos Laguna 3–0 Monterrey
  • 2025-09-28 Monterrey 1–0 Santos Laguna
  • 2025-03-03 Monterrey 4–2 Santos Laguna
  • 2024-09-15 Santos Laguna 0–2 Monterrey
  • 2024-01-22 Santos Laguna 0–2 Monterrey
  • 2023-11-09 Monterrey 3–0 Santos Laguna
League standing · 2026
Monterrey#12 pos14 pts10 pl+2 GD
Santos Laguna#8 pos16 pts12 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
Monterrey scored1.7
Santos Laguna scored1.42
Monterrey conceded1.5
Santos Laguna conceded1.33

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Monterrey v Santos Laguna?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Monterrey v Santos Laguna was Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Monterrey and Santos Laguna?
In their last 6 meetings, Monterrey won 5, Santos Laguna won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Monterrey and Santos Laguna?
Recent form — Monterrey 1W 1D 3L; Santos Laguna 1W 1D 3L.

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