Defensa Y Justicia v Independiente prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina · Sat, 31 Oct 2026 17:45 GMT · Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello

Updated 28 Oct 2026, 20:36 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Defensa Y Justicia · Independiente · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Draw the free pick for Defensa Y Justicia v Independiente, Liga Profesional Argentina on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 17:45 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Draw

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.9% of 1635 landed (95% range 73.8–77.9%); it had given them 75% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 930 of 1,251 times (74.3%), against an average rating of 70.3%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Defensa Y Justicia host Independiente in Liga Profesional Argentina on Saturday 31 October (kick-off 17:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Defensa Y Justicia or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Independiente are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Eight of Defensa Y Justicia’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of Defensa Y Justicia’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Defensa Y Justicia have five wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.29 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 0.57. Defensa Y Justicia have scored 20 goals, the eighth-most of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). Defensa Y Justicia have conceded 13 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs.

Five of Independiente’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in five of Independiente’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, Independiente have four wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.75 points per game, scoring 1.13 and conceding 1.00. Independiente have scored 12 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). Independiente have conceded 14 goals, the 13th-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs.

Defensa Y Justicia (fourth) and Independiente (eighth) are eight points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Defensa Y Justicia the stronger side, 175 rating points above Independiente (Defensa Y Justicia 1669, Independiente 1494, after at least 282 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 18 April 2026, finished Independiente 3–1 Defensa Y Justicia.

Team news

Predicted Defensa Y Justicia XI (4-2-3-1): M. Borgogno, D. Martinez, D. Fernandez, V. Loza, D. Domínguez, D. Barbona, C. Perez, J. Gutierrez, S. Sosa, J. Lucco, L. Fernandez — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, D. Domínguez (4.5 per match over five appearances) and C. Perez (4.3 per match over 16 appearances, two goals and three assists) have been Defensa Y Justicia’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Defensa Y Justicia (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), D. Domínguez averages 4.0 tackles per 90 over 312 minutes, with a tackle in four of the last five appearances. C. Perez averages 0.7 key passes per 90 over 1322 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Independiente XI (4-3-3): R. Rey, J. Arrayago, N. Banegas, S. Valdez, S. Arias, I. Marcone, M. Perez, M. Meza, S. Montiel, E. Ávila, M. Abaldo — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Gabriel Ávalos (4.6 per match over 23 appearances, 11 goals and five assists) and Santiago Montiel (3.8 per match over 26 appearances, four goals and five assists) have been Independiente’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Independiente (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Gabriel Ávalos averages 2.0 shots per 90 over 2319 minutes, with a shot in six of the last 10 appearances. Santiago Montiel averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 1865 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 31 Oct 2026 17:45 GMT · Liga Profesional Argentina · Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Defensa Y Justicia 2 · draws 2 · Independiente 2 · 1.67 goals/game
Recent form: Defensa Y Justicia 3W 1D 1L · Independiente 1W 2D 2L

Defensa Y Justicia v Independiente (Liga Profesional Argentina): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 28 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 0.75

Goals

against 0.63 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.25

over 8 matches

3.88 / 3.88

Corners

against 6.88 / 5.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5.38 / 3.63

Shots on target

against 4.63 / 4 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.13 / 2.5

Cards

against 3 / 2 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Defensa Y Justicia for / against	Line	Independiente for / against
Goals scored	1.5 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5	2.25our book	0.75 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.88 for · 6.88 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.88 for · 5.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	15 for · 16.75 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13.25 for · 13.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.38 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.63 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.38 for · 10.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.13 for · 13.38 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.13 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.5 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5

Defensa Y Justicia

Defensa Y Justicia Goalkeeper

Defensa Y Justicia — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
C. Fiermarin	16	931484 min	412.5 /90	211.3 /90	10.1 /90
Matías Borgogno	14	891248 min	543.9 /90	90.6 /90	00 /90

Defensa Y Justicia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Defensa Y Justicia before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
C. Fiermarin n 8	91.3	2.8 6/6
Matías Borgogno n 8	86	4.2 7/6

Defensa Y Justicia Defensive

Defensa Y Justicia — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
D. Fernandez	26	822124 min	703 /90	371.6 /90	120.5 /90	1506.4 /90	241 /90	80.3 /90
D. Martinez	24	842012 min	512.3 /90	492.2 /90	130.6 /90	1115 /90	301.3 /90	80.4 /90
L. Souto	17	911540 min	211.2 /90	362.1 /90	30.2 /90	754.4 /90	191.1 /90	00 /90
E. Amor	15	891335 min	110.7 /90	281.9 /90	120.8 /90	654.4 /90	100.7 /90	20.1 /90
V. Loza	11	74819 min	182 /90	131.4 /90	30.3 /90	404.4 /90	131.4 /90	00 /90
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Defensa Y Justicia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Defensa Y Justicia before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Gutierrez n 8	83.4	1.1 3/3	1.6 7/4	—
S. Sosa n 8	77.9	1.9 7/5	1.3 6/2	—
D. Fernandez n 8	84.3	1.3 7/2	0.9 6/1	—
D. Martinez n 8	86	1 5/3	0.5 3/1	—
D. Barbona n 8	71.5	0.3 2/0	0.6 3/1	—
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Defensa Y Justicia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Defensa Y Justicia before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Gutierrez n 8	83.4	1.3 6/3
S. Sosa n 8	77.9	2.7 7/5
D. Fernandez n 8	84.3	2.7 7/6
D. Martinez n 8	86	2 7/3
D. Barbona n 8	71.5	0.6 4/0
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Defensa Y Justicia Attacking

Defensa Y Justicia — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
J. Gutierrez	30	852542 min	60.2 /90	80.3 /90	491.7 /90	260.9 /90	250.9 /90	471.7 /90
A. Hausch	20	511013 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	151.3 /90	111 /90	121.1 /90	141.2 /90
L. Fernandez	14	751044 min	40.3 /90	10.1 /90	332.8 /90	131.1 /90	171.5 /90	181.6 /90
R. Botta	13	66859 min	10.1 /90	10.1 /90	111.2 /90	60.6 /90	171.8 /90	141.5 /90
Tiziano Perrotta	8	42334 min	00 /90	00 /90	61.6 /90	30.8 /90	30.8 /90	20.5 /90
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Defensa Y Justicia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Defensa Y Justicia before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Gutierrez n 8	83.4	2 7/5	1.1 7/1
S. Sosa n 8	77.9	0.6 4/0	0.1 1/0
D. Fernandez n 8	84.3	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
D. Martinez n 8	86	0.8 5/1	0.3 2/0
D. Barbona n 8	71.5	1.4 7/2	0.6 4/0
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Defensa Y Justicia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Defensa Y Justicia before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Gutierrez n 8	83.4	0.3 2/0	0.4 3/0
S. Sosa n 8	77.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. Fernandez n 8	84.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. Martinez n 8	86	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
D. Barbona n 8	71.5	0.3 2/0	0.6 4/0
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Independiente

Independiente Goalkeeper

Independiente — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Rodrigo Rey	30	912744 min	702.3 /90	351.1 /90	10 /90
Santiago Mele	1	9090 min	33 /90	11 /90	00 /90

Independiente — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Independiente before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Rodrigo Rey n 8	88.5	2.4 6/4

Independiente Defensive

Independiente — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Facundo Zabala	24	852030 min	632.8 /90	291.3 /90	50.2 /90	1466.5 /90	421.9 /90	60.3 /90
Kevin Lomónaco	22	861883 min	271.3 /90	281.3 /90	70.3 /90	1014.8 /90	150.7 /90	50.2 /90
Santiago Arias	21	741558 min	432.5 /90	281.6 /90	30.2 /90	915.3 /90	130.8 /90	20.1 /90
Sebastián Valdez	18	891609 min	352 /90	281.6 /90	60.3 /90	965.4 /90	110.6 /90	40.2 /90
Leonardo Godoy	17	731237 min	201.5 /90	70.5 /90	60.4 /90	523.8 /90	191.4 /90	50.4 /90
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Independiente — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Independiente before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Rodrigo Rey n 8	88.5	0 0/0	0.3 1/1	—
Matías Abaldo n 8	52.3	1.3 4/1	0.6 3/0	—
Iván Marcone n 8	88.5	0.8 4/2	1.8 7/4	—
Santiago Montiel n 8	86.1	0.5 4/0	1.4 6/4	—
Facundo Zabala n 8	83.1	1.8 8/3	0.9 4/3	—
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Independiente — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Independiente before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Matías Abaldo n 8	52.3	1.5 6/1
Iván Marcone n 8	88.5	2.4 8/6
Santiago Montiel n 8	86.1	1.2 7/1
Facundo Zabala n 8	83.1	3.5 8/6
Gabriel Ávalos n 8	91	0.2 2/0
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Independiente Attacking

Independiente — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Gabriel Ávalos	23	912082 min	110.5 /90	50.2 /90	502.2 /90	160.7 /90	281.2 /90	50.2 /90
E. Ávila	6	61364 min	00 /90	00 /90	112.7 /90	10.2 /90	41 /90	30.7 /90
Felipe Tempone	4	55221 min	00 /90	00 /90	62.4 /90	52 /90	20.8 /90	20.8 /90
Facundo Valdéz	4	41165 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	21.1 /90	52.7 /90
I. Morales	3	59176 min	00 /90	00 /90	21 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
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Independiente — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Independiente before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Rodrigo Rey n 8	88.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
Matías Abaldo n 8	52.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
Iván Marcone n 8	88.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
Santiago Montiel n 8	86.1	2.1 6/5	0.7 2/2
Facundo Zabala n 8	83.1	0.5 4/0	0.1 1/0
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Independiente — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Independiente before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Rodrigo Rey n 8	88.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
Matías Abaldo n 8	52.3	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
Iván Marcone n 8	88.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
Santiago Montiel n 8	86.1	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
Facundo Zabala n 8	83.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Defensa Y Justicia v Independiente — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Defensa Y JusticiaDWWLW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

IndependienteWLDDL

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Defensa Y Justicia 2 · 2 draws · Independiente 2 · 1.67 goals/game

2026-04-18 Independiente 3–1 Defensa Y Justicia
2024-06-04 Defensa Y Justicia 0–0 Independiente
2023-02-20 Independiente 0–2 Defensa Y Justicia
2022-07-20 Defensa Y Justicia 2–1 Independiente
2021-08-21 Independiente 0–0 Defensa Y Justicia
2021-04-18 Independiente 1–0 Defensa Y Justicia

League standing · 2026

Defensa Y Justicia#4 pos27 pts14 pl+7 GD

Independiente#8 pos19 pts14 pl-2 GD

Goals per game

Defensa Y Justicia scored1.43

Independiente scored0.86

Defensa Y Justicia conceded0.93

Independiente conceded1

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Defensa Y Justicia v Independiente?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Defensa Y Justicia v Independiente is Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Defensa Y Justicia and Independiente?: In their last 6 meetings, Defensa Y Justicia won 2, Independiente won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Defensa Y Justicia and Independiente?: Recent form — Defensa Y Justicia 3W 1D 1L; Independiente 1W 2D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 28 Oct 2026, 20:36 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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