Sarmiento Junin v Rosario Central prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina · Sat, 31 Oct 2026 00:15 GMT · Estadio Eva Perón de Junín

Updated 29 Oct 2026, 01:03 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Sarmiento Junin · Rosario Central · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick for Sarmiento Junin v Rosario Central, Liga Profesional Argentina on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 00:15 GMT.

Free pick

Draw or Away

Best price: 1.25 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.1% of 1426 landed (95% range 65.6–70.5%); it had given them 75.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated draw or away (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 772 of 1,181 times (65.4%), against an average rating of 69.7%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Sarmiento Junin host Rosario Central in Liga Profesional Argentina on Saturday 31 October (kick-off 00:15 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or Rosario Central, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Rosario Central have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of Sarmiento Junin’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in 10 of Sarmiento Junin’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Sarmiento Junin have three wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 1.13. Sarmiento Junin have scored 22 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). Sarmiento Junin have conceded 21 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 30 clubs.

Five of Rosario Central’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in six of Rosario Central’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Rosario Central have four wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 0.86. Rosario Central have scored 22 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). Rosario Central have conceded 11 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs.

Sarmiento Junin are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Rosario Central are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions. Sarmiento Junin (seventh) and Rosario Central (first) are seven points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Rosario Central the stronger side, 239 rating points above Sarmiento Junin (Rosario Central 1762, Sarmiento Junin 1523, after at least 195 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Rosario Central are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Sarmiento Junin. The most recent meeting, on 19 April 2026, finished Rosario Central 2–1 Sarmiento Junin.

Team news

Predicted Sarmiento Junin XI (3-4-2-1): T. Ayala, J. Insaurralde, R. Orihuela, L. Suárez, C. Zabala, M. Martínez, J. Mavilla, J. Contrera, S. Salle, M. Garcia, J. Marabel — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Julián Mavilla (4.5 per match over 13 appearances, four goals and one assist) and Cristian Zabala (4.1 per match over 29 appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Sarmiento Junin’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Sarmiento Junin (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Julián Mavilla averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 1231 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Cristian Zabala averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 2587 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Rosario Central XI (4-2-3-1): C. Ledesma, G. Avila, I. Ovando, A. Sandez, E. Coronel, A. Di Maria, V. Pizarro, J. Campaz, F. Ibarra, A. Rodríguez, E. Copetti — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, F. Ibarra (5.0 per match over 36 appearances, four assists) and A. Di Maria (4.9 per match over 34 appearances, 13 goals and five assists) have been Rosario Central’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Rosario Central (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), F. Ibarra averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 3222 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. A. Di Maria averages 2.6 key passes per 90 over 2791 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 31 Oct 2026 00:15 GMT · Liga Profesional Argentina · Estadio Eva Perón de Junín
Referee: Andres Merlos
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Sarmiento Junin 1 · draws 0 · Rosario Central 5 · 2.83 goals/game
Recent form: Sarmiento Junin 1W 2D 2L · Rosario Central 4W 1D 0L

Sarmiento Junin v Rosario Central (Liga Profesional Argentina): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 29 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.88

Goals

against 1.63 / 0.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.25

over 8 matches

3 / 6.63

Corners

against 6.5 / 5.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.38 / 5.75

Shots on target

against 5.5 / 3.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.75 / 2.25

Cards

against 1.75 / 3.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Sarmiento Junin for / against	Line	Rosario Central for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	2.25our book	1.88 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3 for · 6.5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6.63 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	10.75 for · 16.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14.63 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.38 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.75 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	14.38 for · 10.13 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.88 for · 13.25 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.75 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.25 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Andres Merlos.

Sarmiento Junin

Sarmiento Junin Goalkeeper

Sarmiento Junin — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Javier Burrai	16	931487 min	704.2 /90	201.2 /90	00 /90
T. Ayala	12	921101 min	473.8 /90	100.8 /90	10.1 /90
I. Arboleda	2	90180 min	73.5 /90	63 /90	00 /90

Sarmiento Junin — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sarmiento Junin before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Javier Burrai n 8	93.1	4.1 8/5
T. Ayala n 8	91.1	3.7 7/7

Sarmiento Junin Defensive

Sarmiento Junin — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Juan Manuel Insaurralde	27	892415 min	230.9 /90	250.9 /90	240.9 /90	1023.8 /90	230.9 /90	100.4 /90
Lucas Suárez	21	811694 min	462.4 /90	301.6 /90	50.3 /90	1065.6 /90	281.5 /90	50.3 /90
R. Orihuela	20	901798 min	402 /90	331.7 /90	100.5 /90	974.9 /90	281.4 /90	10.1 /90
Thiago Santamaría	13	771005 min	252.2 /90	191.7 /90	10.1 /90	433.9 /90	100.9 /90	30.3 /90
Agustín Seyral	9	82736 min	121.5 /90	212.6 /90	151.8 /90	303.7 /90	111.3 /90	20.2 /90
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Sarmiento Junin — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sarmiento Junin before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Junior Marabel n 8	86.6	0.9 4/2	1 5/2	—
Cristian Zabala n 8	91.1	1.4 7/2	0.5 4/0	—
Santiago Salle n 8	71.8	2.4 7/6	1.3 5/2	—
Juan Manuel Insaurralde n 8	91.1	0.9 6/1	0.4 3/0	—
Mauricio Martínez n 8	87.1	0.9 4/2	0.9 6/1	—
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Sarmiento Junin — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sarmiento Junin before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Junior Marabel n 8	86.6	0.3 2/0
Cristian Zabala n 8	91.1	3.3 7/7
Santiago Salle n 8	71.8	1.4 5/3
Juan Manuel Insaurralde n 8	91.1	0.7 3/3
Mauricio Martínez n 8	87.1	2.1 7/5
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Sarmiento Junin Attacking

Sarmiento Junin — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Junior Marabel	30	792378 min	140.5 /90	50.2 /90	552.1 /90	261 /90	180.7 /90	40.2 /90
Diego Churin	17	49825 min	20.2 /90	00 /90	111.2 /90	60.7 /90	80.9 /90	70.8 /90
Jonathan Herrera	13	55711 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	111.4 /90	50.6 /90	40.5 /90	10.1 /90
G. Gonzalez	11	29322 min	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	61.7 /90	20.6 /90	51.4 /90	30.8 /90
Pablo Magnin	8	50399 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	40.9 /90	20.5 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90
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Sarmiento Junin — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sarmiento Junin before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Junior Marabel n 8	86.6	1.9 6/5	0.9 6/1
Cristian Zabala n 8	91.1	0.5 4/0	0.1 1/0
Santiago Salle n 8	71.8	0.6 3/1	0.2 1/0
Juan Manuel Insaurralde n 8	91.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
Mauricio Martínez n 8	87.1	1.3 7/3	0.1 1/0
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Sarmiento Junin — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sarmiento Junin before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Junior Marabel n 8	86.6	0.5 4/0	0.1 1/0
Cristian Zabala n 8	91.1	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Santiago Salle n 8	71.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
Juan Manuel Insaurralde n 8	91.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
Mauricio Martínez n 8	87.1	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Rosario Central

Rosario Central Goalkeeper

Rosario Central — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
C. Ledesma	34	933147 min	962.7 /90	260.7 /90	10 /90
J. Broun	4	93371 min	133.2 /90	51.2 /90	00 /90
A. Werner	2	93186 min	83.9 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Rosario Central — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rosario Central before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
C. Ledesma n 8	92	2.6 6/5
J. Broun n 8	92.5	2.8 7/5

Rosario Central Defensive

Rosario Central — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Ignacio Ovando	35	893120 min	341 /90	692 /90	130.4 /90	1564.5 /90	280.8 /90	50.1 /90
Emanuel Coronel	33	752487 min	501.8 /90	401.4 /90	80.3 /90	1334.8 /90	521.9 /90	100.4 /90
G. Avila	32	872768 min	531.7 /90	270.9 /90	110.4 /90	1846 /90	230.7 /90	40.1 /90
A. Sandez	32	772461 min	441.6 /90	321.2 /90	40.1 /90	1033.8 /90	381.4 /90	90.3 /90
Alexis Soto	21	661384 min	291.9 /90	161 /90	80.5 /90	573.7 /90	120.8 /90	20.1 /90
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Rosario Central — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rosario Central before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
V. Pizarro n 8	81.8	1.1 6/1	0.8 5/1	—
Ignacio Ovando n 8	85.6	1.3 7/3	1.3 5/3	—
F. Ibarra n 8	87.5	1.4 6/2	1.4 6/4	—
E. Copetti n 8	75	1.2 6/1	1.2 7/1	—
C. Ledesma n 8	92	0 0/0	0.2 2/0	—
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Rosario Central — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rosario Central before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
V. Pizarro n 8	81.8	1.7 7/3
Ignacio Ovando n 8	85.6	1.3 6/2
F. Ibarra n 8	87.5	4 8/7
E. Copetti n 8	75	0.6 3/1
A. Di Maria n 8	87.1	0.9 4/2
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Rosario Central Attacking

Rosario Central — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
E. Copetti	35	622153 min	60.3 /90	10 /90	451.9 /90	190.8 /90	251 /90	50.2 /90
Alejo Véliz	18	781400 min	50.3 /90	00 /90	452.9 /90	211.4 /90	80.5 /90	80.5 /90
Gaspar Duarte	12	38460 min	00 /90	00 /90	61.2 /90	20.4 /90	51 /90	61.2 /90
T. Badaloni	4	68273 min	00 /90	00 /90	41.3 /90	00 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
M. Ruben	4	36143 min	21.3 /90	00 /90	31.9 /90	21.3 /90	21.3 /90	00 /90
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Rosario Central — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rosario Central before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
V. Pizarro n 8	81.8	0.8 6/0	0.1 1/0
Ignacio Ovando n 8	85.6	0.4 2/1	0.3 2/0
F. Ibarra n 8	87.5	0.5 4/0	0.1 1/0
E. Copetti n 8	75	2 8/3	0.5 2/1
C. Ledesma n 8	92	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Rosario Central — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rosario Central before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
V. Pizarro n 8	81.8	0 0/0	0.4 2/1
Ignacio Ovando n 8	85.6	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
F. Ibarra n 8	87.5	0 0/0	0.4 3/0
E. Copetti n 8	75	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
C. Ledesma n 8	92	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Sarmiento Junin v Rosario Central — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Sarmiento JuninLWDDL

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Rosario CentralWDWWW

Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.4 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Sarmiento Junin 1 · 0 draws · Rosario Central 5 · 2.83 goals/game

2026-04-19 Rosario Central 2–1 Sarmiento Junin
2025-10-24 Sarmiento Junin 0–1 Rosario Central
2025-02-23 Rosario Central 1–0 Sarmiento Junin
2024-07-20 Rosario Central 4–2 Sarmiento Junin
2023-03-03 Sarmiento Junin 4–1 Rosario Central
2022-07-08 Rosario Central 1–0 Sarmiento Junin

League standing · 2026

Sarmiento Junin#7 pos21 pts14 pl+1 GD

Rosario Central#1 pos28 pts14 pl+11 GD

Goals per game

Sarmiento Junin scored1.57

Rosario Central scored1.57

Sarmiento Junin conceded1.5

Rosario Central conceded0.79

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Sarmiento Junin v Rosario Central?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Sarmiento Junin v Rosario Central is Draw or Away (best price 1.25 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Sarmiento Junin and Rosario Central?: In their last 6 meetings, Sarmiento Junin won 1, Rosario Central won 5 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Sarmiento Junin and Rosario Central?: Recent form — Sarmiento Junin 1W 2D 2L; Rosario Central 4W 1D 0L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 29 Oct 2026, 01:03 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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