Tigre v Sarmiento Junin prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina · Sat, 07 Nov 2026 01:00 GMT · Estadio José Dellagiovanna

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 10:43 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Draw the free pick for Tigre v Sarmiento Junin, Liga Profesional Argentina on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 01:00 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Draw

Best price: 1.26 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.4% of 1739 landed (95% range 74.3–78.3%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,041 of 1,389 times (74.9%), against an average rating of 70.3%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Tigre host Sarmiento Junin in Liga Profesional Argentina on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 01:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Tigre or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Sarmiento Junin are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of Tigre’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Tigre’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Tigre have two wins, two draws and four defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 0.50 and conceding 0.75. Tigre have scored 15 goals, the 11th-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs (2026 so far, after 15 games, ranked per game). Tigre have conceded 16 goals, the 15th-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs.

Eight of Sarmiento Junin’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in 11 of Sarmiento Junin’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Sarmiento Junin have three wins, no draws and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.29 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 2.00. Sarmiento Junin have scored 23 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 30 clubs (2026 so far, after 15 games, ranked per game). Sarmiento Junin have conceded 23 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 30 clubs.

Tigre (11th) and Sarmiento Junin (eighth) are five points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Sarmiento Junin the stronger side, 27 rating points above Tigre (Sarmiento Junin 1500, Tigre 1473, after at least 196 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 25 April 2026, finished Sarmiento Junin 1–0 Tigre.

Team news

Predicted Tigre XI (4-4-2): F. Zenobio, A. Barrionuevo, F. Álvarez, J. Laso, V. Moreno, S. González, J. Saralegui, B. Leyes, S. López, J. Dómina, I. Russo — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, David Romero (4.3 per match over 16 appearances, 10 goals and two assists) and Santiago López (3.5 per match over 38 appearances, two goals and four assists) have been Tigre’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Tigre (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), David Romero averages 3.3 shots per 90 over 1578 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances. Santiago López averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 2576 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Sarmiento Junin XI (4-4-2): T. Ayala, J. Insaurralde, L. Suárez, R. Orihuela, T. Santamaría, C. Zabala, M. Martínez, J. Mavilla, S. Salle, J. Marabel, J. Herrera — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Julián Mavilla (4.5 per match over 14 appearances, four goals and two assists) and Cristian Zabala (4.0 per match over 30 appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Sarmiento Junin’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Sarmiento Junin (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Julián Mavilla averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 1286 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Cristian Zabala averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 2631 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 01:00 GMT · Liga Profesional Argentina · Estadio José Dellagiovanna
Referee: Pereira·Gonzalo
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 4): Tigre 1 · draws 2 · Sarmiento Junin 1 · 1.5 goals/game
Recent form: Tigre 1W 1D 3L · Sarmiento Junin 1W 2D 2L

Tigre v Sarmiento Junin (Liga Profesional Argentina): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.25

Goals

against 1.63 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.25

over 8 matches

5.38 / 2.75

Corners

against 4.13 / 7.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.88 / 2.88

Shots on target

against 4.25 / 5.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.38 / 3.25

Cards

against 2.75 / 1.88 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Tigre for / against	Line	Sarmiento Junin for / against
Goals scored	1.13 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	2.25our book	1.25 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.38 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	2.75 for · 7.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	14.5 for · 13.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	10.25 for · 17 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.88 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	2.88 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.5 for · 12.38 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	14.38 for · 9.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.38 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	3.25 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5

Tigre

Tigre Goalkeeper

Tigre — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Felipe Zenobio	38	923488 min	842.2 /90	330.9 /90	10 /90
L. Morales	1	9696 min	32.8 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Tomás Sultani	1	9090 min	33 /90	22 /90	00 /90

Tigre — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tigre before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Felipe Zenobio n 8	90	2.8 6/4

Tigre Defensive

Tigre — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Alan Barrionuevo	39	903528 min	531.4 /90	401 /90	240.6 /90	1884.8 /90	210.5 /90	40.1 /90
Valentín Moreno	31	752312 min	552.1 /90	301.2 /90	50.2 /90	1084.2 /90	240.9 /90	70.3 /90
Federico Álvarez	28	802243 min	552.2 /90	431.7 /90	40.2 /90	1395.6 /90	150.6 /90	20.1 /90
Joaquín Laso	27	862320 min	381.5 /90	411.6 /90	100.4 /90	933.6 /90	130.5 /90	70.3 /90
Nahuel Banegas	18	781398 min	493.2 /90	181.2 /90	40.3 /90	1187.6 /90	231.5 /90	30.2 /90
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Tigre — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tigre before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Alan Barrionuevo n 8	84.4	0.5 3/1	0 0/0	—
Ignacio Russo n 8	75.3	0.6 3/1	1.3 6/3	—
Felipe Zenobio n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
Santiago López n 8	76.8	1.8 7/3	1.2 5/2	—
Jabes Saralegui n 8	76.6	0.6 3/1	0.7 4/1	—
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Tigre — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tigre before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Alan Barrionuevo n 8	84.4	1.1 4/2
Ignacio Russo n 8	75.3	0.3 2/0
Santiago López n 8	76.8	2.6 8/4
Jabes Saralegui n 8	76.6	1.6 8/3
Valentín Moreno n 8	70.1	2.4 5/4
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Tigre Attacking

Tigre — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Ignacio Russo	39	843295 min	110.3 /90	40.1 /90	671.8 /90	290.8 /90	290.8 /90	140.4 /90
David Romero	15	731097 min	100.8 /90	20.2 /90	413.4 /90	191.6 /90	80.7 /90	121 /90
A. Oviedo	12	39467 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	91.7 /90	40.8 /90	61.2 /90	10.2 /90
Mauro Méndez	9	54486 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	152.8 /90	40.7 /90	30.6 /90	10.2 /90
J. Dómina	7	70491 min	40.7 /90	00 /90	162.9 /90	81.5 /90	61.1 /90	61.1 /90
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Tigre — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tigre before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Alan Barrionuevo n 8	84.4	1.2 5/2	0.7 4/1
Ignacio Russo n 8	75.3	1.9 7/5	0.7 4/1
Felipe Zenobio n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Santiago López n 8	76.8	1 6/1	0.3 2/0
Jabes Saralegui n 8	76.6	1.3 5/4	0.3 1/1
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Tigre — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tigre before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Alan Barrionuevo n 8	84.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Ignacio Russo n 8	75.3	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Felipe Zenobio n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Santiago López n 8	76.8	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Jabes Saralegui n 8	76.6	0 0/0	0.4 3/0
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Sarmiento Junin

Sarmiento Junin Goalkeeper

Sarmiento Junin — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Javier Burrai	16	931487 min	704.2 /90	201.2 /90	00 /90
T. Ayala	13	921191 min	513.9 /90	100.8 /90	10.1 /90
I. Arboleda	2	90180 min	73.5 /90	63 /90	00 /90

Sarmiento Junin — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sarmiento Junin before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Javier Burrai n 8	93.1	4.1 8/5
T. Ayala n 8	90.6	4.1 8/8

Sarmiento Junin Defensive

Sarmiento Junin — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Juan Manuel Insaurralde	28	892505 min	240.9 /90	260.9 /90	240.9 /90	1073.8 /90	240.9 /90	110.4 /90
Lucas Suárez	22	811784 min	492.5 /90	311.6 /90	50.3 /90	1145.8 /90	281.4 /90	50.3 /90
R. Orihuela	20	901798 min	402 /90	331.7 /90	100.5 /90	974.9 /90	281.4 /90	10.1 /90
Thiago Santamaría	14	761060 min	302.5 /90	201.7 /90	10.1 /90	494.2 /90	110.9 /90	40.3 /90
U. Gimenez	10	43429 min	132.7 /90	91.9 /90	10.2 /90	316.5 /90	102.1 /90	10.2 /90
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Sarmiento Junin — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sarmiento Junin before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Junior Marabel n 8	86.8	0.9 4/2	1 5/2	—
Cristian Zabala n 8	84.9	1.5 7/2	0.5 4/0	—
Santiago Salle n 8	67.9	2.5 7/6	1 4/1	—
Juan Manuel Insaurralde n 8	90.6	0.9 6/1	0.4 3/0	—
Mauricio Martínez n 8	81.6	0.8 3/2	1 6/1	—
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Sarmiento Junin — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sarmiento Junin before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Junior Marabel n 8	86.8	0.3 2/0
Cristian Zabala n 8	84.9	3.7 8/7
Santiago Salle n 8	67.9	1.5 5/3
Juan Manuel Insaurralde n 8	90.6	0.9 4/3
Mauricio Martínez n 8	81.6	1.8 6/4
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Sarmiento Junin Attacking

Sarmiento Junin — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Junior Marabel	31	792460 min	140.5 /90	50.2 /90	562 /90	271 /90	190.7 /90	40.1 /90
Diego Churin	17	49825 min	20.2 /90	00 /90	111.2 /90	60.7 /90	80.9 /90	70.8 /90
Jonathan Herrera	13	55711 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	111.4 /90	50.6 /90	40.5 /90	10.1 /90
G. Gonzalez	12	34412 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	61.3 /90	20.4 /90	81.7 /90	40.9 /90
Pablo Magnin	8	50399 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	40.9 /90	20.5 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90
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Sarmiento Junin — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sarmiento Junin before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Junior Marabel n 8	86.8	1.7 6/4	0.9 6/1
Cristian Zabala n 8	84.9	0.7 5/0	0.1 1/0
Santiago Salle n 8	67.9	0.7 3/1	0.2 1/0
Juan Manuel Insaurralde n 8	90.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
Mauricio Martínez n 8	81.6	1.2 6/3	0 0/0
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Sarmiento Junin — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sarmiento Junin before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Junior Marabel n 8	86.8	0.5 4/0	0.1 1/0
Cristian Zabala n 8	84.9	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Santiago Salle n 8	67.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Juan Manuel Insaurralde n 8	90.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
Mauricio Martínez n 8	81.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Tigre v Sarmiento Junin — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

TigreLLDLW

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Sarmiento JuninWDDLL

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 4

Tigre 1 · 2 draws · Sarmiento Junin 1 · 1.5 goals/game

2026-04-25 Sarmiento Junin 1–0 Tigre
2024-08-18 Sarmiento Junin 0–0 Tigre
2023-04-14 Tigre 1–0 Sarmiento Junin
2022-10-04 Sarmiento Junin 2–2 Tigre

League standing · 2026

Tigre#11 pos16 pts15 pl-1 GD

Sarmiento Junin#8 pos21 pts15 pl0 GD

Goals per game

Tigre scored1

Sarmiento Junin scored1.53

Tigre conceded1.07

Sarmiento Junin conceded1.53

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Tigre v Sarmiento Junin?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Tigre v Sarmiento Junin is Home or Draw (best price 1.26 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Tigre and Sarmiento Junin?: In their last 4 meetings, Tigre won 1, Sarmiento Junin won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Tigre and Sarmiento Junin?: Recent form — Tigre 1W 1D 3L; Sarmiento Junin 1W 2D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 6 Nov 2026, 10:43 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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