Union Santa Fe v Sarmiento Junin result

Full-time · Union Santa Fe 4–1 Sarmiento Junin

Liga Profesional Argentina · · Estadio 15 de Abril

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Union Santa Fe 4–1 Sarmiento Junin — Union Santa Fe won this Liga Profesional Argentina match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.33 at Betfair
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4357 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Union Santa Fe beat Sarmiento Junin 4–1 at Estadio 15 de Abril in Liga Profesional Argentina on Friday 28 August. Sarmiento Junin have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Union Santa Fe led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Union Santa Fe: Cristian Tarragona (18’, assisted by Emilio Giaccone; 61’, assisted by Ignacio Malcorra), Ignacio Malcorra (74’, assisted by Lucas Ayala) and Eric Ramírez (84’); Sarmiento Junin: Julián Mavilla (79’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Cristian Tarragona’s goal on 18 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Union Santa Fe 1.29, Sarmiento Junin 0.49, from 12 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Pablo Echavarria, Argentina showed three yellow cards — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 13 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Union Santa Fe: Ignacio Malcorra (62’); Sarmiento Junin: Julian Contrera (8’) and Lucas Suárez (43’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Cristian Tarragona (Union Santa Fe) 9.2, Ignacio Malcorra (Union Santa Fe) 9.1 and Julián Mavilla (Sarmiento Junin) 6.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Union Santa Fe or Sarmiento Junin (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.3% of the time in the last 90 days (3366 of 4357).

Next up

Union Santa Fe next travel to Deportivo Riestra on 20 October 2026.

Sarmiento Junin next host Barracas Central on 19 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Union Santa Fe: Deportivo Riestra v Union Santa Fe, Tuesday 20 October — the preview. Next for Sarmiento Junin: Sarmiento Junin v Barracas Central, Monday 19 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Union Santa Fe 4–1 Sarmiento Junin · Liga Profesional Argentina
  • Venue: Estadio 15 de Abril · Santa Fe de la Vera Cruz
  • Referee: Pablo Echavarria, Argentina
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Union Santa Fe 3 · draws 0 · Sarmiento Junin 3 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Union Santa Fe 2W 0D 3L · Sarmiento Junin 4W 0D 1L

Union Santa Fe 4–1 Sarmiento Junin (Liga Profesional Argentina): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 11 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
4.29 / 4.57
Corners
against 4.86 / 5.43 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.29 / 4.29
Shots on target
against 5.43 / 5.57 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.14 / 1.71
Cards
against 2.29 / 2.71 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
4.15 yellows
Referee · Pablo Echavarria, Argentina
1.77 home / 2.38 away
over 13 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 August 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameUnion Santa Fe for / againstLineSarmiento Junin for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.25our book
1.5 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
4.29 for · 4.86 against n 7
9.5standard
4.57 for · 5.43 against n 7
Shots
13.14 for · 13.29 against n 7
19.5standard
11.43 for · 14.86 against n 7
Shots on target
4.29 for · 5.43 against n 7
8.5standard
4.29 for · 5.57 against n 7
Fouls committed
12.86 for · 8 against n 7
21.5standard
13 for · 11 against n 7
Cards shown
2.14 for · 2.29 against n 7
3.5standard
1.71 for · 2.71 against n 7

Referee: Pablo Echavarria, Argentina — 4.15 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 22 fouls over 13 matches (1.77 to the home side, 2.38 to the away side).

Union Santa Fe
Union Santa Fe — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Vera n 421.5
3.12/1
00/0
—
Brahian Cuello n 850.8
2.76/3
0.72/1
Julian Contrera
Eric Ramírez n 810
2.31/1
00/0
—
Marcelo Estigarribia n 867.1
2.25/4
0.72/2
—
Julián Palacios n 889
1.87/5
1.87/4
—
Union Santa Fe — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Marcelo Estigarribia n 867.1
36/5
14/1
Tomás Gonzalez n 833.4
2.74/3
12/1
Eric Ramírez n 810
2.32/0
2.32/0
Cristian Tarragona n 890.5
2.26/4
1.14/3
M. Aguirre n 846.5
2.26/2
0.73/0
Union Santa Fe — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Cristian Tarragona n 890.5
0.53/1
0.11/0
Joaquin Mosqueira n 842.3
0.31/0
0.31/0
Lucas Menossi n 870.1
0.53/0
00/0
Julián Palacios n 889
00/0
0.32/0
M. Luna Diale n 843.6
00/0
0.31/0
Union Santa Fe — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Lucas Ayala n 480.8
3.14/3
Emilio Giaccone n 643.7
3.13/3
S. Vera n 421.5
3.12/1
M. Luna Diale n 843.6
2.85/3
Lucas Menossi n 870.1
2.76/4
Union Santa Fe — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Matías Mansilla n 892.5
3.67/5
Sarmiento Junin
Sarmiento Junin — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Julian Contrera n 859.5
38/4
1.53/3
Brahian Cuello
Manuel Garcia n 856.3
2.66/4
0.42/0
—
Gabriel Díaz n 846.8
2.23/3
0.52/0
—
E. Gimenez n 846.1
2.24/3
0.52/0
—
G. Gonzalez n 822.6
23/1
1.53/0
—
Sarmiento Junin — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Junior Marabel n 880.8
26/6
0.84/2
G. Gonzalez n 822.6
24/0
12/0
Diego Churin n 822.4
23/1
1.52/1
J. Gomez n 846.4
1.54/2
0.73/0
Julián Mavilla n 859.9
1.34/3
0.63/0
Sarmiento Junin — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
G. Gonzalez n 822.6
0.51/0
0.51/0
Junior Marabel n 880.8
0.64/0
0.11/0
Julián Mavilla n 859.9
0.42/0
0.21/0
Pablo Magnin n 844.1
0.31/0
0.31/0
J. Gomez n 846.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
Sarmiento Junin — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Cristian Zabala n 891.6
3.78/8
Lucas Suárez n 881.8
2.67/7
Mauricio Martínez n 884.3
2.45/5
Julián Mavilla n 859.9
2.37/3
Manuel Garcia n 856.3
2.25/3
Sarmiento Junin — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
T. Ayala n 493
4.13/3
I. Arboleda n 891.5
2.86/4

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Union Santa FeSarmiento Junin
49%Possession51%
1.29Expected goals (xG)0.49
12Shots11
5Shots on target6
6Shots off target4
1Blocked shots1
7Shots inside the box7
2Corners4
0Offsides1
11Fouls11
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
5Saves1
333Passes334
73%Pass accuracy76%

Union Santa Fe player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Matías Mansilla9400000006.9
J. Pintado9400001607.5
Maizon Rodriguez9400000007.3
Juan Pablo Ludueña9400100506.7
Lucas Ayala9401002206.7
Emilio Giaccone9401111207
Cristian Tarragona9420420108.3
Lucas Menossi7800000106.9
Marcelo Estigarribia7800200206.3
Brahian Cuello7100003306.7
M. Luna Diale2300000006.7
Ignacio Malcorra sub71112133Y8.9
M. Aguirre sub2300000006.7
Mateo Peresutti sub1600000006.5
Eric Ramírez sub1610110208.2

Sarmiento Junin player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. Ayala9400000005
R. Orihuela9400000205.7
Juan Manuel Insaurralde9400001005.9
Lucas Suárez94001113Y5.2
Cristian Zabala9400000006.3
Mauricio Martínez9400100407
Julián Mavilla8910222007.2
Junior Marabel8100310005.9
Santiago Salle6600001006
Jonathan Herrera6600001006.2
Julian Contrera45001100Y5.9
U. Gimenez sub4900111306.2
G. Gonzalez sub2800000006.3
Pablo Magnin sub2800001006.2
Diego Churin sub1300000206.6
E. Gimenez sub50010000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Union Santa Fe v Sarmiento Junin — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Union Santa FeLWLLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Sarmiento JuninLWWWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Union Santa Fe 3 · 0 draws · Sarmiento Junin 3 · 3 goals/game
  • 2026-02-26 Sarmiento Junin 1–3 Union Santa Fe
  • 2024-09-29 Sarmiento Junin 1–0 Union Santa Fe
  • 2023-05-15 Union Santa Fe 0–2 Sarmiento Junin
  • 2022-09-08 Union Santa Fe 1–0 Sarmiento Junin
  • 2022-02-27 Sarmiento Junin 2–1 Union Santa Fe
  • 2021-10-16 Sarmiento Junin 3–4 Union Santa Fe
League standing · 2026
Union Santa Fe#11 pos13 pts12 pl-4 GD
Sarmiento Junin#5 pos20 pts12 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Union Santa Fe scored1.42
Sarmiento Junin scored1.75
Union Santa Fe conceded1.75
Sarmiento Junin conceded1.5

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Union Santa Fe v Sarmiento Junin?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Union Santa Fe v Sarmiento Junin was Home or Away (best price 1.33 at Betfair).
What is the head-to-head record between Union Santa Fe and Sarmiento Junin?
In their last 6 meetings, Union Santa Fe won 3, Sarmiento Junin won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Union Santa Fe and Sarmiento Junin?
Recent form — Union Santa Fe 2W 0D 3L; Sarmiento Junin 4W 0D 1L.

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